Who cares if Presidential candidates are honest?

In a previous post I reported the precipitous drop in public perceptions that Hillary Clinton is “honest and straight-forward” as measured by the NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey. I also noted the relative little damage this perception had on her standing as the front-runner for the Democratic nomination in 2016. So, who cares if a […]

Fare Thee Well

“So the kids, they dance, they shake their bones, And the politicians throwing stones…” Throwing Stones, Grateful Dead The Grateful Dead’s “Fare Thee Well” tour ends a 50 year run for the band with three final shows this weekend at Chicago’s Soldier Field.  And oh what a long, strange trip it has been. Our recent […]

The Real Papal Audience: The “Nones”

Pope Francis is a beloved figure. In the March 2015 WSJ/NBC News poll 74{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Catholics reported a positive opinion of him, with just 3{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} holding a negative view.  Comparatively, he has a similar standing among his flock as Pope John Paul II did in 1998 (76{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Positive – 6{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Negative) and much better than […]

Opinions on Free Trade in Flux

According to The Wall Street Journal/NBC News polling, since November 2014 public opinion on whether free trade with foreign countries helps or hurts the US have been in flux, corresponding with a national debate over a proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership pact with 11 other select Asian and Pacific Rim countries that Congress has been struggling to […]

Exploring the effects of interview mode on public opinion data

As online surveys become more prevalent, researchers face many challenges associated with this shift to increased web-based interviewing. We are often asked by clients how, if at all, data collected online differs from a more traditional telephone survey. Last month, Pew Research Center released the results of an experiment comparing data from two replicate national […]

An Unexpected Shift in a Typically Stable Measure

For years, ideology has been a fairly stable measure of public opinion.  Here are the trend lines on ideology from the NBC–Wall Street Journal polling merge data among registered voters that typically contain 8,000–12,000 interviews per year: However, in the three NBC–Wall Street Journal surveys conducted so far this year (N=2,400 registered voters), we have […]

The FCC Proposal & Its Impact on Political Activities

Late last week, Politico reported that the FCC is considering allowing phone companies to offer a service that blocks phone calls made by an automatic dialer.  While they are primarily targeting telemarketing phone calls, this regulation would be catastrophic to the political polling industry and would change the modern political campaign. While Public Opinion Strategies […]

A Recession We Can’t Refuse

Last year ended with lower energy prices and higher economic growth, and consumer confidence was on the rise.  The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index hit 98.1 this January, its highest mark since January 2004. But the Obama economy is the Michael Corleone Godfather: Part III recession:  Just when you thought you were out, it pulls you […]

Democrats Are Turning on Hillary Just Like FIFA Rolled on Sepp Blatter (They Aren’t)

Who’s Sepp Blatter?  He’s the guy who was re-elected to his fifth term as head of big-league soccer’s international governing body (FIFA) despite 14 of his top executives being criminally charged.  Newsflash: Blatter resigned his post today. Just as FIFA members rubber-stamped Blatter, Democratic primary voters do the same for Hillary Clinton: in the last […]

Running from Hillary

This week’s CNN poll sheds a bright light on the fact that while most Americans seemed to like “Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator” and “Hillary Clinton, Secretary of State,” they really don’t seem to like “Hillary Clinton, Candidate.” In the most recent national polling data from CNN, Secretary Clinton’s image has moved underwater, with 50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of […]

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