Jim Hobart Appeared On NPR’s Morning Edition – Primary Results

Jim Hobart appeared on NPR’s Morning Edition on Wednesday to talk about the results of the most recent primaries, and the next steps on the path to the nomination. http://www.npr.org/2016/04/27/475848836/donald-trump-wins-5-primaries-hillary-clinton-wins-4-loses-rhode-island

Walmart Moms Focus Group Video

As part of our continuing series of focus groups among Walmart Moms, Neil Newhouse of Public Opinion Strategies and Margie Omero of Purple Strategies conducted two focus groups on Wednesday, April 20, 2016. We have tracked these Walmart Moms – defined as voters with children under 18 in their household and who shopped at Walmart […]

Neil Newhouse named “Pollster of the Year”

Neil Newhouse has been named “Pollster of the Year” in 2015 for his work against legalizing marijuana in Ohio.  This marks a record-tying third time that Neil has been named Pollster of the Year by the AAPC.   Please see the link below from the AAPC (American Association of Political Consultants). http://theaapc.org/2016-campaign-excellence-winners/?ncid=newsltushpmg00000003 He joins Glen Bolger, […]

Understanding Republican Intensity in 2016

In a different blog post, we highlighted the surge in turnout among Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire. There are a lot of ways in polling to measure intensity, but the one unmistakable way of understanding voter motivation is an actual increase in turnout! Let’s make this easy for our Democratic friends to understand: Imagine […]

Three of the Missing Storylines from Iowa and New Hampshire

There are just some basic things that have really struck me that do not seem to be getting a lot of attention.   The tables below talk about turnout and have an observation about 18 to 29 year old voters. Wow: The turn-out story so far in IA and NH, is a major developing story. The […]

Home Alone

The perennially aired holiday film, Home Alone, features an eight year old whose parents accidentally leave him home from a family Christmas vacation.  The boy manages to go shopping, do laundry and thwart would-be robbers all by himself, with slapstick tricks that delighted my own eight-year old son.   That level of independence is clearly Hollywood […]

Swept up in the Presidential Primary Sweepstakes? President Obama still matters.

Between Donald Trump’s insistence that New Jersey Muslims were celebrating on the rooftops after the 911 tragedy, Ben Carson’s Thanksgiving vacation in Jordan and Hillary Clinton’s post-Thanksgiving announcement (yawn!) of a new $275 million infrastructure proposal, it’s often easy to forget that we still have the incumbent President (Obama) for another thirteen-plus months.   And, […]

MEMO TO NATIONAL MEDIA: NATIONAL GOP PRIMARY POLLS ARE MOSTLY MEANINGLESS

This week, the well-respected pollsters at Quinnipiac University released the results from a national survey of 672 Republicans they conducted November 23-30, 2015.  This poll found Donald Trump leading the GOP race with 27% of the vote, followed by Marco Rubio (17%), Ted Cruz (16%), Ben Carson (16%), Jeb Bush (5%), and several other candidates […]

Millennials on Snapchat Are Politically Engaged, Following 2016 Race

According to a recent survey, Snapchat is a powerful vehicle for political campaigns to engage the elusive audience of 18-34 year old millennials who will help decide the 2016 election. A national poll of 1,517 millennials aged 18-34, conducted online October 15-25, by Global Strategy Group/Public Opinion Strategies, found that millennial Snapchat users are engaging with the political […]

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