Posts by Bill McInturff
New National Pre-Election Survey

Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national telephone survey among 800 likely voters October 30-November 2, 2014. The survey has a margin of error of +3.46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}.  Please see our key findings memo and interview schedule for this survey.

read more
MCINTURFF-HARRINGTON MORNING CONSULT COLUMN (10-7-14): THE ACA IN THE CONTEXT OF THE 2014 ELECTION

With Election Day less than a month away, we wanted to review and reflect on the ACA in the context of the election. A few key points about how voters are feeling about the ACA today: There continues to be stronger opposition to the health care law than support. When asked whether or not they […]

read more
More Concrete Evidence This Election Cycle is Breaking Toward Republicans

Five weeks ago, the Democrats had a 1.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} edge on the generic congressional vote (40.0{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} GOP/41.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} DEM). Today, a few weeks later, Republicans have moved to a 4.0{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} edge (46.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} GOP/42.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} DEM), a net 5.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} movement in a month! Here are the week by week track averages as reported in Real Clear Politics: First, let’s […]

read more
If Good Policies are Good Politics, Prepare for a GOP Election

The tea leaves are clear: It is going to be a very good Republican cycle. Underlying every election cycle is the basic underpinning of the issue agenda and which party is perceived as being able to better handle the key issues. Pollsters keep getting asked for the “one number” that tells the story of an […]

read more
McInturff-Harrington Morning Consult Column (9-3-14): Monitoring Public Opinion About The ACA

In our last column we noted that attitudes about the Affordable Care Act (ACA) had been remarkably stable and negative over time. The recently released Kaiser Health Tracking July Poll shows adults continue to have an unfavorable impression of the ACA. Notably, for only the second time in Kaiser’s tracking, more than half of adults […]

read more
Public Opinion Strategies