The Vote In The House Fails to Build Support for Health Care Reform

By Bill McInturff and Elizabeth Harrington

In one of the first national surveys completed after the House vote on health care reform…things do not look good for President Obama and Democrats in Congress:

  • Opposition to President Obama’s health care plan is higher after the House vote than our previous tracks (29{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} favor/40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} oppose). Voters’ net opposition to the plan has increased from -6{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in September (31{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} favor/37{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} oppose) to -11{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} today.
  • Voter opposition to President Obama’s health care plan is higher than ever measured for President Clinton’s plan in 1993/1994 (35{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} oppose in June 1994).
  • Multiple surveys show voters believe President Obama’s health care plan will mean their health care costs will increase (46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} increase/11{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} decrease) and their quality of care will get worse (40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} get worse/18{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} get better). Concerns about cost have trended up since September.
  • Data continue to show the more people hear about President Obama’s health care plan the less they like it (38{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} the more I like it/52{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} the less I like it).
  • The tide has significantly changed as Americans’ views about government involvement in health care are shifting. In March 2009, by a one point margin, voters said the federal government had a responsibility to provide government-run health care coverage to all. Today, this number has significantly shifted as voters now say by a 17 point margin it is not the federal government’s responsibility.


This is reinforced by recently released data by Gallup. “More Americans now say it is not the federal government’s responsibility to make sure all Americans have healthcare coverage (50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) than say it is (47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). This is a first since Gallup began tracking this question.” (National survey conducted by Gallup, November 5-8, 2009 among 1,008 adults)

Detailed survey results can be found here.

Public Opinion Strategies