In an article by the New Hampshire Journal, Glen Bolger was quoted in Politico reporter Jonathan Martin’s speech at the New England Council’s Politics & Eggs breakfasts.
Minority Leader Pelosi reflected the Democrats’ view of the Medicare issue when she said after Congressman Ryan was selected as the vice presidential candidate, “There are three important issues in this campaign. And in alphabetical order, they are Medicare, Medicare, Medicare…We have a very excellent chance to take back the House.” Instead, Medicare was not […]
Bill McInturff was quoted in a NBC article about the latest national NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that shows the majority of Americans want Congress and the White House to compromise and come to an agreement in order to avoid a fiscal cliff. A recent poll featured in The Virginian Pilot, conducted by Glen Bolger for […]
New post-election research conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and GBA Strategies in Colorado — a critical swing state in 2012 and 2014 — contains several key lessons for those seeking to understand not just what happened in 2012, but what this election means for 2014 and beyond. First, the traditional campaign timeline for communicating with […]
Republicans are in general agreement about one central premise as we look ahead to future elections—we must do better with Hispanic voters. That begins with challenging some long held assumptions. Data referenced below is taken from a post-election survey conducted in New Mexico among 500 voters who cast a ballot in 2012. Thirty-seven percent (37%) […]
While the debate rages over whether the GOP should view this as a message problem, a messenger problem, or a math problem, I wanted to take this blog post to underscore the challenge facing us from a math perspective – i.e. why it is important that we work hard to improve with Hispanics. As a […]
MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES RE: POLLING AND THE 2012 ELECTION DATE: NOVEMBER 12, 2012 There are a number of challenges facing the survey research industry, and every election offers the opportunity to continue to learn, change, and adapt. As a leader in the industry, we take every election, whether there are good election outcomes like […]
Given the demographics of the 2008 and 2012 elections, the Republican Party is in danger of becoming the “Win In Off Years Only Party” unless we make a full-throated improvement with Hispanic voters. And, we have to admit it is us, not them. Want proof? That’s easy – as of this writing, Mitt Romney is […]
Public Opinion Strategies and Momentum Analysis conducted national election night (11/6/12) surveys among N=1,600 voters (margin of error +2.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) and N=432 Walmart Mom voters (margin of error +4.7{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). Throughout the 2012 election cycle, our two firms conducted surveys and sixteen in-person and online focus groups to explore what these moms care about and what they […]
Here are three things you probably have not heard much about as regards turnout on Tuesday: Forty-two percent (42{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of the drop in turnout is coming from the nine percent (9{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of the vote that comes from the “Hurricane Sandy region” of CT, NJ, and NY. Turnout was UP in the nine swing states. And […]
