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# Public Opinion Strategies

Turning Questions Into Answers

## Posts

- [It is with deep sadness that Public Opinion Strategies announces the passing of our partner and friend, Glen Bolger.  ](https://pos.org/it-is-with-deep-sadness-that-public-opinion-strategies-announces-the-passing-of-our-partner-and-friend-glen-bolger/) - Glen was one of the three founding partners of the firm, a leader, a creative visionary, a husband, father, brother, mentor, a cornerstone of our organization, and cherished friend to all. Glen’s loss will be felt throughout the political and public affairs communities, not just here in the United States, but in international communities as
- [Partners and Co-Founders Glen Bolger, Bill McInturff, and Neil Newhouse inducted into AAPC Hall of Fame](https://pos.org/partners-and-co-founders-glen-bolger-bill-mcinturff-and-neil-newhouse-inducted-into-aapc-hall-of-fame/) - POS Partners and Co-Founders Glen Bolger, Bill McInturff, and Neil Newhouse have been inducted into the American Association of Political Consultants (AAPC) Hall of Fame! "Glen, Bill, and Neil built the gold standard for Republican polling and helped an entire generation of candidates understand their electorates," said Kyle Roberts, AAPC President.
- [Check out the 2026 Midterm Elections Overview by Partner Bill McInturff](https://pos.org/check-out-the-2026-midterm-elections-overview-by-partner-bill-mcinturff/) - 2026 Midterm Elections Overview
- [The latest NBC News poll shows remarkably stable results on political attitudes 8 months out from the midterm elections. Also covered is a first image check on a handful of Democratic candidates for 2028, new data on voting, military action in Iran, and artificial intelligence.](https://pos.org/the-latest-nbc-news-poll-shows-remarkably-stable-results-on-political-attitudes-8-months-out-from-the-midterm-elections-also-covered-is-a-first-image-check-on-a-handful-of-democratic-candidates-for-2/) - 260072 NBC March 2026 Poll 03-08-2026 Release
- ["The GOP's biggest 2026 risk may be hiding in plain sight"](https://pos.org/the-gops-biggest-2026-risk-may-be-hiding-in-plain-sight/) - Check out this article by Ronald Brownstein of CNN, which features our very own Partner, Nicole McCleskey. Analysis_ The GOP’s biggest 2026 risk may be hiding in plain sight _ CNN Politics
- [10 Consequential Slides of 2025](https://pos.org/10-consequential-slides-of-2025/) - 10 Consequential Slides of 2025
- [The Loneliness Epidemic Part 4: Younger Women and the Breakdown of Societal Norms](https://pos.org/the-loneliness-epidemic-part-4-younger-women-and-the-breakdown-of-societal-norms/) - Loneliness Epidemic Part 4
- [The Loneliness Epidemic Part 3: Our Online Lives and Loneliness](https://pos.org/the-loneliness-epidemic-part-3-our-online-lives-and-loneliness/) - Loneliness Epidemic Part 3
- [The Loneliness Epidemic Part 2: Loneliness and Gender](https://pos.org/the-loneliness-epidemic-part-2-loneliness-and-gender/) - Loneliness Epidemic Part 2
- [Our recent national survey shows that there is a loneliness epidemic sweeping across the nation. Check out Part 1: America the Lonely](https://pos.org/our-recent-national-survey-shows-that-there-is-a-loneliness-epidemic-sweeping-across-the-nation-check-out-part-1-america-the-lonely/) - Loneliness Epidemic Part 1
- [In a remarkable shift, a majority of Americans now say a college degree is not worth the cost. This shift is driven by Republicans, but even half of Democrats now say a four-year degree is not worth the cost.](https://pos.org/in-a-remarkable-shift-a-majority-of-americans-now-say-a-college-degree-is-not-worth-the-cost-this-shift-is-driven-by-republicans-but-even-half-of-democrats-now-say-a-four-year-degree-is-not-worth-t/)
- [Talking to Greg Ip in the Wall Street Journal, Partner Micah Roberts wisely puts concerns about AI into context of the broader increase in distrust we consistently see in polling.](https://pos.org/talking-to-greg-ip-in-the-wall-street-journal-partner-micah-roberts-wisely-puts-concerns-about-ai-into-context-of-the-broader-increase-in-distrust-we-consistently-see-in-polling/) - https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-most-joyless-tech-revolution-ever-ai-is-making-us-rich-and-unhappy-6b7116a3
- [In this era of political politicization, Republicans are a good bit more likely than Democrats to have friends on the other side of the aisle.](https://pos.org/in-this-era-of-political-politicization-republicans-are-a-good-bit-more-likely-than-democrats-to-have-friends-on-the-other-side-of-the-aisle/)
- [With the government re-opening today, here is some important historical context.   Yes, Democrats have seen an improvement on the generic ballot DURING previous shutdowns. But, once the shutdown is over, the generic ballot has historically bounced back to where it was PRIOR to the shutdown.](https://pos.org/with-the-government-re-opening-today-here-is-some-important-historical-context-yes-democrats-have-seen-an-improvement-on-the-generic-ballot-during-previous-shutdowns-but-once-the-shutdown-is-ov/)
- [One reason the Mamdani win in New York City is not a huge surprise? Nationally, Democrats now give  capitalism a net negative rating for the first time in our tracking (25% favorable/45% unfavorable). That is a net 38 point drop from 2018.](https://pos.org/one-reason-the-mamdani-win-in-new-york-city-is-not-a-huge-surprise-nationally-democrats-now-give-capitalism-a-net-negative-rating-for-the-first-time-in-our-tracking-25-favorable-45-unfavorable-t/)
- [History does not repeat, but it does rhyme. Six years after AOC toppled one giant of New York politics, Zohran Mamdani is poised to do the same. Notably, Mamdani’s national image at this point in his political career is almost exactly the same as AOC’s image nationally at the outset of her career in politics. Only in New York can a 34 year old political candidate from the fringe of their party garner national name ID in the 70% range.](https://pos.org/history-does-not-repeat-but-it-does-rhyme-six-years-after-aoc-toppled-one-giant-of-new-york-politics-zohran-mamdani-is-poised-to-do-the-same-notably-mamdanis-national-image-at-this-point/)
- [We could see very high turnout in key races tonight. 66% of voters in the latest NBC News poll say they are “very interested” in the election NEXT November. That is the highest ever in in the off-year before a midterm election. Stunningly, the 66% number is higher than what we measured just a few weeks before the 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018 midterm elections.](https://pos.org/we-could-see-very-high-turnout-in-key-races-tonight-66-of-voters-in-the-latest-nbc-news-poll-say-they-are-very-interested-in-the-election-next-november-that-is-the-highest-ever-in/) - Interest in Election
- [The latest NBC News poll finds that fewer than 30% of voters have a positive view of the Democratic party. The GOP holds strong advantages over Democrats on border security, immigration broadly, and dealing with crime. 42% of voters blame Democrats in Congress for the shutdown, compared to 25% for Republicans, and 24% for President Trump. Additionally, a record high 79% of voters say they use social media daily.](https://pos.org/the-latest-nbc-news-poll-finds-that-fewer-than-30-of-voters-have-a-positive-view-of-the-democratic-party-the-gop-holds-strong-advantages-over-democrats-on-border-security-immigration-broadly-and-de/) - NBC News October 2025 Poll 11-02-2025 Release
- [The latest CNBC national survey of adults finds that as the government shutdown stretches on, economic optimism has dropped slightly. However, preference for who controls Congress after the next election has narrowed from +5 Democrat-control to +1 Democrat-control and a majority (51%) of adults continue to approve of President Trump’s handling of the southern border.](https://pos.org/the-latest-cnbc-national-survey-of-adults-finds-that-as-the-government-shutdown-stretches-on-economic-optimism-has-dropped-slightly-however-preference-for-who-controls-congress-after-the-next-elect/) - 250258 CNBC AAES Q3 2025 Topline
- [A succinct summation from partner Bill McInturff in Ron Brownstein’s piece on redefining the swing voter. "A swing voter today is one who does or does not show up to vote," says McInturff. Read more below:](https://pos.org/a-succinct-summation-from-partner-bill-mcinturff-in-ron-brownsteins-piece-on-redefining-the-swing-voter-a-swing-voter-today-is-one-who-does-or-does-not-show-up-to-vote-says-mcinturff-r/) - https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/24/politics/swing-voters-2026-election-trump-biden-analysis
- [The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey of 1000 adults that fielded July 29-August 3 shows: Economic tracking data is stable to trending in a positive direction. President Trump’s overall (46%) and economic (45%) approval ratings have held steady since April. The Democratic Party’s image rating (22% Positive-55% Negative) sits at the worst ever recorded of either party in CNBC or NBC News surveys, with less than half (46%) of self-identified Democrats holding a positive view of the Democratic Party.](https://pos.org/the-latest-cnbc-all-america-economic-survey-of-1000-adults-that-fielded-july-29-august-3-shows-economic-tracking-data-is-stable-to-trending-in-a-positive-direction-president-trumps-overall/) - 250178 CNBC AAES Q2 2025 Topline 8-7-2025 Release
- [What do Americans find morally acceptable or morally wrong?  What’s changed over time?](https://pos.org/what-do-americans-find-morally-acceptable-or-morally-wrong-whats-changed-over-time/) - Morally Acceptable Gallup d1h
- [A First Look at the 2026 Election Cycle](https://pos.org/a-first-look-at-the-2026-election-cycle/) - First Look at 2026 d1b
- [The latest CNBC All America Economic Survey reveals majorities of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of the southern border and deportations.](https://pos.org/the-latest-cnbc-all-america-economic-survey-reveals-majorities-of-americans-approve-of-trumps-handling-of-the-southern-border-and-deportations/) - 250084 CNBC AAES Q1 2025 Topline
- [The latest NBC News poll finds President Trump matching his historic high job approval and setting a new high positive personal image rating](https://pos.org/the-latest-nbc-news-poll-finds-president-trump-matching-his-historic-high-job-approval-and-setting-a-new-high-positive-personal-image-rating/) - NBC March 2025 Poll - 3-16-2025 Release
- [How the 2016 Presidential Race Defies all the Rules and Remains Competitive](https://pos.org/how-the-2016-presidential-race-defies-all-the-rules-and-remains-competitive/) - Until about a year ago when I told people what I do for a living, I got one of two responses – a blank stare or a prediction about the 2016 election. Now, I usually just get a three letter response and I’m pretty sure they don’t stand for “Wow, This is Fascinating!” Having the
- [New Poll: Majority of Americans Support Keeping Vaccines Widely Available to Protect Children and Communities](https://pos.org/new-poll-majority-of-americans-support-keeping-vaccines-widely-available-to-protect-children-and-communities/) - Key Findings Memo Released Publicly
- [89 Tested Trump Policy Proposals Across Five Publicly Released Surveys](https://pos.org/89-tested-trump-policy-proposals-across-five-publicly-released-surveys/) - Trump Agenda Presentation d1e
- [Caitlin Reed named new partner at Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/caitlin-reed-named-new-partner-at-public-opinion-strategies/) - Caitlin Reed Promoted to Partner Release
- [10 Consequential Slides of 2024](https://pos.org/10-consequential-slides-of-2024/) - 10 Consequential Slides of 2024 d1M
- [GOP Voters Overwhelmingly Support Pollution Tariffs to Hold China Accountable and Protect American Manufacturers](https://pos.org/gop-voters-overwhelmingly-support-pollution-tariffs-to-hold-china-accountable-and-protect-american-manufacturers/) - Key Findings from a National Survey of Republican Voters - Memo TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE SUBJECT: NATIONAL GOP SURVEY RESULTS DATE: DECEMBER 20, 2024 METHODOLOGY On behalf of an energy client, Public Opinion Strategies completed a national survey of N=1,000 Republican registered voters who cast ballots in the November Presidential election. The survey
- [CNBC Quarter Four 2024 Poll](https://pos.org/cnbc-quarter-four-2024-poll/) - FI14730D CNBC AAES Q4
- [Public Opinion Strategies' Key Role in the 2024 Election](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-key-role-in-the-2024-election/) - Final 2024 Winners Press Release
- [Very important and comprehensive look how the abortion issue played in 2024 compared to 2022.](https://pos.org/very-important-and-comprehensive-look-how-the-abortion-issue-played-in-2024-compared-to-2022/) - Abortion in 2024 v9
- [What our Election Night Survey taught us!](https://pos.org/what-our-election-night-survey-taught-us/) - Key Findings from the Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Survey
- [How the data in the national surveys we conducted throughout 2024 pointed to President Trump’s win on Tuesday](https://pos.org/how-the-data-in-the-national-surveys-we-conducted-throughout-2024-pointed-to-president-trumps-win-on-tuesday/) - How National Data Pointed to the Trump Win
- [Congratulations to Our Winning Clients!](https://pos.org/congratulations-to-our-winning-clients/) - 2024 Post Election Release
- [Thirteen Important Slides to Read Before the Polls Close](https://pos.org/thirteen-important-slides-to-read-before-the-polls-close/) - NBC November 2024 Final Track Executive Summary POS Version d1d
- [According to the latest national NBC News poll the presidential race is tied at 49% for both candidates on the head to head ballot.](https://pos.org/according-to-the-latest-national-nbc-news-poll-the-presidential-race-is-tied-at-49-for-both-candidates-on-the-head-to-head-ballot/) - NBC November 2024 Poll
- [Key data from the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey: 1.	Trump +2 Nationally, Trump +1 in Battleground states](https://pos.org/key-data-from-the-latest-cnbc-all-america-economic-survey-1-trump-2-nationally-trump-1-in-battleground-states/) - FI14730C CNBC AAES Q3 10-24 release
- [New NBC News poll. The race is tied. On the head-to-head ballot, it’s 48% Trump/48% Harris.](https://pos.org/new-nbc-news-poll-the-race-is-tied-on-the-head-to-head-ballot-its-48-trump-48-harris/) - 240478 NBC October 2024 Poll_10.13.24 RELEASE
- [Bipartisan Majority Believes Medicare Beneficiaries Should Have Access to FDA-approved Early Alzheimer’s Medications the Same Way They Do for All Other Diseases](https://pos.org/bipartisan-majority-believes-medicare-beneficiaries-should-have-access-to-fda-approved-early-alzheimers-medications-the-same-way-they-do-for-all-other-diseases/) - briefing deck.Alliance for Aging.2024.10.10
- [The latest polling among Latinos from NBC News, CNBC and Telemundo News finds Latino American voters continuing the steady transformation in their political identity from a core Democratic bloc to a dynamic swing voter group since 2016.](https://pos.org/the-latest-polling-among-latinos-from-nbc-news-cnbc-and-telemundo-news-finds-latino-american-voters-continuing-the-steady-transformation-in-their-political-identity-from-a-core-democratic-bloc-to-a-d/) - NBC News-Telemundo-CNBC Latino Voter Poll Topline Results (September 17-23 2024)
- [According to the latest NBC News Poll, a record high (66%) of voters say their family income is not keeping up with inflation, Trump continues to be seen as better able to handle the economy and inflation as well as immigration and border security.](https://pos.org/according-to-the-latest-nbc-news-poll-a-record-high-66-of-voters-say-their-family-income-is-not-keeping-up-with-inflation-trump-continues-to-be-seen-as-better-able-to-handle-the-economy-and-inflat/) - 240405 NBC September 2024 Poll_9.22 RELEASE
- [Recently Conducted Survey for BlackRock Finds 90% of Americans Believe There is a Retirement Crisis](https://pos.org/recently-conducted-survey-for-blackrock-finds-90-of-americans-believe-there-is-a-retirement-crisis/) - bipartisan-alignment-stamped
- [Floridians overwhelmingly support policies that level the playing field for American energy producers.](https://pos.org/floridians-overwhelmingly-support-policies-that-level-the-playing-field-for-american-energy-producers/) - Florida Statewide - Memo D2 TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE & LUKE JACKSON SUBJECT: FLORIDA SURVEY RESULTS DATE: JUNE
- [CNBC All American Economic Survey Quarter Two 2024](https://pos.org/cnbc-all-american-economic-survey-quarter-two-2024/) - FI14730B CNBC Q2
- [In latest NBC News poll, a record high 50% of voters say Trump has the necessary mental and physical health to be President and a record low 21% say the same about President Biden. Trump is also leading both Biden and Harris by two points on the ballot.](https://pos.org/in-latest-nbc-news-poll-a-record-high-50-of-voters-say-trump-has-the-necessary-mental-and-physical-health-to-be-president-and-a-record-low-21-say-the-same-about-president-biden-trump-is-also-leading/) - 240240 NBC July 2024 Poll_7.14 RELEASE_CORRECTED
- [North Dakotans frustrations with the economy, inflation and the border are driving negative views about President Biden’s job performance.](https://pos.org/north-dakotans-frustrations-with-the-economy-inflation-and-the-border-are-driving-negative-views-about-president-bidens-job-performance/) - North Dakota Statewide Key Findings Memo
- [April 2024 NBC News Poll](https://pos.org/april-2024-nbc-news-poll/) - 240126 NBC April 2024 Poll - 4-21-2024 Release
- [2024 NCOA-WISER What Women Say National Survey](https://pos.org/2024-ncoa-wiser-what-women-say-national-survey/) - For the second year in a row Public Opinion Strategies in partnership with Lake Research Partners conducted an extensive national survey for the National Council On Aging (NCOA) and Women’s Institute for a Secure Retirement (WISER) called What Women Say™. The results this year point to women being more economically stressed (less confident about being
- [Key Data by Generation](https://pos.org/key-data-by-generation/) - We are witnessing a profound generational break between Generation Z versus the Baby-Boomers that is already reshaping our country, its values, media habits, and its politics. See more here.
- [2024 National Telehealth Survey](https://pos.org/2024-national-telehealth-survey/) - On behalf of hims & hers, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of 1,008 adults January 25-31, 2024. Among other findings, the survey found: Fully two-thirds of Americans (67%) say access to medical care is a problem where they live, up from 58% who said the same in February 2021 (when we were just
- [Best predictor of an incumbent president’s percentage of the vote? Job approval.  President Biden can only run a handful of points higher than his job approval.  His being at 37% means he is a long way down compared to where he needs to be to win.](https://pos.org/best-predictor-of-an-incumbent-presidents-percentage-of-the-vote-job-approval-president-biden-can-only-run-a-handful-of-points-higher-than-his-job-approval-his-being-at-37-means-he-is-a/) - Job Approval d1a
- [New must read from Bill McInturff: 13 slides that define where we are in the presidential race as of today, based on the latest NBC News poll.](https://pos.org/new-must-read-from-bill-mcinturff-13-slides-that-define-where-we-are-in-the-presidential-race-as-of-today-based-on-the-latest-nbc-news-poll/) - Bill NBC Executive Summary Presentation d1a
- [No shortage of bad news for Biden and Democrats in this data. Take a look at many of the challenging numbers here.](https://pos.org/no-shortage-of-bad-news-for-biden-and-democrats-in-this-data-take-a-look-at-many-of-the-challenging-numbers-here/) - NBC News Poll Headlines Jan 2024
- [NEW @NBCNews poll shows Biden’s approval at 37%, the lowest approval rating of any President in the NBC poll since Bush 43’s second term. Trump leads Biden by 5 on the ballot (47% Trump/42% Biden).](https://pos.org/new-nbcnews-poll-shows-bidens-approval-at-37-the-lowest-approval-rating-of-any-president-in-the-nbc-poll-since-bush-43s-second-term-trump-leads-biden-by-5-on-the-ballot-47-trump/) - 240037 NBC January 2024 Poll_2.4.24 RELEASE
- [North Dakotans overwhelmingly support policies that level the playing field for American energy producers.](https://pos.org/north-dakotans-overwhelmingly-support-policies-that-level-the-playing-field-for-american-energy-producers-and-hold-high-polluting-countries-like-china-accountable-for-their-pollution/) - 230370 North Dakota Statewide - Final 1.29.24 TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE/LUKE JACKSON SUBJECT: NORTH DAKOTA SURVEY RESULTS DATE: JANUARY 29, 2024 METHODOLOGY Public Opinion Strategies completed a survey of N=500 likely voters in North Dakota on behalf of an energy client from December 8-18, 2023. The survey was conducted via a mixed-mode online
- [What would a two-incumbent election mean for voters?](https://pos.org/what-would-a-two-incumbent-election-mean-for-voters/) - A recent National Review article with analysis from partner Bill McInturff explains. Read more here.
- [A must read as you dive back in after the holidays. Partner Bill McInturff with the ten most consequential slides of 2023.](https://pos.org/a-must-read-as-you-dive-back-in-after-the-holidays-partner-bill-mcinturff-with-the-ten-most-consequential-slides-of-2023/) - 2023 Ten Consequential Slides
- [Despite Trump’s recent legal battles partisans remain entrenched in their respective camps.](https://pos.org/despite-trumps-recent-legal-battles-partisans-remain-entrenched-in-their-respective-camps/) - A recent CNN article by Ron Brownstein quotes Bill McInturff and his work on the NBC News poll about partisanship after former President Trump's recent indictments. Read more here.
- [The CNBC All-America Economic Survey in July 2023 sheds new light on how Americans are reacting to companies taking public stands on political, social and cultural issues.](https://pos.org/the-cnbc-all-america-economic-survey-in-july-2023-sheds-new-light-on-how-americans-are-reacting-to-companies-taking-public-stands-on-political-social-and-cultural-issues/) - Important new information from this survey of 1,000 American adults includes: 58% of adults say it is inappropriate for companies to take public stands on political/social/cultural issues. Americans are nearly twice as likely to boycott companies they disagree with (47%) than buy from companies they agree with (24%). Opinion differs by party, age, and household
- [Hoosier Republicans overwhelmingly support policies that level the playing field for American manufacturers and hold high polluting countries accountable for their contribution to climate change.](https://pos.org/hoosier-republicans-overwhelmingly-support-policies-that-level-the-playing-field-for-american-manufacturers-and-hold-high-polluting-countries-accountable-for-their-contribution-to-climate-change/) - Public Opinion Strategies completed a survey of 500 Republican voters in Indiana on behalf of an energy client from June 26-July 1, 2023. The survey was conducted on-line and has a credibility interval of +/- 5% in 95 out of 100 cases. Read the full memo here.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Milestone:  Celebrating the 25th Work Anniversary of Three Partners](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-milestone-celebrating-the-25th-work-anniversary-of-three-partners/) - Alexandra, Virginia, June 27, 2023 – 2023 marks an important milestone at Public Opinion Strategies (POS) as Partners Elizabeth Harrington, Patrick Lanne, and Nicole McCleskey celebrate their 25th work anniversaries with our company. Elizabeth Harrington joined POS in 1998 as a Project Director and became a Partner in 2007. Elizabeth’s research focus is public policy
- [Polarization and a Deep Dive on Issues by Party](https://pos.org/polarization-and-a-deep-dive-on-issues-by-party/) - A current political discussion is about the growing difference between the Republican and Democratic Party and its candidates on public policy issues. This Executive Summary deck based on 30+ years of NBC News survey findings add dimension and highlights the truth behind this observation. Click Here
- [Two recent national surveys conducted on behalf of the National Council on Aging and the Women’s Institute for a Secure Retirement found:](https://pos.org/two-recent-national-surveys-conducted-on-behalf-of-the-national-council-on-aging-and-the-womens-institute-for-a-secure-retirement-found/) - Over half (51%) of American women ages 25 or older and 77% of low-income women ages 25 or older do not consider themselves to be financially secure. Women’s top concerns are the cost of housing, programs like Social Security and Medicare being cut, having enough savings to retire, and making those savings last through retirement.
- [National Poll Finds Americans Want The New FBI Headquarters To Be In Virginia](https://pos.org/national-poll-finds-americans-want-the-new-fbi-headquarters-to-be-in-virginia/) - Public Opinion Strategies and David Binder Research conducted a national poll of U.S. voters on behalf of the Virginia Chamber Foundation. Roughly two-thirds of voters (65%) believe Virginia should be the home of the new FBI headquarters. When evaluating criteria for the new location, 42% said the FBI's mission/national security should be the most important
- [In The News: Survey Shows Support to Modernize Pennsylvania’s Liquor Laws.](https://pos.org/in-the-news-survey-shows-support-to-modernize-pennsylvanias-liquor-laws/) - A joint study conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and David Binder Research found that 81% of Pennsylvania voters support a measure to allow ready-to-drink cocktails to be sold in stores alongside beer, wine, and seltzers. The legislation, Senate Bill 688, had wide support across geographic, political, and demographic lines. Partner Micah Roberts was quoted as
- [In the News: Why Republicans see electoral gold in talking up energy](https://pos.org/in-the-news-why-republicans-see-electoral-gold-in-talking-up-energy/) - Most Republicans and independents — 59 and 66 percent, respectively — in Arizona, Montana, Nevada, Pennsylvania and West Virginia had heard nothing or little about efforts to speed up federal permitting of energy infrastructure projects, a centerpiece of Republicans' agenda, according to a Public Opinion Strategies survey of 1,200 registered voters. But when pollsters frame
- [2023 National Telehealth Survey Key Findings](https://pos.org/2023-national-telehealth-survey-key-findings/) - On behalf of hims & hers, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of 1,008 adults February 7-13, 2023. Among other findings, the survey found: Fully two-thirds of Americans (66%) say access to medical care is a problem where they live, up from 58% who said the same a year ago. Satisfaction among telehealth users
- [In the News: The Impact of Abortion on 2022 and Beyond](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-impact-of-abortion-on-2022-and-beyond/) - In post-election surveys and focus groups, the GOP polling firm Public Opinion Strategies (POS), in collaboration with Arizona-based Horizon Strategies, found that swing independent women were not only turned off by the GOP position on abortion, but didn't see the Republican Party as stronger on the economy either. Read more about the impact swing independent
- [Public Opinion Strategies Announces Recent Promotion of Becky Kramer to Vice President of Research and Methodology](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-announces-recent-promotion-of-becky-kramer-to-vice-president-of-research-and-methodology/) - Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce the promotion of Becky Kramer to Vice President of Research and Methodology. Becky has been with the firm since August 2004, and most recently served as Director of Research. Since joining the firm Becky has managed over 2,000 qualitative and quantitative projects. She has developed an expertise in
- [Former NRCC Polling Director Caitlin Reed joins Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/former-nrcc-polling-director-caitlin-reed-joins-public-opinion-strategies/) - Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce that Caitlin Reed has joined the firm as a Vice President. For the last two cycles, Caitlin served as Polling Director at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC). At the NRCC, Caitlin oversaw all the NRCC’s polling spanning 232 congressional races over two-cycles of consecutive pickups under NRCC
- [Is Biden ready for a second term?](https://pos.org/is-biden-ready-for-a-second-term/) - Biden started year three with the nation in a sour mood, with a weak job rating, and with a majority giving him poor marks for being able to unite the country or having the necessary mental and physical health to be president,” Partner Bill McInturff said in the Financial Times Read more about Biden's case
- [A dividing line in American politics](https://pos.org/the-dividing-line-in-american-politics/) - Age remains one of the major dividing lines in American politics. See Bill McInturff's fascinating breakdown of generational data comparing shifting attitudes from a decade ago compared to today from their NBC News research HERE.
- [Ten Consequential Slides from 2022](https://pos.org/ten-consequential-slides-from-2022/) - Please check out the ten findings and ten slides that highlight the key trends of 2022 that will continue to impact our country: The lowest consumer confidence in seven decades. Our extreme political polarization, partially driven by the lack of competitive congressional seats and a changing Republican Party. How the issue of abortion roiled the
- [2022 Cycle Recap Infographic](https://pos.org/2022-recap-infographic/) - As the 118th Congress is sworn in today, we’d like to look back on our successful 2022 cycle, give a special congratulations to the 14 new GOP members that our firm polled on behalf of, and celebrate our firm's very own House majority! Check out an infographic highlighting our year here.
- [Post-Election Debrief](https://pos.org/post-election-debrief/) - Another look at last week's elections, showcasing key takeaways from our Election Night Survey. The full debrief can be viewed here.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Poll Take-Away Points](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-election-night-poll-take-away-points/) - Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Poll Take-Away Points Despite the record-breaking negative mood of the country, and lackluster Biden approval scores, the GOP’s narrow margin on the generic ballot translated into a smaller advantage than anticipated in the US House. Voters’ top issues were “rising prices and inflation” and “abortion,” followed by “the economy and
- [2022 Post Election Press Release](https://pos.org/2022-post-election-press-release/) - Public Opinion Strategies was proud to poll in 13 successful major statewide races and help elect seven new Members of Congress with many more to come as more votes are counted. Read more about our big wins on election night here.
- [NBC News Final Weekend Survey](https://pos.org/nbc-news-final-weekend-survey/) - NEW: 16 slides that show why tomorrow is very likely to be a great night for Republicans up and down the ballot here.
- [In the News: Democrats catch up to Republicans in enthusiasm in final NBC News poll before midterms](https://pos.org/in-the-news-democrats-catch-up-to-republicans-in-enthusiasm-in-final-nbc-news-poll-before-midterms/) - The final NBC News poll makes it clear to partner Bill McInturff ‘President Biden and the Democrats are in for a miserable election.’ Read the full survey here.
- [In the News: The battle for Senate control](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-battle-for-senate-control/) - Bill McInturff's take on the Senate: “Nationally, Joe Biden is at 41% in swing states…so you’re asking a Democratic candidate to run roughly 10 points above the president… the Senate is closer to being Republican than people imagine. Read more of what partner Bill McInturff has to say here.
- [Congratulations to Jarrett Lewis on being named a Fellow at Bipartisan Policy Center’s Health Program](https://pos.org/congratulations-to-jarrett-lewis-on-being-named-a-fellow-at-bipartisan-policy-centers-health-program/) - Public Opinion Strategies is proud to share that our partner Jarrett Lewis has been named a Fellow at the Bipartisan Policy Center’s Health Program. Jarrett started his career at Public Opinion Strategies in 2007 and rejoined our firm in 2019, after leading health policy for The Health Management Academy for a number of years. He has a
- [Upcoming 2022 Turnout](https://pos.org/upcoming-2022-turnout/) - When more people say their vote is in opposition rather than in support of the president, the party in power loses seats. Biden’s soft numbers on this important question tells us the Democrats are days away from losing the House. And here’s the real problem for the president and the Democrats: Those voting in opposition
- [National Telehealth Survey Key Findings](https://pos.org/national-telehealth-survey-key-findings/) - On behalf of hims & hers, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of 1,301 adults February 13-17, 2022. Among other findings, the survey found: Nearly six-in-ten Americans (58%) say access to medical care is a problem where they live. Telehealth has had explosive growth over the past three years. A majority of Americans (55%)
- [The Forces Shaping America and the 2022 Election](https://pos.org/the-forces-shaping-america-and-the-2022-election/) - We are watching some of the most volatile and dramatic numbers seen in the last 50+ years. Economic confidence is at its lowest point since tracking began in the 1950s. Wrong track scores mirror 1980, 1992, and 2008, all terrible cycles for the incumbent party. Major demographic trends are reshaping key values and policy
- [Attitudes on Health Equity and the Social Determinants of Health](https://pos.org/attitudes-on-health-equity-and-the-social-determinants-of-health/) - Two areas in which the health care vertical of our firm has conducted research over the last few years are health equity and social determinants of health. Please find a slide deck that contains research that our firm has conducted over the past five years on both topics. Additionally, we have incorporated some other publicly
- [POS National Poll Release](https://pos.org/pos-national-poll-release-2/) - Click here to read a Key Findings Memo from a recent national survey, conducted May 31-June 5, 2022.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Plethora of Early Primary Winners](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-plethora-of-early-primary-winners/) - Public Opinion Strategies is off to a roaring start in the 2022 primary season, polling for many Republican primary winners, including Governor Greg Abbott in Texas, Chuck Edwards over controversial incumbent Madison Cawthorn in North Carolina CD 11, and open seat nominee Erin Houchin in Indiana CD 9. Additional primary winners so far this cycle
- [Coach K may be more popular than you think](https://pos.org/coach-k-may-be-more-popular-than-you-think/) - Don't let the boos from opposing fans fool you! Coach K is pretty popular nationally, with an image of 29% favorable/5% unfavorable. K is especially popular with men and Af Ams. View our graphic here.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Ukraine Memo](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-ukraine-memo/) - No rally around the flag effect for Biden. Voters across party lines say he has not been tough enough on Russia. Read more here.
- [POS National Poll Release](https://pos.org/pos-national-poll-release/) - Click here to read a Key Findings Memo from a recent national survey.
- [In the News: Why independents have cooled on Biden -- and what that means for Democrats](https://pos.org/in-the-news-why-independents-have-cooled-on-biden-and-what-that-means-for-democrats/) - “It's hard for independents to move from where they are to even a mixed rating of the guy,” comments Glen Bolger on President Biden’s ability to win back the support of independent voters before the 2022 midterm elections. Read more about independent voters, who they are, and the role they will play in upcoming elections
- [In the News: Older Americans Will Be a Force in 2022 Elections](https://pos.org/in-the-news-older-americans-will-be-a-force-in-2022-elections/) - "I think there's just a whole host of reasons that voters feel unsettled," from COVID to inflation to growing international tensions, says Glen Bolger. Read more about the AARP’s voter education campaign, election turnout among older Americans, and how it may be impacted for the 2022 elections here.
- [In the News: Poll: Voters Support Commonsense, All-the-Above Energy Policies Championed by Republicans](https://pos.org/in-the-news-poll-voters-support-commonsense-all-the-above-energy-policies-championed-by-republicans/) - “60 percent of voters—including 37 percent of Republicans and 66 percent of independents—say the U.S. government should be doing more to address climate change," said Neil Newhouse. “The data clearly shows that voters are more likely to support a candidate who endorses 'commonsense' policies addressing climate change and clean energy; that's especially the case for
- [Biden’s first year in office ends with disappointment and disapproval, according to NBC News Poll](https://pos.org/bidens-first-year-in-office-ends-with-disappointment-and-disapproval-according-to-nbc-news-poll/) - The latest NBC News Poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research Associates, summarizes the disappointing first year of the Biden presidency. In addition to the president’s bleak approval rating at just 43%, 36% said Biden’s presidency has been worse than expected and only 5% say it has been better than expected. The nationwide
- [What’s Changing?  The Latest on American Opinion about COVID and our Health Care System](https://pos.org/whats-changing-the-latest-on-american-opinion-about-covid-and-our-health-care-system/) - Friends and clients: A new national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies in partnership with Jarrard Phillips Cate & Hancock examines American attitudes on the U.S. health care system and hospitals nearly two fully years into the COVID-19 pandemic. A few takeaways: When it comes to information about critical health issues, a large majority of
- [In the News: As More Teachers’ Unions Push for Remote Schooling, Parents Worry. So Do Democrats.](https://pos.org/in-the-news-as-more-teachers-unions-push-for-remote-schooling-parents-worry-so-do-democrats/) - "A lot of people — Biden, Mayor Lightfoot in Chicago — have said schools should be open,” said Jim Hobart. "If they’re not able to prevent schools from choosing to close, that shows a weakness on their part." Read more about the political effects of remote learning and how it can help Republican candidates nationwide
- [In the News: The ideas and arguments that will define the next 12 months](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-ideas-and-arguments-that-will-define-the-next-12-months/) - "This is an issue that has legs," said Robert Blizzard about the issue of education and its importance in the 2022 elections, especially those for governor, state legislature, and school board. Read more about the rising importance of education and other top issues for 2022 here.
