This past week, my wise and insightful partner Glen Bolger posted a blog entry labeled, “The Tipping Point.” It is definitely worth reading. The premise of the bit is while a majority of voters have become disapproving of the President, there is still a well of good will toward the President personally. A series of […]
Sorry sports fans, this blog post is not about a new NCAA football conference (although it could be). Instead, it’s about the nine states that George W. Bush won in 2004 but flipped over to Barack Obama in 2008. The states: Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia. These are the purplest […]
For quite some time, Republican pollsters have been making the point to their clients: don’t confuse the attitudes of base and swing voters toward the President. Base GOP voters do not like Obama’s policies, and they dislike him personally (some more vehemently than others). However, we had consistently seen in our polls and focus groups that […]
With much speculation about Hispanics and the 2012 election, we thought it worth taking a look. Anecdotally you hear whispers (some louder than others) about President Obama’s erosion in the Hispanic community, that Hispanics are turning against him headed into 2012. But is it true? In 2008, Obama received 66{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the Hispanic vote, an […]
This week Public Opinion Strategies’ Partner Bill McInturff continued to make headline news with his analysis of the debt debate. He was quoted in: Associated Press, Reuters, StatesmanJournal.com, National Journal, HanfordSentinel.com, Noozhawk, and The Wall Street Journal.
The following two tables always stun Republicans when I do a presentation: The point is — John McCain got the same percentage of the white vote while losing in 2008 that George W. Bush got in winning the electoral college in 2000 (note to Dems reading this — what has two thumbs and doesn’t care […]
A lot of pundits have been overreaching on their analysis of the extraordinarily dramatic data that has shown significant voter anger at Washington. There have been predictions that incumbents are “unsafe at any speed” and that voters are going to wipe out both Republicans (who after all control the House, where legislation passes before Harry […]
In the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted from August 27-31, we find record low approval of the job President Obama is doing and record low approval of his handling of the economy. The percentage of respondents with “very negative” feelings is higher than those with “very positive” feelings about Mr. Obama by more […]
Bill McInturff, Partner at Public Opinion Strategies, released polling data about the debt debate which sparked articles in The Washington Post, The Fiscal Times, Politico, Business Insider, The Daily Beast, and Outside the Beltway. The Washington Times highlighted a few points on President Obama’s approval rating made by Public Opinion Strategies’ Partner Glen Bolger during his […]
The Iranian hostage crisis, Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Lehman Brother’s collapse and the recessions that defined the 1980, 1992 and the 2008 presidential campaigns … these are the signal events that changed and then defined the last 30 years of American politics. They are joined now by another signal event: The debt […]
