Some Q-Tips For A Clogged Political Party

One of the most interesting public polls I’ve seen this year was released last week by Quinnipiac University. The questionnaire went into detail on a number of issues, and the release included in-depth crosstabs, including partisan breakouts.

I’ve often made the case that when Independents are closer to Republicans than to Democrats on an issue, than it’s a good issue for Republicans (and obviously the converse is true for Dems). Indies being closer to GOPers hasn’t happened on many issues in the past four years (with the exceptions of illegal immigration, which wasn’t a vote motivating issue compared to the economy/Iraq, and increased domestic drilling, which dropped off when the economy tanked and gas prices dropped).

The poll shows the GOP continues to face a host of challenges. However, the Q-Poll provides some tips for GOPers on issue opportunities (should we call them Q-Tips?). We’ve been counseling patience for the GOP – and it appears opportunities are opening up. Here’s some of the results for questions where the opinions of Independents are closer to the opinions of GOPers than to Dems:

President Obama promised to cut the national deficit in half by the end of his four-year term. Do you believe he will keep this promise?

Tot Rep Dem Ind

Yes 38% 12% 63% 31%

No 55 85 28 62

(Note that there is a 19 point gap between GOP yes/Ind yes, compared to a 32 point gap between Ind yes/Dem yes.)

President Obama said he understands public frustration with the government help for private banks. But he said more than the 700 billion dollars already approved would be needed to keep the banks lending and getting the economy moving again. Do you support or oppose spending more than the 700 billion dollars on helping banks?

Tot Rep Dem Ind

Support 28% 13% 45% 21%

Oppose 66 84 46 73

(The GOP/Ind gap is just 8 points, while the Ind/Dem gap is 24 points.)

Congress has passed President Obama’s economic stimulus package which includes tax cuts and new federal spending of about 800 billion dollars. Do you support or oppose this economic stimulus package?

Tot Rep Dem Ind

Support 55% 23% 84% 49%

Oppose 39 72 11 45

(The GOP/Ind gap is a broader 26 points, but the Ind/Dem gap is an even wider 35 points.)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s 75 billion dollar plan to help homeowners avoid foreclosure?

Tot Rep Dem Ind

Approve 57% 31% 83% 48%

Disapprove 35 59 12 43

(The gap continues, but keep in mind this does have pretty solid majority support.)

Some people say that President Obama’s plan to help homeowners avoid foreclosure isn’t fair to mortgage holders who make payments on time. Do you agree or disagree?

Tot Rep Dem Ind

Agree 64% 83% 48% 68%

Disagree 29 13 42 26

Anyhow, by now you get the picture – when analyzing issues for opportunities, look for cases where Independents are closer to the GOP than to the Dems. It’s clear that Independent voter doubts about spending and foreclosure issues are beginning to tip in a way that helps the GOP.

(It’s also clear that Obama’s numbers are buoyed by an incredible loyalty with his base. I think that if a pollster tested a question that read “President Obama’s plan for saving Medicare includes pushing four in ten of seniors off a cliff to save money,” 80% of Democrats would favor the plan.)

Similar Articles

  • Public Education Update
    read more

  • Americans See China And Russia As Adversaries Posing Two Different Threats
    read more

  • A New Look At Ideology
    read more

  • Is social media your friend or a frenemy?
    read more

  • Trump’s numbers tied for his peak high as impeachment talk looms
    read more

Public Opinion Strategies helped us to clarify what we wanted to learn and then conducted research and analysis that shed light even beyond the questions we set out to ask. They were very receptive to our suggestions, responsive to our queries, and flexible when we needed them to be.

Public Opinion Strategies has consistently offered unparalleled advice and spot-on polling that has shaped how and where we spent money and deploy key resources. Additionally, they have always been an excellent steward of limited campaign resources, ensuring we spend wisely and not a dollar more than necessary in order to get the information we need.

Robert Blizzard and Public Opinion Strategies did a great job for us throughout our successful campaign for Congress. Robert gave us accurate data, spot on analysis, and professional advice, all of which were essential to our victory.

Public Opinion Strategies is one of our go-to pollsters when it comes to testing public support for bond ballot measures and other initiative proposals. They are available to provide ongoing consultation with regard to crafting of ballot questions, public outreach messaging, and related efforts.

ACLI has worked with Public Opinion Strategies for decades, through several tough industry battles—often ones in which public opinion does not naturally fall on the side of insurers. Yet Bill and his team consistently provide invaluable strategic advice by refining our messages and helping us frame our issues in a way that makes them understandable and persuasive.

The data from Public Opinion Strategies provided important insight and informed our public awareness campaign. We sincerely appreciate their professionalism and expertise in this arena.

Nicole McCleskey and the team at Public Opinion Strategies have been invaluable to me, both during my campaigns and as Governor of the State of New Mexico. It’s not just the accuracy of their numbers, but guiding the overall strategy that makes them so valuable.

Public Opinion Strategies has been a part of our team in Missouri for more than a decade. With their data and guidance, Republicans here were able to attain a majority in the House in 2002 for the first time in fifty years, and we have been able to grow that majority to the point that we now have a record, veto-proof majority.

In my tenure at two leading business associations, facing huge and complex consumer issues, I have benefitted enormously from the objective advisory skills of Bill and his team. They do their homework, they are rigorous, dispassionate and thoughtful. Turning questions into answers is a clever tag, but it’s also an apt description of the professional talents of the firm.

I consider Public Opinion Strategies to be a part of our team. That is the way we have always worked. They have helped us to understand our needs and fashioned research solutions to meet those needs. They have helped us to meet killer deadlines by being flexible, executing rapidly, and insuring quality. Teamwork is the best way to describe it.

Accuracy, speed, and deep knowledge of key issues and public sentiment are the hallmarks of quality opinion research, and on these measures Public Opinion Strategies consistently delivers. I have had the pleasure of working with Public Opinion Strategies for more than 15 years on dozens of issues, and they are undoubtedly the gold standard.

Public Opinion Strategies’ track record of success and wealth of experience in political campaigns and issue advocacy are why they are one of the most trusted and well respected public opinion firms in Washington, D.C. Their insights and perspectives have helped to inform a wide array of public affairs activities across multiple industries.

Social Media Auto Publish Powered By :