- [In the News: G.O.P. Fights Covid Mandates, Then Blame Biden as Cases Rise](https://pos.org/in-the-news-g-o-p-fights-covid-mandates-then-blame-biden-as-cases-rise/) - “McCarthy’s first hit on Biden is a competence hit – that he sold himself to voters as the guy who can make a difference in the fight against Covid, yet more Americans are dying,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster who has surveyed voters on the issue. Read more about growing Covid concerns across the
- [In the News: Dems misjudging which issues voters care about](https://pos.org/in-the-news-dems-misjudging-which-issues-voters-care-about/) - ’The issues in DC are not the ones Americans are actually talking about,’ says GOP Pollster Neil Newhouse - and that impacts elections. Watch Neil Newhouse talk about the issues voters really care about here.
- [In the News: Inflation spikes lead to rising voter concerns. Will Biden be blamed?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-inflation-spikes-lead-to-rising-voter-concerns-will-biden-be-blamed/) - “If inflation continues to rise, I think it’s very problematic for Democrats. It’s something we haven’t seen in 40 years,” said Glen Bolger, a veteran Republican pollster. “The longer this goes on, the more it impacts the economy and the mood of voters. Voters are nervous.” Read more about the current impact of inflation on
- [Working While Caring: Rosalynn Carter Institute Sounds Alarm on Behalf of Employed Family Caregivers](https://pos.org/working-while-caring-rosalynn-carter-institute-sounds-alarm-on-behalf-of-employed-family-caregivers/) - The Rosalynn Carter Institute for Caregivers (RCI) released Working While Caring: A National Survey of Caregiver Stress in the U.S. Workforce. The survey, conducted with Public Opinion Strategies, revealed that one-in-five full-time workers is a caregiver, providing care on a regular basis for a family member or friend who is aging, has a serious illness, or has
- [In the News: National Survey Shows Voters Support Paid Leave By Building On Existing System, Not Through A New Government-Run Program](https://pos.org/in-the-news-national-survey-shows-voters-support-paid-leave-by-building-on-existing-system-not-through-a-new-government-run-program/) - Americans across the political spectrum want paid leave to be accomplished by building on and expanding existing employer-based paid leave benefits. At least three out of four voters support paid leave policy approaches that focus on: creating a paid leave program via a partnership between government and private plans for employees working in small businesses
- [Public Opinion Strategies releases results from a new national survey](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-releases-results-from-a-new-national-survey/) - Public Opinion Strategies is releasing results from a new national survey. The results spell trouble for President Biden, and also indicate that Afghanistan is a big challenge for him with the American public. The press release is attached, and below are a couple of quotes and notes on methodology. Also attached please find a chart
- [In the News: Majority of Tennesseans believe public education is on the wrong track](https://pos.org/in-the-news-majority-of-tennesseans-believe-public-education-is-on-the-wrong-track/) - As the new school year begins, Tennesseans are concerned about the impact the COVID-19 pandemic is having on the youngest learners. The majority — more than 79% — are especially worried that too many schoolchildren fell behind in math and reading due to school closures and disruptions, according to new poll results released by Public
- [In the News: GOP rift widens amid growing hostility to Afghan refugees](https://pos.org/in-the-news-gop-rift-widens-amid-growing-hostility-to-afghan-refugees/) - “There’s just a sense that we are less safe as a country as a result of this,” said Neil Newhouse, a veteran Republican pollster. The rhetoric reflects “a general, overall increase” in concern in the country over the risk of terrorist threats after Afghanistan’s fall to the Taliban — not just in the short term
- [Biden's job ratings decline amid Covid surge, rising negativity about the economy, and the Afghanistan withdrawal in NBC News poll](https://pos.org/bidens-job-ratings-decline-amid-covid-surge-rising-negativity-about-the-economy-and-the-afghanistan-withdrawal-in-nbc-news-poll/) - After a spike in U.S. Covid-19 cases and a net negative rating on how he is handling the economy, President Joe Biden's overall job-approval rating has dipped below 50 percent among adults for the first time in his presidency. According to a new NBC News poll conducted by Bill McInturff and Micah Roberts of Public Opinion Strategies and
- [In the News: GOP hits Biden despite divides over Afghanistan withdrawal](https://pos.org/in-the-news-gop-hits-biden-despite-divides-over-afghanistan-withdrawal/) - “If they’re smart and say, ’Look, I wanted us out of Afghanistan, but not this way,'" Glen Bolger, a veteran GOP pollster who’s worked on numerous congressional campaigns, said of Republicans potentially staying on the political offensive. “Not in a total surrender and not letting the Taliban just waltz in and take over everything, hurting
- [In the News: Biden economic approval rating drops amid inflation fears](https://pos.org/in-the-news-biden-economic-approval-rating-drops-amid-inflation-fears/) - “Surging COVID and rising inflation are creating a bleaker outlook throughout the next 12 months than we’ve measured since the 2008 recession,” said Micah Roberts, a partner with Public Opinion Strategies and the survey’s GOP pollster. “Forty-three percent say the economy will get worse in the next year, tied for the highest we have measured
- [Most Americans Want to Share and Access More Digital Health Data](https://pos.org/most-americans-want-to-share-and-access-more-digital-health-data/) - A national survey conducted in 2020 by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research Associates in conjunction with The Pew Charitable Trusts shows: Eighty-one percent of adults support increased access to health information for patients and providers. More than two-thirds of adults want their clinicians to exchange some health information that federal data-sharing polices don’t currently
- [In the News: Suddenly, (some) Republicans are all in on the vaccine](https://pos.org/in-the-news-suddenly-some-republicans-are-all-in-on-the-vaccine/) - Republican pollster Glen Bolger told me that he didn’t think the G.O.P.’s about-face stemmed from a sudden fear of electoral debacle so much as a reflection of the alarming trend lines in red America. Until now, “Republicans felt like we don’t necessarily need to push on vaccines and tick off a significant portion of our
- [In the News: The huge Democrat bet on 'Bricks and Butter'](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-huge-democrat-bet-on-bricks-and-butter/) - Republican pollster Gene Ulm argues that Democrats are trying to flood the economy with federal spending to improve their prospects in the 2022 election -- but could face a backlash against the taxes included in the plan and inflation that it might fuel. "Structurally they are betting the farm and everything possible to get through
- [In the News: New data shows the direction swing voters are going in the 2020 Presidential election](https://pos.org/in-the-news-new-data-shows-the-direction-swing-voters-are-going-in-the-2020-presidential-election/) - New NBC data shows President Trump holding a significant lead over Joe Biden on the issue of who will better handle the economy - the most important issue among independents, and across all voters. Among voters who say crime, immigration or foreign policy is their most important issue, President Trump holds a decided advantage. Read
- [Attitudes on the Coronavirus Vaccine](https://pos.org/attitudes-on-the-coronavirus-vaccine/) - Friends and Clients: In our most recent NBC News national survey, we asked voters what they plan to do when a vaccine becomes available for the coronavirus: Just twenty percent of voters plan to take the vaccine as soon as they can. Most voters (50%) plan to wait until a vaccine has been available for
- [In the News: Bill McInturff on Meet the Press with Chuck Todd](https://pos.org/in-the-news-bill-mcinturff-on-meet-the-press-with-chuck-todd/) - Public Opinion Strategies partner, Bill McInturff, joins Chuck Todd and Jeff Horwitt to discuss the final poll for NBC News. Watch the full interview here.
- [In the News: Democrats are anxious about 2022 - and 2024](https://pos.org/in-the-news-democrats-are-anxious-about-2022-and-2024/) - Public Opinion Strategies, which conducts surveys for NBC News, provided data on presidential voting from 2012 to 2020 that show significant Republican gains among the roughly 30 percent of Black and Hispanic voters who self-identify as conservative. Read more about the shift towards the conservative mindset here.
- [In the News: Biden’s Spaghetti-at-the-Wall Vaccine Campaign](https://pos.org/in-the-news-bidens-spaghetti-at-the-wall-vaccine-campaign/) - Newhouse said he’s tested a message that could potentially sway at least a portion of Trump supporters: emphasizing that the vaccines were an initiative of the ex-president. “What a surprise!” Newhouse said. “The Trump message works better for people who voted for Donald Trump! You know what? A helluva lot of those people are not
- [In the News: America's partisan fireworks will be hard for anyone to put out](https://pos.org/in-the-news-americas-partisan-fireworks-will-be-hard-for-anyone-to-put-out/) - "I don't think we are going to see an election anymore where a president wins with 52 or 53% of the vote and then has a 62% approval rating," says Republican pollster Glen Bolger. Read more about the polarization of the two political parties that guide America here.
- [In the News: New survey shows voters want more choice and control over their health care](https://pos.org/in-the-news-new-survey-shows-voters-want-more-choice-and-control-over-their-health-care/) - "Republicans and Independents strongly prefer a personal option to the two government plans, though even Democrats currently lean towards preferring a personal option. Voters strongly favor the plan’s many attributes that would help make our health care system more accessible, more affordable, and easier to navigate." Read more about voters attitudes on current heath care
- [In the News: It’s Still About the Cost of Healthcare](https://pos.org/in-the-news-its-still-about-the-cost-of-healthcare/) - In a national survey conducted in February, we found that 52% of Americans say reducing healthcare costs such as premiums and deductibles is their most important healthcare issue. While the coronavirus kept many Americans away from medical settings, others stayed away because of costs — more than one-third of Americans (37%) say they delayed care
- [In the News: New CFIF National Survey Shows Voters Want Bipartisan Agreement on Spending Bills, Oppose COVID-19 Patent Waivers and Reject Government Setting Prices for Health Care](https://pos.org/in-the-news-new-cfif-national-survey-shows-voters-want-bipartisan-agreement-on-spending-bills-oppose-covid-19-patent-waivers-and-reject-government-setting-prices-for-health-care/) - The Center for Individual Freedom (CFIF) today released key findings of a national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, measuring voters’ health care priorities as U.S. COVID-19 cases continue to decline and many in Congress propose health care-related offsets to President Biden’s major legislative packages and other new federal spending proposals. Read more about the opinions
- [In the News: Majority of Arizonans oppose Joe Biden’s tax plan](https://pos.org/in-the-news-majority-of-arizonans-oppose-joe-bidens-tax-plan/) - The Coalition to Protect American Workers released a poll conducted with Public Opinion Strategies that found a majority of Arizonans oppose President Joe Biden’s tax plan. Read more about how the tax increase could impact Arizonans here.
- [In the News: In summer, the stakes are rising for Biden](https://pos.org/in-the-news-in-summer-the-stakes-are-rising-for-biden/) - "Every administration starts with news that gets covered as 'action' - executive orders, Cabinet slots being filled - all pushing a new agenda different than their predecessor," Bill McInturff points out. But over time, he adds, "Executive orders run out and the action is replaced by transactional and messy legislative back-and-forth. Favorable numbers drop." Read
- [In the News: 78% of New Yorkers want to keep ‘cocktails to go,’ poll says](https://pos.org/in-the-news-78-of-new-yorkers-want-to-keep-cocktails-to-go-poll-says/) - Nearly 80 percent of New Yorkers want to keep a pandemic-era rule allowing booze takeout and delivery at bars and restaurants, according to a new survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and released Monday by the New York State Restaurant Association. Read more here about how 'cocktails to go' might be here to stay.
- [In the news: Glen Bolger on GOP House members wanting to avoid primaries](https://pos.org/in-the-news-glen-bolger-on-gop-house-members-wanting-to-avoid-primaries/) - “The challenge is that members don’t want to be primaried,” said Glen Bolger, a veteran Republican pollster. “These seats are mostly drawn as Democratic or Republican seats, so the way to lose isn’t in November, it’s in a primary.” Read more about how the winning candidate is decided in the primaries here.
- [30th Anniversary of Public Opinion Strategies - Final Infographic](https://pos.org/30th-anniversary-of-public-opinion-strategies-final-infographic/) - Well, it’s not really an infographic, because there are no graphics. . .but it does show here that Public Opinion Strategies is a great place to work. We have had nine staff move up to become partners, and they are directing research for some of the most important political and public affairs campaigns in the
- [30th Anniversary - Infographic #4 - The Way Back Machine!](https://pos.org/30th-anniversary-infographic-4-the-way-back-machine/) - Public Opinion Strategies is celebrating the 30th Anniversary of the founding of the firm on May 1st, 1991. We have been posting a series of infographics about our work over the years. The fourth one can be seen here. It’s a fun look at some of the key events in 1991. We are proud of
- [In the News: Speak softly and deliver a big pitch](https://pos.org/in-the-news-speak-softly-and-deliver-a-big-pitch/) - “Incumbents always get into trouble in their first term by trying to overreach,” Republican pollster Neil Newhouse said this month. Read more about the different views on Biden's approach to his first 100 days here.
- [Through the years. . .Infographic #3](https://pos.org/through-the-years-infographic-3/) - Public Opinion Strategies is celebrating the 30th Anniversary of the founding of the firm on May 1st, 1991. We will be posting a series of infographics about our work over the years. The third one can be found here. It’s a fun way to focus on our firm’s history, by showing major events that happened
- [30th Anniversary of Public Opinion Strategies – Infographic #2](https://pos.org/30th-anniversary-of-public-opinion-strategies-infographic-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies is celebrating the 30th Anniversary of the founding of the firm on May 1st, 1991. We will be posting a series of infographics about our work over the years. The second one can be seen here, and focuses on our record of helping candidates win. We are proud of our work, and
- [30th Anniversary of Public Opinion Strategies – Infographic #1](https://pos.org/30th-anniversary-of-public-opinion-strategies-infographic-1/) - Public Opinion Strategies is celebrating the 30th Anniversary of the founding of the firm on May 1st, 1991. We will be posting a series of infographics about our work over the years. The first one can be seen here. We are proud of our work, and appreciate our many clients over the years. We hope
- [NBC News survey released](https://pos.org/nbc-news-survey-released/) - The recently released NBC News survey Interview Schedule can be found here.
- [In the News: The Republican retreat on global issues](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-republican-retreat-on-global-issues/) - Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster, said he saw three foreign policy issues resonating with GOP voters: limiting immigration, taking a more difficult stance opposed to China (which many blame for the spread of the coronavirus), and ending foreign entanglements. Read more about Republican foreign policy here.
- [In the News: Reaction to Biden 100 day agenda](https://pos.org/in-the-news-reaction-to-biden-100-day-agenda/) - 100 days: The Biden honeymoon is ending. Our months long suburban voter research for N2 America shows initial praise for Biden on handling COVID now giving way to concerns over the economy, tax policy, spending, and angst about the border crisis. View the full deck here.
- [In the News: CNBC survey shows support for infrastructure spending much less than previous stimulus](https://pos.org/cnbc/) - Steve Liesman of CNBC writes: The CNBC All-America Economic Survey, a poll of 802 Americans nationwide, shows 36% of the public gives the infrastructure plan a thumbs-up compared with 33% who oppose it. The edge is within the poll's 3.5% margin of error and it's about half the level of support garnered by Biden's $1.9
- [In the News: GOP says Biden tax hikes driving wedge between Democrats and suburban voters](https://pos.org/in-the-news-gop-says-biden-tax-hikes-driving-wedge-between-democrats-and-suburban-voters/) - The Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, for N2 America, has periodically interviewed a panel of 40 college-educated suburban voters, men and women, who live in various states. The insight, in addition to qualitative data drawn from the latest round of panel interviews, is partly why Hickey and Short are confident that Biden’s drive to raise
- [In the News: Biden made stimulus look easy. Selling tax hikes for infrastructure will be harder](https://pos.org/in-the-news-biden-made-stimulus-look-easy-selling-tax-hikes-for-infrastructure-will-be-harder/) - "Nobody believes taxes are only going to be raised on the wealthy," explained Glen Bolger, a leading Republican pollster. "The negative tends to outweigh the positive. If we do our job, it becomes the dominant thing." Read more about the upcoming legislative push here.
- [In the News: How the Public is approaching the Covid-19 vaccine](https://pos.org/in-the-news-how-the-public-is-approaching-the-covid-19-vaccine/) - Jarrett Lewis, who specializes in health at Public Opinion Strategies, said he’s learned from focus groups that people’s trust builds when family members or friends are safely vaccinated. “It’s not the efficacy rate,” he said. “It’s word of mouth.” Read more about the public's attitude towards the new vaccines here.
- [In the News: We Can See the Left. We Can See the Right. Is There Still a Center?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-we-can-see-the-left-we-can-see-the-right-is-there-still-a-center/) - Bill McInturff, a founder of the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, cast doubt on the prospects for a new centrism, "I am not sanguine about a national campaign that tries to find a middle ground on major cultural issues as being viable. We are in a “no compromise” era and that’s not changing any
- [In the News: Republicans increasingly target Biden over border crisis as immigration shapes up to be key midterm issue](https://pos.org/in-the-news-republicans-increasingly-target-biden-over-border-crisis-as-immigration-shapes-up-to-be-key-midterm-issue/) - "The immigration issue energizes the Republican base. It has for the past decade and will continue to do so. It makes total sense that they're going after Biden over this," veteran Republican pollster and GOP presidential campaign veteran Neil Newhouse told Fox News. "It's going to have legs into 2022 because the issues facing the country
- [In the News: The Battle Over Democrats’ COVID-19 Relief Bill Is Just Beginning](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-battle-over-democrats-covid-19-relief-bill-is-just-beginning/) - Glen Bolger, a Republican pollster at Public Opinion Strategies, said the legislation could get less popular over time as the public learned more about its non-COVID-19 provisions. “What Republicans have to do is turn it into midnight basketball,” he said, referring to a program Republicans attacked as frivolous in 1990s crime legislation. “You have to
- [National Telehealth Survey](https://pos.org/national-telehealth-survey/) - On behalf of hims & hers, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national online survey of 1,200 adults (including 1,064 Registered Voters), February 4-9, 2021. Nearly six-in-ten respondents (58%) say access to medical care is a problem where they live. Telehealth has had explosive growth over the past 20 months. A majority of respondents (51%) have
- [In the News: Consumer Survey Reveals Worries About Rising Health Care Costs](https://pos.org/in-the-news-consumer-survey-reveals-worries-about-rising-health-care-costs/) - A new survey from ALG Research and Public Opinion Strategies on behalf of Consumers for Quality Care (CQC) reveals that voters want relief from high out-of-pocket costs and insurance deductibles that pose a barrier to health care access. Read more about what voters want when it comes to healthcare here.
- [In the News: Don't read this while driving](https://pos.org/in-the-news-dont-read-this-while-driving/) - A new survey from Public Opinion Strategies partner Neil Newhouse found that Ohioans believe distracted driving is the top danger on Ohio’s roads, and suggests public support for DeWine’s proposal to pass a tougher law with tougher penalties for drivers who do it. Read more about the support for the ban on touching electronic devices
- [National Coronavirus Survey - One Year Mark](https://pos.org/national-coronavirus-survey-one-year-mark/) - A new national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies in partnership with Jarrard Phillips Cate & Hancock examines some critical issues to navigate during the last few miles of the coronavirus pandemic: Vaccine Distribution Debate With the rollout of an effective vaccine, a majority of Americans are eager to receive the vaccine when it becomes
- [In the News: Leading Health and Cancer Advocacy Groups Unite to Reduce Racial Disparities in Cancer Care](https://pos.org/in-the-news-leading-health-and-cancer-advocacy-groups-unite-to-reduce-racial-disparities-in-cancer-care/) - Recommendations—developed by a group of 17 national experts, representing patients and advocates, caregivers, healthcare providers, researchers, and industry—directly address how medical systems in the United States often disproportionately fail minority patients, particularly those who are Black and/or Indigenous, and draws on extensive polling data from recent national polls conducted by Public Opinion Strategies on behalf of
- [In the News: SGLF, N2 America launch six-figure “Let Kids Learn” ad campaign to highlight the true cost of keeping schools closed](https://pos.org/in-the-news-sglf-n2-america-launch-six-figure-let-kids-learn-ad-campaign-to-highlight-the-true-cost-of-keeping-schools-closed/) - The research showed that Virginia parents are not only concerned with what a lack of in-person learning is doing to their children’s academic performance, but also how it is negatively impacting their mental health. Read more about the Qualboard completed by Public Opinion Strategies here.
- [In the News: Republicans look to profit from Biden schools struggle](https://pos.org/in-the-news-republicans-look-to-profit-from-biden-schools-struggle/) - Anxieties were palpable during a mid-January focus group of suburban Virginia parents, conducted virtually, by the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. “My kids are straight A students and struggling to keep B grades or doing less. They are not motivated and depressed,” said a father from Chesapeake, in southeastern Virginia. Read more here about
- [In the News: New study shows African American families overwhelmingly want a choice in their children's education](https://pos.org/in-the-news-new-study-shows-african-american-families-overwhelmingly-want-a-choice-in-their-childrens-education/) - The poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, surveyed 1,007 African American parents of k-12 students enrolled in public schools across the country on their thoughts related to their child's education. In addition to clearly showing that African American families what a choice in their child’s education, the survey also found that 40% of African American
- [In the News: Biden aims for new 'normal'](https://pos.org/in-the-news-biden-aims-for-new-normal/) - "I'm not sure what a new normal looks like, because I think the Trump way of doing things and his nonpolitical approach has a certain appeal to voters, and that's going to have to be a part of this new normal," said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster. Referring to Biden's relatively staid Twitter feed, Newhouse
- [In the News: Voters prefer clean energy candidates](https://pos.org/in-the-news-voters-prefer-clean-energy-candidates/) - A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies that was released Wednesday by the Conservative Energy Network shows voters want candidates who back clean energy development. According to the poll, 72% of voters think it is important for candidates to share their stance on clean energy issues and 68% say they would support a candidate who backs
- [COVID-19 Update with key takeaways](https://pos.org/covid-19-update-with-key-takeaways/) - Over the course of the COVID-19 outbreak, we have carefully and thoroughly tracked publicly available public opinion research on a wide variety of issues relevant to both our work and our clients’ work. Drawing from multiple national surveys conducted over the past few weeks, this summary analyzes key data on the impact the outbreak continues
- [In the News: No break in division after Trump defeat](https://pos.org/in-the-news-no-break-in-division-after-trump-defeat/) - Washington Post: Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster, said his firm’s analysis of the election concluded that this was the smallest number of ticket-splitters since his firm began its measurement two decades ago. “We’ve stopped having any intersection [between the two sides],” he said. Read more about the divide in beliefs and values within our country
- [In the News: Poll of area adults shows high level of regard for VCU](https://pos.org/in-the-news-poll-of-area-adults-shows-high-level-of-regard-for-vcu/) - The poll of 601 adults in Richmond, Henrico, and Chesterfield counties that was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and FrederickPolls shows that respondents ranked VCU first among six major employers in the Richmond area for economic impact, with 31% of those polled saying VCU has the most significant economic impact. Read more about how VCU
- [In the News: Reforming Licensing Is Something Americans Of All Political Stripes Can Get Behind](https://pos.org/in-the-news-reforming-licensing-is-something-americans-of-all-political-stripes-can-get-behind/) - In a recent national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, 68% of respondents agree that there should be less government regulation for small businesses and 65% say the same about self-employed workers. Read more about a topic that both Democrats and Republicans can agree on here.
- [In the News: The 80-Million-Vote Man Has a Very Fragile Coalition](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-80-million-vote-man-has-a-very-fragile-coalition/) - Neil Newhouse, a partner in the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, provided data to The Times showing that in 1980, Republicans won 76 of the 100 counties with the largest share of college degrees. In 2020, Democrats won 84 of these high education counties. Read more here about how the Democrats are gaining higher
- [UMMS Survey Reveals While A Majority of Marylanders Plan To Get COVID-19 Vaccine, Many Not Changing Thanksgiving Plans Due To Pandemic](https://pos.org/umms-survey-reveals-while-a-majority-of-marylanders-plan-to-get-covid-19-vaccine-many-not-changing-thanksgiving-plans-due-to-pandemic/) - Public Opinion Strategies conducted a regional online survey in Maryland among 525 adults ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday to see whether the coronavirus was having any impact on people’s in-person holiday plans. More than four in ten (44%) residents interviewed said they were not canceling their in-person Thanksgiving or other holiday plans because of the
- [In the News: Here's One Thing Republicans and Democrats Agree on: Criminal Justice Reform](https://pos.org/in-the-news-heres-one-thing-republicans-and-democrats-agree-on-criminal-justice-reform/) - Robert Blizzard, a Republican pollster, said that criminal justice reform proposals garner support across the board, and help Republicans reach outside their base to groups like suburban women and people of color. Read more about the opinions of voters on Criminal Justice Reform here.
- [Key Findings: Public Opinion Strategies 2020 Record](https://pos.org/key-findings-public-opinion-strategies-2020-record/) - Our firm was involved in winning statewide campaigns in eleven states. We polled for at least seven new Members of Congress and helped flip at least four seats to the GOP. Our firm now polls for approximately one-quarter of the House GOP caucus. This year, we polled for winning legislative campaigns in twelve states: Arizona,
- [In the News: Democrats debate how Minneapolis' 'defund the police' movement played in elections](https://pos.org/in-the-news-democrats-debate-how-minneapolis-defund-the-police-movement-played-in-elections/) - Glen Bolger, a partner in the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, said a majority across the country opposes the message of defunding the police. “It’s just one of those things where, every time the Democrats who supported it talked about it and touted it, as a Republican campaign strategist, I was like, ‘Yes, please
- [In the News: Dire predictions about the Republican Party were wrong](https://pos.org/in-the-news-dire-predictions-about-the-republican-party-were-wrong/) - “House Republicans not only picked up a half-dozen or more seats when they were expected to lose double-digits,” Newhouse noted, “but they didn’t lose a single incumbent in the general election, and Republicans didn’t lose control of any state legislative body across the country. And you know why that’s important — redistricting.” Read more about
- [Key Findings: Ticket splitting](https://pos.org/key-findings-ticket-splitting/) - While there are numerous examples of ticket-splitting between Presidential preference and Congressional preference, our election night poll shows that fully 91% of voters voted a straight ticket. Click here to learn more about the highest percentage of straight-ticket voting in 20 years.
- [Key Findings: Suburban Women](https://pos.org/key-findings-suburban-women/) - Women wrestled with this decision – waiting longer to make up their minds – with a high number keeping their vote a secret. It came down to the economy and the virus with suburban women prioritizing each equally. Click here to learn more about the suburban woman.
- [Key Findings: "Shy Trump Voters"](https://pos.org/key-findings-shy-trump-voters/) - Unlike Bigfoot, “Shy Trump Voters” exist, and they tend to be female, higher educated, suburban and married. Click here for the full slide deck on “Shy Trump Voters."
- [Key Findings: Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Survey](https://pos.org/key-findings-public-opinion-strategies-election-night-survey/) - Public Opinion Strategies conducted an Election Night poll of 1,600 voters. Click here to see the full slide deck of our findings.
- [In the News: 'Shy Trump voters' share why they never made their support public](https://pos.org/in-the-news-shy-trump-voters-share-why-they-never-made-their-support-public/) - “I had neighbors say they would like to kill all Trump supporters,” one “hidden Trump voter” answered in a survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies. “These were people with whom I really got along with well.” Read more about the reality of the 'shy Trump voter' here.
- [In the News: After 2018 wake-up call, Texas Republicans were ready to fight back this year](https://pos.org/in-the-news-after-2018-wake-up-call-texas-republicans-were-ready-to-fight-back-this-year/) - A little over a week before Election Day, Tony Gonzales’ campaign got internal poll results that caught its attention. Nicole McCleskey of Public Opinion Strategies, had been surveying the Hispanic-majority district since Hurd’s first race in 2014. She said that especially in the 23rd District, it is important not to consider Hispanic voters as a
- [In the News: A fiercely contested presidential election reinforced the nation's divide](https://pos.org/in-the-news-a-fiercely-contested-presidential-election-reinforced-the-nations-divide/) - In surveys of voters Tuesday by Public Opinion Strategies, a leading Republican polling firm, a startling 81% of voters said their minds were made up before the fall campaign even began. That's 20 percentage points higher than four years ago. Read more about the staunch divide that began long before Election Day here.
- [In the News: Why Katko knew he was in good position to win: His pollster got it right.](https://pos.org/in-the-news-why-katko-knew-he-was-in-good-position-to-win-his-pollster-got-it-right/) - Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm that has conducted internal polls for Katko's campaign since his first run in 2014, found that the GOP congressman had a sizable lead in the district. One poll released over the summer showed Katko up by 11 points — a remarkably different result than others. Read more about how
- [Post Election National Survey](https://pos.org/post-election-national-survey-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies completed N=1600 interviews last night with 2020 voters. There is a lot more to learn and say about this election, but, here are five initial key takeaways from this work: President Trump won the 30% who voted on Election Day by 26 points (59% for Trump/33% for Biden). Late deciders broke heavily
- [In the News: Trump lead in Iowa poll rattles Democrats](https://pos.org/in-the-news-trump-lead-in-iowa-poll-rattles-democrats/) - Republican pollster Bill McInturff said the outcome would come down to states with "huge numbers of white, non-college [voters] who've not yet voted". Read more about the few states, including Iowa, that will have the deciding votes here.
- [In the News: The Art of Polling with Partner Neil Newhouse](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-art-of-polling-with-partner-neil-newhouse/) - Neil Newhouse, Co-Founder of Public Opinion Strategies with Steve Gordon, Managing Partner of Total Spectrum, discuss polling and how to understand their creation. Watch the full interview here.
- [In the News: Early-voting surge scrambles Election Day expectations](https://pos.org/in-the-news-early-voting-surge-scrambles-election-day-expectations/) - “Voters are fired up on both sides,” said Glen Bolger. “Yes, I’d rather see more Republicans voting early, but they’ve been dissuaded from doing that. But there’s no indication they’re not enthusiastic.” Read more about record-setting voter turnout, and the effect it's having on expectations here.
- [In the News: New national poll released by the National Hemophilia Foundation](https://pos.org/in-the-news-new-national-poll-released-by-the-national-hemophilia-foundation/) - A new national poll released by The National Hemophilia Foundation (NHF) conducted by Public Opinion Strategies shows that Americans across political parties want the federal government to require all copay assistance be applied towards a patient’s out-of-pocket costs. Majorities of voters believe there would be significant negative consequences for chronic disease patients if copay assistance
- [In the News: Both parties hope Supreme Court fight bolsters Senate prospects](https://pos.org/in-the-news-both-parties-hope-supreme-court-fight-bolsters-senate-prospects/) - "It's motivating both parties' bases for sure," Republican pollster Robert Blizzard said. "It's not changing the narrative or the trajectory of the races. But that's today," he said, citing possible unforeseen events by Election Day. Read more about the divide over the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett here.
- [In the News: The photo finish is likely to come in the Senate](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-photo-finish-is-likely-to-come-in-the-senate/) - As GOP pollster Glen Bolger noted in a tweet this week, “Every Republican campaign should be focusing their messaging on Independents and soft GOPers. The GOP base is rock solid, but swing voters are, as in 2018, a big concern. Read more about the Republican Senate becoming the close call of this election here.
- [In the News: 'This election is about Donald Trump, up or down'](https://pos.org/in-the-news-this-election-is-about-donald-trump-up-or-down/) - Our partner, Nicole McCleskey and Peter Hart talk to Chuck Todd on Meet the Press about post-debate topics through the eyes of the American people. Watch the full interview here.
- [In the News: 74 Percent of Battleground Voters Prefer Dispute Resolution over ‘Rate-Setting’ for Surprise Billing](https://pos.org/in-the-news-74-percent-of-battleground-voters-prefer-dispute-resolution-over-rate-setting-for-surprise-billing/) - Our partners Robert Blizzard and Jarrett Lewis conducted a recent survey across six Senate battleground states on the issue of surprise medical bills. Among other findings, the survey found that 74% of these battleground state voters prefer an independent dispute resolution system over benchmarking or “rate-setting” to resolve cases of surprise medical bills. Click here
- [In the News: Republicans think Barrett hearings will boost turnout](https://pos.org/in-the-news-republicans-think-barrett-hearings-will-boost-turnout/) - "The timing of the hearings could potentially stand to give a late shot in the arm to Republican voters down the stretch into Election Day — which could be critically important in offsetting any deficits from early voting," veteran Republican pollster Robert Blizzard told the Washington Examiner, pointing to "the expected Democratic surge in mail-in, absentee
- [In the News: CNN interviews Neil Newhouse on the last 6 weeks of the election](https://pos.org/in-the-news-cnn-interviews-neil-newhouse-on-the-last-6-weeks-of-the-election/) - "Trump is fighting three enemies in this campaign. He's fighting coronavirus, he's fighting Joe Biden, and he's fighting the calendar. And truthfully, I think the calendar may be putting the most pressure on him right now in terms of having just 42 days left." said Neil Newhouse, a partner at Public Opinion Strategies. Watch Neil
- [In the News: Mixed messages on mail-in ballots landing with Ohio early voters](https://pos.org/in-the-news-mixed-messages-on-mail-in-ballots-landing-with-ohio-early-voters/) - Newhouse said the presidential debate in Cleveland on September 29 will really matter, with voting starting exactly a week later in Ohio. "The one reason why it matters so much right now is simply because voters have not seen them [the candidates]. Joe Biden, they don't know him that well. He hasn't come out on the
- [NBC Poll: Biden's National Lead Slips for 3rd Month in Row](https://pos.org/nbc-poll-bidens-national-lead-slips-for-3rd-month-in-row/) - "There is a pulse of possibility for Donald Trump that was much more difficult to see in July," Republican pollster Bill McInturff told the Journal. Read more about the decreasing margin in the upcoming election here.
