He Needs Them More Than They Need Him?

(This article was co-authored by Jim Hobart). In a recent article in The New Republic, Jonathan Chait writes: Obama has come into office having won the popular vote by seven percentage points, along with a 79-seat edge in the House, a 17-seat edge in the Senate, and massive public demand for change. But it’s already […]

POS In The News, 4/3/09

David Rogers of Politico quotes Neil Newhouse in an article about the new budget and President Obama’s activist role early on in his presidency. Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster respected in both parties, said the jury is still out on how the public will finally respond to Obama’s activism. “My impression is he is taking […]

My Baloney Has A First Name. . .

In a shocking finding released today (April 1, 2009) by Public Opinion Strategies, the vast majority of Americans (72%) say they believe the credit crisis is better described as a “bunch of baloney” rather than “real facts.”  This shocking data cuts across every major demographic group and is evident in every region of the country, […]

We Are Not Alone: Independents Are Starting To Think Like Us

Republicans can find some solace in the recent NPR national survey results that we are not alone. As Glen Bolger noted in his posting Independent’s Day, the GOP might now have a reason to believe. What’s striking about this recent survey data is just how much closer Independents are to Republican voters on many key […]

POS In the News, 4/1/09

The California Republican Party Leadership Journal quotes Charlie Cook’s post concerning the possible shift in the Republicans’ favor based on the results of the NPR poll.

AAPOR Releases Study Of Presidential Primary Polling

I served on an Ad Hoc Committee of the American Association for Public Opinion Research that was formed in response to the controversy over the public polls in the New Hampshire Democratic primary.  The Committee’s report was released today.  Michael Traugott of the University of Michigan chaired the committee, and did yeoman’s work keeping the […]

POS In the News, 3/31/09

Pollster.com shows the trend in polls for the New York CD20 race between Jim Tedisco and Scott Murphy. What makes the trend persuasive in this case is how consistent the polls have been in showing Murphy’s gains and Tedisco’s (more moderate) declines. While there are only five polls, the results for both candidates are remarkably […]

POS In the News, 3/30/09

Bill McInturff is quoted by John Harwood in a New York Times article about President Obama’s trip to Europe. Add the challenge of promoting a new strategy for the war in Afghanistan, and political strategists say there is no danger that Americans will confuse this trip with an escape from Mr. Obama’s principal responsibilities. Bill […]

Not All Quiet on the Western Front

The West proved to be a pivotal battleground n the 2008 elections, both at the presidential level and in the success of Democrats to boost their majorities in the House and Senate.  Yet, current polling data seems to indicate that Western voters may be laggards when it comes to their support of all things Democrat. […]

The National Debt DOES Matter!

Poll after poll shows that fixing the economy and getting people back to work is the number one issue on voters’ minds these days. But, our recent NBC/WSJ survey shows that 61{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the country is concerned the federal government will spend too much money trying to boost the economy and as a result will […]

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