Once Confidence Is Shaken, It Takes A While To Stir.

(This post was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Julia Sprague) Public Opinion Strategies has been fascinated by the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MCSI) for some time now. The MCSI is a monthly survey, with data available by month since 1978 and by quarter from 1952-1977, which gauges confidence among U.S. consumers. Given the current recession […]

(This article was originally published by Politico.com on November 19, 2007) As recent reports about “push polling” on Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s religious affiliation make their way through the newspapers and the blogosphere, I thought it might be helpful to provide a brief pollster’s guide to what constitutes a push poll and what doesn’t. […]

One of the most interesting public polls I’ve seen this year was released last week by Quinnipiac University. The questionnaire went into detail on a number of issues, and the release included in-depth crosstabs, including partisan breakouts. I’ve often made the case that when Independents are closer to Republicans than to Democrats on an issue, […]

On March 3rd, when asked about the stock markets, President Obama responded by saying, “what I’m looking at is not the day-to-day gyrations in the stock market, but the long-term ability for the United States and the entire world economy to regain its footing. The stock market is sort of like a tracking poll in […]

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