- [In the News: McConnell vows to fill Ginsburg's seat, thrusting court to center of 2020 presidential race](https://pos.org/in-the-news-mcconnell-vows-to-fill-ginsburgs-seat-thrusting-court-to-center-of-2020-presidential-race/) - “The polarization in this election was already a 12 on a 1-to-10 scale,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster. “This pushes it to about 15.” Read more about the shifting battleground in the 2020 election here.
- [In the News: Younger voters choose Biden over Trump — but they're not wild about either candidate](https://pos.org/in-the-news-younger-voters-choose-biden-over-trump-but-theyre-not-wild-about-either-candidate/) - In an analysis of 2020 polling released by Quibi and NBC News, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research, new polling shows what Generation Z and millenial voters are thinking about the upcoming Presidential election candidates. Read about the surprising five things younger voters are saying here.
- [In the News: Americans want Federal Government to make sharing electronic health data easier](https://pos.org/in-the-news-americans-want-federal-government-to-make-sharing-electronic-health-data-easier/) - A new national poll released by The Pew Charitable Trusts conducted by Elizabeth Harrington with Public Opinion Strategies and Jay Campbell with Hart Research Associates, shows clear majorities support better patient matching and electronic access to medical records. Read more about the support for easier access to personal health information here.
- [In the News: Trump is running short of time and targets](https://pos.org/in-the-news-trump-is-running-short-of-time-and-targets/) - Undecided voters tend to break away from the incumbent," observes veteran Republican pollster Neil Newhouse. "In this case, it might be different." Read more about the past trends in undecided voters here.
- [In the News: Is 'clean energy' a winning topic for GOP candidates?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-is-clean-energy-a-winning-topic-for-gop-candidates/) - “Republican candidates in Texas will help themselves with these groups [GOP and independent women] by including more messaging and support for clean energy innovation and production.” Republican pollster Glen Bolger stated, who conducted such a poll for Conservative Texans for Energy Innovation. Read more about the groups clean energy tests well with here.
- [National Coronavirus Survey](https://pos.org/national-coronavirus-survey/) - Friends and clients: A new national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies in partnership with Jarrard Phillips Cate & Hancock examines some of the critical issues that continue to surround the Coronavirus pandemic The Debate Over Vaccination Looms As The Battle For Masking Wanes: More than three-quarters of Americans indicate always wearing a mask in
- [In the News: National Poll - More voters recognize the value of local health departments](https://pos.org/in-the-news-national-poll-more-voters-recognize-the-value-of-local-health-departments/) - Elizabeth Harrington, the principal researcher and a partner at Public Opinion Strategies, said, “The increased importance of public health departments is significant, but not surprising given the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the increase among Republicans, white voters, and males was particularly striking. On many issues, you see division between Democrats and Republicans, but today majorities of
- [In the News: How Trump could win reelection](https://pos.org/in-the-news-how-trump-could-win-reelection/) - "The president needs to flush Biden out of the pocket," Neil Newhouse, a leading Republican pollster, told me. "He has to smoke him out every day between now and the election." Read more about how Trump must make this election about Biden in order to win here.
- [In the News: Why a 'hidden' Trump vote could change the 2020 outcome](https://pos.org/in-the-news-why-a-hidden-trump-vote-could-change-the-2020-outcome/) - “We assume the race will tighten, and as that happens, the size of the shy Trump vote could very easily come into play,” said Neil Newhouse. In post-election polling, when he asked people if they had ever been unwilling to talk about their vote, 35 percent of Trump voters said yes. And they tended to
- [In the News: GOP House candidate in dead heat for Will Hurd's district (TX-23)](https://pos.org/in-the-news-gop-house-candidate-in-dead-heat-for-will-hurds-district-tx-23/) - A new poll released by the Gonzales for Congress campaign conducted by Nicole McCleskey with Public Opinion Strategies shows a tight race. Read more about the race for the 23rd Congressional District here.
- [In the News: Internal Poll shows a tight California CD-39 Race](https://pos.org/in-the-news-internal-poll-shows-a-tight-california-cd-39-race/) - An internal poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, is showing a tight race in California's 39th Congressional District, which was one of several Democrats flipped in 2018 to win the House majority. Read more here.
- [In the News: Some Americans worry Trump will open schools too fast](https://pos.org/in-the-news-some-americans-worry-trump-will-open-schools-too-fast/) - “I have yet to see any data where there are appreciable numbers of people who say, ‘Yes, I want my kids back in school,’” Glen Bolger, a veteran Republican pollster, said in an interview. “They want their kids back in school, but not right now. I think safety is taking priority over education.” Read more
- [In the News: National poll shows Americans strongly support more relief funding for the nation’s hospitals](https://pos.org/in-the-news-national-poll-shows-americans-strongly-support-more-relief-funding-for-the-nations-hospitals/) - A national survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and funded by the Coalition to Protect America’s Health Care and its founding members the American Hospital Association and Federation of American Hospitals, found 75% of voters across the country support providing hospitals an additional $100 billion in relief funding to help combat COVID-19. Further, the survey
- [In the News: Who is Bill Stepien? A data-obsessed campaign manager for Trump's 2020 campaign](https://pos.org/in-the-news-who-is-bill-stepien-a-data-obsessed-campaign-manager-for-trumps-2020-campaign/) - Neil Newhouse, co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, a polling firm known for its work with Republican candidates, called Mr. Stepien a “no drama kind of guy,” adding that the shift signaled that the Trump campaign realizes it is in trouble. “They’ve hit the emergency flasher in the campaign,” Mr. Newhouse said. “It’s an indication that
- [What COVID-19 and the nomination of Joe Biden mean for Health Care in the 2020 election](https://pos.org/what-covid-19-and-the-nomination-of-joe-biden-mean-for-health-care-in-the-2020-election/) - Our partners Bill McInturff and Jarrett Lewis recently wrote a commentary for The Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) on what COVID-19 and the nomination of Joe Biden mean for Health Care in the 2020 Presidential Election. You can access the article here.
- [The Potential Impact of COVID-19 on Health Care](https://pos.org/the-potential-impact-of-covid-19-on-health-care/) - Wondering how COVID-19 might change our health care system going forward? Telehealth Is Here To Stay We Will See Growth In Other Forms Of Care Delivery As Well We Will See An Elevated Focus On Health Disparities “Pandemic Ready” Will Likely Drive Operational Changes Providers Are Positioned To Lead On Vaccine Education Click here to
- [In the News: GOP Poll Shows Support for Clean Energy](https://pos.org/in-the-news-gop-poll-shows-support-for-clean-energy/) - “This survey yielded some surprising results about Republican support for government action in promoting clean energy development and emissions disclosures—both foreign and domestic,” said Neil Newhouse, partner with Public Opinion Strategies. “While the economy remains the dominant issue for Republican voters heading into the election, it was remarkable that a majority of Republicans said they
- [In the News: U.S. Physician Shortage is Growing](https://pos.org/in-the-news-u-s-physician-shortage-is-growing/) - According to public opinion research conducted in 2019 by Public Opinion Strategies for the Association of American Medial Colleges, 35% of voters said they had trouble finding a doctor in the past two or three years. That’s 10 points higher than when the question was asked in 2015. Read more here about the continuing shortfall of physicians.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Kentucky Clients on a Successful Primary Night!](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-kentucky-clients-on-a-successful-primary-night/) - The country’s largest Republican survey research firm, Public Opinion Strategies, offers congratulations to winning Kentucky candidates and their pollster, Robert Blizzard, on a job well done! Andy Barr (KY-6) Brett Guthrie (KY-2) Thomas Massie (KY-4) Kentucky Republican Senate Campaign Committee Blizzard and the team at Public Opinion Strategies look forward to playing a role in
- [Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Claudia Tenney for Winning GOP Nomination in NY-22](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-claudia-tenney-for-winning-gop-nomination-in-ny-22/) - Public Opinion Strategies offers congratulations to Robert Blizzard and his client Claudia Tenney for a job well done! Claudia Tenney won the GOP nomination in NY-22. We are excited to be working to get Claudia back to Congress this Fall in what should be one of the most competitive House races in the country.
- [In the News: Palliative care offers Medicare Advantage opportunity for home health providers](https://pos.org/in-the-news-palliative-care-offers-medicare-advantage-opportunity-for-home-health-providers/) - Palliative care has continued to gain popularity in the U.S. due to its cost-saving benefits and also family health care decisionmakers taking a liking to the idea. Of those who were educated on palliative care and what it entails, 90% said they would be likely to consider the service if their loved one had a
- [In the News: Do public polls overstate the scale of Joe Biden's advantage against Donald Trump?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-do-public-polls-overstate-the-scale-of-joe-bidens-advantage-against-donald-trump/) - “I don’t know how big the effect is. I also don’t know what the ratio is between it being ‘shy Trump’ voters and interviewing too many college graduates and not enough non-college grads,” Bolger said. Read more here about what Republican pollster Glen Bolger has to say about the polling challenges in the 2020 Presidential
- [In the News: The big choice voters are facing in the 2020 Presidential election](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-big-choice-voters-are-facing-in-the-2020-presidential-election/) - “By November, voters are going to have a choice,” stated Neil Newhouse, a veteran Republican pollster. “They already know what they love and hate about Donald Trump. About that they’re absolutely certain. What the voters don’t know is what they love and hate about Joe Biden, and that’s what the campaign is all about.” Read
- [In the News: Republican candidates rally with President Trump](https://pos.org/in-the-news-republican-candidates-rally-with-president-trump/) - Distancing from Trump would be “a stupid strategy,” said GOP pollster Neil Newhouse. “If the base sees you’re turning your back on the president, they will cut you off.” Read more here about republican candidates seeking reelection
- [In the News: China is the strong ground to stand on for 2020 election](https://pos.org/in-the-news-china-is-the-strong-ground-to-stand-on-for-2020-election/) - “It becomes an easy punching bag for politicians, both Republicans and Democrats,” Neil Newhouse said in an interview. For Republicans in particular, Mr. Newhouse said, the strategy “allows them to go on offense, to be aggressive, to take a strong position.” Read more here about the effectiveness of the anti-China message among voters.
- [In the News: Will older voters decide the 2020 election?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-will-older-voters-decide-the-2020-election/) - Not that many people need extra motivation to vote this November. “This is an extremely important election, and people on both sides have strong feelings,” says Glen Bolger, a partner at Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm. “I think that older voters are going to find a way to register their opinions, whether or
- [Public Opinion Strategies congratulates June 2nd primary winners](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-june-2nd-primary-winners/) - The survey research firm of Public Opinion Strategies (POS) offers congratulations to winning candidates for which the company provided polling and strategic help. Those races include: Meteorologist Mark Ronchetti won the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in New Mexico, and will take on Congressman Ben Ray Lujan in the open seat battle to replace
- [COVID-19 National Polling Summary: Wave 6](https://pos.org/covid-19-national-polling-summary-wave-6/) - Since early March we have examined a host of issues surrounding the COVID-19 outbreak, including personal health concerns, behavioral changes, the economic impact, opinions on privacy, information sources and perceptions of how elected officials have handled the crisis. Our most recent summary explores attitudes on resuming everyday activities, the economic impact of COVID-19, the impact
- [In the News: GOP looks to Rep. Marshall in Kansas race](https://pos.org/in-the-news-gop-looks-to-rep-marshall-in-kansas-race/) - Marshall pollster Robert Blizzard said Marshall’s fundraising will improve with Pompeo officially out of the race. “Imagine trying to raise money this past year when there’s been at least a couple of hundred stories about Mike Pompeo, will he or won’t he,” Blizzard said. Read more here about the increased support for Rep. Marshall in
- [In the News: National survey reveals greater need for online learning](https://pos.org/in-the-news-national-survey-reveals-greater-need-for-online-learning/) - The poll, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, surveyed 2,000 parents of children enrolled in brick and mortar schools in grades K-11 who are facing difficult decisions regarding the safety, continuity and effectiveness of their children's education this fall. Despite any preventative measures, a remarkable 21% of parents said they would not be comfortable with their child
- [In the News: Changes are coming in the southwest United States](https://pos.org/in-the-news-changes-are-coming-in-the-southwest-united-states/) - “I think you have a range of issues there are more hospitable to Republican candidates,” McCleskey says. Republicans believe that party positions such as resistance to taxes and strong border enforcement still offer them opportunities to recapture more of the Republican votes. Read more here about the party shifts occurring in the southwest United States.
- [In the News: Steven King falls to second place in primary poll](https://pos.org/in-the-news-steven-king-falls-to-second-place-in-primary-poll/) - The poll, which asked 400 Republican primary voters in Iowa's 4th Congressional District and was commissioned by Public Opinion Strategies, found that 41% currently support state Sen. Randy Feenstra, versus 39% backing King. "Among self‐identified 'conservative' voters, King leads by one point and among 'moderate' and 'liberal' GOP primary voters, Feenstra holds a 12‐point advantage,"
- [In the News: InnovaCare Health expands Telehealth access during COVID-19 crisis](https://pos.org/in-the-news-innovacare-health-expands-telehealth-access-during-covid-19-crisis/) - In mid-April, a national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies in partnership with Jarrard Phillips Cate & Hancock, showed over half of respondents indicated they or someone in their household has delayed or skipped medical care during COVID-19. Only one-third of survey respondents had used telehealth and less than half of respondents age 65 or
- [In the News: The Presidential race amid the pandemic](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-presidential-race-amid-the-pandemic/) - Newhouse agreed that Biden needed to enter the frame to balance the race. He said that Trump fares better with an opponent, but because of COVID, Biden is staying hidden. “The sooner it moves from a referendum to a choice between Trump and Biden, it’ll be a tighter race.” Read more here about how the
- [In the News: Who will voters trust to rebuild the economy?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-who-will-voters-trust-to-rebuild-the-economy/) - “The president’s going to be judged more by how we come out of this coronavirus pandemic rather than how we got into it,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster who has advised candidates in Pennsylvania. Asked about the criticism Trump faces over early missteps, Newhouse said, “voters are more concerned about what’s in front of
- [Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Mike Garcia on Winning CD-25](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-mike-garcia-on-winning-cd-25/) - One of the Nation's Leading Public Opinion Research Firms Aids Republicans in Flipping a Democratic Held Congressional Seat in California to Republican For First Time in Over Two Decades Public Opinion Strategies today congratulated Mike Garcia on winning California's 25th congressional district and National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) Chairman Tom Emmer for flipping a seat
- [In the News: Will the economy be the tipping point for voters in the 2020 election?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-will-the-economy-be-the-tipping-point-for-voters-in-the-2020-election/) - "Some voters are likely to give Trump the benefit of the doubt since the recession was caused by the Coronavirus and not by an economic policy," said Glen Bolger, a Republican strategist. "And some will remain supportive of the president for cultural reasons and not for the economy," he said. Read more about the 2020
- [In the News: Trump strategy to make China a campaign issue backed by polling](https://pos.org/in-the-news-trump-strategy-to-make-china-a-campaign-issue-backed-by-polling/) - “The China message is testing off the charts in our GOP primary polling,” veteran Republican pollster Neil Newhouse said Thursday. Read more here about how China will be a key issue in the 2020 election.
- [In the News: Survey finds Public Supports Liability Protections for Firms](https://pos.org/in-the-news-survey-finds-public-supports-liability-protections-for-firms/) - Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters express support when asked if "Congress should protect many businesses and types of companies from lawsuits being filed related to the Coronavirus." Read more here about public opinion for proposals to provide liability protection for companies due to claims linked to the novel Coronavirus.
- [Coronavirus and Its Impact on U.S. Health Care Providers](https://pos.org/coronavirus-and-its-impact-on-u-s-healthcare-providers/) - A new survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies in partnership with Jarrard Phillips Cate & Hancock examines some of the critical questions facing America’s health care delivery system: How are hospitals and health care providers positioned to shape the national dialogue about our country’s recovery from COVID-19? When will Americans be ready to resume “life
- [Recent Poll shows Arizonians favorable opinon on Governor Doug Ducey](https://pos.org/recent-poll-shows-arizonians-favorable-opinon-on-governor-doug-ducey/) - How have Arizonans viewed Doug Ducey's response to Coronavirus? Read more here from Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey's recent survey on behalf of Arizona Rock Products Association.
- [April 24 Coronavirus findings](https://pos.org/april-24-coronavirus-findings/) - Our latest summary of public opinion on all things related to the Coronavirus can be found here. Wave 3 (April 7) can be found here, wave 2 (March 28) can be found here and wave 1 (March 7) can be found here. Among the key findings of the most recent summary: Americans Continue To Feel
- [In the News: The Voters Trump Needs Most Right Now](https://pos.org/in-the-news-the-voters-trump-needs-most-right-now/) - Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research conducted a poll for NBC/Wall Street Journal and found that certain swing groups hold the key to the 2020 presidential race. The constituencies reflected most in this group include white independents, Republicans who don’t regularly watch Fox News (or who consider themselves “soft” partisans), voters in Sun Belt swing
- [In the News: Trump's plan to save his presidency](https://pos.org/in-the-news-trumps-plan-to-save-his-presidency/) - “An issue like this—nationalism—could come into play. They may not like everything he’s doing, but they like the way he’s standing up to China,” Neil Newhouse said. Read more here about the issues that could sway 2020 voters.
- [America Transformed: The Impact of COVID-19 in 10 charts](https://pos.org/america-transformed-the-impact-of-covid-19-in-10-charts/) - In only 10 charts we show some of the most dramatic shifts in a month we have witnessed: A 51 point increase in American voters saying they are worried that they or a family member might get coronavirus. A precipitous drop in rating the economy with a 25 point decline in only 24 days in
- [In the News: After the Pandemic, Then What?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-after-the-pandemic-then-what/) - Neil Newhouse, one of the most senior Republican pollsters in the business and another very wise person, observed, “Half the voters will believe the president took the right action, and the other half will believe he's failed to meet the needs of the country. Our divisions are extraordinarily deep. This is unlikely to change a
- [In the News: Republicans say voters will give Trump a pass on economy if they think he can fix it](https://pos.org/in-the-news-republicans-say-voters-will-give-trump-a-pass-on-economy-if-they-think-he-can-fix-it/) - "If the economy is recovering at a solid rate, and people have gone back to work, then the president can point to how he helped the lead the country out of its worst economic recession since the Great Depression," said Neil Newhouse, a veteran Republican Pollster. Read more about the effect of COVID-19 on Trump's
- [In the News: Americans across party lines support offshore wind energy by wide margins](https://pos.org/in-the-news-americans-across-party-lines-support-offshore-wind-energy-by-wide-margins/) - Over 80 percent of U.S. voters favor offshore wind, according to a new AWEA-commissioned study conducted by Public Opinion Strategies. Notably, that support is universal. It transcends across political party affiliation, geography, and every demographic group measured. Read more about the support for offshore energy sources here.
- [April 7 Coronavirus Polling Summary](https://pos.org/april-7-coronavirus-polling-summary/) - We continue to closely monitor public polling on the Coronavirus to share with friends and clients. Our first iteration (3/9) can be found here, our second iteration (3/26) can be found here and a the most recent version can be found here. Among the key findings: Americans continue to look to the health care industry to
- [Measuring the Immediate and consequential economic impact of COVID-19](https://pos.org/immediate-and-consequential-impact-of-covid-19/) - Key findings: After three optimistic years of the Trump presidency, American economic confidence has completely inverted - all because of COVID-19. As quickly as the market has dropped, so has confidence in the economy. In just 17 days, economic confidence has dropped by more than the 2008 financial crash dropped confidence in over six MONTHS!
- [In the News: Current polling shows a rallying effect among voters](https://pos.org/in-the-news-current-polling-shows-a-rallying-effect-among-voters/) - “What to Make of the Trump Approval Ratings Bump” [Amy Walter, Cook Political Report]. “Robert Blizzard, a partner at the GOP polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, argues there are just way too many unknowns at this point to be able to credibly predict where Trump’s job approval ratings will be, even in the near term future.
- [In the News: Behind Trump's Coronavirus Reversal](https://pos.org/in-the-news-behind-trumps-coronavirus-reversal/) - “Because President Trump initially seemed anxious to open up the economy, his position delaying that should resonate with his base of voters,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster. “It will probably have the impact of making those who want it opened sooner a little more patient.” Read more about President Trump's reversal on reopening the
- [In the News: Is America shifting towards socialism?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-is-america-shifting-towards-socialism/) - Public Opinion Strategies reported that 77% of Democrats thought the nation would be “better off” by moving in a more socialistic direction. Read more here about the mindset shift of Americans.
- [Coronavirus National Polling (March 26th)](https://pos.org/coronavirus-national-polling-march-26th/) - Given the nearly singular focus of the country on the Coronavirus, we are closely tracking issues surrounding the outbreak, from personal health concerns, to behavioral changes, to the approval of elected officials in handling the crisis. We are tracking opinions/concerns about the spread of Coronavirus in much of our survey work, but because we cannot
- [In the News: How Coronavirus has affected polling](https://pos.org/in-the-news-how-coronavirus-has-affected-polling/) - GOP pollster Public Opinion Strategies, on how the outbreak has affected its polling:“People want to talk! Our incidence and cooperation rates were higher last week. We also extended our interviewing hours earlier in the day to cellphone respondents and received a strong response." Read more here about how people are responding during crisis.
- [In the News: NBC/Wall Street Journal poll showing more Americans favoring government shut downs](https://pos.org/in-the-news-nbc-wall-street-journal-poll-showing-more-americans-favoring-government-shut-downs/) - Just two weeks ago, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll showed voters divided evenly over whether they were more worried the government would go too far or not far enough in combating the coronavirus. But Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm that makes up half of the news organizations' bipartisan team of researchers, said
- [What we are seeing out there on COVID-19](https://pos.org/what-we-are-seeing-out-there-on-covid-19/) - Friends and clients: Last week we advised you we were moving forward and that was certainly true as we completed multiple studies around the country. Here’s what we are finding: 1) People want to talk! Our incidence and cooperation rates were higher last week. We also extended our interviewing hours earlier in the day
- [In the News: Polling shows tight race in Iowa's 1st District](https://pos.org/in-the-news-polling-shows-tight-race-in-iowas-1st-district/) - The survey, conducted March 3-5 by Public Opinion Strategies, showed Finkenauer (D-IA 1) ahead of Hinson 45% to 44% within the margin of error. Read more about how Republicans may be able to flip a U.S. House seat in Iowa here.
- [In the News: Tuesday’s Vote Shows Older and Moderate Democrats Drive Primaries](https://pos.org/in-the-news-tuesdays-vote-shows-older-and-moderate-democrats-drive-primaries/) - “Sanders has had an impact on moving the policy goals inside the Democratic Primary to the left’’ on health care, immigration and energy production, said Micah Roberts, a Republican and pollster with Public Opinion Strategies. “Biden’s buy-in with Sanders’ policies may prove to be an albatross as Biden attempts to pivot to the center between
- [In the News: New survey shows that a big majority supports allowing sports betting in Kentucky](https://pos.org/in-the-news-new-survey-shows-that-a-big-majority-supports-allowing-sports-betting-in-kentucky/) - Two-thirds of voters support allowing sports betting in the Commonwealth, according to a new survey from Republican pollster Public Opinion Strategies. Read more about the future of sports betting in Kentucky here.
- [In the News: How Corona Virus is affecting the upcoming 2020 presidential election](https://pos.org/in-the-news-how-corona-virus-is-affecting-the-upcoming-2020-presidential-election/) - Republican pollster Neil Newhouse says “While the desire to define Biden is without question, this health crisis is going to kick the campaign's timing down the road a bit. It may not make it more difficult to define Biden, it just delays it,” Newhouse said. “Effectively, the campaign will be compressed into a narrower window.”
- [Update: Public Opinion Strategies is prepared to move forward](https://pos.org/update-public-opinion-strategies-is-prepared-to-move-forward/) - Friends and clients: Even as we all are closely following the developing news around the Coronavirus, please know that Public Opinion Strategies is uniquely prepared to keep moving forward. First, let me report that having done The NBC/WSJ Poll over the last few days, response rates, the demographic profile of participants, and the actual data were unchanged from past tracks and quite solid.
- [In the News: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll Released with New Information on COVID-19, the Economy, and Biden](https://pos.org/in-the-news-nbc-news-wall-street-journal-poll-released-with-new-information-on-covid-19-the-economy-and-biden/) - Public Opinion Strategies just released a NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll: COVID-19 is now the single most followed news story since 2009. But, only 26% say it has so far changed their life in a major way. Economic ratings are currently stable. Plenty of new information on Coronavirus, big time Biden lead in the primary
- [In the News: Should the United States have a Mandatory Two-year Draft?](https://pos.org/in-the-news-should-the-united-states-have-a-mandatory-two-year-draft/) - According to a 2018 Public Opinion Strategies poll, about two-thirds of Americans would support a national service program. And it would be good policy: alumni of existing service programs go on to complete four-year college at much higher rates than their non-service peers. Click here to read more on the american opinion on a two-year draft.
- [In the News: A Close Look at the States that Could Determine to 2020 Presidential Election](https://pos.org/in-the-news-a-close-look-at-the-states-that-could-determine-to-2020-presidential-election/) - The upcoming election between President Donald Trump and the eventual Democratic nominee could come down to just a half dozen states. Republican pollster Neil Newhouse sees Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin as "critical" to Trump's re-election. States that he expects to go their way but won't take for granted are Florida, North Carolina and Arizona. "Those
- [American Opinions on Coronavirus](https://pos.org/american-opinions-on-coronavirus/) - Public Opinion Strategies recently conducted a national survey on how much Americans are paying attention to COVID-19 (commonly referred to as Coronavirus), their concerns and whether they are taking precautionary steps. We have put together a brief PowerPoint to illustrate the survey data. A few key highlights from the survey: • More than 9 in
- [New survey finds that less than half of voters say the United States is prepared for the Coronavirus](https://pos.org/new-survey-finds-that-less-than-half-of-voters-say-the-united-states-is-prepared-for-the-coronavirus/) - A new NBC/Wall Street Journal survey done by Public Opinion Strategies finds that less than half of voters say the United States is prepared for the Coronavirus. Read the full article here.
- [Timeline of Key Events for Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/timeline-of-key-events-for-public-opinion-strategies/) - Timeline of Key Events Since the founding of Public Opinion Strategies in 1991, the firm has conducted 10 million interviews, completed a total of 24,412 projects, and currently represents six governors, 11 Senators, and 44 Members of Congress. Since 2004, along with its Democratic partner, the firm conducts The NBC/WSJ Poll and, since 2007, the
- [Marietta Daily Journal: Senate Race Tightens as Loeffler Gains Momentum](https://pos.org/marietta-daily-journal-senate-race-tightens-as-loeffler-gains-momentum/) - Public Opinion Strategies, featured in the Marietta Daily Journal, talks about Loeffler gaining momentum: A poll of Georgia voters by Public Opinion Strategies shows Loeffler and Collins neck and neck, while President Trump reportedly will stay on the sidelines, making no endorsement. In the poll conducted Feb. 17-20, Loeffler moved from 15% in a January survey
- [John King with 'Inside Politics' talks about NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll Conducted by Bill McInturff](https://pos.org/john-king-with-inside-politics-talks-about-nbc-wall-street-journal-poll-conducted-by-bill-mcinturff/) - John King with 'Inside Politics' talks about NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by partner, Bill McInturff. "These are numbers pulled together by Bill McInturff -- the Republican who does the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, the Republican part of it -- asking voters, Democratic primary voters. Do you support health care for undocumented immigrants -- 64
- [Watch: How are National Political Polls Conducted? A Behind the Scenes Look by NBC News](https://pos.org/watch-how-are-national-political-polls-conducted-a-behind-the-scenes-look-by-nbc-news/) - Bill McInturff is the Republican half of The NBCWSJ Poll. With the presidential election kicking off, NBC News did a deep dive and behind the scenes look at how the poll is designed, conducted, and how it is meeting the challenges of conducting polling in 2020. Click on the videos to see and learn more.
- [Tattoos, Pot and Football: Our Daily Lives Reflected in WSJ/NBC News Polls](https://pos.org/tattoos-pot-and-football-our-daily-lives-reflected-in-wsj-nbc-news-polls/) - The below article from Aaron Zitner and Danny Dougherty at The Wall Street Journal profiles and highlights data from years of work that Public Opinion Strategies partners Bill McInturff and Micah Roberts have done in cooperation with Hart Research Associates, The Wall Street Journal, and NBC News. Would you rather be five years younger or
- [Public Opinion Strategies Polls in 18 Successful 2019 Elections](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-polls-in-17-successful-2019-elections/) - The survey research firm of Public Opinion Strategies (POS) polled for winning efforts in 18 campaigns this year. The firm worked as part of successful campaign teams in (by state in alphabetical order): Arizona, where Tucson voters stopped an effort to create a sanctuary city. Also, three bond issues won handily in Scottsdale. California, where
- [How the Economic Experience Shapes Politics](https://pos.org/how-the-economic-experience-shapes-politics/) - Bill McInturff joins Wall Street Journal to discuss why, despite the economy being listed as a top priority for swing voters, politicians still struggle to connect voters on this pivotal issue. Check out the 4 minute video here.
- [National Survey: Health Insurance Costs Top Health Care Concerns for Voters](https://pos.org/national-survey-health-insurance-costs-top-health-care-concerns-for-voters/) - A recent national survey of 800 registered voters conducted by Public Opinion Strategies shows that health insurance premiums, deductibles and co-pays are the top health care concerns for voters. The slide deck can be found here.
- [Public Education Update](https://pos.org/public-education-update/) - With students across the country heading back to school, it seems like an appropriate time to update some past posts I’ve written on public education. Earlier this summer, Gallup* released its annual report on confidence in public institutions. I first examined this data as it relates to public schools back in 2013. The latest data
- [Public Release of Research: Strengthening HCAHPS Patient Experience Surveying](https://pos.org/public-release-of-research-strengthening-hcahps-patient-experience-surveying/) - Last week, Bill McInturff sat down with Chip Kahn of the Federation of American Hospitals to discuss the results of research conducted by Bill and Micah Roberts on recasting and strengthening the HCAHPS (Hospital Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and System) patient experience survey. The press release from the Federation of American Hospitals on the
- [Impeachment Fever Has Hit House Democrats](https://pos.org/impeachment-fever-has-hit-house-democrats/) - Over the last few weeks, more and more Democratic Members of Congress have come out in favor of impeachment hearings. According to the ShareBlue whip count, 55 currently elected Democratic House members, or nearly a quarter (23%) of their caucus, now support moving forward on impeachment. This slightly lags the 30% of Democrats who responded
- [Republicans and the 2020 Election](https://pos.org/republicans-and-the-2020-election/) - We wanted to share some important trends we are seeing in regards to 2020 turnout, improving numbers for the Republican party’s image, new work we are doing about political ideology, as well as highlight some of the challenges facing Republican candidates this cycle. We also focus on some elements of President Trump’s strengths and signs
- [Americans See China And Russia As Adversaries Posing Two Different Threats](https://pos.org/americans-see-china-and-russia-as-adversaries-posing-two-different-threats/) - Americans consider China a far greater economic threat than Russia. By a vast 62-point margin (81%-19%), respondents consider China, rather than Russia, to be a greater economic threat to the United States. There is a little partisan difference; both Republicans (85%-15%) and Democrats (78%-22%) agree that China poses a more serious economic threat than Russia.
