As a pollster, I typically find surveys conducted by Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) terribly interesting and thought-provoking, and genuinely admire the transparency these Democratic pollsters show in releasing their full toplines along with their analysis. However, if you read just the analysis memo from Democracy Corps most recent Congressional Battleground Survey (http://www.democracycorps.com/Battleground-Surveys/not-so-fast-2014-congressional-battleground-very-competitive/), you […]
Although Mitt Romney improved upon John McCain’s 2008 performance among 18-29 year olds, Romney still lost younger voters by a significant margin last November. OK, so that’s not new information to anyone in politics. But, digging deeper into the exit polls from the last two presidential elections shows Romney actually won a majority of the […]
While my post yesterday (https://pos.org/2013/05/coming-soon-the-role-of-06-president-bush-to-be-played-by-barack-obama/ ) centered on how President Obama’s second term in office is shaping up to be a sequel of his predecessor’s, there’s a ton of evidence suggesting that the coming attractions of the 2014 mid-term election cycle could mirror what happened in 2006. While Democrats may get excited about watching a […]
The storyline begins with an embattled President narrowly defeating a Massachusetts politico, going on to claim a mandate from the American people for his policies and programs. The first time that happened, then-President Bush spent the initial part of his second term trying to reform Social Security, even though voters’ top priority for the government […]
New post-election research conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and GBA Strategies in Colorado — a critical swing state in 2012 and 2014 — contains several key lessons for those seeking to understand not just what happened in 2012, but what this election means for 2014 and beyond. First, the traditional campaign timeline for communicating with […]
