The New Republican Force

The story shaping up for the 2009 elections might be Republican vote intensity.    We witnessed this Republican enthusiasm last week in the Albuquerque mayor’s race.  It is one thing to say polling indicates we could have a high Republican turnout election.  It is quite another to see it work first-hand.  In Albuquerque, Republicans were […]

A Ginned-Up GOP!

We all know in a presidential election year there is a surge in the number of people following political news and the intensity with which they’re paying attention to it. This is usually followed by a precipitous drop in the year that follows as the big decision has been made and Americans can continue going […]

Afghanistan: Facing Reverse Coalitions

Health care and the economy have been front and center for several months now.  However, bubbling up in the background is the coming debate over whether to increase troop levels in Afghanistan and our latest NBC/WSJ poll* reveals the coalitional challenge President Obama faces on this issue. On the surface, the public is fairly pessimistic […]

Obama Weaker on Nation’s Top Priorities

I wanted to get to this early September poll by AP-Gfk sooner, but time got away from me.  However, the data is so compelling it is still worth reviewing. The key finding of the survey — as highlighted by the chart below — is that Barack Obama has a net negative rating on five of […]

Caveat Emptor: Buyer Beware

In June, I wrote a piece noting that Independents – one of President Obama’s electoral keys to the White House – appeared to be experiencing some buyers’ remorse on their 2008 vote decision. It’s just a few months later, and less than a year since Obama took office, but it seems the American public, and […]

NBC News/ Wall Street Journal Survey Results – September 2009

Results of the latest NBC-Wall Street Journal survey conducted by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies and Peter Hart of Hart Research Associates are available. The national survey was conducted September 17-20, 2009 among 1,005 adults. The full results can be found here.

Merge Data Analysis: White Working Men

By: Dave Wilson This article highlights key findings from a merge analysis conducted by Public Opinion Strategies of all interviews conducted by the firm on national surveys since 2004.  This merge analysis contains more than 100,000 interviews (and growing) and is a valuable tool for tracking demographic and attitudinal shifts over time.  For more information […]

Merge Data Analysis: Suburban Women and the Republican Party

By: Lisa Valentine This article highlights key findings from a merge analysis conducted by Public Opinion Strategies of all interviews conducted by the firm on national surveys since 2004.  This merge analysis contains more than 100,000 interviews (and growing) and is a valuable tool for tracking demographic and attitudinal shifts over time.  For more information […]

The incumbent party loses when voters say No Confidence

The Michigan Consumer Confidence Index numbers for August are out: 65.7, or one of the 33 worst months on record. The University of Michigan started the Index in winter of 1978 and has released data monthly ever since. While not as predictive as one of our other favorite indexes, the Misery Index, the consumer confidence […]

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