- [A New Look At Ideology](https://pos.org/a-new-look-at-ideology/) - Over the last few months in focus groups we have started hearing respondents make important distinctions between candidates they deem “liberal” and those they see as “progressive.” The latter are described as being “forward-thinking” and “ahead of the curve,” while more traditional liberals often viewed as a thing of the past. As a response to
- [Is social media your friend or a frenemy?](https://pos.org/is-social-media-your-friend-or-a-frenemy/) - A “frenemy” is a combination of “friend” and “enemy” – a person you are friendly with but ultimately do not like or trust. Looking at the numbers from our NBC/Wall Street Journal poll earlier this year, many Americans may see social media as more of a frenemy than friend. Only 36% have a favorable opinion
- [Trump’s numbers tied for his peak high as impeachment talk looms](https://pos.org/trumps-numbers-tied-for-his-peak-high-as-impeachment-talk-looms/) - Democratic presidential hopeful, Elizabeth Warren, became the first Democratic contender to float impeachment of President Trump in the wake of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s now-finished investigation into Russian election interference. It remains to be seen just how palatable such proceedings would be to the American public now that the full report has been delivered and
- [Jarrett Lewis Named New Partner at Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/jarrett-lewis-named-new-partner-at-public-opinion-strategies/) - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: BILL McINTURFF BILL@POS.ORG 703/836-7655 JARRETT LEWIS NAMED NEW PARTNER AT PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES National survey research firm Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce the addition of Jarrett Lewis as Partner to the firm’s public affairs and corporate practice. Lewis previously served as Executive Director at The Health Management Academy, a network
- [Watch: Bill McInturff on “Meet the Press”](https://pos.org/watch-bill-mcinturff-on-meet-the-press/) - This past Sunday, Public Opinion Strategies Partner Bill McInturff sat down on “Meet the Press” to discuss the latest polling numbers with Chuck Todd and Fred Yang of Hart Research. He highlighted some of the key findings from the most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey, including President Trump’s job approval. The discussion touched on
- [Independents Key to Trump Approval Boost](https://pos.org/independents-key-to-trump-approval-boost/) - Partisan disagreements over the government shutdown in the lead-up to President Donald Trump’s second State of the Union (SOTU) Address cast a cloud of uncertainty over the speech. In the end, the shutdown came to a close, Speaker Pelosi relented, and the president delivered his third address to a joint session of Congress. Most importantly,
- [POS National Poll Release #3 - Socialist Trends](https://pos.org/pos-national-poll-release-3-socialist-trends/) - Public Opinion Strategies just completed a national telephone poll of 800 registered voters. The survey was conducted February 16-20, 2019 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% in 95 out of 100 cases. To view the third report, click here
- [POS National Poll Release #1 - Trump Approval/Generic Ballot](https://pos.org/pos-national-poll-release-1-trump-approval-generic-ballot/) - Public Opinion Strategies just completed a national telephone poll of 800 registered voters. The survey was conducted February 16-20, 2019 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% in 95 out of 100 cases. To view the first report, click here
- [POS National Poll Release #2 - Israel](https://pos.org/pos-national-poll-release-2-israel/) - Public Opinion Strategies just completed a national telephone poll of 800 registered voters. The survey was conducted February 16-20, 2019 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% in 95 out of 100 cases. To view the second report, click here
- [Did you make New Year’s Resolutions?](https://pos.org/did-you-make-new-years-resolutions/) - Ringing in the new year comes with friends and family declaring all sorts of New Year’s resolutions. By early February, I’ve heard countless resolutions from more nutrient dense eating to traveling to new places. A December NPR/PBS/Marist Poll found that 44% of Americans, the same percentage as last year, say they are either somewhat likely
- [Looking at ideology by party over the last thirty years](https://pos.org/looking-at-ideology-by-party-over-the-last-thirty-years/) - Members of the news media have been saying in recent years that American politics is becoming more polarized, with Democrats moving further to the left and Republicans further to the right than they have ever been. Our years of experience conducting the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll along with Hart Research can help quantify this relationship
- [Who’s watching?  A look at the demographics of cable news channel watchers](https://pos.org/whos-watching-a-look-at-the-demographics-of-cable-news-channel-watchers/) - Today, the divide between those who watch Fox News and MSNBC is nearly as stark as the typical Republican/Democratic partisan divide. Fox News watchers give President Trump a 64% approve-34% disapprove rating, while MSNBC viewers disapprove at a rate of 21% approve-78% disapprove. However, there are some parallels in some key demographics of the audiences
- [In NBC/WSJ Data, President Trump Has Solid Standing in Key Trump Counties](https://pos.org/in-nbc-wsj-data-president-trump-has-solid-standing-in-key-trump-counties/) - Starting in 2017, the NBC/WSJ poll has tracked two types of key Trump Counties in competitive states: Trump Surge and Trump Flip. The Trump Surge counties are those where Trump outperformed Mitt Romney’s 2012 net vote percentage by 20% or more. And, the Trump Flip counties are the counties that flipped from voting for Barack
- [Record 2018 turnout is powered by an “easy” voting experience](https://pos.org/record-2018-turnout-is-powered-by-an-easy-voting-experience/) - The 2018 midterm election had the highest voter turnout since 1914, the last year midterm turnout broke 50%, and was way above the average of 40.3% over the last 50 years (1914 turnout was 50.1%, and 2018 was 50.3%). According to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in November 2018 (http://www.people-press.org/2018/12/17/most-voters-have-positive-views-of-their-midterm-voting-experiences/) 92% of midterm voters
- [George Nassar Named New Partner at Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/george-nassar-named-new-partner-at-public-opinion-strategies/) - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: 703/836-7655 GEORGE NASSAR NAMED NEW PARTNER AT PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES The political and public affairs survey research firm of Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce the promotion of Vice President George Nassar to Partner. Since joining the firm in 2017, Nassar has polled on behalf of the California state Senate
- [A Year-to-Year Look At President Trump's Approval Rating](https://pos.org/a-year-to-year-look-at-president-trumps-approval-rating/) - As a pollster, there are multiple positive reasons to enjoy having monthly national surveys. The two primary reasons are the ability to look at data over time, and also to merge data into huge cell sizes. My partner, Bill McInturff has served as the Republican half of the bi-partisan NBC/Wall Street Journal surveys since 2004,
- [Key Findings from the NBC-WSJ December 2018 Poll](https://pos.org/key-findings-from-the-nbc-wsj-december-2018-poll/) - The latest NBC News and The Wall Street Journal poll was conducted December 9-12, 2018. Please click the links below to see the key findings and charts associated with each of these issue areas covered across the poll. 2018 & 2020 Election Measures Policy Expectations 2018 in Review & Economic Outlook Party Feeling Thermometers Additional
- [Welcome Back, Nancy; Republicans Have Numerous Reasons To Be Glad Dems Picked Pelosi](https://pos.org/welcome-back-nancy-republicans-have-numerous-reasons-to-be-glad-dems-picked-pelosi/) - Written by Bill McInturff: From the GOP side of the aisle, while Republicans are not happy to have lost the House, it is easy to appreciate that Nancy Pelosi is back as Speaker, as she is such a clear liability to the Democratic Party as Speaker of the House. Pelosi has high sustained net negative
- [Following the 2018 election, 60% of Democrat voters say U.S. political and economic systems are stacked against people like them](https://pos.org/following-the-2018-election-60-of-democrat-voters-say-u-s-political-and-economic-systems-are-stacked-against-people-like-them/) - Following the 2018 mid-term election, American voters are equally divided about how they view the U.S. political and economic systems. Roughly half of voters (49{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) agree these systems are stacked against people like them and a roughly equal share, 46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}, disagree with that assertion. Having half or more Americans agree with the idea that these
- [Key Factors That Shaped 2018… And A Brief Look Ahead](https://pos.org/key-factors-that-shaped-2018-and-a-brief-look-ahead/) - We have just witnessed a historic and consequential midterm election. Somewhere between 20 to 25 million more people will have voted than in any midterm in our country’s history, the highest percentage of eligible voters participating in over a century. A new high said their vote was to either support or oppose President Trump. There is a new
- [Swinging Suburban Women](https://pos.org/swinging-suburban-women/) - For a host of reasons, this was a Year of the Woman in American life. There was an all-time record 234 women running for Congress, 182 Democratic women and 52 Republican women. There will be 88 new Members in the House of Representatives, 35 of them are women. More women ran and won state legislative
- [The Kavanaugh Nomination: The Highs and Lows](https://pos.org/the-kavanaugh-nomination-the-highs-and-lows/) - The midterm elections – and the September surprise that upended them – are now in the rearview mirror. Of course, I’m alluding to the sexual assault allegations lodged against Justice Brett Kavanaugh by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford and others. Apart from fiercely dividing the country, this episode had two primary quantifiable repercussions: it cemented the
- [Farm to Fork Initiative Survey Release](https://pos.org/farm-to-fork-initiative-survey-release/) - The Farm to Fork Initiative presents key findings on farm and food programs by Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. To read the full release, please click here: Farm to Fork Initiative Survey Release Final.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Polls in Five Successful Gubernatorial Races and for Ten New Members of Congress](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-polls-in-five-successful-gubernatorial-races-and-for-ten-new-members-of-congress/) - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: 703/836-7655 PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES POLLS IN FIVE SUCCESSFUL GUBERNATORIAL RACES AND FOR TEN NEW MEMBERS OF CONGRESS The survey research firm of Public Opinion Strategies (POS) polled for winning candidates in eleven of the highest profile Gubernatorial races this year, in five of the big GOP wins in Senate races, and for
- [Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Survey - Key Findings](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-election-night-survey-key-findings/) - The most positive voter election day mood in more than a decade (42{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Right Direction), two-thirds (65{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) satisfied with the economy and Trump approval at 46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} all mitigated what could have been a Blue Wave yesterday. Instead, voters gave the country a split-decision, giving Democrats a narrower than expected margin in the House, while adding
- [Major Polling Stories of the 2018 Cycle](https://pos.org/major-polling-stories-of-the-2018-cycle/) - It's official, it's a barn burner! The highest interest in a midterm election we have ever seen. Early voters exceed 2016 presidential levels. Please click here to read more from our latest NBC/WSJ survey: Major Polling Stories of the 2018 Cycle
- [Major Political Trends of the 2018 Cycle](https://pos.org/major-political-trends-of-the-2018-cycle/) - Public Opinion Strategies identified ten major political trends of the 2018 midterm election cycle. To view the memo, please click here: Major Political Trends of the 2018 Cycle
- [Is it time for my Quarter-Century Crisis?](https://pos.org/is-it-time-for-my-quarter-century-crisis/) - Last week I turned 27, and have officially survived two years past a quarter century. But I have yet to have a quarter-century crisis, and recent data suggests I’m in the minority. A recent poll of 25-33 year olds found that 75{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} have experienced such a crisis. The survey also found that the top cause
- [Supremely Partisan: the Kavanaugh Nomination Likely to Confirm Recent Trend](https://pos.org/supremely-partisan-the-kavanaugh-nomination-likely-to-confirm-recent-trend/) - The retirement of Associate Justice of the Supreme Court Anthony Kennedy once again puts the Supreme Court back in the headlines during a heated campaign cycle. And, like the nomination of Neil Gorsuch in 2017, recent survey data surrounding the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh tends to further cement the “new normal” I hypothesized last year
- [500 Days of President Trump](https://pos.org/500-days-of-president-trump/) - One of the storied barometers of an American president’s standing with voters is the “100-day Mark,” which President Trump has long since passed. Polls conducted around that time in April 2017 pegged the president’s job approval at a relative low compared to previous presidents, with his approval rating clocking in at 40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}. Roughly 400 days
- [Sugar Spans the Partisan Divide](https://pos.org/sugar-spans-the-partisan-divide/) - Public Opinion Strategies has a candy bowl at the front desk. The selection of candy is expertly curated by our office manager, who can tell you the candy preference of almost everyone on staff. On my several-times-daily trip to the front for a mini Krackle Bar, I’ve learned that some of the POS partners prefer
- [Don’t Walk Barefoot on Planes, and Other Ways Not to Annoy Other Passengers](https://pos.org/dont-walk-barefoot-on-planes-and-other-ways-not-to-annoy-other-passengers/) - For your next flight, would you rather sit next to an aromatic passenger or an inattentive parent? A seat kicker or a personal space violator? While neither is usually ideal, Expedia surveyed 18,229 adults across 23 countries in North America, Europe, South America, and Asia-Pacific to find out travelers’ biggest pet peeves. When asked about
- [The Tax Reform Lifeline](https://pos.org/the-tax-reform-lifeline/) - Less than six months ago, many political insiders were predicting Democrats would almost certainly take control of the U.S. House and even had the opportunity to take over the U.S. Senate. Now, many of these same prognosticators are changing their tune as prospects improve for Republicans. The change didn’t happen overnight, but a clear trend
- [Biden: His Time?](https://pos.org/biden-his-time/) - While we may still be six and a half months from the 2018 midterm elections, the race for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination to take on President Donald Trump is the proverbial elephant (donkey?) in the room. CNN’s March 2018 national survey offers interesting insights into the preferences of Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents as to
- [Coffee, Coffee, Coffee](https://pos.org/coffee-coffee-coffee/) - In 2017, the world saw a very close attempt at breaking the 2 hour marathon barrier, a mistake in announcing the Best Picture winner at the Oscars, and the first World Series trophy for the Houston Astros. It was also the year that reversed the downward decline in daily coffee consumption. The National Coffee Drinking
- [Americans oppose banning after-hours work email](https://pos.org/americans-oppose-banning-after-hours-work-email/) - In March, New York City Councilman Rafael Espinal introduced legislation that would make it illegal for employers to require workers to check and respond to email and other electronic communication outside of normal business hours. Last year, similar “right to disconnect” protocols went into effect in France. In our constantly connected world, banning after-hours email
- [The Times They Are A-Changin’ – NBC/WSJ Social Trends](https://pos.org/the-times-they-are-a-changin-nbc-wsj-social-trends/) - As the last several decades have brought a number of changes in American society, a majority of Americans say they feel comfortable with these changes. The latest NBC/WSJ poll conducted in March asked this question: “Over the past few years there has been a debate about changes in American society and the country becoming more
- [Trumping President Obama: Who Gets Credit for the Economy?](https://pos.org/trumping-president-obama-who-gets-credit-for-the-economy/) - Voters have consistently given President Trump low marks when it comes to his job performance, but more and more voters believe that Trump, rather than former President Obama, is responsible for the current state of the economy, according to the latest Quinnipiac national survey. Fully 46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} say Trump is responsible, while 42{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} say Obama is.
- [More Americans are satisfied with the United States’ standing in the world but believe our President is not as respected](https://pos.org/more-americans-are-satisfied-with-the-united-states-standing-in-the-world-but-believe-our-president-is-not-as-respected/) - According to a Gallup poll conducted earlier this month, forty-five percent of Americans said they are satisfied with the position of the United States in the world – the highest in over a decade. This number hovered mostly in the 30’s from the last few years of President George W. Bush’s second term all the
- [I’m a happy homebody, and so are many Americans.](https://pos.org/im-a-happy-homebody-and-so-are-many-americans/) - On most weekdays, a coworker of mine enthusiastically asks me “what are you doing tonight?”. Usually my answer is quite dull, ranging from “laundry” to “I’m behind on my shows” with a smattering of “I need to vacuum” (note: I do have friends). Luckily for me, a little more than seven in ten Americans identify
- [Maddest Month of the Year](https://pos.org/maddest-month-of-the-year/) - This Sunday will bring tears and joy to many, as Selection Sunday determines what teams dance their way into March Madness. Whether or not you are an avid college basketball fan, the tournament captures much of the nation’s attention this month. The tournament’s schedule of games during the workday leaves many trying to watch from
- [American Optimism Driven by Trump Republicans](https://pos.org/american-optimism-driven-by-trump-republicans/) - The belief that the United States of America will be the world’s leading nation in 20 years is at its highest point in a decade. The latest NBC/WSJ poll, conducted January 13-17, 2018, shows that 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of American adults say the U.S. will be the world’s leading nation in 20 years, compared to 26{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} who
- [Trump’s First State of the Union: How Will it Affect the State of Play?](https://pos.org/trumps-first-state-of-the-union-how-will-it-affect-the-state-of-play/) - Tomorrow night, President Trump will deliver his first State of the Union (SOTU) address to Congress and the American people. With Trump’s approval rating currently clocking in at 36{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve/59{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove according to Gallup, one might naturally assume that the SOTU offers the perfect opportunity for Trump to hit the reset button and attempt to
- [Wondering what to order on a first date?](https://pos.org/wondering-what-to-order-on-a-first-date/) - If you have ever felt stressed about what to order on a first date, do not fear; there is survey data to guide you. Or you need to make sure you are dining with someone in the 30{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of adults who believes a person should order whatever they want on a first date, nothing is
- [Wave Watch](https://pos.org/wave-watch/) - This past May, I wrote a piece positing that the generic Congressional vote averages from surveys taken roughly until Memorial Day of the year preceding an election are not reliable indicators of a party’s performance in that election. Seven months later – and now less than 11 months from Election Day – I thought it
- [Surviving the 2018 Election](https://pos.org/surviving-the-2018-election/) - M E M O R A N D U M TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: THE POLITICAL TEAM RE: SURVIVING THE 2018 ELECTION DATE: NOVEMBER 9, 2017 Introduction The 2018 election will be the first mid-term election with a Republican in the White House since 2006, which was a grim year for Republican candidates. That year,
- [Suburban Uprising](https://pos.org/suburban-uprising/) - Perhaps one of the more concerning aspects of the 2017 election in Virginia is the clear signal it sends about GOP troubles in the ‘burbs – urban suburbs to be more precise. It was not just in Northern Virginia that Republican candidates experienced a suburban rejection, but also in the urban suburbs surrounding Richmond. The
- [Mr. Trump Goes to Asia](https://pos.org/mr-trump-goes-to-asia/) - President Trump began his nearly two-week tour of Asia with a stop in Japan yesterday, with further stops planned for South Korea, China, Vietnam, and the Philippines. With American leadership of paramount importance for the region’s security in the face of North Korea’s nuclear provocations, now is a pertinent time to take a look at
- [The Politics of Pumpkin](https://pos.org/the-politics-of-pumpkin-2/) - Just when you thought political polarization could not get worse, even autumnal flavors and scents have a partisan divide. Pumpkin spice emerged as a flavor and scent phenomenon at Starbucks in 2003, and has since become a consumer juggernaut appearing in everything from cookies to condoms. But recently its proliferation has been stalled by a
- [Key Trends from the NBC-WSJ Social Trends Poll](https://pos.org/key-trends-from-the-nbc-wsj-social-trends-poll/) - NBC News and The Wall Street Journal did a special N=1,200 social trends poll in August 2017. This report from Bill McInturff, Micah Roberts, Dave Wilson, and Tori Miller looks at 18 major trends we identified over the past generation. It concludes with what we would identify as the most important trend impacting our politics
- [Pelosi Remains an Albatross](https://pos.org/pelosi-remains-an-albatross/) - Few political figures in American public life can boast the staying power of Nancy Pelosi. A key member of the House Democratic caucus for well over a decade and a member of the House for three, Pelosi made history as the first woman House Minority Whip and later the first woman Speaker of the House.
- [Could the California Democrat’s Supermajority become their Kryptonite?](https://pos.org/could-the-california-democrats-supermajority-become-their-kryptonite/) - Riding a wave of anti-Trump sentiment, Democrats in California were able to cobble together enough State Assembly and Senate seats to give them a two-thirds supermajority in both chambers. Their strengthened majorities have emboldened them to pursue a liberal agenda, but the latest polling data suggests they may be overreaching and it could cost them
- [Americans Say Axis of Evil Still… Evil!](https://pos.org/americans-say-axis-of-evil-still-evil/) - Immediately following President George W. Bush’s State of the Union Address in January 2002, in which he branded Iran, Iraq, and North Korea as constituting an “Axis of Evil,” Gallup surveyed Americans’ favorability toward various countries (it has done so annually since 2000). Not surprisingly, Americans’ perceptions of these countries in early February 2002 reflected
- [Call It A Comeback](https://pos.org/call-it-a-comeback/) - When George W. Bush left the Oval Office for the last time as president in January 2009, his brand – and the brand of the Republican Party – was tarnished to say the least. Fresh off a stinging electoral rebuke of many of his policies, Bush left the presidency with a 40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} favorable/59{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} unfavorable image.
- [No Time to Rest on Our Laurels](https://pos.org/no-time-to-rest-on-our-laurels/) - Even though I only played a small part in the Georgia CD 6 special election (did two surveys there for a SuperPAC), the win by Karen Handel was supremely satisfying. Competitive special elections receive an inordinate amount of attention because they are the only game in town (yes, South Carolina CD 5 happened the same
- [Tinfoil Tuesday](https://pos.org/tinfoil-tuesday/) - Look to the grassy knoll! The moon landing was faked! President Obama is a reptilian! Denver International Airport is the headquarters for the New World Order! I believe in only one of these conspiracy theories (the grassy knoll theory is compelling), and I’m certainly not alone. According to an October 2014 article published in the
- [Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Karen Handel on Winning GA-06](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-karen-handel-on-winning-ga-06/) - FOR RELEASE: June 23, 2017 CONTACT: 703.836.7655 Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates Karen Handel on Winning GA-06 One of Nation’s Leading Public Opinion Research Firms Aids Georgia’s First Female Republican Congressional Member In Historic Victory Alexandria, Va.- Public Opinion Strategies Partner Gene Ulm and Vice President George Nassar today congratulated Karen Handel on winning Georgia’s sixth
- [Survey of Military Spouses Identifies Need for Employment Opportunities](https://pos.org/survey-of-military-spouses-identifies-need-for-employment-opportunities/) - On behalf of Hiring our Heroes, an initiative of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Foundation, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a survey of 1,273 spouses of active duty military service members and recent veterans. Data from the project was released at the Military Spouse Employment Summit and a white paper summarizing the results can be found
- [Are Democrats headed toward a wave election?](https://pos.org/are-democrats-headed-toward-a-wave-election/) - Quinnipiac’s recent national poll made quite a splash when it reported a Democratic lead of 16 points on the generic Congressional ballot question. Indeed, conventional wisdom – as well as historical trends – suggests that Democrats, as the party opposite that of the new president and in the Congressional minority, are poised to take back
- [What the Q1 CNBC Data Says About Tax Reform](https://pos.org/what-the-q1-cnbc-data-says-about-tax-reform/) - The CNBC First Quarter All-America Economic survey conducted earlier this month found 34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Americans think keeping U.S. jobs from going overseas should be a top priority for the administration. Individual tax cuts (25{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) were the second highest economic priority, ranking higher overall than reducing the deficit (19{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). Cutting taxes for businesses was seen as
- [First 100 Days Have Not Changed Voter Preference for Control of Congress](https://pos.org/first-100-days-have-not-changed-voter-preference-for-control-of-congress/) - The April NBC/WSJ survey finds voters prefer a Democrat controlled Congress to a Republican controlled Congress by a margin of 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} to 43{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}. That’s no different than where we left off in late October 2016 when all registered voters preferred Democrat over GOP control of Congress by 46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} to 44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}. And, as the chart below
- [As President Trump Marks 100 Days, His Voters Take Stock](https://pos.org/as-president-trump-marks-100-days-his-voters-take-stock-3/) - On behalf of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Public Opinion Strategies conducted eight focus groups in five locations: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on April 4; Columbus, Ohio, on April 6; Canton, Michigan, on April 10; Oak Creek, Wisconsin, on April 11; and Houston, Texas, on April 18. The focus groups were conducted among Trump voters,
- [Trump’s Low “First 100 Days” Approval Driven Largely by Democrats](https://pos.org/trumps-low-first-100-days-approval-driven-largely-by-democrats/) - President Trump is fast approaching the famed First 100 Days marker of his presidency. April 29th will mark not only one hundred days since Trump took the oath of office, but also one hundred days’ worth of insights into how Americans generally view his presidency thus far. The most recent Gallup tracker among American adults
- [Trump’s Job Approval: Is he holding onto his GOP support… and does his approval rating reflect his “real” support?](https://pos.org/trumps-job-approval-is-he-holding-onto-his-gop-support-and-does-his-approval-rating-reflect-his-real-support/) - While President Trump’s approval has hit the mid-30’s on national polls of adults, our recent Public Opinion Strategies poll of voters (conducted March 23-27) shows the President with a 40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} national approval rating. Importantly, though, his support among base Republicans has remained high. Comparing our current polling to the February NBC/WSJ poll shows Trump’s approval
- [SCOTUS Half-Time Update](https://pos.org/scotus-half-time-update/) - Public Opinion Strategies released our National Omnibus survey numbers. As several POS blog posts have noted, Neil Gorsuch’s nomination is viewed favorably by voters nationally; a trend that has increased since February. In the March omnibus survey, 39{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of respondents supported Gorsuch’s nomination to the Supreme Court, a 5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} increase since the February NBC/Wall Street
- [Partisanship increasingly colors perceptions of SCOTUS nominees](https://pos.org/partisanship-increasingly-colors-perceptions-of-scotus-nominees/) - A different kind of March Madness descends upon Washington today as the Senate Judiciary Committee begins Judge Neil Gorsuch’s confirmation hearings. Gorsuch appears to have the votes to be confirmed as the next associate justice of the Supreme Court. The verdict on Judge Gorsuch in the court of public opinion polling, however, has become more
- [The Democrats’ Pivot](https://pos.org/the-democrats-pivot/) - After President Trump’s well-received address to Congress, all eyes turned to the Democrats’ rebuttal. Surprisingly, the Democrats did not tap one of their high-profile rising stars such as Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, or Kristen Gillibrand to speak directly to millions of Americans about the party’s opposing vision. Instead, 72 year-old former Governor Steve Beshear of
- [Same Change, Different Year](https://pos.org/same-change-different-year/) - Tell me if you’ve heard this one…America elects a president based more on celebrity than on credentials and more on his promises than on his actions. He is the unlikely candidate that vanquishes the opposition’s establishment candidate, one with decades of experience in government and in foreign relations. He has a captivating presence, is an
- [Testing the Electoral College: Question Wording Matters](https://pos.org/testing-the-electoral-college-question-wording-matters/) - Since the founding of the Republic, Americans have elected 44 men as president over the course of nearly five dozen presidential elections. In just five of those elections, the winner of the popular vote was not also the winner of the Electoral College and thus was not elected president. Most recently, Hillary Clinton won the
- [Is Neil Gorsuch a Win in the Polls?](https://pos.org/is-neil-gorsuch-a-win-in-the-polls/) - Last week Donald Trump nominated Neil Gorsuch, a conservative federal appellate judge, to the Supreme Court. Though most Americans do not yet have an opinion on Gorsuch, recent polling states that a conservative pick is supported by Americans. The Supreme Court nomination was an important issue to 2016 voters. According to NBC News exit polling, one-in-five voters said
- [Most Americans Expect Trump To Bring The “Right Kind” Of Change In The Way Things Are Done In Government](https://pos.org/most-americans-expect-trump-to-bring-the-right-kind-of-change-in-the-way-things-are-done-in-government/) - Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of 800 adults January 18-22, 2017, that asked respondents how likely it is Donald Trump will bring real change to the direction of the country, and whether that change is the right kind or the wrong kind. The results may be a shock to most Americans who have,
- [Obama’s Legacy Likely to be as Polarizing as his Presidency](https://pos.org/obamas-legacy-likely-to-be-as-polarizing-as-his-presidency/) - A recent national survey conducted by Quinnipiac University asked respondents who they considered as the best president of the past 70 years. Two presidents rose to the top of the heap – Ronald Reagan (30{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) and Barack Obama (29{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). Both Reagan’s and Obama’s support is buoyed by respondents from their respective political party. In addition,
- [Congratulations from Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/congratulations-from-pos/) - Public Opinion Strategies congratulates all of our winning clients last night! In total, POS polled on behalf of or in support of four new statewide office holders, six new state house or senate members, three new mayors, and was on the winning side of eight ballot issues. Again we congratulate the winners. Winning candidates include:
- [Trump Bump: Americans More Positive About The Direction Of The Country Since Election](https://pos.org/trump-bump-americans-more-positive-about-the-direction-of-the-country-since-election/) - A NBC News/The Wall Street Journal survey conducted January 12-15, 2017 tested a full and thorough battery of questions about both the incoming and outgoing presidents. It provided a comprehensive overview of the state of public opinion about politics and policy as we embark on the peaceful transfer of power between two parties and two
- [Donald Trump Issue Agenda: Year One’s Potential Successes](https://pos.org/donald-trump-issue-agenda-year-ones-potential-successes/) - As Donald Trump is set to become the 45th President of the United States, a divided American public shows little signs of a partisan cease fire. However, Americans are united on a number of issues that they want to see Donald Trump address in the coming year. A recent survey for NBC News/The Wall Street
- [NRCC ALUMN GEORGE NASSAR JOINS PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES](https://pos.org/nrcc-alumn-george-nassar-joins-public-opinion-strategies/) - FOR RELEASE: JANUARY 4, 2017 CONTACT: 703.836.7655 Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce that George Nassar has joined the firm as a Vice President. For the last two cycles, George served as Regional Political Director at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC). At the NRCC, Nassar led a team advising incumbent and challenger campaigns
- [POS in the News, 3/5/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-3509/) - Below are today's excerpts from the media mentioning Public Opinion Strategies and our Partners. MSNBC's First Read includes a quote from Bill McInturff on the NBC/WSJ poll results: While we have covered all the new administration’s ups and downs, it is absolutely clear which party has suffered the most in public opinion these first six
- [POS in the News, 3/6/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-3609/) - Yael T. Abouhalkah, of the Kansas City Star, writes about a red light camera survey mentioned in yesterday's POS in the News: Still, the findings came from the office of respected pollster Neil Newhouse. And they back up the general feeling that the public wants lawbreakers to be caught with the cameras, as long as
- [NBC / Wall Street Journal survey -- February 2009 Results](https://pos.org/nbc-wall-street-journal-survey-february-2009-results/) - Click here to view the results of the latest NBC-Wall Street Journal survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies from February 26-March 1, 2009 of 1,007 adults.
- [Been There, Done That](https://pos.org/been-there-done-that/) - There’s been much discussion recently about President Obama’s high job approval and popularity, with most folks (wrongly) assuming his job approval numbers are extraordinarily high. So, it’s time to set the record straight... It’s true, clearly people like Barack Obama, as the President enjoys very high personal ratings. In this month’s NBC/WSJ poll that we
- [And now for some actual good news (sort of). . .](https://pos.org/and-now-for-some-actual-good-news-sort-of/) - There’s a lot of interesting data in the NBC/WSJ poll, although much of it is good news for the Dems and sobering news for the GOP (there’s been so much sobering news the last four years I feel like drinking). However, one positive nugget for the GOP in the data deals with the economic stimulus
- [POS in the News, 3/9/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-3909/) - Sheboygan Shenanigans runs a press release from the MacIver Institute regarding a poll conducted by Gene Ulm: By overwhelming numbers, Wisconsinites think state government should cut spending rather than raise taxes to close the state’s nearly six billion dollar budget deficit according to a new statewide survey conducted for the MacIver Institute for Public Policy. “Wisconsinites
- [MARCH MADNESS!!](https://pos.org/march-madness/) - Wow, I had no idea so many Americans were as fixated on Duke University’s basketball team as I am, mesmerized by their resurgence (5-0) since the insertion of Freshman guard Elliot Williams into the starting line-up. I mean, how else can one explain the dramatic improvement in the “mood of the country” (right direction/wrong track
- [Dow Now](https://pos.org/dow-now/) - President Obama: "What I’m looking at is not the date-to-day gyrations of the stock market..." Well, he should be. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped more than 2,500 points and lost 27{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of its value since November 5. Why is this important? The market isn’t just for rich people anymore. And, it hasn’t been
- [POS in the News, 3/10/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31009/) - WKOW reported on the MacIver Institute poll conducted by Gene Ulm: Wisconsin will elect a State Supreme Court justice and a new state school superintendent in the Spring election, and a newly released poll from the MacIver Institute for Public Policy finds nearly half the likely voters have not settled on a candidate in either
- [At some point, Sir Issac Newton is right, right?](https://pos.org/at-some-point-sir-issac-newton-is-right-right/) - Our friend over at Pollster.com, Mark Blumenthal, took an in-depth look at a question on the NBC/WSJ poll done by Peter Hart and Bill McInturff in a post entitled "When Does Gravity Begin for Obama."
- [Follow us on Twitter](https://pos.org/follow-us-on-twitter/) - You can keep up with TQIA on Twitter by following @POStqia. Glen Bolger is also on Twitter. You can follow him @POSGlen. We will keep you updated as other POS partners begin to use Twitter. We have also added a Twitter icon on the sidebar next to the RSS icon for your convenience. If you
- [How Now, Down Dow?](https://pos.org/how-now-down-dow/) - On March 3rd, when asked about the stock markets, President Obama responded by saying, "what I'm looking at is not the day-to-day gyrations in the stock market, but the long-term ability for the United States and the entire world economy to regain its footing. The stock market is sort of like a tracking poll in
- [POS in the News 3/11/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31109/) - Chris Cillizza discusses this blog in The Fix today: The [folks] over at Public Opinion Strategies, one of the leading GOP political polling firms, have started their own blog designed to turn questions into answers -- hence the TQIA blog. (The Fix loves acronyms.) The blog already has some interesting stuff on it including an
- [Some Q-Tips For A Clogged Political Party](https://pos.org/some-q-tips-for-a-clogged-political-party/) - One of the most interesting public polls I’ve seen this year was released last week by Quinnipiac University. The questionnaire went into detail on a number of issues, and the release included in-depth crosstabs, including partisan breakouts. I’ve often made the case that when Independents are closer to Republicans than to Democrats on an issue,
- [POS in the News, 3/12/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31209/) - Patrick Lanne is quoted in an article in the Daily Gazette about the 20th Congressional District race in New York: “It’s not the district that Jerry Solomon had,” said Patrick Lanne of Wilton, a pollster for the Tedisco campaign. [...] So what are voters looking for in a candidate? Often they vote based on personality
- [Think you've been ‘push polled'? Maybe not](https://pos.org/think-youve-been-push-polled-maybe-not/) - (This article was originally published by Politico.com on November 19, 2007) As recent reports about “push polling” on Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s religious affiliation make their way through the newspapers and the blogosphere, I thought it might be helpful to provide a brief pollster’s guide to what constitutes a push poll and what doesn’t.
- [New Survey/Focus Group Findings on Economic Mobility Released](https://pos.org/new-surveyfocus-group-findings-on-economic-mobility-released/) - Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research completed a research study for the Economic Mobility Project of the Pew Charitable Trusts. The research measured perceptions of the American Dream and perceptions toward Economic Mobility. The study found a strong belief that individual factors such as hard work and drive play key roles in economic mobility.
- [Once Confidence Is Shaken, It Takes A While To Stir.](https://pos.org/once-confidence-is-shaken-it-takes-a-while-to-stir/) - (This post was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Julia Sprague) Public Opinion Strategies has been fascinated by the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MCSI) for some time now. The MCSI is a monthly survey, with data available by month since 1978 and by quarter from 1952-1977, which gauges confidence among U.S. consumers. Given the current recession
- [POS in the News, 3/13/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31309/) - In today's Wall Street Journal, Gerald Seib writes: But William McInturff, a Republican pollster who is co-director of The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, notes that an approval rating in the 60% range is about where new presidents often find themselves about now. Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush were in the same range at
- [Wireless Household Study By State](https://pos.org/wireless-household-study-by-state/) - Yesterday, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released a report detailing estimates of wireless-only households and adults by state. For researchers this information is a valuable resource because it is the only known estimate by state of wireless-only households. I was surprised to learn that one in four adults (25.1%) in Oklahoma are in
- [POS in the News, 3/16/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31609/) - Mark Blumenthal of Pollster.com discusses last week's posts here at TQIA: The highly respected Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies has started a new company blog. In a busy first week: Bill [McInturff] looks at how long it takes consumer confidence to return, Glen Bolger reviews the Pew Economic Mobility study they conducted with Democratic
- [A More Political Look at Economic Mobility](https://pos.org/a-more-political-look-at-economic-mobility/) - Ron Brownstein, one of the sharpest political analysts in the media today, took an in-depth look at the recently released survey project on economic mobility conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research. Ron focused on the Americans views on this country as a meritocracy, and how that may impacts Obama's goal of significantly
- [How long will Americans look in the rear-view mirror?  Not that Long.](https://pos.org/how-long-will-americans-look-in-the-rear-view-mirror-not-that-long/) - Everyone knows President Bush left office with record disapproval rating of 67{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} (from January 2009 NBC/WSJ survey). And it’s been part and parcel of the Democratic strategy to continue running against the former president. The Democrats who run campaigns aren’t idiots; they did it because it worked. So, how long will the Bush Hangover last?
