Latest News - Public Opinion Strategies

With the government re-opening today, here is some important historical context. Yes, Democrats have seen an improvement on the generic ballot DURING previous shutdowns. But, once the shutdown is over, the generic ballot has historically bounced back to where it was PRIOR to the shutdown.
Nov 13, 2025

One reason the Mamdani win in New York City is not a huge surprise? Nationally, Democrats now give capitalism a net negative rating for the first time in our tracking (25% favorable/45% unfavorable). That is a net 38 point drop from 2018.
Nov 6, 2025

History does not repeat, but it does rhyme. Six years after AOC toppled one giant of New York politics, Zohran Mamdani is poised to do the same. Notably, Mamdani’s national image at this point in his political career is almost exactly the same as AOC’s image nationally at the outset of her career in politics. Only in New York can a 34 year old political candidate from the fringe of their party garner national name ID in the 70% range.
Nov 4, 2025

We could see very high turnout in key races tonight. 66% of voters in the latest NBC News poll say they are “very interested” in the election NEXT November. That is the highest ever in in the off-year before a midterm election. Stunningly, the 66% number is higher than what we measured just a few weeks before the 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018 midterm elections.
Nov 4, 2025

Interest in Election

The latest NBC News poll finds that fewer than 30% of voters have a positive view of the Democratic party. The GOP holds strong advantages over Democrats on border security, immigration broadly, and dealing with crime. 42% of voters blame Democrats in Congress for the shutdown, compared to 25% for Republicans, and 24% for President Trump. Additionally, a record high 79% of voters say they use social media daily.
Nov 2, 2025

NBC News October 2025 Poll 11-02-2025 Release

The latest CNBC national survey of adults finds that as the government shutdown stretches on, economic optimism has dropped slightly. However, preference for who controls Congress after the next election has narrowed from +5 Democrat-control to +1 Democrat-control and a majority (51%) of adults continue to approve of President Trump’s handling of the southern border.
Oct 20, 2025

250258 CNBC AAES Q3 2025 Topline

A succinct summation from partner Bill McInturff in Ron Brownstein’s piece on redefining the swing voter. “A swing voter today is one who does or does not show up to vote,” says McInturff. Read more below:
Aug 25, 2025

https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/24/politics/swing-voters-2026-election-trump-biden-analysis

The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey of 1000 adults that fielded July 29-August 3 shows: Economic tracking data is stable to trending in a positive direction. President Trump’s overall (46%) and economic (45%) approval ratings have held steady since April. The Democratic Party’s image rating (22% Positive-55% Negative) sits at the worst ever recorded of either party in CNBC or NBC News surveys, with less than half (46%) of self-identified Democrats holding a positive view of the Democratic Party.
Aug 7, 2025

250178 CNBC AAES Q2 2025 Topline 8-7-2025 Release

What do Americans find morally acceptable or morally wrong? What’s changed over time?
Aug 4, 2025

Morally Acceptable Gallup d1h

A First Look at the 2026 Election Cycle
Jul 15, 2025

First Look at 2026 d1b

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 »