The Mood Gap Finally Favoring Republicans

A key to understanding the mindset of Independent voters is to compare their views on the right direction/wrong track with the views of Republicans and Democrats.  Independents are always somewhere in between the two partisan groups — but the key is which partisan group are Independents closer to at any point in time — which I’ve […]

National Security Woes Plague Dems

Our friends across the aisle at Democracy Corps released a survey yesterday that received a lot of national attention.   Calling it a wake-up call, they noted “the results are sobering” for President Obama and the Democrats.  Their analysis is well worth reading, including the point that: Historical doubts about the Democratic Party on national security […]

The Democrat Disconnect

Recently, I wrote about the political gravity President Obama has been experiencing during his first year in office.  Indeed, as we’ve seen in all the polls approval ratings for him and his party have steadily declined since he assumed office in February 2009. A key part of why the public has soured on the new […]

Don’t Forget The Deficit

Although the President told us a few months ago that his focus would be fully on the country’s economy and reining in government spending, here we are again consumed by the health care debate.  What gives? Certainly, the President and Democrats are devoting some time to dealing with economy and the federal budget deficit…but, not […]

Democrats Denying Climate Change

The changes in political climate over the last year have been well-documented on this blog and elsewhere. From the scorching heat of town hall meetings last summer that wilted the blooms of legislative momentum, to the earlier-than-expected reddening of the electoral leaves in Virginia and New Jersey in the fall, and the blistering winds of […]

Independent Voter Heartburn: Health Care Reform

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey, Partners, Public Opinion Strategies Comparing where we were during the first six months of 2009 to today offers a unique perspective on just how far the Obama Administration has fallen.  During the first six months of 2009, President Obama held a 56% approve/35% disapprove rating.  In contrast, Obama’s job […]

SENIORS ON HEALTH CARE REFORM

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey In short order, seniors have changed their tune on several key political dimensions over the course of the last year.  As a critical political indicator, President Obama’s job approval has shifted from 54% approve/37% disapprove in the first six months of 2009 to 41% approve/57% today. Seniors have taken […]

Where do Republicans obtain their political information in California?

(The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) Much has been written over the last couple years (here included) about the diminishing importance of the print, both newspapers and material sent through the US mail, and broadcast media in political campaigns. Studies have consistently shown that more and more Americans are turning away from television and […]

McInturff New Health Care Poll

Public Opinion Strategies recently conducted a national telephone survey on behalf of the Center for Health Transformation February 17-18, 20-21 , 2010 among 900 registered voters.  The margin of error for a survey of this size is +3.3%.   Key Findings from this survey are: Americans have paid close attention to the health care debate as 85% […]

GOP Interest Remains Higher Than Dem

Going back a few weeks to the NPR poll, there was some interesting findings that I did not get to (apologies, but there was a death in the family).  One of the last posts I wrote was on the GOP’s new lead on the generic ballot.  Just as important is the interest advantage among Republicans […]

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