- [New NPR Poll Released.](https://pos.org/new-npr-poll-released/) - The NPR bi-partisan polling team of Glen Bolger from Public Opinion Strategies and Stan Greenberg from Greenberg Quinlan, Rosner Research just released a new survey this morning. The survey found: A new NPR poll shows that President Obama's job approval rating is still high — 59 percent — and among likely voters surveyed, the Democratic
- [POS in the News, 3/17/07](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31707/) - NPR covers their poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner: The economy is weighing heavily on Americans' minds, according to a new NPR poll that shows it dominating all other major issues. An overwhelming 97 percent of respondents say the economy is doing poorly, but there are doubts that the stimulus package
- [Obama’s Support Deflating?](https://pos.org/obamas-support-deflating/) - It has to grate President Obama and his team to read the recent Pew poll summary that notes that Obama's current job approval ratings (59%-26%) "remain on par with George W. Bush's ratings in March 2001 (55% approved, 25% disapproved)." In fact, after nearly eight weeks in office, Obama's job approval has slipped under the
- [POS in the News, 3/18/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31809/) - Under Staff Picks of Political Browser (Washington Post) we learn that Polling Director Jon Cohen is reading Neil Newhouse's post from yesterday. Glen Bolger is quoted in an article on National Journal's vote ratings: Republican analysts said the landscape is interesting, but not entirely surprising, considering how few conservatives aspire to serve decades in public
- [It's Independents Day](https://pos.org/its-independents-day/) - The new national survey done for NPR by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research is chock full of interesting data, including some good news for the GOP, as well as continued caution. I will be writing a new post per day this week on the NPR survey. The best news is the generic
- [POS in the News, 3/19/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-31909/) - Ben Goddard of The Hill writes about the recent NPR poll Polls show that voters don’t agree with the senators. Rather than overreaching, they see the president as multitasking, and they think it is high time someone in Washington started doing that. A poll for the Pew Research Center found a solid 56 percent majority
- [Nothing to Sneeze At](https://pos.org/nothing-to-sneeze-at/) - Barack Obama is catching a cold on his economic policies. Sure, his numbers are a lot healthier than George W. Bush’s were in the last years of his Presidency, but there is danger in the data for Democrats. This analysis results are based on a bipartisan survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies together with Greenberg,
- [Print Media Losing Its Relevance?](https://pos.org/print-media-losing-its-relevance/) - Four major newspaper publishers have filed for bankruptcy since December of last year. The Rocky Mountain News in Denver has now entirely ceased to exist. With the Seattle Post-Intelligencer having produced its final print edition after 150 years of publishing and now going entirely on-line and its publisher, Hearst Corporation, considering doing the same soon
- [POS In the News, 3/20/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-32009/) - In National Journal Magazine, Charlie Cook writes about the shift in public opinion of Republican candidates in the The Cook Report Republican pollster Glen Bolger, who worked on the survey for Public Opinion Strategies, says that this is the first time since 2004 that he has seen independents favoring Republicans on the generic ballot test.
- [POS In The News, 3/25/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-32509/) - Michael Barone of AEI mentions the results of the NPR survey Last Wednesday, I noted that Republicans are now running even or slightly ahead in the generic vote for Congress in two respected national polls. On Friday, Charlie Cook noted the same results. He pointed out that the NPR survey shows Independents favoring Republicans 38-24
- [POS in the News, 3/23/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-32309/) - Mark Blumenthal mentions a few of our pollsters' blog posts on Pollster.com Glen Bolger reviews what his NPR/Greenberg/POS survey says about Obama's economic policies (update: also adds cautions for GOP). Stephen Kinney considers the declining relevance of print media.
- [POS in the News, 3/26/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-32609/) - Rebekah Sanders from the Arizona Republic reports on a poll of local support for the Phoenix Coyotes Support for the Phoenix Coyotes may be faltering among the team's closest neighbors, the residents of Glendale, according to a poll released Wednesday by conservative think tank Americans for Prosperity. Less than a quarter of Glendale voters surveyed
- [POS In The News, 3/24/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-32409/) - On Real Clear Politics, Stuart Rothenberg discusses the partisan interpretations of the recent NPR poll. Nobody is under oath, so I suppose that it's too much to expect "the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth," especially when it comes to press releases, headlines and even reputable pollsters. But I was disappointed to
- [RSS](https://pos.org/rss-2/) - We had people ask about our RSS feed last week so we tried to make it more prominent on the page since then. You can click on subscribe at the top of the page to get to it or you can click on the red RSS logo under the Misc. box on the left sidebar.
- [Issues?  I Don't Even Know You!](https://pos.org/issues-i-dont-even-know-you/) - While there are clearly some glimmers of hope for the GOP in the latest NPR survey, there is also some major cautionary notes. The biggest caution of all is that – on four major issue battles, the Democrats have the advantage. This analysis results are based on a bipartisan survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies
- [More Misery (Index)](https://pos.org/more-misery-index/) - The current Misery Index (the unemployment and inflation rates combined) is 8.34 and rising. The unemployment rate alone was 8.1{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}. While history shows the unemployment rate can drop one point in three months once it comes off its peak, it also shows that it then takes six to nine months to drop every point thereafter.
- [POS In The News, 3/27/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-32709/) - Gene Ulm was interviewed on KCRW on American Populism in the 21st century. The link to listen is here.
- [The National Debt DOES Matter!](https://pos.org/the-national-debt-does-matter/) - Poll after poll shows that fixing the economy and getting people back to work is the number one issue on voters’ minds these days. But, our recent NBC/WSJ survey shows that 61{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the country is concerned the federal government will spend too much money trying to boost the economy and as a result will
- [Not All Quiet on the Western Front](https://pos.org/not-all-quiet-on-the-western-front/) - The West proved to be a pivotal battleground n the 2008 elections, both at the presidential level and in the success of Democrats to boost their majorities in the House and Senate. Yet, current polling data seems to indicate that Western voters may be laggards when it comes to their support of all things Democrat.
- [POS In the News, 3/30/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-33009/) - Bill McInturff is quoted by John Harwood in a New York Times article about President Obama's trip to Europe. Add the challenge of promoting a new strategy for the war in Afghanistan, and political strategists say there is no danger that Americans will confuse this trip with an escape from Mr. Obama’s principal responsibilities. Bill
- [POS In the News, 3/31/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-33009-2/) - Pollster.com shows the trend in polls for the New York CD20 race between Jim Tedisco and Scott Murphy. What makes the trend persuasive in this case is how consistent the polls have been in showing Murphy's gains and Tedisco's (more moderate) declines. While there are only five polls, the results for both candidates are remarkably
- [AAPOR Releases Study Of Presidential Primary Polling](https://pos.org/aapor-releases-study-of-presidential-primary-polling/) - I served on an Ad Hoc Committee of the American Association for Public Opinion Research that was formed in response to the controversy over the public polls in the New Hampshire Democratic primary. The Committee's report was released today. Michael Traugott of the University of Michigan chaired the committee, and did yeoman's work keeping the
- [POS In the News, 4/1/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4109/) - The California Republican Party Leadership Journal quotes Charlie Cook's post concerning the possible shift in the Republicans' favor based on the results of the NPR poll.
- [We Are Not Alone:  Independents Are Starting To Think Like Us](https://pos.org/we-are-not-alone-independents-are-starting-to-think-like-us/) - Republicans can find some solace in the recent NPR national survey results that we are not alone. As Glen Bolger noted in his posting Independent’s Day, the GOP might now have a reason to believe. What’s striking about this recent survey data is just how much closer Independents are to Republican voters on many key
- [My Baloney Has A First Name. . .](https://pos.org/my-baloney-has-a-first-name/) - In a shocking finding released today (April 1, 2009) by Public Opinion Strategies, the vast majority of Americans (72%) say they believe the credit crisis is better described as a "bunch of baloney" rather than "real facts." This shocking data cuts across every major demographic group and is evident in every region of the country,
- [POS In The News, 4/3/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4309/) - David Rogers of Politico quotes Neil Newhouse in an article about the new budget and President Obama's activist role early on in his presidency. Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster respected in both parties, said the jury is still out on how the public will finally respond to Obama’s activism. “My impression is he is taking
- [He Needs Them More Than They Need Him?](https://pos.org/he-needs-them-more-than-they-need-him/) - (This article was co-authored by Jim Hobart). In a recent article in The New Republic, Jonathan Chait writes: Obama has come into office having won the popular vote by seven percentage points, along with a 79-seat edge in the House, a 17-seat edge in the Senate, and massive public demand for change. But it's already
- [POS In The News, 4/6/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4609/) - Paul West of the Baltimore Sun quotes Glen Bolger in his article about the possible political change of tide. "Republicans are in better shape now than we were in November or even January," says Glen Bolger, a Republican pollster who conducts surveys for National Public Radio. "We've seen some modest movement for Republicans on party
- [Somehow the Media Will Blame Republicans for This. . .](https://pos.org/somehow-the-media-will-blame-republicans-for-this/) - Pew Research just released an interesting study of Presidential approval trends going back to Richard Nixon’s first term. In it, they examined job ratings for Presidents early in their term, and looked at the gap between Republicans and Democrats on approval. For example, Obama has 59% approval overall, with 88% from Democrats and 27% from
- [Alex Bratty on Minnesota Public Radio Today](https://pos.org/alex-bratty-on-minnesota-public-radio-today/) - POS VP Alex Bratty will be appearing on Midmorning on Minnesota Public Radio later this morning (4/9/09.) The show airs from 9 to 10 a.m. Central Daylight Time. The topic of the program: Is America moving to the left? A list of stations carrying the show can be found here or you can listen live
- [POS In The News, 4/7/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4709/) - The Corner on National Review online quotes Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels' approval rating from a Public Opinion Strategies poll. A recent Public Opinion Strategies Poll conducted on behalf of Indiana Realtors puts Gov. Mitch Daniels' (R) approval rating at 69 percent with 29 percent disapproving. The poll comes on Daniels’ 60th birthday today. The right/wrong
- [POS In The News, 4/8/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4809/) - In National Journal, Kevin Friedel talks about the Republicans' improvement on the generic ballot question on the NPR survey. Three recent polls show the GOP gaining ground on the generic ballot question, starting with an NPR survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) that put the two parties exactly
- [POS In The News, 4/9/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4909/) - In The Weekly Standard, Gary Andres speculates about a possible GOP comeback in 2010, referring to the recent NPR poll and a quote from Glen Bolger's blog post. Some new indications suggest an improving environment for Republicans among independent voters. The first sign comes from a recent bipartisan poll conducted by National Public Radio (NPR).
- [Stop The Presses!?](https://pos.org/stop-the-presses/) - POS partner Steve Kinney raised a great issue in his recent blog posting with data reinforcing that print media is losing its relevance. Clearly newspapers are facing tough times, and unless they find a way to become more relevant and sell their content online we could see more major publications stopping their presses. Some recent
- [Movin’ On Up](https://pos.org/movin-on-up/) - Despite the American economy “movin’ on down” lately, Americans are optimistic about their own ability to climb the economic ladder. Our research shows the public is confident of their ability to improve their lot in life, but are skeptical of the government to do so for them. To read the rest of the April e-Answers
- [The National Debt DOES Matter! - Part 2](https://pos.org/the-national-debt-does-matter-part-2/) - Continuing my focus on the national debt, I think it’s interesting to note that the group most in favor of change during the 2008 presidential campaign is also the group seeking the most change to help address the country’s fiscal problems – that is, younger voters (age 18-34). They are a group that the Republican
- [POS In the News, 4/10/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-41009/) - Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White of New Mexico was interviewed by the Santa Fe Reporter about his stance on reinstating the death penalty, quoting POS survey. I do. There's a poll that was done by Public Opinion Strategies in February of this year that showed 67 percent of the voters in New Mexico supported the
- [POS In The News, 4/14/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-41409/) - Howey Politics Indiana reports on the April 1-2 poll that showed that people in Indiana support property tax caps. An April 1-2 Public Opinion Strategies Poll shows overwhelming support for property tax caps in Indiana. House Speaker B. Patrick Bauer’s (second from left) refusal to allow a vote on the caps could be setting Democrats
- [Lori Weigel on KBDI tonight](https://pos.org/lori-weigel-on-kbdi-tonight/) - Lori Weigel will be on KBDI (Channel 12 - PBS) in Denver tonight (Tuesday April 14) to discuss the future of the Colorado Republican Party on the Aaron Harber Show. The show airs tonight at 8 p.m. MDT (10 p.m. EDT) and will also re-air Wednesday (April 15) at 5 p.m. MDT (7 p.m. EDT.)
- [Better Off Than We Were Four Years Ago](https://pos.org/better-off-than-we-were-four-years-ago/) - In the last off-year elections, Republicans trailed by eight to 15 points on the generic ballot from the summer of 2005 throughout 2006. The challenge wasn't simply Katrina -- the slippage came prior to then, as pre-surge Iraq proved to be a mess. The deficit on the generic ballot remained in double digit range throughout 2008. In case you
- [POS In The News, 4/15/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-41509/) - In The Bellingham Herald, Neil Newhouse was interviewed about Alaska Governor Sarah Palin's possible reasons for attending an anti-abortion banquet in Indiana. Palin is playing it safe by attending an event where "dissenting voices are likely to be far and few between," said Neil Newhouse, a Republican strategist and pollster for Public Opinion Strategies in
- [A Contradiction in Data](https://pos.org/a-contradiction-in-data/) - Yesterday, I wrote a post about the Republican standing on the generic ballot being significantly better off now than four (and two) years ago. Amy Walter from the Hotline made the following comment on my Facebook page: "Thanks for the smart post Glen. It's also interesting to note the tightening of the generic even as
- [POS In The News, 4/16/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-41609/) - Mark Blumenthal of Pollster.com answers the question of what pollsters are doing at this point in the election cycle, which includes watching the generic ballot trend. He includes a quote from Glen Bolger's blog post explaining the significance of the recent NPR poll results. Over at the Public Opinion Strategies blog TQIA, Glen Bolger explains
- [Gore's Invention Is A Necessity for GOPers Seeking to Reach Young Voters](https://pos.org/gores-invention-is-a-necessity-for-gopers-seeking-to-reach-young-voters/) - (This article was co-authored by Jim Hobart.) While many of these blog posts have centered on the need for Republicans to focus on improving with Independents, there are several other key subgroups Republicans need to target if they are to begin to enjoy widespread success on Election Day once again. One of these groups is
- [Western States Round-Up](https://pos.org/western-states-round-up/) - I first posted on the positive trends in Western States last month. The positive movement witnessed last month is holding. Obama Approval President Obama’s approval rating continues its descent in the West. Last month, we reported a 56{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approval rating, with 37{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapproving of the job he is doing as President. That marked a ten
- [Recession Ending This Year, A Good Thing For Democrats in 2010?????](https://pos.org/recession-ending-this-year-a-good-thing-for-democrats-in-2010/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) The Wall Street Journal released its latest monthly poll of leading economists this week, and the average prediction of the 53 economists interviewed on the survey was that the recession the United States is experiencing will be in the past by September. Does this mean the recovery is
- [POS In The News, 4/17/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-41709/) - Howey Politics Indiana reported on the the tax protests that occured on April 15th, mentioning the POS poll conducted earlier this month about tax caps. Speaker Bauer began his April 15 tax day in a rather bizarre mode, too. First, he killed the property tax caps even though a recent Public Opinion Strategies Poll showed
- [An In-Depth Look At The Generic Ballot](https://pos.org/an-in-depth-look-at-the-generic-ballot/) - Last week, I posted a couple of entries looking at the tightening of the generic ballot (in comparison to 2005-2008) despite the challenges that remain for the GOP. This post looks at key subgroups -- other than GOPers, Independents, and Dems (they were covered last week) -- on the generic ballot. The most striking finding
- [POS In The News, 4/21/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-42109/) - The LA Times Top of the Ticket blog mentions Gene Ulm's post on about the misery index. Gene Ulm has an interesting examination of the Misery Index, the combination of the unemployment and inflation rates. Of the 15 midterm elections in the last 60 years, Ulm notes fully 13 have been "change" elections, meaning the
- [Google bigger star than American Idol? Voters say: Trash the TV, keep the home computer!](https://pos.org/google-bigger-star-than-american-idol-voters-say-trash-the-tv-keep-the-home-computer/) - Remember “I want my MTV!”? Well, that’s done with and over. It’s a new generation. First fact: Fully 85% of voters say they have home computers. That includes 67% of seniors, 76% of rural voters and 40% of households with incomes under $20K. When asked which they would give up if forced to make a
- [Is America Becoming A Center-Left Nation?](https://pos.org/is-america-becoming-a-center-left-nation/) - This was the topic of discussion on a recent MPR (Minnesota Public Radio) show that I appeared on. As I commented on the show there are many different ways to look at this, but overall I think the answer is "no." Consider some of the social attitudes that Public Opinion Strategies has been tracking for
- [Anyone For Tea?](https://pos.org/anyone-for-tea/) - Last week brought us tax day, and for some that meant standing in long lines at the post office scrambling to submit returns on time, while for others it meant going out to tea. Yes, tens of thousands of protestors staged "tea parties" around the country last Wednesday to demonstrate their angst over taxes, government
- [POS In the News, 4/27/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-42709/) - Josh Kraushaar discusses the idea of voters seeking checks and balances in the next election with Glen Bolger and Neil Newhouse on Politico's blog The Scorecard. Our latest national survey provides strong evidence that voters are concerned that they have given too much power to one political party and that Republicans can provide a check
- [100 Day Survey Results](https://pos.org/819-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies just completed a national survey of voters, drilling down on attitudes both toward Barack Obama and toward the Republican Party. Along with key measures of attitudes toward the President, the Congress, and the Republican Party, the survey takes an in-depth look at attitudes towards Obama's economic policies, concerns about his Presidency, his
- [Whoa -- What's This? A Compelling GOP Message? Finally!](https://pos.org/whoa-what-this-a-compelling-gop-message-finally/) - Back in the good old days (pre-2005), Republicans used to have messages that resonated with voters. In the 2006 cycle, the illegal immigration message tested well, but it did not end up moving swing voters who were more focused on Iraq and the economy. In 2008, we finally started getting traction with the need for
- [Obamanomics: Voters are either supportively hopeful or doubtfully supportive](https://pos.org/obamanomics-voters-are-either-supportively-hopeful-or-doubtfully-supportive/) - When POS’ Obama: 100 Days In survey asked Americans how they felt about President Obama’s economic polices, most American found themselves hopeful but firmly in the middle. Only a handful (13{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) count themselves among supporters who are confident that the new president’s economic policies will work. SHOCK: The new president can only count on one-in-four
- [President Obama’s Policies Becoming Less Popular, But Do Voters See A Viable Republican Alternative?](https://pos.org/president-obamas-policies-becoming-less-popular-but-do-voters-see-a-viable-republican-alternative/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) All politics aside, Americans still view President Obama, the man, very positively. On our recently completed Public Opinion Strategies "100 Day National Survey," an amazing seventy-nine percent (79%) of the voters we talked to told us they like President Obama as a person. However, a more specific question
- [Statement on Specter Party Switch](https://pos.org/statement-on-specter-party-switch/) - The Republican polling firm of Public Opinion Strategies announced today that it is resigning from Senator Arlen Specter’s campaign team. “Senator Specter has been a record-setting U.S. Senator, and we have been part of his campaign team in 1992, 1998, and 2004, but because of his surprising decision to switch parties today, we will no
- [Obama’s Left-Leanings Not Lost on Voters](https://pos.org/obamas-left-leanings-not-lost-on-voters/) - Voters were not misguided when they elected Barack Obama last November. They knew he was liberal, but it just didn’t matter because he wasn’t George W. Bush. The Obama Administration’s sharp turn to the Left since taking office is starting to leave a mark on voters. In the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal survey, voters labeling
- [POS in the News - 4/29/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-42909/) - First Read quotes Bill McInturff as he discusses the recent NBC/WSJ poll: Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted this survey with Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, says these numbers suggest “someone who is wearing well” with the public at this stage of his presidency. McInturff, in fact, even compares Obama’s early likeability to Ronald Reagan’s
- [NBC / Wall Street Journal survey — April 2009 Results](https://pos.org/nbc-wall-street-journal-survey-april-2009-results/) - Results of the latest NBC-Wall Street Journal survey conducted by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies and Peter Hart of Hart Research Associates are available. The national survey was conducted April 23-26, 2009 among 1,005 adults.
- [Obamanomics: Marginal majority support, but the clock is ticking for results.](https://pos.org/obamanomics-marginal-majority-support-but-the-clock-is-ticking-for-results/) - Our most recent national survey asked a battery of questions on President Obama’s economic policies and the stimulus. In a nutshell, when it comes to Americans: 55% support it; 56% support it and either believe it will work or hope it will work; 57% believe it will help most Americans, and 50% believe it will
- [Trillion - the new billion](https://pos.org/trillion-the-new-billion/) - It was a revelatory moment when I moderated a focus group of Congressional Hill staffers earlier this year and they laughed, no, jeered really, at the mention of billions of dollars. “Billions?” one scoffed. “It’s all trillions these days.” Such may be the warped world of Washington, but at least spending trillions of
- [Obama’s Popularity/Policy Gap: Size Matters](https://pos.org/obamas-popularitypolicy-gap-size-matters/) - So, our POS poll shows President Obama sitting on top of the world. He’s got a 63% approval rating and he’s nearly single-handedly shifted the mood of the country from 12% right direction in November to 40% right direction now. (Come on now, it’s certainly not the rising unemployment rate, the surging deficit, the flagging
- [POS In The News, 05/01/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-050109/) - The Los Angeles Times quotes Neil Newhouse in an article about Chrysler filing for bankruptcy. The White House's deep involvement in the Chrysler bankruptcy proceedings means Obama will be blamed if it turns out badly by hurting union members and retirees, said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster. "After 100 days in office, this is another
- [A Deeper Look at Party Identification](https://pos.org/a-deeper-look-at-party-identification/) - It’s of no surprise to anyone that the partisan gap between Republicans and Democrats has widened over the past two-three years. Our recent national poll (April 19-21, 800 registered voters) pegs the partisan affiliation data at 30% GOP, 37% DEM and 32% IND. In an effort to probe a little deeper into the GOP attrition,
- [Western States Round-Up: On The Comeback Trail?](https://pos.org/western-states-round-up-on-the-comeback-trail/) - It certainly looks that way according to the trend lines. I’ve been keeping tabs on movement in the West, and the positive shifts we have seen this year point to a very different electoral environment than what we faced in November of 2008. Most notably ... the generic congressional ballot. Given our volume of national
- [Young Voters Love Obama, But NOT So Much the Democratic Party](https://pos.org/young-voters-love-obama-but-not-so-much-the-democratic-party/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) We have all heard about how the young voters helped elect President Barack Obama last year, and it is very hard to argue this fact. According to CNN Exit Polls, Obama defeated McCain sixty-six percent (66%) to thirty-two percent (32%) among voters ages 18-24 and sixty-six percent (66%)
- [POS in the News, 5/6/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5609/) - John Baer of Philly.com reports on a poll conducted by POS regarding next year's PA Senate race: Data released yesterday by respected national pollster Neil Newhouse, of Public Opinion Strategies, says that Ridge wins both races (by 37 percentage points over Toomey; by 7 over Specter) if the race were held today. The Morning Call's
- [The President’s Perception Gap](https://pos.org/the-presidents-perception-gap/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty. As the debate over health care heats up and President Obama starts to sell his plan in earnest to the American people, he’s facing a pretty significant perception gap between what the public believe he’s focused on and what they think he should be focused
- [Party Image Matters at the Ballot Box](https://pos.org/party-image-matters-at-the-ballot-box/) - Predictions of the Grand Old Party’s demise are exaggerated, the numbers show a party clawing its way out of the grave. Look at the simple chart below. It’s an amalgamation of two sets of numbers, all taken from a huge data of information taken from NBC News-Wall Street Journal surveys. It explains a lot. The
- [POS In The News, 5/8/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5809/) - The Philadelphia Inquirer reports that Tom Ridge will not run for Senate in 2010, despite the results of a recent POS poll that put him ahead in hypothetical matchups against Republican Pat Toomey and possible Democratic challenger Sen. Arlen Specter. On his National Journal blog, Charlie Cook mentions recent POS polls in reference to the
- [Voters Are Networking](https://pos.org/voters-are-networking/) - Public Opinion Strategies completed a national survey of 800 likely 2010 voters (April 19-21, 2009) where we asked a few demographic questions about cell phones and networking sites such as Facebook and Twitter. As you would suspect only a small percentage (13%) of voters do not have a working cell phone and one-third of likely
- [Recent National Survey Data](https://pos.org/recent-national-survey-data/) - Using our recent national survey, as well as other public polls, we recently put together an in-depth look at the standing of President Obama, the Congress, and the Republican Party. We've attached it here because we thought you would find it of interest.
- [Politics at 30,000 Feet](https://pos.org/politics-at-30000-feet/) - The fabled GOP political advisor Lee Atwater helped the senior George Bush win the presidency in 1988 by admonishing him to spend more time connecting with voters in bowling alleys. The political equivalent for GOP candidates in this era may be the frequent flyer club at their airport. First, here's a reality check for those
- [California Demographic Breakdown: Minorities Becoming More Important To Republicans Every Year](https://pos.org/california-demographic-breakdown-minorities-becoming-more-important-to-republicans-every-year/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) This is the first in a series of blog entries regarding specific voter demographics in California based on a merge of all the statewide interviews conducted by the California Office of Public Opinion Strategies going back to the beginning on 2004. This merge includes a total of over
- [Interesting Breakdown of Gallup Age Data](https://pos.org/interesting-breakdown-of-gallup-age-data/) - While we're not in the habit of linking to Democratic blogs, a recent post breaking down the Gallup party ID data by age was sent to my attention by my friend Steve Moore. The posting takes a look at the party ID gap of voters in Gallup surveys aggregated from the last four months. It then breaks down that
- [Close Gitmo, but what next?](https://pos.org/close-gitmo-but-what-next/) - As POS partner, Glen Bolger recently commented to Politico, "This issue is at the intersection of good policy and good politics. All in favor of having Gitmo terrorists housed in your congressional district, raise your hand. Whoa -- no hands go up!" Well, no kidding... The more this issue gets discussed, the more the public
- [POS In The News, 5/18/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-51809/) - The Public News Service reports on the results of a Pew Environmental Group poll conducted by POS and the Mellman Group here. The survey was also mentioned in Carbon Positive and U.S. News and World Report.
- [Pelosi's Public Opinion Problems Persist, Providing GOP with Hope & Opportunity](https://pos.org/pelosis-public-opinion-problems-persist-providing-gop-with-hope-opportunity/) - (This article was co-authored by Jim Hobart.) While Democrats and the liberal media have spent the last few months trying to drive the narrative that the Republican Party does not have a leader, they have ignored the mounting problem they have with one of the undisputed leaders of their own party. In a recent Financial
- [Going up, or coming down?](https://pos.org/going-up-or-coming-down/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty Is the looming threat to our economy rising inflation, or falling prices, known as deflation? That's the current debate raging among economists as this month brought some more staggering statistics. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped 0.1% in March and was flat in April. However,
- [Poll shows strong national support for "red-light cameras"](https://pos.org/poll-shows-strong-national-support-for-red-light-cameras/) - May 19, 2009, Alexandria, VA - In a recent national survey of voters, Public Opinion Strategies found that fully 69% of Americans support the use of "red-light cameras" at the most dangerous intersections in their states, while just 29% oppose them. Those voters "strongly" supporting red-light cameras outnumber those who strongly oppose them by a wide 45%-18% margin.
- [POS In The News, 5/22/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-52209/) - On National Journal Online, Charlie Cook referenced Glen Bolger's recent post about how Democrats are drawing attention to Speaker Nancy Pelosi's trouble with the interrogation issue. Republicans seem to be delighted with how much Democrats, and Pelosi, are keeping the issue in the headlines. Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart from the Republican polling firm of
- [California Demographic Breakdown: Are Republicans Really Fading, or is President Obama and the Democratic Brand Just More Popular Right Now?](https://pos.org/california-demographic-breakdown-are-republicans-really-fading-or-is-president-obama-and-the-democratic-brand-just-more-popular-right-now/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) This is the second in a series of blog entries regarding specific voter demographics in California based on a merge of all the statewide interviews conducted by the California Office of Public Opinion Strategies going back to the beginning on 2004. This merge includes a total of over
- [POS In The News, 5/29/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-52909/) - National Journal Online quotes Bill McInturff about polling for primary elections in an article about the Republican primary for the Virginia Governor's race. Polling in primary elections may be perilous, but it doesn't have to be impossible. The campaign pollsters who conduct these surveys and live to tell about it constantly remind their clients of
- [Independents Offer Opportunity, Challenge](https://pos.org/independents-offer-opportunity-challenge/) - Faithful readers know that I am obsessed with Independents and swing voters. I have been ever since I worked at the NRCC and we lost an "unloseable" (is that a word?) special election in Indiana's old 4th CD -- a seat that had been held by Dan Coats and Dan Quayle. Evidence that history repeats
- [POS In The News, 6/5/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-6509/) - First Republic posted a Roll Call article about Rep. John Murtha's chances of being relected , mentioning that POS will be polling for his probable challenger, Tim Burns. WOAI News Radio in San Antonio, TX reported the results of a recent survey about how Texans feel about the state of the economy. Texans remain optimistic
- [Democrats take a hard left, but are they moving the country to the right?](https://pos.org/democrats-take-a-hard-left-but-are-they-moving-the-country-to-the-right/) - My partner Glen's OCD is well-placed when it comes to Independent voters; where they end up will decide the 2010 elections. But, their swollen ranks have not just come by way of GOP defections. Thanks to the total, complete, consolidated, and dominating power of President Obama and Congressional allies in Congress, they are now coming
- [POS In The News, 6/9/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-6909/) - Deseret News discussed the results of a poll for Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and Trust for America's Health, which most notably found that Americans are looking to focus on preventative healthcare rather than just "sick care." "We gave Americans a list of proposals being considered to reform health care, and investing in prevention trumped them
- [Cell-Phone-Only Voters in the 2008 Exit Poll](https://pos.org/cell-phone-only-voters-in-the-2008-exit-poll/) - The American Association for Public Opinion Research held its annual conference a few weeks ago in Hollywood, FL. Unfortunately, I could not attend, but several of the presentations from the conference and interviews are posted on the web. One of the presentations focused on the cell-phone-only voters from data collected in the 2008 exit poll.
- [Just Commentin': Pelosi, Cheney Have Similar Images](https://pos.org/just-commentin-pelosi-cheney-have-similar-images/) - The media loves to fawn over Nancy Pelosi, and loves to bash Dick Cheney. And yet, according to the newest USA Today/Gallup poll, the two have essentially the same image. Pelosi has a 34% favorable/50% unfavorable image, while Cheney has a 37% favorable/54% unfavorable image. Both leaders are in pretty bad shape, but it's difficult to
- [POS In The News, 6/10/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-61009/) - Insurance Journal cited the results of a survey conducted in Florida concerning insurance price deregulation. The Credit Union Times included the results of a survey by POS and Hamilton Strategies that found credit unions to be the most popular financial institutions. Volunteertv.com discusses the results of the Knox County mayor poll from earlier this month.
- [Prevention Now For a Healthier Future](https://pos.org/prevention-now-for-a-healthier-future/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff, partner and co-founder, Public Opinion Strategies AND Al Quinlan, president Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Quit smoking. Eat right. Exercise more. For years, you've heard this from your family, your doctors, your teachers, your friends. Now, you can hear it on pretty much any street corner in the country.
- [Not Just A Virtue Anymore. . .Patience Is A Must.](https://pos.org/not-just-a-virtue-anymore-patience-is-a-must/) - One of the questions I'm most frequently asked by Republicans is "when is this going to be viewed as Barack Obama's economy?" After all, GOPers reason, Obama has gotten his stimulus bill, his auto company to play with, and he's making the nation's banks dance to the tune he's calling. However, it's clear the public
- [Republican Resurgence on the Economy?](https://pos.org/republican-resurgence-on-the-economy/) - For months voters’ perception of the Republican Party has been in the doldrums, but new data out from Rasmussen Reports suggests the GOP may be coming back into favor with the public. The data recently released from Rasmussen Reports shows Republicans hold an advantage over Democrats as the party voters most trust to handle on six
- [POS In The News, 06/15/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-061509/) - In an article about presidential popularity and the national debt, Newsweek mentioned Bill McInturff's work with the Peter G. Peterson foundation. Research by Bill McInturff and Peter Hart cited by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation puts the matter in even more telling perspective: 66 percent of registered voters say the deficit and debt pose a
- [POS In The News, 6/18/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-61809/) - The Hill quoted Nicole McCleskey in an article about the rising popularity of Republican Congressional candidates in Western states due to recent heavy government spending. “Western voters are quite independent, and they are looking for greater balance in government. There’s a rather serious concern over policy direction in the Obama administration,” said Nicole McCleskey, a
- [NBC / Wall Street Journal Survey — June 2009 Results](https://pos.org/nbc-wall-street-journal-survey-june-2009-results/) - Results of the latest NBC-Wall Street Journal survey conducted by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies and Peter Hart of Hart Research Associates are available. The national survey was conducted June 12 - 15, 2009 among 1,008 adults.
