Posts by Micah Roberts
The Silver-lining Factbook

Following the 2012 election, Democrats have a lot to say about what the exit poll data portends. Much of the demographic data are important for Republicans to reflect upon at length. We very well may need fundamental changes in how we engage voters in communities and online to turn out voters and we likely need […]

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The Unemployment Rate and Re-election

In the last 60 years there have been eight incumbent presidents seeking re-election. The table below shows the unemployment rate in January of the first year of their term, and then in January, July, and October of the last year of their first term. As the White House squabbles over a hundredth of a percent […]

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Nationally, Obama’s Endorsement Hurts More Than it Helps.

As discussed here and here, the enthusiasm gap for the upcoming elections is as wide as we have ever witnessed. Two-thirds (66{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of Republicans say they are very interested voters (self-described 9-10 on a 1-10 scale of interest) in November’s elections, compared to just 44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Democrats. So what are voters most enthusiastic about in […]

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Benchmarking 2010 for the Democrats

A comparison of our latest NBC/WSJ national survey* (which was conducted March 11, 13-14, before the health care bill passed the House) with common questions asked on the March 2006 NBC-WSJ national survey, shows Democrats may be facing the same rout Republicans endured just four years ago. One of the few commonalities between now and […]

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Democrats Denying Climate Change

The changes in political climate over the last year have been well-documented on this blog and elsewhere. From the scorching heat of town hall meetings last summer that wilted the blooms of legislative momentum, to the earlier-than-expected reddening of the electoral leaves in Virginia and New Jersey in the fall, and the blistering winds of […]

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Public Opinion Strategies