2012 Romney Voters and 2016 Trump Voters Diverge Demographically But Prefer a Republican-Controlled Congress
Posts by Micah Roberts
2012 Romney Voters and 2016 Trump Voters Diverge Demographically But Prefer a Republican-Controlled Congress

In our efforts to continue to understand the 2016 cycle, we created a three-way split of voters based on their self-reported 2012 presidential vote and their response to the 4-way 2016 presidential ballot question across the surveys conducted for NBC-WSJ since June 2016. As a note, we didn’t exclude anyone based on partisanship in this […]

read more
2012 vs 2016 Undecided Voters

In 2012, Romney was running even with Barack Obama at this late point in the campaign. It was a very competitive race compared to today as most publicly available polling has found Trump well behind Clinton – sometimes by double-digits. One thing these two elections have in common, maybe the only thing, is that 7{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} […]

read more
Movement in Mid-September Polls is of Increasing Significance

The 2016 presidential race is tightening, closing from a 5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} advantage for Hillary Clinton on August 30th to a 1.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} advantage today (9/16) according to the RealClearPolitics.com average of national polls. But, hey it’s a snapshot in time and still a long slog to Election Day, right? Well, increasingly, no. You see, our voting process […]

read more
What Difference at This Point Did It Make? – Day 4

In our continuing series of posts following the 2016 Conventions, today, we are looking at attitudes about the state of law and order in America, a recurrent theme of the GOP Convention last month following a period of violence and unrest across the country. The Wall Street Journal/NBC News August poll* repeated a question first […]

read more
What Difference at This Point Did It Make? – Day 3

In our continuing series of posts following the 2016 Conventions, today, we are looking at statements made by the candidates about the state of America today, and how well each described what voters think. In the survey, respondents were read statements each nominee made during their acceptance speeches at their respective conventions. Voters were asked […]

read more
Public Opinion Strategies