- [Caution! Too much government control and spending is not what Americans want.](https://pos.org/caution-too-much-government-control-and-spending-is-not-what-americans-want/) - There has been a lot of noise recently from critics of the Republican Party, saying the Party has no clear message, or that it’s not in touch with what voters want. But our latest NBC/WSJ poll* suggests that in fact Republicans are in sync with the public when they express fears that Obama and Democrats
- ["Deficit Hawks" on the Rise](https://pos.org/1277-2/) - By Neil Newhouse and Jeremy Ruch Recent surveys by The New York Times/CBS News and NBC News/Wall Street Journal highlight two emerging trends in American public opinion - Americans are increasingly worried about the federal budget deficit, and they're skeptical about the efficacy of Obama's economic plans. The data is pretty clear: When asked about
- [POS In The News, 6/22/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-62209/) - The Pasadena Star News includes a quotation from Neil Newhouse in an article about the DCCC targeting Rep. David Dreier's seat in 2010. If Dreier managed to get re-elected in 2008 during one of the toughest races for the Republican Party, it is not likely a Democratic candidate can unseat him in 2010, according to
- [California Demographic Breakdown: Young Voters in California Still a Winnable Group for Republicans?](https://pos.org/california-demographic-breakdown-young-voters-in-california-still-a-winnable-group-for-republicans/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) This is the third in a series of blog entries regarding specific voter demographics in California based on a merge of all the statewide interviews conducted by the California Office of Public Opinion Strategies going back to the beginning on 2004. This merge includes a total of over
- [Health Care Dichotomy Continues](https://pos.org/health-care-dichotomy-continues/) - The recently released Resurgent Republic survey on health care is so chock full of interesting data, that I'm going to write a couple of blog posts on it this week. (Note: I am on the National Survey Research Advisory Board of the organization). The first observation is what makes health care such a difficult issue
- [Intersection of politics and Internet continuing to grow.](https://pos.org/intersection-of-politics-and-internet-continuing-to-grow/) - This post was written by Jim Hobart and Glen Bolger. According to a recently released survey from the Pew Internet and American Life Project, 55% of the adult population are now what Pew classifies as "online political users," or, people who go online to either get information about politics, or to get involved in
- [Buyers’ Remorse?](https://pos.org/buyers-remorse/) - Winning the Independent vote isn’t the only reason Barack Obama won the presidential election last year, but it is certainly one of the key factors. Indeed, he carried this important sub-group by eight points (52% Obama, 44% McCain), and until recently Independents have been staunch supporters of the president. However, our recent NBC/WSJ poll* shows
- [POS in the News, 7/6/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-7609/) - Over the weekend, Mark Blumenthal of Pollster.com linked to Alex Bratty's recent blog post, "Buyers' Remorse?" From an article by Politico's Jonathan Martin regarding Sarah Palin's Friday announcement that she was resigning as Governor of Alaska: “There is just no good way to say quitting has made her more qualified to run for higher office,”
- [The Health Care Debate: Witness The “NIMBY” Effect In Action](https://pos.org/the-health-care-debate-witness-the-nimby-effect-in-action/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty. If you’ve been following the ins-and-outs of the health care debate and reading some of the recent articles regarding public attitudes towards the proposal for a public plan you might be a little confused about what it is people really want. And rightly so, for
- [Sotomayor, Senator Specter, and the GOP Base](https://pos.org/sotomayor-senator-specter-and-the-gop-base/) - I typically receive four morning emails with political news and analysis. There's usually something smart or helpful in each. Today's First Read email from the smart people (which doesn't mean they are always right, but they are usually interesting) in NBC's Political shop (led by the now famous Chuck Todd -- I knew him back
- [Psst.  The Media Missed it: The Obama Honeymoon just ended.](https://pos.org/psst-the-media-missed-it-the-obama-honeymoon-just-ended/) - Here at Public Opinion Strategies, it is axiomatic that a president’s job approval is held captive by the mood of the country. Between President Obama’s swearing in and early June, national right direction numbers ballooned from 28% up to 46% while his job approval hovered in the low 60s. Since early June, right direction numbers
- [E-Answers: Dancing with the Deficit](https://pos.org/e-answers-dancing-with-the-deficit/) - President Obama and Democrats in Congress have plunged into a full fox trot with Keynesian economics, swooping past all records of deficit spending in an attempt to lift the U.S. economy. While Democratic voters have generally swooned over the jitterbug pace at which the Administration and Congress has blown through budget barriers, they may be
- [Feelin' Groovy...](https://pos.org/feelin-groovy/) - Slow down, you move too fast You've got to make the morning last Just kickin' down the cobble stones Looking for fun and feelin' groovy! Abundant apologies to Simon and Garfunkel, but doesn't the recent CBS national poll regarding Obama and his policies reflect a public that believe he's breaking the speed limit with his
- [POS In The News, 7/20/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-72009/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted on StlToday.com in an article about Missouri Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer. That strategy could prove to be effective, said Neil Newhouse, a Missouri native and partner in a leading Republican polling firm in Washington. "It's not about Republican ideas because people are never going to hear them," Newhouse said. "The midterm elections
- [Public Believes Obama Needs Tighter Wallet, Not Tighter Blue Jeans.](https://pos.org/public-believes-obama-needs-tighter-wallet-not-tighter-blue-jeans/) - This article was co-written by Jim Hobart and Glen Bolger. As President Obama uses his two favorite Presidential toys, the Teleprompter and the bully pulpit, to push his health care plan, public poll after public poll continues to show his numbers dropping across the board. While his job approval remains comfortably over 50%, (55.9% according
- [New NPR Poll Released.](https://pos.org/new-npr-poll-released-2/) - The NPR bi-partisan polling team of Glen Bolger from Public Opinion Strategies and Stan Greenberg from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research just released a new survey this morning. Link to the questionnaire with the results here. We’ve also got charts of the results. I will be posting more in-depth findings from the survey throughout the week,
- [POS In The News, 7/29/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-72909/) - Oregon Public Radio posted an article discussing the recent decline in Obama's approval ratings and referenced a recent NPR poll conducted by POS and Greenburg. Power Line quotes Neil Newhouse in post about Sarah Palin's political future on the national stage. The first comes from pollster Neil Newhouse. He says: "It's unquestionable that [Palin] has
- [Oh God, Book III: Not A Smash Hit](https://pos.org/oh-god-book-iii-not-a-smash-hit/) - For a President that the media has both compared to God, and worshiped like one, Barack Obama has fallen on some tough times. Not horrendous times, but he's not exactly walking on water any more. The latest poll conducted by GQR and POS highlights some of the public opinion challenges that have slowed Obama's direct
- [There's No Better Alternative Than Alternative](https://pos.org/theres-no-better-alternative-than-alternative/) - There were several sobering findings in the NPR poll done by POS and GQR (neither NPR nor GQR are responsible for any of the conclusions in this posting). One of which is that the GOP counter message on cap and trade/energy got spanked by the Democrat message by 13 points, including seven on intensity. (I
- [POS In The News, 7/31/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-73109/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in a National Journal article about President Obama's declining poll numbers. "Once his job approval hits the percentage of the vote he got on Election Day, that means... his honeymoon is over," said GOP pollster Neil Newhouse. "That's the official demarcation denoting the end of the honeymoon. It was a good
- [POS In The News, 8/3/09](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-8309/) - Bill McInturff, Alex Bratty, and former RNC chairman Richard Bond wrote a column about education reform that appeared in Sunday's Washington Post. Bill McInturff was mentioned in NBC's First Read blog concerning public opinion of some of former President Bush's policies. When you add that finding to last month’s NBC/WSJ result that 52% oppose the
- [Americans are getting focused on health care reform – and many don’t like what they see.](https://pos.org/americans-are-getting-focused-on-health-care-reform-and-many-dont-like-what-they-see/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty. A few weeks ago your faithful pollsters checked in to report what we were seeing in our data on the health care debate. Back then almost a third of the country (30%) said they did not know enough to have an opinion about the President’s
- [Intensity is Beginning to Work Against Obama On Politics, Policies.](https://pos.org/intensity-is-beginning-to-work-against-obama-on-politics-policies/) - The recent NPR survey conducted jointly between POS and GQR underscores the biggest change in the President's fortunes in the first six months of the Obama Administration. The tide of intensity of public opinion is now moving solidly against Barack Obama -- both politically and on policy. (This article does not necessarily reflect the opinions of NPR or
- ["Man and Wife. Say Man and Wife."](https://pos.org/man-and-wife-say-man-and-wife/) - Marriage. Marriage is what brings us together today. Most of the analyses looking at politics today focus on either the gender gap, or the generation gap, or the huge differences between base partisans. However, one of the more enduring and important gaps is the marriage/single gap. The 2008 exit polls showed the gap. The 66{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}
- [The honeymoon is over. Political gravity brings Obama back down to earth.](https://pos.org/the-honeymoon-is-over-political-gravity-brings-obama-back-down-to-earth/) - Since January many people have asked me and my colleagues at Public Opinion Strategies when President Obama’s honeymoon period will be over. As pollsters we can’t predict the future and read tea-leaves, but we can read current data. The answer is, it’s happening right now. Our latest NBC/WSJ poll* shows President Obama’s ratings dropping across
- [POS In The News, 8/5/09](https://pos.org/1462-2/) - The Wall Street Journal quotes Bill McInturff in an article on how Americans feel about health care reform. "Health care is intensely personal," says Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who co-directs the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll and has long studied attitudes about health care. "It's not like welfare. It's about me." Politico published an
- [The Perfect Storm?](https://pos.org/the-perfect-storm/) - Remember this line from The Perfect Storm uttered by Bobby Shatford (Mark Wahlberg)? Skip, what are we gonna do about those numbers? They suck. Kind of captures how The White House may be looking at the recent flurry of negative polls showing the President’s approval rating sinking, the air going out of his health care
- [Republican Resurgence - Part II](https://pos.org/republican-resurgence-part-ii/) - In June I wrote about the need for the Republican Party to act on the public’s increasing dissatisfaction over the level of government spending and their concern about the ever-increasing federal deficit. Our latest NBC/WSJ poll* shows this a real and growing opportunity, with the public starting to thaw on the GOP – at least when
- [Pelosi et al: Dog days of August, or just dog days, period?](https://pos.org/pelosi-et-al-dog-days-of-august-or-just-dog-days-period/) - As Congress splits town for the August recess, Members return to their districts where Americans are giving them a pretty poor report card. Our late July NBC/WSJ poll* shows the country is pretty unimpressed with Nancy Pelosi and the Congress as a whole. Just one-quarter (24%) approves of the job Congress is doing, and disapproval
- [Americans think health care protests not un-American.](https://pos.org/americans-think-health-care-protests-not-un-american/) - This article was co-written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart. As the health care debate moves from the Capitol in D.C. to high school gymnasiums across the country, Democrats still find themselves on the losing end of the message battle and their hopes for creating a government-controlled and taxpayer-funded system continue to dwindle. Two recently
- [Purple Gain: Why Colorado Is a Swing State and What the GOP Can Do About It](https://pos.org/purple-gain-why-colorado-is-a-swing-state-and-what-the-gop-can-do-about-it/) - For purple mountain majesties Above the fruited plain! Those words, penned by a young woman who had been inspired by the view from the top of Pikes Peak, have never more aptly described Colorado. Purple: you know, the color of royalty, the Northwestern Wildcats, and those most coveted voters we deem up for grabs. Click
- [Americans to Obama: Go slower](https://pos.org/americans-to-obama-go-slower/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty. It may be August, but we’re still here monitoring the public mood as the health care debate picks up steam. The latest news: Americans are paying attention to the health care debate and the message they’re sending to Obama is "go slow!" Our recent NBC
- [Governing Is About Ideology and Competence](https://pos.org/governing-is-about-ideology-and-competence/) - This article was co-written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart. Gallup recently used the ideology data from their tracking surveys from the first half of 2009 to compiled a list of the most conservative and most liberal states. While there are few surprises in the data (Alabama and Mississippi are the most conservative states, Massachusetts
- [PUBLIC OPINION OF OBAMA HEALTH PLAN AS BAD OR WORSE AS CLINTON PLAN IN 1994](https://pos.org/public-opinion-of-obama-health-plan-as-bad-or-worse-as-clinton-plan-in-1994/) - New national survey data released today by Public Opinion Strategies shows the country’s opinion of President Obama’s health care plan is virtually the same as that measured for President Clinton’s plan in 1994. “This data is highly problematic for the President and clearly demonstrates the struggle President Obama faces as he tries to sell his
- [National Journal: Don't Shoot The Pollsters](https://pos.org/national-journal-dont-shoot-the-pollsters/) - National Journal: Don't Shoot The Pollsters Reaction To NBC's Polling On The Public Option Misses The Whole Story by Mark Blumenthal Monday, Aug. 31, 2009 (Click the link to read the entire article. Below are some of the key paragraphs.) Like predictions? Here's an easy one: When the political winds shift and polls show bad
- [Obama's Tumble -- It's Nothing Personal.](https://pos.org/obamas-tumble-its-nothing-personal/) - Mullings.com writer (and friend of Public Opinion Strategies) Rich Galen pointed out today that on the 100th day of his Administration, Barack Obama had a 67% approve/28% disapprove rating. Now, however, after 224 days of his Administration, Obama has tumbled down to a 51% approve/42% disapprove rating. Thus, it took just 124 days for the
- [Obama’s Elevator is Going  D O W N](https://pos.org/1570-2/) - By Neil Newhouse and Lisa Valentine Barack Obama started his term as president with one of the higher initial presidential approval ratings in recent history (64% according to Pew). However, his approval score has fallen further and faster than any elected US President since the era of modern polling. (Just so you know, I am
- [Big Government is STILL Not the Answer](https://pos.org/big-government-is-still-not-the-answer/) - If President Obama can give just one more speech, then maybe Americans will understand that government really does know best and can be the solution to our problems. Not likely. The American public has down an abrupt about-face in the last six months when confronted with the realities of an Obama Administration and Democratic Congress.
- [GOP Reconciliation and Resurrection](https://pos.org/gop-reconciliation-and-resurrection/) - It wasn’t too long ago that some pundits were writing the obituary of the Republican Party. They jumped the gun. While not out of the woods, there are clear signs that the Republican Party is off life support. In a recent national survey conducted for the Republican State Leadership Committee, the Republican Party brand shows
- [RSLC National Survey Release](https://pos.org/rslc-national-survey-release/) - Here's a link to an important and interesting national survey released today by the Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC), conducted by Nicole McCleskey. Among the key findings: -- President Obama's approval rating drop now ties Bill Clinton with the steepest decline in presidential approval ratings during the first six months in office. -- Important signs
- [The Health Care Debate: It’s Still A Lot Like 1994...](https://pos.org/the-health-care-debate-its-still-a-lot-like-1994/) - Pre-Labor Day and pre-Obama’s health care speech to Congress: Public Opinion Strategies brought to your attention the very close parallels between the health care debate in 1994 when the Clintons tried (and failed) to jam reform through Congress, and today as Obama tries to jam it through. Indeed, our August data showed that public opinion
- [Holding the Democrats' Feet to the Fire On the Economy and Health Care](https://pos.org/holding-the-democrats-feet-to-the-fire-on-the-economy-and-health-care/) - This is not a polling analysis. Instead, I thought it important to share two key strategic message points on the blog. The first is, there has been a move afoot among Democrats and some in the media to claim that the economy has turned around. And, of course, they point to select stats to make
- [Merge Data Analysis: Examining the GOP’s struggles in the Northeast](https://pos.org/merge-data-analysis-examining-the-gops-struggles-in-the-northeast/) - By: Jeremy Ruch This article highlights key findings from a merge analysis conducted by Public Opinion Strategies of all interviews conducted by the firm on national surveys since 2004. This merge analysis contains more than 100,000 interviews (and growing) and is a valuable tool for tracking demographic and attitudinal shifts over time. For more information
- [The incumbent party loses when voters say No Confidence](https://pos.org/the-incumbent-party-loses-when-voters-say-no-confidence/) - The Michigan Consumer Confidence Index numbers for August are out: 65.7, or one of the 33 worst months on record. The University of Michigan started the Index in winter of 1978 and has released data monthly ever since. While not as predictive as one of our other favorite indexes, the Misery Index, the consumer confidence
- [Merge Data Analysis: Suburban Women and the Republican Party](https://pos.org/merge-data-analysis-suburban-women-and-the-republican-party/) - By: Lisa Valentine This article highlights key findings from a merge analysis conducted by Public Opinion Strategies of all interviews conducted by the firm on national surveys since 2004. This merge analysis contains more than 100,000 interviews (and growing) and is a valuable tool for tracking demographic and attitudinal shifts over time. For more information
- [Merge Data Analysis: White Working Men](https://pos.org/merge-data-analysis-white-working-men/) - By: Dave Wilson This article highlights key findings from a merge analysis conducted by Public Opinion Strategies of all interviews conducted by the firm on national surveys since 2004. This merge analysis contains more than 100,000 interviews (and growing) and is a valuable tool for tracking demographic and attitudinal shifts over time. For more information
- [NBC News/ Wall Street Journal Survey Results - September 2009](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-survey-results-september-2009/) - Results of the latest NBC-Wall Street Journal survey conducted by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies and Peter Hart of Hart Research Associates are available. The national survey was conducted September 17-20, 2009 among 1,005 adults. The full results can be found here.
- [Caveat Emptor: Buyer Beware](https://pos.org/caveat-emptor-buyer-beware/) - In June, I wrote a piece noting that Independents – one of President Obama’s electoral keys to the White House – appeared to be experiencing some buyers’ remorse on their 2008 vote decision. It’s just a few months later, and less than a year since Obama took office, but it seems the American public, and
- [Obama Weaker on Nation's Top Priorities](https://pos.org/obama-weaker-on-nations-top-priorities/) - I wanted to get to this early September poll by AP-Gfk sooner, but time got away from me. However, the data is so compelling it is still worth reviewing. The key finding of the survey -- as highlighted by the chart below -- is that Barack Obama has a net negative rating on five of
- [Afghanistan: Facing Reverse Coalitions](https://pos.org/afghanistan-facing-reverse-coalitions/) - Health care and the economy have been front and center for several months now. However, bubbling up in the background is the coming debate over whether to increase troop levels in Afghanistan and our latest NBC/WSJ poll* reveals the coalitional challenge President Obama faces on this issue. On the surface, the public is fairly pessimistic
- [Public Opinion Strategies congratulates Richard "R.J." Berry, newly elected mayor of Albuquerque, NM.](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-richard-rj-berry-newly-elected-mayor-of-albuquerque-nm/) - October 6 - R.J. Berry claimed victory in the race for Albuquerque mayor, defeating three-term incumbent mayor Martin Chavez and former State Senate President and congressional candidate Richard Romero. . Berry won with a decisive margin over his two opponents, earning 44% of the vote in the three-way race to avoid a run-off. Public Opinion
- [A Ginned-Up GOP!](https://pos.org/a-ginned-up-gop/) - We all know in a presidential election year there is a surge in the number of people following political news and the intensity with which they’re paying attention to it. This is usually followed by a precipitous drop in the year that follows as the big decision has been made and Americans can continue going
- [The New Republican Force](https://pos.org/the-new-republican-force/) - The story shaping up for the 2009 elections might be Republican vote intensity. We witnessed this Republican enthusiasm last week in the Albuquerque mayor’s race. It is one thing to say polling indicates we could have a high Republican turnout election. It is quite another to see it work first-hand. In Albuquerque, Republicans were
- [It’s Independents, stupid.](https://pos.org/its-independents-stupid/) - As you know, I’ve been closely monitoring public opinion among Independents for some time now. A few of my recent postings have highlighted this key sub-group, noting their shift away from President Obama and the various policies he is trying to pursue. Until now, these shifts have been emerging trends, but yesterday, Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
- [Why AC/DC Matters.](https://pos.org/why-acdc-matters/) - You would never know it by reading the rock-and-roll press: metal band AC/DC has sold more records in the U.S. than Michael Jackson or Bruce Springsteen. More than 200 million albums world-wide and trail only the Beatles as the second best selling act EVER. "Back In Black" is the second best-selling album in history –
- [ICYMI: Democracy Corps Poll Of the Best of the Best Has Evidence of Dem Decline.](https://pos.org/icymi-democracy-corps-poll-of-cds/) - A friend kindly sent me this blog post on a recent Democracy Corps poll that did not receive the usual Democracy Corps publicity treatment (and their usual work is noted with envy, not criticism). In fact, as the blogger notes, there has been little to no press attention paid to the survey. So, since my
- [Semi-Secret Democracy Corps Poll Uncovers Perceptual Problems for Dems](https://pos.org/semi-secret-democracy-corps-poll-uncovers-perceptual-problems-for-dems/) - Okay, it's only "semi-secret" because Democracy Corps put it on their website. However, they did so without any of their usual fanfare -- email blasts, press releases, and James Carville ruminating on the numbers. Yesterday's first article on it showed the rapid decline in the political environment since April. They also asked how well a
- [BERRY ELECTION PROVED SWING VOTERS ARE BACK IN PLAY](https://pos.org/berry-election-proved-swing-voters-are-back-in-play/) - By Jay McCleskey, Partner, Lincoln Strategy Group Nicole McCleskey, Partner, Public Opinion Strategies The Albuquerque Journal labeled the RJ Berry win in the mayoral race “a move to the right.” That is a true statement. But it’s not just because a Republican mayor was elected for the first time in over 20 years. It’s
- [Policy Starts With "P" and That Rhymes With "T" and That Stands for Trouble Right There in Dem City](https://pos.org/policy-starts-with-p/) - The semi-secret Democracy Corps poll, about which I have already blogged here and here, is chock full of interesting data, and today I'm going to analyze the shift in their party issue handling numbers. Our friends over at Democracy Corps beg to differ with my analysis thus far, and so have written a response piece
- [Democracy Corps Poll Shows Stronger GOP Messages on the Economy](https://pos.org/dem-poll-shows-strong-gop-messages-on-economy/) - The semi-secret Democracy Corps poll that I've been blogging about all week (here, here, and here) is chock-full of heavenly data. It really is interesting -- and my focus spurred our friends on the left to write a response. The last analysis I'm going to write on it focuses on their economic message testing for the
- [It Might Not Be Obama's Economy, But That's Not The Right Question To Ask](https://pos.org/it-might-not-be-obamas-econ/) - (This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart.) As the economy remains in turmoil, evidenced by a weakening dollar and unemployment continuing to move toward 10%, the question many Republicans ask is when blame for the poor economy will be shifted from the Bush administration to the Obama administration. However, this is the
- [The GOP opportunity amidst the anger and chaos.](https://pos.org/the-gop-opportunity-amidst-the-anger-and-chaos/) - "I don’t have to tell you things are bad. Everybody knows things are bad. It’s a depression. Everybody’s out of work or scared of losing their job. The dollar buys a nickel’s worth. Banks are going bust. Shopkeepers keep a gun under the counter. Punks are running wild in the street. There’s nobody anywhere seems
- [Congratulations to Bob McDonnell; An Analysis of His Win](https://pos.org/congratulations-to-bob-mcdonnell/) - (Glen Bolger is proud to have served has Bob McDonnell's pollster for both his Attorney General's race and his Gubernatorial race. Here are some observations about the campaign.) Democrat claims that Bob McDonnell’s victory in Virginia is just a Republican electorate reasserting itself and has nothing to do with Barack Obama are simply trying to
- [Lessons Learned From the Virginia Gubernatorial Race](https://pos.org/lessons-learned-from-the-virginia-gubernatorial-race/) - Win or lose, there are always lessons to be learned from campaigns. Here are five lessons from Virginia: In a toss-up political environment, candidate quality matters most. The political environment has shifted back to even, away from Dem dominance. The mood of the state under a Democrat governor was mixed, and President Obama had a
- [Fired Up, Ready to Go Storm the Ballot Boxes](https://pos.org/fired-up-ready-to-go-storm-the-ballot-boxes/) - The biggest story of Bob McDonnell’s dominating win in the Virginia Gubernatorial election is the enthusiasm of Republican voters, and the dispirited nature of Democratic voters. In 2005, I did the polling for Bob’s successful run for Attorney General. It’s now famous that Bob won the race by only 323 votes over Creigh Deeds. Bob
- [It’s not just the data anymore; elections have consequences.](https://pos.org/its-not-just-the-data-anymore-elections-have-consequences/) - Given the amount I’ve written about Independent voters recently, I would be remiss not to comment on the happy outcome of Tuesday’s elections in New Jersey and Virginia, and the impact of the Independent vote. As with any election, several factors were involved in this week’s GOP victories: Republicans were "fired up and ready to
- [Democrats have good reason to feel afraid](https://pos.org/democrats-have-good-reason-to-feel-afraid/) - By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey If some Democrats have lost sleep over the last week, it is with good reason. Republicans are knocking on their doors, loud enough to cause some nightmares heading into 2010. Voters waved good-bye to President Bush in January, and he is increasingly fading in the rear view mirror. Democrats
- [Shhh -- Don't Tell Anyone, But Obama Hurt Deeds in Virginia](https://pos.org/shhh-dont-tell-anyone/) - Democrats and the press are on a self-delusional kick that Barack Obama had nothing to do with the results in Virginia and New Jersey. That's fine by me. The more the Dems deny to themselves that Independents moved to the GOP and that Republican voters were fired up because of concerns about Obama, the less
- [Trends to Watch Heading into 2010](https://pos.org/trends-to-watch-heading-into-2010/) - By Nicole McCleskey and Bill McInturff As we look back to the Virginia and New Jersey elections, there are five important trends worth watching heading into 2010 that foreshadow good things to come for Republican candidates. 1. Republican voters are incredibly fired up about elections right now. This was on full display in Virginia and
- [The Vote In The House Fails to Build Support for Health Care Reform](https://pos.org/the-vote-in-the-house-fails-to-build-support-for-health-care-reform/) - By Bill McInturff and Elizabeth Harrington In one of the first national surveys completed after the House vote on health care reform…things do not look good for President Obama and Democrats in Congress: Opposition to President Obama’s health care plan is higher after the House vote than our previous tracks (29{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} favor/40{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} oppose). Voters’ net
- [Government-Run Health Care: They Can’t Be For Real....It Must Be A (Bad) Dream](https://pos.org/government-run-health-care-they-cant-be-for-realit-must-be-a-bad-dream/) - If health care reform wasn’t such a serious issue with the lives and welfare of millions of Americans at stake, I might think President Obama and Democrats in Congress were playing one big national prank on us by suggesting the government should run health care. But, the fact is, health care reform IS a serious
- [The September 11th Trials: Yet another bad idea from the Obama Administration.](https://pos.org/the-september-11th-trials-yet-another-bad-idea-from-the-obama-administration/) - As the heath care debate has consumed much of the news coverage and political chit-chat over the last few weeks, focus on an important decision from President Obama’s Administration has been left hovering on the back burner. That’s the decision to try the suspected terrorists of the September 11 attacks in U.S. civilian court. It
- [Double-Digit Unemployment and the end of deflation signals a big rise in the Misery Index Doom for Democrats?](https://pos.org/double-digit-unemployment-and-the-end-of-deflation-signals-a-big-rise-in-the-misery-index-doom-for-democrats/) - In case you missed it, America’s unemployment rate passed into double-digits and is now at 10.0 percent. This is a hardship on Americans that has only happened ONE other time in the Post War era: 1982. What happened the last time unemployment broke the ten-point barrier? In 1982, Republicans who held the White House under
- [A Date We Can’t Believe In?](https://pos.org/a-date-we-cant-believe-in/) - (This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart.) President Obama’s speech outlining his plans for the war in Afghanistan going forward has already generated a lot of very interesting polling data. A recent Quinnipiac survey tested approval of the surge, approval of the timeline for withdrawal, and belief that the withdrawal would actually
- [We haven’t spent enough with Stimulus I, we need to spend more with Stimulus II – really?](https://pos.org/we-havent-spent-enough-with-stimulus-i-we-need-to-spend-more-with-stimulus-ii-really/) - President Obama announced on Tuesday that the government is going to spend more money to create new jobs. No doubt, with unemployment still over the double-digit threshold we certainly need new jobs – but is more spending by the government really the answer? Not according to the public in a slew of recently released public polls: Six-in-ten
- [Obama’s Slide on Specific Issues Continues Despite White House Strategies](https://pos.org/obamas-slide-on-specific-issues-continues-despite-white-house-strategies/) - This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart. While much attention is (rightfully) being paid to President Obama’s approval rating dipping below 50% in numerous tracking polls, his approval numbers on issues have also continued their downward descent that began months ago. According to a recent Bloomberg survey, the top four issues among
- [Americans are channeling Rush](https://pos.org/americans-are-channeling-rush/) - Could Libertarian cult-icon Neil Peart – drummer and song-writer for the Canadian band Rush – be the Idea Man of the GOP? If it’s true, he would be on the cutting edge of an already large and growing constituency: voters who don’t trust government. And, it’s not just when it comes to health care. The
- [TARP Leftovers? Deficit Reduction, Not Stimulus](https://pos.org/tarp-leftovers-deficit-reduction-not-stimulus/) - The recently completed “Wealth in America” survey done for CNBC by Dem pollster Peter Hart, and GOP pollster (and my biz partner) Bill McInturff, had an interesting question on the unused TARP money. The survey was conducted December 1-3, 2009 among 808 adults. The question: There is some two hundred billion dollars left over from
- [Numbers to Watch in 2010: Presidential Approval](https://pos.org/numbers-to-watch-in-2010-presidential-approval/) - This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart This is the first in a series of posts examining key polling data and other numbers to watch as we move towards Election Day. Over the course of the past year, much attention was given to the decline in President Obama’s approval rating from its
- [With Data Like This, It’s No Surprise Democrats Are Taking A Pass On 2010.](https://pos.org/with-data-like-this-its-no-surprise-democrats-are-taking-a-pass-on-2010/) - The New Year has brought with it a flurry of announcements from Democrats who say they’d rather retire than fight on in 2010. Hardly a surprise when you consider the public sentiment we’re measuring in the NBC/WSJ poll. Over the course of 2009 the image of the Democratic Party slipped steadily from an 18-point net
- [Analysis: GOP Candidates Need to Stay on Message, NOT Play the Inside the Beltway Game](https://pos.org/analysis-gop-candidates-need-to-stay-on-message-not-play-the-inside-the-beltway-game/) - The current debate among pundits regarding the GOP's chances to take control of the House and make sizable gains in the Senate is both important and completely not important. It is important because the perceived chances of a GOP takeover in the House and a much better ability in the Senate to check the Dems
- [Western States Update: GOP Back on Top](https://pos.org/western-states-update-gop-back-on-top/) - By Nicole McCleskey The December NBC/Wall Street Journal survey confirmed a year-long trend of voters moving away from President Obama and The Democratic Party, setting the stage for what promises to be an exciting election year out West. Retirements this week prompted me to once again look at the data out West. While the trends
- [Obama Opens 2010 Near Historic Low for Sophomore Presidents](https://pos.org/obama-opens-2010-near-historic-low-for-sophomore-presidents/) - This post was written by Neil Newhouse and Jeremy Ruch President Obama’s job approval in the January 2-4 Gallup Daily tracking was the second lowest in the modern era for Presidents starting their second year in office. Obama opened the new year with a 50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}-44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} job approval rating which was marginally higher than President Reagan’s
- [Getting Realistic About The Economy](https://pos.org/getting-realistic-about-the-economy/) - This weekend on CNN’s State of the Union with John King, Christina Romer, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said she expects the economy to get better by the spring and that she thought this was a "realistic estimate." I sure hope she’s right about that, but unfortunately with the unemployment rate
- [It's Not Just The Economy, Stupid](https://pos.org/its-not-just-the-economy-stupid/) - Senior White House political adviser David Axelrod recently made the case that one of three ways the Democrats could improve their position in the 2010 mid-terms would be for job growth and an economic recovery. Obviously an economy that is creating jobs rather than simply shedding them is more helpful to the party in power,
- [Massachusetts Voters in their Own Words...](https://pos.org/massachusetts-voters-in-their-own-words/) - Note: Neil Newhouse is proud to have served as the pollster for the Brown for Senate campaign and the National Republican Senatorial Committee in this race. Massachusetts voters were sending a myriad of messages today with their election of Scott Brown. Here's what we heard from voters we polled over the past two weeks... "We're
- [Memo to National Democratic Leaders](https://pos.org/memo-to-national-democratic-leaders/) - TO: NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC LEADERS FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE - PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES SUBJECT: WHAT MASSACHUSETTS MEANS FOR YOU DATE: JANUARY 19, 2010 (Note: Neil Newhouse is proud to have served as the pollster for the Brown for Senate campaign and the National Republican Senatorial Committee.) On the heels of Scott Brown's stunning landslide victory in Massachusetts,
- [Scott Brown’s Twelve Keys To Victory...](https://pos.org/scott-browns-twelve-keys-to-victory/) - Note: Neil Newhouse is proud to have served as the pollster for the Brown for Senate campaign and the National Republican Senatorial Committee in this race. The Scott Brown victory was indeed the perfect storm – a terrific and engaging candidate, a tremendous campaign team, an issue environment that was strongly tilted away from the
- [Lessons from Virginia and Massachusetts](https://pos.org/lessons-from-virginia-and-massachusetts/) - On Sunday, January 24th, the lead op-ed in the Sunday Outlook section of the Washington Post was written by Glen Bolger and Neil Newhouse. Here are some of the highlights from the article: We had the privilege of serving as pollsters in two of these three victorious Republican campaigns, in Virginia and in Massachusetts, and
- [GOP Now Holds Sizable Lead on the Generic Ballot. . .](https://pos.org/gop-lead-generic-ballot/) - For the first time since June 2003, the Republican candidate has a five point lead on the generic ballot in a new survey conducted for NPR by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner and Associates. The Republican candidate has a 44%-39% advantage. (The analysis of the data in this article does not necessarily reflect
- [State Of The Union Agenda](https://pos.org/state-of-the-union-agenda/) - As President Obama prepares to deliver his first State of the Union address this evening, his team might want to consult our latest NBC/WSJ poll* since it paints a pretty clear picture of what the public thinks he should be spending his time on. A majority of Americans tell us he is giving too little
- [Latest NBC/WSJ Survey](https://pos.org/update-1/) - Key findings from a national survey of 1,000 adults between March 11, 13-14, 2010.
- [What Goes Up Must Come Down](https://pos.org/what-goes-up-must-come-down/) - When President Obama took office in January 2009 he enjoyed soaring job approval and favorable image scores. But, as time has passed the laws of political gravity have taken hold as we have watched ratings for him and his party steadily decline throughout his first year in office. Now, as we’re settling into 2010 we’re
- [Democrat Rhetoric vs. American Reality](https://pos.org/democrat-rhetoric-vs-american-reality/) - (This article was co-authored by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart.) For months now, Democrats have been touting the success of the 2009 stimulus package and cherrypicking economic data to attempt to convince Americans that the economy has turned the corner and is headed in the right direction. When the most recent economic figures showed the
- [GOP Interest Remains Higher Than Dem](https://pos.org/gop-interest-remains-higher-than-dem/) - Going back a few weeks to the NPR poll, there was some interesting findings that I did not get to (apologies, but there was a death in the family). One of the last posts I wrote was on the GOP's new lead on the generic ballot. Just as important is the interest advantage among Republicans
- [McInturff New Health Care Poll](https://pos.org/mcinturff-new-health-care-poll/) - Public Opinion Strategies recently conducted a national telephone survey on behalf of the Center for Health Transformation February 17-18, 20-21 , 2010 among 900 registered voters. The margin of error for a survey of this size is +3.3%. Key Findings from this survey are: Americans have paid close attention to the health care debate as 85%
- [Where do Republicans obtain their political information in California?](https://pos.org/where-do-republicans-obtain-their-political-information-in-california/) - (The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.) Much has been written over the last couple years (here included) about the diminishing importance of the print, both newspapers and material sent through the US mail, and broadcast media in political campaigns. Studies have consistently shown that more and more Americans are turning away from television and
- [SENIORS ON HEALTH CARE REFORM](https://pos.org/seniors-on-health-care-reform/) - By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey In short order, seniors have changed their tune on several key political dimensions over the course of the last year. As a critical political indicator, President Obama’s job approval has shifted from 54% approve/37% disapprove in the first six months of 2009 to 41% approve/57% today. Seniors have taken
- [Independent Voter Heartburn: Health Care Reform](https://pos.org/independent-voter-heartburn-health-care-reform/) - By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey, Partners, Public Opinion Strategies Comparing where we were during the first six months of 2009 to today offers a unique perspective on just how far the Obama Administration has fallen. During the first six months of 2009, President Obama held a 56% approve/35% disapprove rating. In contrast, Obama’s job
- [Democrats Denying Climate Change](https://pos.org/democrats-denying-climate-change/) - The changes in political climate over the last year have been well-documented on this blog and elsewhere. From the scorching heat of town hall meetings last summer that wilted the blooms of legislative momentum, to the earlier-than-expected reddening of the electoral leaves in Virginia and New Jersey in the fall, and the blistering winds of
- [Don’t Forget The Deficit](https://pos.org/dont-forget-the-deficit/) - Although the President told us a few months ago that his focus would be fully on the country’s economy and reining in government spending, here we are again consumed by the health care debate. What gives? Certainly, the President and Democrats are devoting some time to dealing with economy and the federal budget deficit...but, not
- [The Democrat Disconnect](https://pos.org/the-democrat-disconnect/) - Recently, I wrote about the political gravity President Obama has been experiencing during his first year in office. Indeed, as we’ve seen in all the polls approval ratings for him and his party have steadily declined since he assumed office in February 2009. A key part of why the public has soured on the new
- [National Security Woes Plague Dems](https://pos.org/national-security-woes-plague-dems/) - Our friends across the aisle at Democracy Corps released a survey yesterday that received a lot of national attention. Calling it a wake-up call, they noted "the results are sobering" for President Obama and the Democrats. Their analysis is well worth reading, including the point that: Historical doubts about the Democratic Party on national security
- [The Mood Gap Finally Favoring Republicans](https://pos.org/mood-gap/) - A key to understanding the mindset of Independent voters is to compare their views on the right direction/wrong track with the views of Republicans and Democrats. Independents are always somewhere in between the two partisan groups -- but the key is which partisan group are Independents closer to at any point in time -- which I've
- [Answering the "Party of No" Attack](https://pos.org/party-of-no/) - The newest NBC/WSJ poll has a wealth of interesting information, and Alex Bratty will be blogging on some of those key findings over the next few days. But, one question that Bill McInturff and Peter Hart asked caught my eye, so I've written a post on it. As always, these opinions expressed on the blog do
- [POS in the News 3/17/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-3172010/) - Alex Bratty authored an article, "What Do Hispanics — and All Voters — Want?" on Pajamas Media today. The piece takes a looks at the some of the data from the latest survey released by Resurgent Republic, and identifies some of the key opportunities for Republicans to improve their standing with Hispanic voters.
