Nearly every political pundit and cable news talking head likes to talk about the multiple “lanes” in the Republican presidential primary campaign. The outsider lane, the insider lane, the evangelical lane, the establishment lane, the Trump lane, the E-Zpass lane, so on and so on. But, an intriguing story that has gone largely unreported by […]
read moreThis week’s CNN poll sheds a bright light on the fact that while most Americans seemed to like “Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator” and “Hillary Clinton, Secretary of State,” they really don’t seem to like “Hillary Clinton, Candidate.” In the most recent national polling data from CNN, Secretary Clinton’s image has moved underwater, with 50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of […]
read moreUp until last week, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton seemed headed for the Democratic nomination simply by coronation from her own party (and maybe the presidency itself if you listen to anyone in the national press corps). It’s hard to argue with their reasoning given Clinton’s initial lead in the polls, and the lack […]
read moreMy partner, Patrick Lanne wrote in October (https://pos.org/2014/10/echoes-of-2006-battleground-favoring-a-gop-senate-takeover/) that Republican Senate candidates in 2006 failed to separate from President Bush’s standing in their home states. And, as I wrote a few weeks ago (https://pos.org/2014/10/senate-democratic-incumbents-may-have-already-hit-the-obama-ceiling/), President Obama’s approval ratings in competitive U.S. Senate races were acting as an anchor on Democratic support, making it very difficult […]
read moreRecent national polling shows President Obama in nearly an identical place where President Bush was at this point in his second term, just a couple weeks before the midterm election: The connection between a President’s approval ratings nationally and the historic outcome of midterm elections is already well-documented. And, it’s not really breaking any news […]
read more