What Difference at This Point Did It Make? – Day 4

In our continuing series of posts following the 2016 Conventions, today, we are looking at attitudes about the state of law and order in America, a recurrent theme of the GOP Convention last month following a period of violence and unrest across the country. The Wall Street Journal/NBC News August poll* repeated a question first […]

What Difference at This Point Did It Make? – Day 3

In our continuing series of posts following the 2016 Conventions, today, we are looking at statements made by the candidates about the state of America today, and how well each described what voters think. In the survey, respondents were read statements each nominee made during their acceptance speeches at their respective conventions. Voters were asked […]

What Difference at This Point Did It Make? – Day 2

In our continuing series of posts following the 2016 Conventions, today, we are looking at data from the August Wall Street Journal/NBC News survey* on Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton’s selection for Vice President. Hillary Clinton’s selection Tim Kaine as her running mate, followed the first rule of such decisions – to “do no harm.” While […]

What Difference At This Point Did It Make? – Day 1

Following the back-to-back Republican and Democratic Conventions, Hillary Clinton may be asking herself “What Difference At This Point Did It Make?” And, while the spate of recent post-convention head-to-head polling has been fairly positive for the Former Secretary of State, a look across several other measures from the latest NBCWSJ poll*, takes some of the […]

Hillary Clinton: Historically High Negatives Entering the Convention

We went back and looked at the data from past NBCWSJ surveys and charted each nominee’s Feeling Thermometer (positive/negative) for the survey immediately before and after the Democratic convention. Hillary Clinton has by far the highest negatives of any Democratic nominee before the convention (34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} positive / 56{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} negative). Incidentally, the one nominee who came […]

How the 2016 Presidential Race Defies all the Rules and Remains Competitive

Until about a year ago when I told people what I do for a living, I got one of two responses – a blank stare or a prediction about the 2016 election. Now, I usually just get a three letter response and I’m pretty sure they don’t stand for “Wow, This is Fascinating!” Having the […]

Right Direction/Wrong Track: Critical Condition

The latest NBCWSJ survey shows that 73{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of voters believe the country is headed off on the wrong track. With the last three surveys showing wrong track over the 70{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} mark, one can begin to lose perspective of just how negative the public mood really is today. We are now at a point where Right […]

Who’s Voting for Trump or Clinton? Not These People!

The number of voters volunteering they would not cast a ballot for either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton has nearly doubled from 6{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in January of this year to 11{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in the June survey. As perspective, the race in 2012 between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama steadily held around 3{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of those volunteering they would […]

DONALD TRUMP MUST FIRST CLOSE THE DEAL WITH … REPUBLICANS

The question has been raised about how Donald Trump compares to more traditional Republican presidential candidates like Mitt Romney. We decided to find out for ourselves using the latest NBC/WSJ surveys. For a more robust sample size of N=2,000 registered voters, we merged the last two NBC/WSJ surveys (May & June). Trump’s ballot margin against […]

Public Opinion Strategies