Who’s Voting for Trump or Clinton? Not These People!
Posts by Bill McInturff
Who’s Voting for Trump or Clinton? Not These People!

The number of voters volunteering they would not cast a ballot for either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton has nearly doubled from 6{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in January of this year to 11{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in the June survey. As perspective, the race in 2012 between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama steadily held around 3{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of those volunteering they would […]

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DONALD TRUMP MUST FIRST CLOSE THE DEAL WITH … REPUBLICANS

The question has been raised about how Donald Trump compares to more traditional Republican presidential candidates like Mitt Romney. We decided to find out for ourselves using the latest NBC/WSJ surveys. For a more robust sample size of N=2,000 registered voters, we merged the last two NBC/WSJ surveys (May & June). Trump’s ballot margin against […]

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Democratic Primary Voter Demographic Shifts and Candidate Coalitions

We are 44 states and 27 exit polls into the Democratic primary race. It is not over yet with 930 delegates to be selected, six states, Puerto Rico, and DC remaining, but from a pollster’s perspective, “the fat lady has sung”.  Now it is time for a final review. With no exit polls expected to […]

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Hillary’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Favorable Ratings

We have been spending months talking about Hillary Clinton’s historically low ratings compared to past presidential candidates. Our concern is people get inured to hearing this and, unless you really look at these numbers, you cannot appreciate how terrible Hillary Clinton’s favorable ratings are. So, we delved deeper into the data. Below are basic sub-groups […]

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Clinton Word Cloud: A Picture is Worth a Thousand Words

There is a reason there’s an old age “A Picture is Worth a Thousand Words.” We don’t need to write very much because Americans have told us a very clear story. In the latest NBC/WSJ Survey, we asked registered voters, “And suppose for a moment that Hillary Clinton is elected President in November, what word […]

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Public Opinion Strategies