- [Congress Gets A No Confidence Vote](https://pos.org/congress-gets-a-no-confidence-vote/) - Our latest NBC/WSJ poll is out, and the headline is clear: Voters are deeply dissatisfied with their government. Sending a staggering signal of no confidence, half the electorate (50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) says it would vote to defeat and replace every single member of Congress, including their own representative, if there were a place on the ballot to
- [New Health Care Reform Polling: Democratic leadership versus Democratic 'no' votes](https://pos.org/new-health-care-reform-polling-democratic-leadership-versus-democratic-no-votes/) - “Democrat leadership districts are from Mars, Democrat ‘no’ vote districts are from Venus.” Two new Public Opinion Strategies’ polls out today show…Those Members of Congress in the 36 ‘no’ vote Democratic congressional districts face substantial pushback from their constituents and significant electoral peril if they vote ‘yes’ on the health care reform bill. The Democratic
- [Benchmarking 2010 for the Democrats](https://pos.org/benchmarking-2010-for-the-democrats/) - A comparison of our latest NBC/WSJ national survey* (which was conducted March 11, 13-14, before the health care bill passed the House) with common questions asked on the March 2006 NBC-WSJ national survey, shows Democrats may be facing the same rout Republicans endured just four years ago. One of the few commonalities between now and
- [Health Care "Reform" in Western States](https://pos.org/health-care-reform-in-western-states/) - With the health care legislation signed by the President yesterday, did Democrats seal their fate in Western states? Prior to the signing, there were already signs of serious trouble for Democrats in Western states. Some key numbers from our March mid-March NBC/Wall Street Journal survey (March 11, 13-14): Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters in the
- [Health Care Reform: After Much Democrat Ado, Nothing.](https://pos.org/health-care-reform-after-much-democrat-ado-nothing/) - Prior to the passage of health care reform the big question on everyone’s mind was whether signing the legislation into law would give President Obama and the Democrats the boost they need to get back on track this year. It’s been just over two weeks, and clearly the answer to that is a resounding “no.”
- [Public Opinion Strategies National Data Release](https://pos.org/update-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies recently completed a national survey of 800 likely 2010 voters, focusing on attitudes toward the President, Congress, health care reform, and the 2010 midterm elections. In addition to some of the more standard demographics in politics, POS was able to take this opportunity to also examine some unique demographics such as pick-up truck households and pet owners.
- [College basketball fans give a thumbs down to tournament expansion](https://pos.org/college-basketball-fans-give-a-thumbs-down-to-tournament-expansion/) - In a survey released yesterday by Public Opinion Strategies, a solid majority (59{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of basketball fans oppose expanding the NCAA tournament from a 64 team tournament to a 96 team tournament. Just 29{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of college basketball fans support expansion and ten percent are undecided. The survey was conducted April 11-13 among 800 likely 2010 voters
- [POS in the News 4/23/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4232010/) - Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited in Energy Central regarding wind power.
- [Tracking State Trends](https://pos.org/tracking-state-trends/) - Since 2005, Public Opinion Strategies has read and coded every gubernatorial state of the state speech to track emerging issues. (Yes, it’s a long and tedious job, but someone has to do it!) All the speeches for 2010 have now been given and so it’s time to assess what’s important in the states and what
- [POS in the News 4/28/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4282010/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in CQ Politics regarding the upcoming special House election in Hawaii.
- [POS in the News 4/29/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4292010/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in USA Today regarding a president's approval rating and mid-term elections.
- [STATEMENT ON GOVERNOR CRIST](https://pos.org/statement-on-governor-crist/) - The Republican polling firm of Public Opinion Strategies announced today that it is resigning from Governor Charlie Crist’s campaign team. "Governor Crist’s decision has been ceaselessly speculated on in recent weeks. Despite his difficulties in the Republican primary, we were loyally working for him as long as he was a Republican. With his announcement that
- [The November No-Shows](https://pos.org/the-november-no-shows-2/) - President Obama and the Democrats have caught up to the fact their Base voters don’t seem that interested in showing up to vote this year. Unfortunately for them, this is not a new trend. We’ve been watching this for several months, noting the unprecedented interest gap in November’s elections between self-identified Republicans (67{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} "very interested")
- [POS in the News 4/30/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4302010/) - Lori Weigel was mentioned in Hometown News regarding a Public Opinion Strategies' poll on beachfront parking.
- [The Economic Blame Game](https://pos.org/the-economic-blame-game/) - Post Barack Obama up against George W. Bush and Americans say Bush is to blame for the current state of the economy (59{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} to Obama’s 25{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) motorshack.co.uk , and the current federal budget deficit (60{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} to Obama’s 22{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}).* Well, sure. As anyone who’s ever had anything go wrong at the office knows, it’s always easy
- [Dem Turnout Problems Continue](https://pos.org/dem-turnout-problems-continue/) - This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart In recent days, this article from Gallup about a decline in enthusiasm among Republican voters has gotten a good deal of attention in the press and especially in the liberal blogosphere. While some in the media were quick to tout this survey as “good news”
- [POS in the News 5/6/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-562010/) - Bill McInturff was cited in a press release by the United Nations Foundation regarding a bipartisan poll on UN approval ratings. Patrick Lanne and Neil Newhouse were mentioned in CQ Politics for their success in the Ohio Republican primaries. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Los Angeles Times concerning the competitive Governor's race in California.
- [POS in the News 5/7/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-572010/) - Public Opinion Strategies was mentioned in Real Clear Politics regarding the Tim Burns for Congress campaign. Public Opinion Strategies was commissioned by the Wall Street Journal to poll across all five New York City boroughs. The first of several installments was to find the differences between Yankee's and Mets' fans.
- [POS in the News 5/10/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5102010/) - Neil Newhouse was quotes in the Washington Post regarding the California Governor's race. The Northwest Indiana Times mentioned Public Opinion Strategies in an article about Dan Coats' successful Senate primary.
- [POS in the News 5/13/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5132010/) - Rob Autry was mentioned in CQ Politics regarding David McKinley's successful Congressional primary win in West Virginia. Glen Bolger's role in Ron Graves' campaign to replace Congressman Nathan Deal in Georgia's 9th District was also discussed. Bill McInturff was cited in the Wall Street Journal concerning voter movement toward the GOP. Bill McInturff was quoted
- [POS in the News 5/14/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5142010/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in Politics Daily regarding the latest NBC/WSJ poll, which showed voters shifting their support in favor of the GOP.
- [It's NOT 1994 Redux.](https://pos.org/its-not-1994-redux-its-better/) - Instead, the current political environment is BETTER now for Republicans than it was at this same point in 1994. Let's look at three key data points from then and now: In May of 1994, a Wirthlin Group national survey found 28% said the country was going in the right direction, while 66% said it was
- [The Death Of Independence](https://pos.org/the-death-of-independence/) - Analysts are pointing toward last night’s primary results (the defeat of Arlen Specter, Trey Grayson, and the run-off for Blanche Lincoln) as – when combined with Bob Bennett and Alan Mollohan’s defeats – proof of anti-incumbency and anti-Washington establishment. The top story in the New York Times today is titled "Specter Defeat Signals a Wave
- [Same Song, Different Verse: Dems Continue to See Low Turnout in Primaries](https://pos.org/same-song-different-verse-dems-continue-to-see-low-turnout-in-primaries/) - This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart Many in the media were quick to declare the results of Tuesday’s elections as good news for Democrats. (Clearly, Democrats are desperate for any type of “good” news when the loss of one White House backed incumbent Senator, and the forcing of another incumbent Senator
- [POS in the News 5/17/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5172010/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Detroit Free Press concerning Michigan voters' opposition to expanding the service tax.
- [POS in the News 5/19/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5192010/) - Glen Bolger is quoted in Roll Call regarding Virginia State Sen. Robert Hurt's lead in the GOP Primary to take on freshman Rep. Tom Perriello.
- [POS in the News 5/20/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5202010/) - Glen Bolger is quoted in the Washington Post concerning this year's anti-incumbent sentiment. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned in the Morning Sun regarding the Kansas GOP Senate Primary.
- [POS in the News 5/21/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5212010/) - Gene Ulm is cited in the Washington Post and Politico regarding the Tim Burns' Campaign for Congress.
- [Economic Perception Is Reality](https://pos.org/economic-perception-is-reality/) - A recent ARG national survey (5/17-20, N=1,100 adults) found that the perception of America's economy has weakened since April. Only 31% say the economy is getting better (down from 39% in April), while 40% say it is getting worse (the third month in a row that "worse" was at 40-41%). Plus, the President's own approval
- [NBC/MSNBC/Telemundo poll](https://pos.org/new-nbcmsnbctelemundo-poll/) - The NBC/MSNBC/Telemundo poll was conducted by the polling organizations of Peter D. Hart and Bill McInturff from May 20 to 23, 2010. The survey was conducted by telephone among a cross section of 700 adults (including a sample of 70 interviews among adults who only use a cell phone). This survey includes additional interviews among
- [POS in the News 5/28/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5282010/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in Roll Call concerning early polling in Ohio's 1st Congressional District. Bill McInturff was quoted in an MSNBC Today article regarding immigration reform. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in The Virginian-Pilot regarding the Republican Primary in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned in National
- [Bill McInturff’s latest presentation on health care](https://pos.org/bill-mcinturffs-latest-presentation-on-health-care/) - Bill McInturff’s latest presentation on health care highlights the seven reasons there was no spike for President Obama after passage, looks at public opinion right now on health care, and the likely impact of the health care issue on the November election. Click here for the presentation.
- [POS in the News 6/4/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-642010/) - Public Opinion Strategies was mentioned in a Franklin News Post article regarding Virginia State Senator Robert Hurt. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the New York Times with respect to government spending. Public Opinion Strategies was cited in the The Detroit News regarding the Michigan governor's race. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Hartford Courant about
- [Remain Focused on the Big Picture](https://pos.org/remain-focused-on-the-big-picture/) - The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll has a great deal of interesting data in it. The big story the Post focused on was anger at incumbents. I (and others) have made the case that anger at incumbents have in past years translated in November to wave elections that benefit one party at the expense of the
- [POS in the News 6/11/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-6112010/) - Glen Bolger was mentioned in the Southern Political Report about the Georgia gubernatorial race. Lori Weigel was quoted in The Gainesville Sun regarding a local tax referendum. Bill McInturff was quoted in the Wall Street Journal concerning the country's anti-incumbent mood. Glen Bolger was quoted in the St. Louis Globe-Democrat about unifying the Republican base
- [Target CDs Underscore Troubles Dems Face](https://pos.org/target-cds-underscore-troubles-dems-face/) - By now, nearly everyone knows the national political environment is problematic for Democrats this election cycle. However, an in-depth survey of key swing congressional districts underscores that the opportunities Republicans have to make significant gains in November are even more widespread than conventional wisdom holds. The survey was conducted for National Public Radio by Greenberg
- [NPR - Congressional Battleground Poll](https://pos.org/npr-congressional-battleground-poll-conducted-june-7-10-2010/) - NPR - Congressional Battleground Poll conducted June 7-10, 2010 The poll was done in 70 key districts -- 60 held by Dems, and 10 by GOPers. The data underscores the troubles facing Democrats, highlights GOP message opportunities. Interview Schedule in PDF Format 2010 Congressional Battleground Definitions – NPR/GQR/POS Poll
- [Enthusiasm Gap Helping GOP Significantly](https://pos.org/enthusiasm-gap-helping-gop-significantly/) - In the NPR survey done by GQR and POS (click here for methodology), the GOP advantage in the key 60 Dem districts is significant on the generic ballot. But, the advantage is even greater when campaign interest is factored in. Looking just at those who rate their interest in the election as a "10" (very
- [Obama's Economic Message Fails In Key CDs](https://pos.org/obamas-economic-message-fails-in-key-cds/) - Given two points of view about the President’s economic policies, voters in the key 60 Democratic districts overwhelmingly say that those policies are not working. The survey was conducted for National Public Radio by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQR) and Public Opinion Strategies in 70 swing districts – 30 Tier One Democratic-held districts, 30 Tier
- [NPR Poll Shows GOP Winning the Message War](https://pos.org/npr-poll-shows-gop-winning-the-message-war/) - Elsewheres on this blog, you've seen the posts regarding the NPR poll in 70 battleground districts which shows very good news for the Republican effort to take back the House in 2010. The political environment in those key seats is excellent for Republicans, the enthusiasm gap is significantly in the GOP's favor, and the basic
- [POS in the News 6/18/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-6182010/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in the New York Times regarding President Obama's approval numbers. Glen Bolger was cited regarding his involvement with the NPR Congressional Battleground poll. Bill McInturff was quoted by Southern California Public Radio concerning health care. Glen Bolger was cited in The Washington Post, National Review Online, Yahoo News, Politico, and National
- [Walmart – National Internet Survey of Women Voters](https://pos.org/walmart-national-internet-survey-of-women-voters-conducted-may-20-27-2010/) - Conducted May 20-27, 2010 by Public Opinion Strategies and Momentum Analysis Released June 22, 2010 Interview Schedule in PDF Format Presentation in PDF Format
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-conducted-june-17-21-2010/) - NBC News / Wall Street Journal — June 17-21, 2010 (PDF Format)
- [POS in the News 6/25/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-6252010/) - Neil Newhouse was cited in The Washington Post concerning a nationwide survey of Wal-Mart Moms and the mid-term elections. Patrick Lanne was quoted in The Washington Post regarding Virginia's 2nd Congressional District race. Public Opinion Strategies was mentioned by The Richmond Times-Dispatch about Governor Bob McDonnell's approval numbers. Nicole McCleskey was quoted in the Denver
- [What A Difference An Election Cycle Makes](https://pos.org/what-a-difference-an-election-cycle-makes/) - By Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty As the 2010 election season heats up our latest NBC/WSJ poll* is hot off the press this week with some illuminating data about where things are headed this November. We’ve been signaling for a while now that the landscape favors Republicans this year, and this poll indicates that things
- [Walmart Moms: Up For Grabs Again in 2010](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-up-for-grabs-again-in-2010/) - By Neil Newhouse & Alex Bratty Public Opinion Strategies first identified Walmart Moms as a swing voter group in the 2008 election cycle, and several folks have asked us recently if this group will once again emerge as a key voting bloc in November. One of the sources of this inquiry was – not surprisingly
- [Independents: Conflicted Over The Role Of Government](https://pos.org/independents-conflicted-over-the-role-of-government/) - Our latest NBC/WSJ poll* provides an interesting look at Independents and how they view the role of government. Overall, Americans are divided between whether "government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people" (47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}), or "government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals" (49{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). For more
- [Walmart Moms: Feeling The Economic Stress & Carrying The “Mother Load.”](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-feeling-the-economic-stress-carrying-the-mother-load/) - By Neil Newhouse & Alex Bratty Last week we gave you a brief overview of Walmart Moms and why they are the quintessential swing voter this November. In this posting, we dig a little deeper into our national survey results* to profile the economic and personal stress these women are carrying with them daily...and potentially
- [POS in the News 7/2/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-722010/) - Nicole McCleskey was quoted in Politico regarding the GOP Senate Primary in Colorado. Glen Bolger was quoted in Hotline On Call concerning Tea Party focus groups. Public Opinion Strategies was cited in a commentary by Tamar Jacoby on CNN.com. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Los Angeles Times regarding the fall election.
- [POS in the News 7/9/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-792010/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post regarding the Tea Party. Public Opinion Strategies and Neil Newhouse were cited in NewsBlaze.com concerning a recent poll for The Israel Project. Glen Bolger was quoted in Hotline On Call about Rep. Pat Tiberi's campaign. Public Opinion Strategies was cited in a bipartisan immigration poll conducted on
- [POS in the News 7/16/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-7162010/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in U.S. News & World Report regarding the November elections. Public Opinion Strategies was cited in Capenews.net about the 10th Congressional District in Massachusetts. A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies was mentioned by The Morning Sun regarding the GOP Senate primary race in Kansas.
- [The Weaknesses of the Democratic Narrative for 2010](https://pos.org/the-weaknesses-of-the-democratic-narrative-for-2010/) - The Democrats say they have settled on their message arc for the cycle, and it is clearly a bifurcated approach. Nationally, President Obama, the White House, and their water-carrying special interests are going to frame the election as a choice, not a referendum. In specific campaigns, Democratic candidates are going to run as a combination
- [Impact of the oil spill more than just “tarball” entering the American lexicon.](https://pos.org/impact-of-the-oil-spill-more-than-just-tarball-entering-the-american-lexicon/) - Like the video of gushing oil frothing beneath the surface of the Gulf of Mexico, so too is a general sense of frustration, impatience and disgust bubbling up among American voters. And, while these emotions may be just below the surface - just as the scientists tell us is much of the oil itself -
- [POS in the News 7/23/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-7232010/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in The Washington Post regarding midterm election strategy and illegal immigration. Patrick Lanne was quoted in The Courier-Journal concerning a Public Opinion Strategies' poll on smoking bans. Bill McInturff was quoted in National Journal regarding spending and deficits. Neil Newhouse and Public Opinion Strategies were cited in NewsBlaze regarding a poll
- [Nationally, Obama’s Endorsement Hurts More Than it Helps.](https://pos.org/nationally-obamas-endorsement-hurts-more-than-it-helps/) - As discussed here and here, the enthusiasm gap for the upcoming elections is as wide as we have ever witnessed. Two-thirds (66{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of Republicans say they are very interested voters (self-described 9-10 on a 1-10 scale of interest) in November’s elections, compared to just 44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Democrats. So what are voters most enthusiastic about in
- [Choice or Referendum?](https://pos.org/choice-or-referendum/) - Democrats are saying the November election will be a CHOICE and not a referendum. Republicans said the same thing in 2006. How well will it work for the Democrats this time? Presentation in PDF Format
- [POS in the News 7/30/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-7302010/) - Bill McInturff was cited in The Washington Post regarding Senator McCain's re-election campaign. Neil Newhouse was quoted in The New York Times concerning the midterm elections. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned in the San Fransisco Business Times about majority support for high speed rail in California. Neil Newhouse was quoted in The Washington
- [POS in the News 8/6/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-862010/) - A bi-partisan survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research was cited by Forbes.com regarding a bill to protect the U.S. pharmaceutical supply.
- [U.S. Senate Battleground Survey Conducted](https://pos.org/us-senate-battleground-survey-conducted/) - Public Opinion Strategies conducted a survey in 13 states with competitive U.S. Senate races (as defined by The Cook Report). The survey was conducted among 1,300 likely voters on August 2-5, 2010. The survey has a margin of error of +2.72% in 95 out of 100 cases. The states surveyed were Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Florida,
- [GOP Prospects In Senate Races Continue To Brighten](https://pos.org/gop-prospects-in-senate-races-continue-to-brighten/) - In a poll of 13 Battleground U.S. Senate seats conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for American Crossroads, voters made it clear that they are unhappy with the direction that Democrats are taking the country. Voters in these Battleground Senate seats support the Republican candidates, and are especially sour on the Democratic incumbents. One big story
- [Sorry, Larry, Democrats Curb Their Enthusiasm](https://pos.org/sorry-larry-democrats-curb-their-enthusiasm/) - No matter how the data is sliced, or who slices the data, a clear enthusiasm gap has emerged. I first blogged about the GOP advantage after the Virginia Gubernatorial race here, and after the House Battleground NPR survey here. Other pollsters have written about it. A handful of Democratic thinkers (pollsters, bloggers) have disputed whether
- [There's a Reason the Dems are Blaming Bush](https://pos.org/theres-a-reason-the-dems-are-blaming-bush/) - Because it is the only message they have. That doesn't mean it will move voters. But, blaming former President George W. Bush is one of the few areas where voters still give President Obama the benefit of the doubt, so Democrats will work with what they have. The problem Dems have is that Republicans are
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/aug2010-nbc-news-wall-street-journal/) - NBC News / Wall Street Journal — August 5-9, 2010 (PDF Format)
- [Stick to the Big Picture on Messaging](https://pos.org/stick-to-the-big-picture-on-messaging/) - I almost buried the lead. When I first wrote this blog posting, I closed with what is clearly the two most important paragraphs. So, I've now moved them to just after this next sentence. If the post seems disjointed, at least the most important points are right up front. These results The message results below remind campaigns
- [POS in the News 8/13/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-8132010/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post regarding the Proposition 8 ruling and its impact on the midterm elections. Bill McInturff was quoted in The Washington Post concerning the November elections. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Boston Herald about GOP candidate Charles Baker gaining ground on Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick. Glen Bolger and
- [For Republicans, President Obama Is The Gift That Keeps On Giving](https://pos.org/for-republicans-president-obama-is-the-gift-that-keeps-on-giving/) - In our latest NBC/WSJ poll* President Obama gets a poor report card from the American public, and while he’s not up for re-election this year, his ratings will have an impact on the outcome of the mid-term elections. Consider the evidence: This month the President’s job performance rating is at 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve, 48{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove. This
- [POS in the News 8/20/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-8202010/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in a TownHall.com column regarding voter anger heading into the midterms. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by The Morris Daily Herald concerning Adam Kinzinger's campaign against Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson. Neil Newhouse was quoted in The San Fransisco Examiner about positive poll numbers for Republicans heading into the November elections.
- [POS in the News 8/27/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-8272010/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by The Tennessean regarding state House races. Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited by The Washington Post concerning former Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick's campaign against two-term Rep. Patrick Murphy.
- [Bi-Partisan Survey Shows Dead Heat in U.S. Senate Race;  Hickenlooper Far Outpacing His Gubernatorial Rivals](https://pos.org/bi-partisan-survey-shows-dead-heat-in-u-s-senate-race-hickenlooper-far-outpacing-his-gubernatorial-rivals-2/) - A recently conducted survey of Colorado voters conducted by the bi-partisan research team of Lori Weigel of Public Opinion Strategies (R) and David Metz of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (D) highlights two very different races at the “top of the ticket” in Colorado. The results of the survey show a dead heat for
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/lateaug2010-nbc-news-wall-street-journal/) - NBC News / Wall Street Journal — August 26-30, 2010 (PDF Format)
- [POS in the News 9/10/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-9102010/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by CQ Politics regarding Adam Kinzinger's campaign in Illinois. Glen Bolger was quoted by The Hill about positive poll numbers for Republicans. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by Roll Call concerning North Carolina's 8th district. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned in The Orlando Sentinel
- [First it was Independents, now it’s the President’s own Party.](https://pos.org/first-it-was-independents-now-its-the-presidents-own-party/) - I’ve written a lot over the last year about Independents doing an about-turn on President Obama. This was the group that helped catapult Barack Obama to the Oval Office in 2008, but over the last two years they have expressed some serious reservations. Their approval rating on the President’s performance has plummeted from 58{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve/28{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}
- [POS in the News 9/17/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-9172010/) - Glen Bolger was quoted by U.S. News and World Report about the public's perception of the economy. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by Forbes.com regarding North Carolina's 7th district. Lori Weigel was quoted by The Denver Post regarding unaffiliated Colorado voters leaning Republican. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by The Herald-Dispatch
- [National Survey Highlights Dem Problems in Key Seats](https://pos.org/national-survey-highlights-dem-problems-in-key-seats/) - Last week, I conducted a national survey for American Action Network. The two key political environment questions show the significant opportunity Republicans have this year. While the overall numbers on the President's approval rating and the generic ballot are good news, one key crosstab highlights the wave that is building. The generic ballot shows Republicans leading
- [Do's and Don'ts for GOP Campaigns](https://pos.org/dos-and-donts-for-gop-campaigns/) - DO stay focused on the big picture. This election is about big things – economy/jobs, spending, keeping taxes from increasing, health care – all of which are related to the growth of the size and scope of government. DON’T focus a lot of effort on issue cul-de-sacs like the World Trade Center Mosque or
- [POS in the News 9/24/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-9242010/) - Rob Autry was quoted in the Star Tribune regarding voter concerns about their retirement outlook. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Washington Examiner about Rob Steele's chances against longtime incumbent Rep. John Dingell. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in The Frankfort Station regarding Adam Kinzinger's leading poll numbers for Illinois' 11th district. Neil
- [What We're Hearing...](https://pos.org/what-were-hearing/) - In a meeting this past Sunday, the partners of the firm were discussing some of the key trends we are seeing that are shaping this election. With 35 days left to go, we thought it would be helpful to share our thoughts about what we are hearing and learning from around the country with GOP
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/sep2010-nbc-news-wall-street-journal/) - The latest Hart-McInturff poll conducted on behalf of NBC/WSJ shows voters' preference for Congressional control this November and takes a closer look at the Tea Party Movement. NBC News / Wall Street Journal — September 22-26, 2010 (PDF Format)
- [POS in the News 10/1/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1012010/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal about the enthusiasm gap in favor of Republicans. Glen Bolger was quoted by Politico regarding Democrats' fading chances in Midwest races. Glen Bolger was quoted in The Daily Record regarding voter perceptions and the economy. Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal about likely
- [Is the Enthusiasm Gap Closing?](https://pos.org/enthusiasm-gap/) - Buoyed because they are not losing in all strong Democratic states or districts, there is a whistling past the grave yard argument being made by some Dems and pundits that the enthusiasm gap is closing. And that’s partly true. The enthusiasm gap has narrowed slightly. But it was bound to narrow. The 2010 enthusiasm gap
- [POS in the News 10/8/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1082010/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in The New Mexico Independent showing Susana Martinez leading Diane Denish for Governor. A Public Opinion Strategies poll was mentioned in the Duluth News Tribune showing Chip Cravaack within the margin of error against longtime incumbent Jim Oberstar. Glen Bolger was quoted in the Chicago Tribune regarding the
- [The Myth of the Democrat Surge](https://pos.org/democrat-surge/) - At the entrance to the Marine Corps Air Station Beaufort in South Carolina is a sign that reads, "The noise you hear is the sound of freedom." Well, the noise you hear right now is the sound of Democrats whistling past the graveyard, with various claims that they are surging – by both closing the
- [An In-Depth Look At Key Congressional Races -- NPR Survey](https://pos.org/key-congressional-races/) - Back in June, the survey that Stan Greenberg and I conducted for NPR was huge news. Conducted in 60 Democrat-held and 10 Republican-held seats, it showed Republicans ahead by a 48{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}-39{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} count in the Tier 1 seats (30 most vulnerable) and up 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}-45{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in the Tier 2 seats (next 30 seats). It was the first
- [NPR Battleground Survey](https://pos.org/npr-battleground-survey/) - NPR – Congressional Battleground Poll conducted October 7-10, 2010 The latest POS/GQR poll conducted on behalf of NPR examines the 96 closest House races. Interview Schedule in PDF Format NPR Battleground Survey in PDF Format
- [POS in the News 10/15/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-10152010/) - Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited in The Boston Globe regarding an internal poll that shows Charles Baker leading Governor Deval Patrick. Bill McInturff was interviewed by The Washington Post that focused on health care reform. Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited in The Philadelphia Daily News
- [Poll Shows Strong Support for Payment of UN Dues](https://pos.org/poll-shows-strong-support-for-payment-of-un-dues/) - U.S. Voters' favorable rating of the UN holds steady at 59% The United Nations Foundation and its sister organization, the Better World Campaign, released today the results of public opinion research showing strong, continued support for the United Nations. Americans' 59% favorable rating of the United Nations indicates that the UN’s response to humanitarian issues,
- [Walmart Moms Multi-State Survey](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-multi-state-survey/) - Walmart Moms Multi-State Survey conducted October 7-13, 2010 Interview Schedule in PDF Format Executive Summary in PDF Format
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal/) - Our latest NBC-WSJ Poll of registered voters, conducted October 14-18, shows Republicans leading among likely voters into the home stretch. Incumbency and big government continue to be unpopular. Attitudes on the stimulus sour further and Obama’s health care law is still considered a bad idea to most voters. Also, among Republicans voters who support of
- [POS in the News 10/22/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-10222010/) - Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited by Congress Daily regarding Walmart Mom's favoring Republicans in the upcoming elections. Steve Kinney was quoted in the San Francisco Chronicle regarding GOP enthusiasm. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned in CQ Politics showing Bobby Schilling with a three point advantage over incumbent Phil
- [So, I was wrong. . .so far.](https://pos.org/so-i-was-wrong-so-far/) - A few weeks ago in a posting, I noted that the enthusiasm gap across 26 districts was worth an average of just over five points for Republicans. I also predicted that the gap would experience natural tightening, ending up in the two-to-four point range. Well, based on an average across 28 Democratic-held districts this week,
- [The Impact of the Obama Health Plan on the 2010 Elections](https://pos.org/3703-2/) - The word “Obamacare” has entered the American political lexicon as almost nine out of ten voters (89%) can rate the term on a positive/negative scale. Voters have little difficulty answering an open-ended question about their reaction to the term Obamacare. Voters have a negative reaction to the term Obamacare (29% positive, 47% negative, with 13%
- [POS in the News 10/29/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-10292010/) - Gene Ulm and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited in Roll Call regarding the open seat in Rhode Island's 1st district. Glen Bolger was quoted in The New York Times concerning undecided voters. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned in the Bucks County Courier Times showing Mike Fitzpatrick with a growing lead on
- [New Survey In VA CD-5 Shows Obama Visit Has Modest Negative Impact](https://pos.org/new-survey-in-va-cd-5-shows-obama-visit-has-modest-negative-impact/) - Public Opinion Strategies completed a survey in the Fifth Congressional District of Virginia one day after President Barack Obama held a rally for embattled Democratic incumbent Tom Perriello. As the attached release shows, the President's political rally failed to boost Perriello's standing. Perriello is trailing Robert Hurt by a 45%-42% margin, with 6% for the
- [A Final Look At What's Happening](https://pos.org/a-final-look-at-whats-happening/) - We at Public Opinion Strategies wanted to wrap up the election cycle with some last minute observations about what is happening in the political environment, and how it is affecting campaigns. It’s been a wild cycle – starting with a Nobel Peace Prize and other unearned accolades for Barack Obama, a failed, jobless, wasteful spending
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-2/) - According to the new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, conducted October 28-30, Republicans are positioned for very large gains Tuesday and are expected to retake control of the House and pick up seats in the Senate, amid strong voter frustration with President Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and the Democratic-run Congress. Bill McInturff said Sunday the
- [Public Opinion Strategies polled for one-third of GOP House pick-ups,  nine Senators, and four Governors](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-polled-for-one-third-of-gop-house-pick-ups-nine-senators-and-four-governors/) - The survey research firm of Public Opinion Strategies (POS) polled for nine winning U.S. Senate candidates, four Governors, and 27 new members of Congress. Including independent expenditure efforts, Public Opinion Strategies polled in 23 Senate and Gubernatorial statewide victories and 96 Congressional victories, including 63 seats wrestled away from Democrats by Republicans. Major statewide winners
- [Nearly half (45%) of voters say their vote was a message to oppose President Obama's health care reform plan.](https://pos.org/nearly-half-45-of-voters-say-their-vote-was-a-message-to-oppose-president-obamas-health-care-reform-plan/) - This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Liz Harrington. Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national telephone survey of 1,000 actual voters on election night. Health care reform was very much a key part of the debate this election with nearly seven in ten voters (69{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) saying they have seen, read, or heard a Congressional
- [Post-Election National Survey](https://pos.org/post-election-national-survey/) - Glen Bolger conducted a post-election nationwide survey of 1,000 voters for the Faith and Freedom Coalition. Presentation in PDF Format
- [Understanding the November 2010 Elections:  This election was a referendum on President Obama’s first two years in office.](https://pos.org/understanding-the-november-2010-elections/) - Americans’ confidence in the economy was extremely negative. This negative sentiment about the economy created a difficult environment for President Obama and the Democrat majority in Congress. The difficult economy helped create the highest wrong track percentage in the last five off-year elections (27% Right Direction/67% Wrong Track). This election was nationalized around attitudes about
- [An Analysis of Wave Off-Year Exit Polls -- Comparing 1994, 2006, and 2010](https://pos.org/an-analysis-of-wave/) - This post was written by Glen Bolger and Dave Wilson. Over the past five mid-terms, there have been more wave elections (1994, 2006, 2010) than elections with limited swing (1998, 2002). We thought it would be enlightening to look at the national House exit polls from those three wave elections for similarities and
- [POS in the News 11/5/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1152010/) - Glen Bolger was quoted by CBS News on his prediction that the Midwest would be a "killing field" for Democrats. Neil Newhouse was quoted by The Wall Street Journal regarding the dramatic shift of independents toward the GOP. Bill McInurff was quoted by The Washington Post about voting another party out of power so quickly.
