Why The Elephants Are Dancing: Understanding the November 2014 Election
Posts by Bill McInturff
Why The Elephants Are Dancing: Understanding the November 2014 Election

Public Opinion Strategies’ Election Night Poll shows the 2014 election was defined by major dissatisfaction about the direction of the country, the economy, and President Obama: On Election Day, roughly two-thirds (65{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of voters said the country is headed off on the wrong track. The weekend before the election 64{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of voters said they were […]

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New National Pre-Election Survey

Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national telephone survey among 800 likely voters October 30-November 2, 2014. The survey has a margin of error of +3.46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}.  Please see our key findings memo and interview schedule for this survey.

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MCINTURFF-HARRINGTON MORNING CONSULT COLUMN (10-7-14): THE ACA IN THE CONTEXT OF THE 2014 ELECTION

With Election Day less than a month away, we wanted to review and reflect on the ACA in the context of the election. A few key points about how voters are feeling about the ACA today: There continues to be stronger opposition to the health care law than support. When asked whether or not they […]

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More Concrete Evidence This Election Cycle is Breaking Toward Republicans

Five weeks ago, the Democrats had a 1.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} edge on the generic congressional vote (40.0{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} GOP/41.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} DEM). Today, a few weeks later, Republicans have moved to a 4.0{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} edge (46.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} GOP/42.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} DEM), a net 5.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} movement in a month! Here are the week by week track averages as reported in Real Clear Politics: First, let’s […]

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If Good Policies are Good Politics, Prepare for a GOP Election

The tea leaves are clear: It is going to be a very good Republican cycle. Underlying every election cycle is the basic underpinning of the issue agenda and which party is perceived as being able to better handle the key issues. Pollsters keep getting asked for the “one number” that tells the story of an […]

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