The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll has a great deal of interesting data in it. The big story the Post focused on was anger at incumbents. I (and others) have made the case that anger at incumbents have in past years translated in November to wave elections that benefit one party at the expense of the […]
read moreA recent ARG national survey (5/17-20, N=1,100 adults) found that the perception of America’s economy has weakened since April. Only 31% say the economy is getting better (down from 39% in April), while 40% say it is getting worse (the third month in a row that “worse” was at 40-41%). Plus, the President’s own approval […]
read moreThis post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart Many in the media were quick to declare the results of Tuesday’s elections as good news for Democrats. (Clearly, Democrats are desperate for any type of “good” news when the loss of one White House backed incumbent Senator, and the forcing of another incumbent Senator […]
read moreAnalysts are pointing toward last night’s primary results (the defeat of Arlen Specter, Trey Grayson, and the run-off for Blanche Lincoln) as – when combined with Bob Bennett and Alan Mollohan’s defeats – proof of anti-incumbency and anti-Washington establishment. The top story in the New York Times today is titled “Specter Defeat Signals a Wave […]
read moreInstead, the current political environment is BETTER now for Republicans than it was at this same point in 1994. Let’s look at three key data points from then and now: In May of 1994, a Wirthlin Group national survey found 28% said the country was going in the right direction, while 66% said it was […]
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