We are 44 states and 27 exit polls into the Democratic primary race. It is not over yet with 930 delegates to be selected, six states, Puerto Rico, and DC remaining, but from a pollster’s perspective, “the fat lady has sung”. Now it is time for a final review. With no exit polls expected to […]
We have been spending months talking about Hillary Clinton’s historically low ratings compared to past presidential candidates. Our concern is people get inured to hearing this and, unless you really look at these numbers, you cannot appreciate how terrible Hillary Clinton’s favorable ratings are. So, we delved deeper into the data. Below are basic sub-groups […]
There is a reason there’s an old age “A Picture is Worth a Thousand Words.” We don’t need to write very much because Americans have told us a very clear story. In the latest NBC/WSJ Survey, we asked registered voters, “And suppose for a moment that Hillary Clinton is elected President in November, what word […]
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have been in the public eye for most of their adult lives. In that time, the American people have formed pretty definitive opinions about each – with the consensus turning toward the negative. According to the NBC/WSJ Survey, both presumptive nominees head into the general election contest with the highest […]
POS wishes to congratulate Todd Young on his overwhelming victory in Tuesday’s Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Indiana. Young defeated his opponent, 67%-33%, winning 79 of the state’s 92 counties and collecting nearly 70,000 more votes than the Presidential primary winner, Donald Trump. “I’ve worked with Todd for seven years. He is a great […]
This article was written by Aaron Zitner and ran in The Wall Street Journal April 29, 2016. GOP Turnout, Already Strong, Is Getting Stronger Republican turnout this primary season is up 64{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} over 2012 levels, new data show, with participation accelerating in recent months as voters in big states got a rare shot to play a meaningful role. The […]
Since the start of the presidential primary season on February 1st, we have been tracking voter turnout and primary exit poll/caucus entrance poll data released by The New York Times and CNN. In tracking turnout, we have observed a massive shift from 2008’s greater numbers of Democratic voters to this year’s surge of Republican voters. […]
Over the last two Presidential election cycles, there were numerous articles and analyses whether or not Barack Obama’s polling results would be impacted by the so-called Bradley Effect, that is, white respondents being more likely to report voting for a non-white candidate when being interviewed for a poll. This social desirability bias led some political […]
Three ways millennial runners break the generation’s stereotype Today, 42 million Americans are considered either a runner or jogger, and about 43% of them are millennials (born between 1980-2000.)[i] While, nationally, the generation only makes up about 25% of the population, millennials have an oversized impact on the running community.[ii] For a generation considered to […]
There’s little doubt that millennial Americans (ages 18-29) lean to the left. In fact, a Rock the Vote and USA Today “Millennial Survey” conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs in March shows that 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of millennial voters identify as Democrats while 25{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} identify as Republican. And, exit polls from previous elections show that strong support from […]
