Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have been in the public eye for most of their adult lives. In that time, the American people have formed pretty definitive opinions about each – with the consensus turning toward the negative. According to the NBC/WSJ Survey, both presumptive nominees head into the general election contest with the highest […]
read moreSince the start of the presidential primary season on February 1st, we have been tracking voter turnout and primary exit poll/caucus entrance poll data released by The New York Times and CNN. In tracking turnout, we have observed a massive shift from 2008’s greater numbers of Democratic voters to this year’s surge of Republican voters. […]
read moreIn a different blog post, we highlighted the surge in turnout among Republicans in Iowa and New Hampshire. There are a lot of ways in polling to measure intensity, but the one unmistakable way of understanding voter motivation is an actual increase in turnout! Let’s make this easy for our Democratic friends to understand: Imagine […]
read moreThere are just some basic things that have really struck me that do not seem to be getting a lot of attention. The tables below talk about turnout and have an observation about 18 to 29 year old voters. Wow: The turn-out story so far in IA and NH, is a major developing story. The […]
read moreFor years, ideology has been a fairly stable measure of public opinion. Here are the trend lines on ideology from the NBC–Wall Street Journal polling merge data among registered voters that typically contain 8,000–12,000 interviews per year: However, in the three NBC–Wall Street Journal surveys conducted so far this year (N=2,400 registered voters), we have […]
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