National Landscape Matters, But Elections Are Still Local & Personal

As we enter the final stretch for this year’s elections, there is little doubt that voters are frustrated with the direction of the country and how it’s being governed. Consider the evidence: 67{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of voters say the nation is off on the wrong track. [NBC/WSJ, Sept 2014] 72{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Americans are dissatisfied with the ways […]

Obama’s Big Mistake

Pundits and political insiders on both sides of the aisle have said Team Obama made a big mistake writing a speech that had the president saying “every single one” of his policies are “on the ballot” in November. The latest data suggests they are right because the president is today an extremely flawed spokesperson, especially […]

Echoes of 2006 – Battleground Favoring a GOP Senate Takeover

The recent NPR Senate Battleground Poll conducted by Democracy Corps and Resurgent Republic continues the trend of very positive polling numbers for Republicans’ quest to re-capture the US Senate.   Indeed, the Senate environment looks similar to the last Senate takeover in the 2006 election. Few voters in the battleground endorse the status quo. Just 26{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} […]

A Reversal on U.S. Military Intervention

For the past several years, Americans have become increasingly hesitant or resistant to military intervention in foreign conflicts. However, after seeing the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, Americans have deviated from previous sentiments. According to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, 34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Americans believe U.S. military action against ISIS should […]

More Concrete Evidence This Election Cycle is Breaking Toward Republicans

Five weeks ago, the Democrats had a 1.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} edge on the generic congressional vote (40.0{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} GOP/41.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} DEM). Today, a few weeks later, Republicans have moved to a 4.0{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} edge (46.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} GOP/42.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} DEM), a net 5.2{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} movement in a month! Here are the week by week track averages as reported in Real Clear Politics: First, let’s […]

If Good Policies are Good Politics, Prepare for a GOP Election

The tea leaves are clear: It is going to be a very good Republican cycle. Underlying every election cycle is the basic underpinning of the issue agenda and which party is perceived as being able to better handle the key issues. Pollsters keep getting asked for the “one number” that tells the story of an […]

The Myth of the Security Mom, Disputed

I read with interest Anna Greenberg’s column on The Myth of the Security Mom Revisited. With due respect to Dr. Greenberg and her significant contributions to the field, she seems to suggest that Security Moms don’t really exist, and perhaps that a growing concern about terrorism and national security may be an artificial construct. Quite […]

Voters Ready to Jilt Congress

As we officially enter autumn, it is clear that voters’ long tempestuous relationship with their elected officials may be heading for a break-up. This has been the summer of our discontent. Take, for example, that: 71 percent of Americans say the country is off on the wrong track; 76 percent predict that the next generation […]

Rooting Against The Other Team

Recently, Glen Bolger wrote a blog post about how voters are not in love with any of the potential outcomes of the election. In the same NBC/WSJ poll (September 2014)*, voters were also asked which party control would they prefer after the election. Unsurprisingly, the country is split right down the middle: 45{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} prefer a […]

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