The GOP and Obamacare: when the best way to do something is doing NOTHING

Americans DON’T like Obamacare. The most recent NBC News/Wall St. Journal survey shows that only 37% think it is a good idea while 47% think it’s a bad idea (or -10%).*

While Americans don’t like Obamacare, their dislike for the GOP is even stronger. The same NBC News/Wall St. Journal survey showed the Republican Party at -31% (positive – negative). Just to put the GOP pain in perspective, the Democratic party is only marginally under water at minus three percent.

In fact, dislike for the GOP is so strong, that when Republicans were front-and-center during the government shutdown debate, opposition to the GOP strengthened while opposition to OBAMACARE ACTUALLY TEMPERED.

But, now that the shutdown is in the rear-view mirror, and Obama-anger over Obamacare is again front and center, voter dissatisfaction with the health care plan is bouncing back.

Pre-Shutdown Sept. 5-8 Amidst Shutdown Oct. 7-9 Post Shutdown Oct. 25-28
GOP image (positive – negative) -16% -29% -31%
Obamacare (good idea – bad idea) -13% -5% -10%

These two issues are linked at the hip: If you think Obamacare is a good idea, you LOVE the Democratic Party (+55%) and HATE the GOP (-69% negative).

This all leads us to five takeaway points.

One. President Obama and the Democrats OWN Obamacare.

Two. After four years of spin and a national election, the President has been unable to move the needle and sell his brand of health care. Now that it is moving from legislation to reality, attitudes toward Obamacare will likely only get worse.

Three. The only way the President can bump up support of Obamacare is by luring an unpopular GOP into a fight in which Republicans are sure to get the partisan short end of the stick.

Four. The president and his allies in the Senate will take every opportunity to tempt the GOP into Republicans-versus-Obamacare fights between now and Election Day. And, they will win most of them.

Five. Republicans stand a better chance of profiting – today and Election Day – by standing down as anger with Obamacare rises, runs its course, and nets votes on Election Day. Or as my dad used to say: silence is golden; shut up and get rich.

* The poll was conducted jointly by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research Associates; however, this analysis was written independently of NBC/WSJ and of Hart Research Associates.




Similar Articles

  • Impeachment Fever Has Hit House Democrats
    read more

  • Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Karen Handel on Winning GA-06
    read more

  • The Democrats’ Pivot
    read more

    read more

    read more

Public Opinion Strategies helped us to clarify what we wanted to learn and then conducted research and analysis that shed light even beyond the questions we set out to ask. They were very receptive to our suggestions, responsive to our queries, and flexible when we needed them to be.

Public Opinion Strategies has consistently offered unparalleled advice and spot-on polling that has shaped how and where we spent money and deploy key resources. Additionally, they have always been an excellent steward of limited campaign resources, ensuring we spend wisely and not a dollar more than necessary in order to get the information we need.

Robert Blizzard and Public Opinion Strategies did a great job for us throughout our successful campaign for Congress. Robert gave us accurate data, spot on analysis, and professional advice, all of which were essential to our victory.

Public Opinion Strategies is one of our go-to pollsters when it comes to testing public support for bond ballot measures and other initiative proposals. They are available to provide ongoing consultation with regard to crafting of ballot questions, public outreach messaging, and related efforts.

ACLI has worked with Public Opinion Strategies for decades, through several tough industry battles—often ones in which public opinion does not naturally fall on the side of insurers. Yet Bill and his team consistently provide invaluable strategic advice by refining our messages and helping us frame our issues in a way that makes them understandable and persuasive.

The data from Public Opinion Strategies provided important insight and informed our public awareness campaign. We sincerely appreciate their professionalism and expertise in this arena.

Nicole McCleskey and the team at Public Opinion Strategies have been invaluable to me, both during my campaigns and as Governor of the State of New Mexico. It’s not just the accuracy of their numbers, but guiding the overall strategy that makes them so valuable.

Public Opinion Strategies has been a part of our team in Missouri for more than a decade. With their data and guidance, Republicans here were able to attain a majority in the House in 2002 for the first time in fifty years, and we have been able to grow that majority to the point that we now have a record, veto-proof majority.

In my tenure at two leading business associations, facing huge and complex consumer issues, I have benefitted enormously from the objective advisory skills of Bill and his team. They do their homework, they are rigorous, dispassionate and thoughtful. Turning questions into answers is a clever tag, but it’s also an apt description of the professional talents of the firm.

I consider Public Opinion Strategies to be a part of our team. That is the way we have always worked. They have helped us to understand our needs and fashioned research solutions to meet those needs. They have helped us to meet killer deadlines by being flexible, executing rapidly, and insuring quality. Teamwork is the best way to describe it.

Accuracy, speed, and deep knowledge of key issues and public sentiment are the hallmarks of quality opinion research, and on these measures Public Opinion Strategies consistently delivers. I have had the pleasure of working with Public Opinion Strategies for more than 15 years on dozens of issues, and they are undoubtedly the gold standard.

Public Opinion Strategies’ track record of success and wealth of experience in political campaigns and issue advocacy are why they are one of the most trusted and well respected public opinion firms in Washington, D.C. Their insights and perspectives have helped to inform a wide array of public affairs activities across multiple industries.

Social Media Auto Publish Powered By :