The most positive voter election day mood in more than a decade (42{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Right Direction), two-thirds (65{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) satisfied with the economy and Trump approval at 46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} all mitigated what could have been a Blue Wave yesterday. Instead, voters gave the country a split-decision, giving Democrats a narrower than expected margin in the House, while adding to the GOP’s majority in the Senate.
Our election night poll of 1,600 voters shows a record 68{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of voters saying their vote was to send a signal to President Trump, but opponents to the President outnumbered supporters by a relatively narrow 37{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}-31{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} margin.
As is usually the case in midterm elections, Independent voters led the way for the party gaining seats – voting Democrat by a 53{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}-41{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} margin.
Voters’ issue agenda, dominated by the economy in the last midterm, was focused yesterday on health care, the economy and immigration.
While the pre-election focus has been on white suburban women, this poll shows wide gender gaps between men and women regardless of geography.
Don’t look now, but for a growing percentage of Americans election day may no longer be in November – more than 40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of voters, the highest percentage ever, say they cast their ballot before election day.
To learn more about the Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Survey results, please click here to review the Executive Summary slide deck.