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-3/) - According to the new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, conducted November 11-15, Americans are feeling positive about the historic mid-term elections that put Republicans in control of the House, helped balance the scales of power in the Senate, elected or re-elected Republican governors in 29 States. Americans also feel positively about the prospect of a
- [POS in the News 11/19/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-11192010/) - Glen Bolger was quoted by The Hill regarding messaging on Social Security reforms. Bill McInturff was quoted in U.S. News & World Report concerning the use of cell phones in political polling. Neil Newhouse was quoted by the Omaha World-Herald in a speech he gave at the University of Nebraska at Omaha.
- [GOP Will Retain House Control in 2012 -- Guaranteed.](https://pos.org/gop-will-retain-house-control-in-2012-guaranteed/) - Control of the House of Representatives after the 2012 elections will still belong to the Republicans. IF Barack Obama stages a political comeback (which is certianly within the realm of possibility), Democrats will start the presidential coattails drumbeat. However, there are two compelling tables in this post underscoring that the House outcome will dance to the
- [POS in the News 12/3/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1232010/) - Glen Bolger was mentioned in The Washington Post and Political Wire for his prediction on House control in 2012. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in the Snohomish County Business Journal regarding views of state manufacturers .
- [National Tax Survey Interview Schedule and Analysis](https://pos.org/national-tax-survey-interview-schedule-and-analysis/) - POS conducted a national survey of 1,000 likely voters for Crossroads GPS on the tax cut extension being debated in Congress. Please find links to the interview schedule and analysis memo below. Interview Schedule in PDF format Analysis Memo in PDF format
- [National Tax Survey Presentation](https://pos.org/national-tax-survey-presentation/) - POS conducted a national survey of 1,000 likely voters for Crossroads GPS on the tax cut extension being debated in Congress. Please find the link to the corresponding PowerPoint presentation below. Crossroads GPS National Tax Cuts Survey
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-4/) - In the latest NBC-WSJ poll, conducted December 9-13 among 1,000 national adults, you’ll find a breakdown of the American public’s views on the tax compromise, the deficit commission’s recommendations, the START Treaty, and Obama’s personal and presidential attributes following the GOP wave mid-term elections. And, looking forward, the poll offers early benchmarks of the top
- [POS in the News 12/17/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-12172010/) - Bill McInturff is quoted in The Wall Street Journal's latest poll showing support for compromise. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in The Colorado Springs Gazette regarding the Memorial Health System.
- [POS in the News 12/23/2010](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-12232010/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal regarding health care reform and the midterm elections. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was mentioned by Greenville Online regarding the mortgage interest deduction. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in newsobserver.com regarding voter support for tax cuts to promote job growth.
- [Leaving The Last Decade In The Rearview Mirror](https://pos.org/leaving-the-last-decade-in-the-rearview-mirror/) - As Americans prepare to ring in 2011 and pledge their New Year resolutions there is little doubt they have few regrets about leaving 2010, and in fact the last decade, in the past. Our latest NBC/WSJ poll* shows that just 12{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the nation considers the last ten years to be a “very good decade” or “one
- [POS in the News 1/7/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-172011/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by WWAY showing voters favoring the elimination of end-of-grade tests. Neil Newhouse was quoted in The Baltimore Sun regarding how House Republicans are setting the tone for the new Congress.
- [POS in the News 1/14/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1142011/) - Neil Newhouse was mentioned in RealClearPolitics regarding the Mitt Romney 2012 Presidential Campaign. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited by The Cincinnati Enquirer concerning a statewide smoking ban.
- [NBC News / Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-5/) - In the latest NBC-WSJ poll, conducted January 13-17 among 1,000 national adults, Obama’s job approval is up as is his image. Looking forward, this month’s results include signs that the public is more optimistic about the future of the country though still cognizant of the current economic troubles we face. Across the 2012 GOP field,
- [POS in the News 1/21/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1212011/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal concerning President Obama's latest approval numbers. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in The Grant Tribune Sentinel regarding Nebraska's tobacco tax.
- [POS in the News 1/28/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1282011/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in The Los Angeles Times regarding President Obama's State of the Union address. Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal concerning the President's approval ratings.
- [POS in the News 2/4/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-242011/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in The New York Post regarding a Public Opinion Strategies' poll about New York's teacher layoff system. Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post about optimistic poll numbers for both parties.
- [PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES NAMES JAMES BURTON AS A PARTNER](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-names-james-burton-as-a-partner/) - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 7, 2011 PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES NAMES A NEW PARTNER Alexandria, VA – Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce the promotion of Senior Vice President James Burton to join the firm’s partnership. Since joining Public Opinion Strategies in 2002, Burton has worked on nearly 1000 research projects. Prior to joining the
- [POS in the News 2/11/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-2112011/) - Glen Bolger was mentioned in Politico about former GOP Secretary of State Betty Ireland's bid for West Virginia Governor. Neil Newhouse was quoted in Bloomberg regarding Sarah Palin's appeal to the Republican Party's base.
- [February 2011: Overview of the 2012 Election Cycle](https://pos.org/february-2011-overview-of-the-2012-election-cycle/) - Bill McInturff has released a very interesting overview of the 2012 elections. The analysis focuses on the seven key factors impacting the Presidential election, the impact of the Tea Party, and the 2012 House and Senate elections. Overview of the 2012 Election Cycle in PDF format
- [POS in the News 2/25/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-2252011/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Hill regarding the 2012 Presidential Race. Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited by TheStreet.com concerning the use of red light safety cameras.
- [Clearer skies in sight for manufacturing executives in Minnesota](https://pos.org/clearer-skies-in-sight-for-manufacturing-executives-in-minnesota/) - Rob Autry has released an interesting survey of manufacturing executives in the state of Minnesota. Our third annual State of Manufacturing survey in Minnesota reveals manufacturing executives anticipate bright futures for their businesses and an economic expansion in 2011. Difficulties and uncertainties surrounding health care costs and reform, however, continue to dominate worries. See Rob’s
- [NBC NEWS / WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-6/) - The latest NBC-WSJ poll, conducted February 24-28 among 1,000 national adults, is packed full of interesting data and information. The poll examines Americans’ views on public employees, their benefits and bargaining structure; the current budget fight in Congress; the possibility of a government shut-down, and; a thorough read on the programs and items where budget
- [POS in the News 3/4/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-342011/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Las Vegas Sun regarding Governor Brian Sandoval's approval numbers. Bill McInturff was quoted by MSNBC's First Read concerning the budget.
- [As Gas Prices Rise, Bringing Back Solid Strategic Advice](https://pos.org/as-gas-prices-rise-bringing-back-solid-strategic-advice/) - Back before the TQIA blog, I used to send out memos once a month with strategic analyses and key data. The recent rapid rise in gas prices caused Jim Hobart to dig up my June 2008 memo on the politics of gas and energy. While voters are not yet as focused on the issue as
- [Data From 1995 Shows GOP Pain, But Not Definitive](https://pos.org/data-from-1995-shows-gop-pain-but-not-definitive/) - The mythology that has arisen around the December 1995 government "shutdown" (if the government does not really shutdown, is it really a shutdown?) suggests that it as a crushing political and policy defeat for the Republican party. In Sunday's Washington Post, Newt Gingrich (Speaker of the House at the time) makes a compelling case that
- [POS in the News 3/18/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-3182011/) - Glen Bolger, Bill McInturff, and Neil Newhouse were quoted in MSNBC's First Read regarding the passing of Reagan pollster Dr. Richard Wirthlin. Bill McInturff was quoted in Politico concerning strategy for the 2012 Presidential Election.
- [A Dem House Majority in 2012? Don’t Bet on It](https://pos.org/a-dem-house-majority-in-2012-dont-bet-on-it/) - This post was co-written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart Our friends at Democracy Corps recently released some initial findings of a survey they did in fifty Republican held battleground districts. Their initial memo, which can be found here begins: A new survey by Democracy Corps in 50 of the most competitive battleground Congressional districts
- [Kaiser Health News: Voter Attitudes Toward Health Care One Year After Passage](https://pos.org/kaiser-health-news-voter-attitudes-toward-health-care-one-year-after-passage/) - In a recent opinion piece for Kaiser Health News, Public Opinion Strategies Partners Bill McInturff and Lori Weigel examined voters’ attitudes toward health care one year following passage of federal legislation. The most telling result? The absence of significant change, with a majority of American voters continuing to oppose the reforms. They go on to
- [POS in the News 3/25/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-3252011/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post regarding control of the House after the 2012 Election. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll was cited in the The Herald-Dispatch about establishing an intermediate court of appeals in West Virginia.
- [POS in the News 4/1/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-412011/) - Glen Bolger was mentioned in National Journal regarding redistricting. Bill McInturff was quoted in The New York Times concerning gas prices.
- [NBC NEWS / WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-7/) - The latest NBC-WSJ poll, conducted March 31 – April 4 among 1,000 national adults, is replete with opinions about all of the most important events happening today – and that’s no small feat as there’s quite a bit to cover. The poll includes coverage of topics ranging from Obama’s ideology to tsunamis and gas prices.
- [POS in the News 4/15/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4152011/) - Neil Newhouse and a Public Opinion Strategies' poll were cited in The Jerusalem Post concerning Palestinian statehood. Bill McInturff was mentioned in National Journal regarding the debt ceiling.
- [All The News That’s Fit to Print](https://pos.org/all-the-news-thats-fit-to-print/) - The national media has spent a great deal of time talking about Donald Trump and how Republicans are “unenthusiastic” toward the current field of GOP candidates for President. (For some perspective, just 55% of Democrats had even heard of a young Arkansas Governor named Bill Clinton in April 1991*. How “enthusiastic” could these voters have
- [POS in the News 4/29/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-4292011/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal regarding Medicare messaging.
- [How Long Will President Obama's Job Approval Bump Last?](https://pos.org/how-long-will-president-obamas-job-approval-bump-last/) - Not including the post-9/11 response, the average presidential approval rating bumps up 13{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} for an average of 22 weeks.
- [PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES CELEBRATES 20 YEARS OF HELPING WIN POLITICAL/PUBLIC AFFAIRS CAMPAIGNS](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-celebrates-20-years-of-helping-win-politicalpublic-affairs-campaigns/) - Public Opinion Strategies was founded 20 years ago this week in 1991 by Neil Newhouse, Bill McInturff, and Glen Bolger. Since its founding, the firm has grown into the largest political and public affairs polling firm in the country. In 20 years, the firm has completed over six million interviews for nearly 15,000 projects.
- [NBC NEWS / WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-8/) - According to this month’s NBC News poll conducted from May 5th-7th, a strong majority of Americans agree with the President and oppose releasing the death photo of Osama bin Laden. However, the political boon which may have followed the killing of the most wanted man in the world seems to have been stunted by record
- [Where's the Bounce?](https://pos.org/wheres-the-bounce/) - This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart Last week, following the killing of Osama Bin Laden, we looked at the average job approval bump for Presidents following major military and/or national security events. Not including the post 9/11 response, the average Presidential approval bump was 13{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} for an average of 22 weeks.
- [POS in the News 5/13/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-5132011/) - Glen Bolger was cited in Time regarding control of the House. Bill McInturff was quoted in MSNBC's First Read concerning the President's job approval.
- [Public Opinion Strategies Turns 20...](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-turns-20/) - The founding partners of Public Opinion Strategies were interviewed by Roll Call and look back on 20 years in the business. Public Opinion Strategies Turns 20, Reflects on Polling Industry By Kyle Trygstad Roll Call Staff May 17, 2011, Midnight Framed mementos of past campaigns line the walls of Public Opinion Strategies’ headquarters, an understated
- [POS in the News 5/27/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-teh-news-5272011/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post concerning a debt-limit increase. Neil Newhouse was quoted in The Daily Beast regarding women voters in the 2012 election.
- [New National Research:  Exploring Public Opinion About The New Health Care Law, Health Information Technology, and The Collection, Analysis, Distribution, and Sale of Anonymous Health Care Data](https://pos.org/new-national-research-exploring-public-opinion-about-the-new-health-care-law-health-information-technology-and-the-collection-analysis-distribution-and-sale-of-anonymous-health-care-data/) - A plurality of voters oppose the new health care law, and over the past year, roughly half of voters say their opinion has become less favorable about the new health care law. Most voters report having had experience—in fact, positive experience—with computerized medical records. Over time, their sense of control over privacy of these records
- [NBC NEWS / WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-9/) - According to the latest NBC-WSJ Poll, conducted June 9-13, Obama comes down from the bin Laden bump in his overall job approval rating and also sees drops in job approval on foreign policy and his handling of Libya. As in recent NBC-WSJ polling there remains a dismal economic outlook among the public, as a plurality
- [New National Research:  Providing a roadmap for communicating with consumers and policymakers on the benefits and future direction of palliative care.](https://pos.org/new-national-research-providing-a-roadmap-for-communicating-with-consumers-and-policymakers-on-the-benefits-and-future-direction-of-palliative-care/) - Although consumers may be content with the quality of health care they receive, they have concerns about the level of care patients with serious illness receive. This research provides an in-depth look at appropriate messages, as well as attitudes and perceptions about palliative care. Memo in PDF Format
- [POS in the News 7/8/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-782011/) - A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research was cited in a Wall Street Journal article regarding new key voting groups. Anchorage Daily News sourced a new Public Opinion Strategies survey for the Alaskan chapter of the Nature Conservancy concerning the salmon population. Results from a June poll regarding a one year smoking ban, which was conducted by Public
- [POS IN THE NEWS 7/15/11](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-71511/) - Results from Public Opinion Strategies' poll on palliative care in U.S. hospitals were featured in Healthcare Finance News. Neil Newhouse was quoted in IsraelSeen.com regarding Israeli/Palestinian relations.
- [New National Survey](https://pos.org/new-national-survey/) - 11304 National Interview Schedule - POS
- [Twitter.  Is it for everybody?](https://pos.org/twitter-is-it-for-everybody/) - The results of our latest national survey of 800 likely 2012 voters point to eleven percent (11%) of likely voters owning a Twitter account. And only four percent (4%) say they have accessed their Twitter the day before. So, who are these voters with a Twitter account? A younger group: 80% are 18-44 year olds
- [NBC News/Wall Street Journal](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal/) - In the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted July 14-17, we find two things are abundantly clear to most Americans, the country is off on the wrong track, the economy is stagnant. Almost 8 out of 10 Americans have seen and heard the news about the ongoing debt ceiling debate in Congress and the
- [POS in the News - July 22, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-july-22-2011/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' survey on Senator Scott Brown's (R- MA) popularity was highlighted in Roll Call and Boston.com. Quad-City Times showcased a Public Opinion Strategies' poll about wind energy in Iowa. A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies' Bill McInturff and Democratic pollster Peter Hart appeared on MSNBC.com and the National Journal Hotline On Call regarding the national debt.
- [POS in the News - July 29, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-july-29-2011/) - Public Opinion Strategies’ Partner Lori Weigel, along with David Metz of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates, published Stopping the Shell Game on The Hill’s Congress Blog. The Christian Science Monitor quoted Public Opinion Strategies’ Partner Glen Bolger on consumer confidence as an election predictor. Lori Weigel, partner at Public Opinion Strategies, was quoted in
- [POS in the News - August 5, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-5-2011/) - Public Opinion Strategies and Mellman Group, Inc. conducted a poll for Pew on the U.S. dependence on foreign oil which was featured in HuffPost Green. The results from a Public Opinion Strategies' poll on clean energy in Iowa appeared in SustainableBusiness.com. Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Glen Bolger was quoted in MinnPost.com about the increase in conservative
- [Congratulations to Alberta Darling](https://pos.org/congratulations-to-alberta-darling/) - With State Senator Alberta Darling’s 54{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} win last night, Public Opinion Strategies helped defend the GOP majority and turn back a public employee union sponsored recall election. Congratulations to Senator Darling and all of those involved in the campaign. From the get-go, the campaign used our research to guide its messaging – Darling was NEVER
- [POS in the News - August 12, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-12-2011/) - Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Bill McInturff appeared on CNN's John King USA to discuss the stock market. Neil Newhouse, Parter at Public Opinion Strategies, was quoted in the National Journal about the 2012 presidential election. A Public Opinion Strategies' poll about renewable energy in Iowa was featured on renewableenergyworld.com.
- [President Obama is No Ronald Reagan (DUH!)](https://pos.org/president-obama-is-no-ronald-reagan-duh/) - Since Truman, five presidents have won re-election and two have lost. The average Misery Index for the winners was 8.89 the October prior to the November election. In contrast, the two losers (Presidents Carter and Bush 41), suffered from an average Index of 15.39. Ouch. Where is President Obama? As of last month, the Index
- [POS in the News - August 19, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-19-2011/) - Neil Newhouse, partner at Public Opinion Strategies, was quoted in the Evansville Courier & Press about the impact of Americans believing the country is on the wrong track. Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Glen Bolger was quoted in the National Journal discussing trends in presidential favorability.
- [POS in the News - August 26, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-26-2011/) - Public Opinion Strategies' Parter Glen Bolger was quoted in The Hill regarding congressional approval ratings.
- [Consequences of the Debt Ceiling Negotiations](https://pos.org/mcinturff-consequences-of-the-debt-ceiling-negotiations/) - The Iranian hostage crisis, Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Lehman Brother’s collapse and the recessions that defined the 1980, 1992 and the 2008 presidential campaigns … these are the signal events that changed and then defined the last 30 years of American politics. They are joined now by another signal event: The debt
- [POS in the News - September 2, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-2-2011/) - Bill McInturff, Partner at Public Opinion Strategies, released polling data about the debt debate which sparked articles in The Washington Post, The Fiscal Times, Politico, Business Insider, The Daily Beast, and Outside the Beltway. The Washington Times highlighted a few points on President Obama's approval rating made by Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Glen Bolger during his
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-2/) - In the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted from August 27-31, we find record low approval of the job President Obama is doing and record low approval of his handling of the economy. The percentage of respondents with “very negative” feelings is higher than those with “very positive” feelings about Mr. Obama by more
- [It's Not The End of the World As We Know It](https://pos.org/its-not-the-end/) - A lot of pundits have been overreaching on their analysis of the extraordinarily dramatic data that has shown significant voter anger at Washington. There have been predictions that incumbents are "unsafe at any speed" and that voters are going to wipe out both Republicans (who after all control the House, where legislation passes before Harry
- [White Voters Can Jump](https://pos.org/white-voters-can-jump/) - The following two tables always stun Republicans when I do a presentation: The point is -- John McCain got the same percentage of the white vote while losing in 2008 that George W. Bush got in winning the electoral college in 2000 (note to Dems reading this -- what has two thumbs and doesn't care
- [POS in the News - September 9, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-9-2011/) - This week Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Bill McInturff continued to make headline news with his analysis of the debt debate. He was quoted in: Associated Press, Reuters, StatesmanJournal.com, National Journal, HanfordSentinel.com, Noozhawk, and The Wall Street Journal.
- [Hispanic Voters: Opportunity for GOP as Obama Falters?](https://pos.org/hispanic-voters-opportunity-for-gop-as-obama-falters/) - With much speculation about Hispanics and the 2012 election, we thought it worth taking a look. Anecdotally you hear whispers (some louder than others) about President Obama’s erosion in the Hispanic community, that Hispanics are turning against him headed into 2012. But is it true? In 2008, Obama received 66{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the Hispanic vote, an
- [The Tipping Point?](https://pos.org/the-tipping-point/) - For quite some time, Republican pollsters have been making the point to their clients: don't confuse the attitudes of base and swing voters toward the President. Base GOP voters do not like Obama's policies, and they dislike him personally (some more vehemently than others). However, we had consistently seen in our polls and focus groups that
- [The Big Nine and the 2012 Presidential Election](https://pos.org/the-big-nine-and-the-2012-presidential-election/) - Sorry sports fans, this blog post is not about a new NCAA football conference (although it could be). Instead, it's about the nine states that George W. Bush won in 2004 but flipped over to Barack Obama in 2008. The states: Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia. These are the purplest
- [The Tipping Point?  President Obama has TIPPED Already!](https://pos.org/the-tipping-point-president-obama-has-tipped-already/) - This past week, my wise and insightful partner Glen Bolger posted a blog entry labeled, “The Tipping Point.” It is definitely worth reading. The premise of the bit is while a majority of voters have become disapproving of the President, there is still a well of good will toward the President personally. A series of
- [POS in the NEWS - September 16, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-16-2011/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' poll, conducted by Partner Neil Newhouse, was featured in Politico regarding voters' TV habits. Partner Gene Ulm was quoted in The Miami Herald about Florida voters. The Atlantic quoted Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Neil Newhouse regarding how the jobs debate will affect President Obama in the upcoming election. Glen Bolger, Partner
- [Voters In No Rush To Pass Obama Bill](https://pos.org/voters-in-no-rush-to-pass-obama-bill/) - A new national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for Crossroads GPS finds that President Obama's Jobs Bill is polarizing. Voters are evenly split on whether or not they support it, they overwhelmingly tell Congress to look at it more in-depth rather than pass it now, and they are evenly split on whether raising taxes
- [POS in the NEWS - September 23, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-23-2011/) - A Public Opinion Strategies' poll about the Israeli Palestinian conflict was featured in the Hindustan Times. The Lahontan Valley News featured Public Opinion Strategies' poll results on Nevadans' view of the economy.
- [POS in the NEWS - September 30, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-30-2011/) - National Journal quoted POS Partner Glen Bolger on the 2012 election. Public Opinion Strategies' poll results were highlighted in Grist regarding carbon emissions. NPR quoted Neil Newhouse, partner at Public Opinion Strategies, about voter's television habits. POS' survey results concerning the solyndra debate appeared in The Hill. The Washington Post used Public Opinion Strategies' poll results in an article about the driver's license law in
- [POS in the News 10/7/2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-1072011/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Atlantic about the president having to defend typically safe Democrat states. Neil Newhouse was quoted in Bloomberg concerning the Republican presidential field and Chris Christie. A Public Opinion Strategies led group discussion of Iowa "Walmart Moms" was cited in the Globe Gazette.
- [October 2011 focus groups among Walmart Moms](https://pos.org/october-2011-focus-groups-among-walmart-moms/) - In 2008, Public Opinion Strategies identified Walmart Moms as a key “swing voter” sub-group. We continued tracking this important voter bloc during the 2010 election and we have started tracking this group again as the 2012 elections heat up. On October 5th, 2011, we conducted three focus groups of Walmart Moms (defined as women with
- [POS in the NEWS - October 14, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-october-14-2011/) - Neil Newhouse and Alex Bratty were quoted in The Miami Herald regarding POS' focus groups with "Walmart-Moms." Public Opinion Strategies' poll results about the Republican presidential race were featured in the National Journal. In another National Journal article, POS' survey results concerning the United Nations were highlighted.
- [Response to Bill Burton's (Priorities USA Action) recent comments regarding the Romney For President campaign](https://pos.org/response-to-bill-burtons-priorities-usa-action-recent-comments-regarding-the-romney-for-president-campaign/) - This memo is in response to Bill Burton's (Priorities USA Action) recent comments regarding the Romney For President campaign. Memo in PDF format
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-3/) - In the latest NBC News/The Wall Street Journal poll conducted October 6-10, we find continued low marks for President Obama’s overall job approval and on the economy. The percentage of respondents with “very negative” feelings is higher than those with “very positive” feelings about Mr. Obama by more than the margin of error for the
- [POS in the NEWS – October 21, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-october-21-2011/) - Bill McInturff was quoted on SmartMoney about a POS’ poll regarding retirement confidence. The results of a Public Opinion Strategies’ survey of wine drinkers were highlighted in Napa Valley Register.
- [POS in the NEWS -  October 28, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-october-28-2011/) - Roll Call quoted Glen Bolger about presidential coattails in the 2012 election. Quotes from Neil Newhouse's memo on presidential debates were highlighted in Politico. Glen Bolger was quoted in Yahoo! News regarding Obama's bump in approval.
- [October 2011 National Survey of Walmart Moms](https://pos.org/october-2011-national-survey-of-walmart-moms/) - In 2008, Public Opinion Strategies identified Walmart Moms (defined as women with children age 18 or younger at home and who shopped at Walmart at least once in the past month) as a key “swing voter” sub-group. We continued tracking this important voter bloc during the 2010 election and we have started to take a
- [POS in the NEWS - November 4, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-november-4-2011/) - The Columbus Dispatch quoted Neil Newhouse regarding polls on statewide ballot issues. A POS' survey on "Wal-Mart moms" was featured in the National Journal and Boston.com. USA Today quoted Neil Newhouse on the 2012 election.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-4/) - In the latest NBC News/The Wall Street Journal poll conducted November 2-5, we find more evidence of a dismal national mood just one year out from the 2012 election. Wrong track numbers continue to be in the low 70’s and the poll finds 54{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of adults think the country is beginning a long-term decline where
- [POS in the NEWS - November 11, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-november-11-2011/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted on UPI.com about Mitt Romney's strength with female voters. Alex Bratty was quoted in Greentech Media regarding wind power. The NBC News and Wall Street Journal poll conducted by Bill McInturff and Peter Hart was discussed in the National Journal. U.S. News quoted Neil Newhouse about "Wal-Mart moms'" view of the economy.
- [POS in the NEWS - November 18, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-november-18-2011/) - Public Opinion Strategies' Partner Neil Newhouse was quoted in the MinnPost.com about "Wal-Mart moms."
- [POS in the News - December 2, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-2-2011/) - The Hill published an article about "Wal-Mart moms" written by POS partners Neil Newhouse and Alex Bratty and Momentum Analysis' president Margie Omero. The Washington Post quoted POS partner Glen Bolger regarding African-Americans in th 2012 Election. POS partner Glen Bolger was quoted in the Star Tribune regarding independents in the 2012 Election.
- [A WAY TO HONOR KIM WEBB JOYNER](https://pos.org/a-way-to-honor-kim-webb-joyner/) - In memory of our friend and colleague Kim Webb Joyner, Public Opinion Strategies, with James’ approval, is starting College America 529 funds for Katie and Ellie. These types of funds grow tax free over the years to be used to help pay for the girls’ college education. Both the company and individual partners will be
- [POS in the NEWS - December 9, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-9-2011/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in the Wall Street Journal regarding surveying cell phone users. Las Vegas Review- Journal quoted Glen Bolger about the Nevada's 4th Congressional District race.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-5/) - In the latest NBC News/The Wall Street Journal poll conducted December 7-11, Americans signal that 2011 is a year to forget. Compared to past years, 76{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} see 2011 as below average or one of the worst. That’s the second worse rating across nine years this poll has asked that question stretching back off-and-on to 1991.
- [POS in the NEWS - December 16, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-16-2011/) - Results from a Public Opinion Strategies' survey on energy issues in Nevada was featured in the Dallas Morning News. MSNBC showcased the results from the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted by Bill McInturff and Peter Hart.
- [POS in the NEWS - December 22, 2011](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-22-2011/) - The National Journal quoted Glen Bolger about debates in the 2012 election.
- [POS in the News - January 6, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-january-13-2012/) - POS Partner Glen Bolger was quoted in CQ Weekly about inequality and mobility in this election.
- [POS in the News - January 13, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-january-13-2012-2/) - USA Today quoted Neil Newhouse about campaign advertising. Glen Bolger was quoted by The Street concerning how the 2008 presidential primaries are different from the 2012 primaries. The National Association of Home Builders reported on the results of a survey on federal mortgage policies conducted for the Association by Neil Newhouse.
- [Hispanic Outreach in 2012](https://pos.org/hispanic-outreach-in-2012/) - Population shifts and the growth of the numbers of future Hispanic voters will realign American politics. Several groups and organizations are expanding their “Latino outreach” programs to communicate with Hispanic voters to earn a larger slice of the Hispanic vote for Republican candidates. But what is Latino outreach and will it work? Latino outreach that
- [POS In The News - January 20, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-january-20-2012/) - Reuters quoted Bill McInturff on housing policy and the Republican primary election. Bill was also quoted by The Indianapolis Star in an article about Governor Mitch Daniels. Roll Call included Glen Bolger's opinion on whether 2012 will be a wave election for either party.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-6/) - In the latest NBC News/The Wall Street Journal poll conducted January 22-24, there is some modestly good economic news as more Americans believe the economy will get better (37{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) over the next year than at any time since January 2011. As the economic outlook improved slightly, so did the overall outlook on the direction of
- [POS in the News - January 27, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-january-27-2012/) - Rob Autry was quoted in Roll Call concerning the poll conducted on behalf of Rep. Mo Brooks of Alabama. WisPolitics.com quoted Gene Ulm's speech at a luncheon they sponsored. Politico shared the results of Glen Bolger's poll conducted in Arizona's 4th district. Bill McInturff was quoted by the Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire blog on
- [POS In the News - February 3, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-3-2012/) - The Wall Street Journal quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the Florida primary results. The Washington Post quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about Republican primary candidates' relationships with Protestant voters. The Christian Science Monitor quoted Bill McInturff in an article about Republican turnout in the November election. Bill McInturff was quoted in the
- [Flawed Washington Post/ABC News Poll](https://pos.org/flawed-washington-postabc-news-poll/) - Romney campaign pollster Neil Newhouse explains a critical error in the survey questionnaire from the recent Washington Post/ABC News Poll. Memo in PDF Format
- [POS IN THE NEWS- February 10, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-10-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in USA TODAY on the advantage of Republican enthusiasm in the election. Share Builder quoted Alex Bratty in an article about homeownership.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- FEBRUARY 17, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-17-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Los Angeles Times on Republican turnout during the primaries. The Associated Press quoted Neil Newhouse on Romney's appeal to the white working class. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Kansas City Business Journal about a survey of Johnson County residents.
- [President Obama: “America is back!”  Guess again: More than 40% of Americans aren’t working.](https://pos.org/president-obama-america-is-back-guess-again-more-than-40-of-americans-arent-working/) - It seems like we are being bombarded with what sounds like great economic news every day: the Dow is poised to break 13K, the unemployment rate is dropping like a stone and the Democrats are giddy over the prospect of President Obama’s re-election. Not so fast. The economic pain Americans have been suffering has received
- [Pain at the pump: Not good for Obama](https://pos.org/pain-at-the-pump-not-good-for-obama/) - Pain at the pump: Not good for Obama The price of gas has gone nothing but up over the last month; fifty cents per gallon, or ten percent, over the last year. Modest economic growth, nixing the Keystone Pipeline and Iran’s continued saber-rattling over its desire to have the bomb all have one thing in
- [POS IN THE NEWS- MARCH 2, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-2-2012/) - Lori Weigel was quoted in Stars and Stripes in an article about Veterans and the protection of Fort Ord. The Washington Post quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about Mitt Romney's run for the GOP nomination. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Detroit Free Press in an article about Santorum's loss in the Michigan Republican
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-7/) - The latest NBC News/The Wall Street Journal poll conducted February 29 – March 3, 2012 covers the landscape of opinion and attitudes surrounding current events and policy issues including: Key approval and image ratings on President Obama; Image ratings on the parties and the GOP presidential candidates; The most important issue facing the federal government;
- [Obamaga$ could push Purple states to Red](https://pos.org/obamaga-could-push-purple-states-to-red/) - We’ve documented the impact gas prices can have on presidential re-election numbers: when the average price for a gallon of regular gasoline is $2.43 or higher (in today’s dollars), the party that holds the White House ultimately loses the White House. See https://pos.org/2012/03/pain-at-the-pump-not-good-for-obama/ for more. If you doubt it, compare the price at the pump
- [POS IN THE NEWS-March 9, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-9-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Jewish Telegraphic Agency in an article about American's view on the threat of Iran. The Daily Caller quoted Gene Ulm in an article about high gas prices and the impact it will have on President Obama's re-election.
- [Obamanomics: America really ISN'T GROWING (that much)](https://pos.org/obamanomics-america-really-isnt-growing-that-much/) - Economic growth is like gravity for campaigns: poor Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth sinks an incumbent while strong growth is a boon. Check out http://www.data360.org/dsg.aspx?Data_Set_Group_Id=274 for a ton of historical data. We’re talking about “real” GDP growth, not “nominal” GDP growth. Real GDP growth is an apples-to-apples comparison that factors out inflation. Example: the Obamanomics
- [POS IN THE NEWS- March 16, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-16-2012/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The New York Times in an article about the importance of women voters in the 2012 election. CNN quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about the challenges of Gov. Romney's campaign and how they have overcome them.
- [Three Quick Blog Posts In One!](https://pos.org/5092-2/) - Rather than writing multiple short blog posts, here are some quick hits: Delusional Democrats I have been asking likely voters in general surveys which party controls Washington. The results have been staggeringly consistent no matter where the survey is completed. Approximately one-third say the Democrats control Washington, one-third say the Republicans do(!), ten percent say
- [POS IN THE NEWS- MARCH 23, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-23-2012/) - National Public Radio quoted Bill McInturff in an article about how the ruling on Health Care could shift the GOP debate. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Associated Press in an article about exciting voters in the 2012 Republican Primary.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- MARCH 30, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-30-2012/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post in an article about President Obama's Health Care law.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- APRIL 6, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-6-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in USA TODAY in an article about the gender gap in the 2012 Presidential Election. The Inquirer quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the impact the Health- Reform law has on women voters. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Israpundit in a article about Jewish voters in the 2012 Presidential
- [POS IN THE NEWS- APRIL 13, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-13-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in the McClatchy Newspapers in an article about issues facing the 2012 Presidential Election. Bill McInturff was quoted in the Philadelphia Inquirer in an article about the concerns of women voters in the 2012 Presidential Election.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- APRIL 20, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-20-2012/) - POS' very own Bill McInturff notes in a recent CNBC article that Republican voters are beginning to coalesce around the nearly inevitable GOP nominee, former Governor Mitt Romney. Bill McInturff was recently quoted in a MSNBC article about the the projection of a close 2012 Presidential General Election.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-8/) - In the latest NBC-WSJ poll conducted April 13-17, we find a closely divided electorate as we begin the general election phase of the presidential race between presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. The president’s approval (49 approve – 46 disapprove) among all adults and voters’ preference for control of Congress (44 GOP-controlled –
- [POS IN THE NEWS- APRIL 27, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-27-2012/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post in an article about the role of the Tea Party in the 2012 GOP primaries. Glen Bolger wrote a Special to Roll Call on the 'E-Fairness" Legislation and its favor among GOP Voters. MSNBC quoted Bill McInturff in an article about rising gas prices and the affect
- [Walmart Moms:  A Key Swing Voter Group Again in 2012](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-a-key-swing-voter-group-again-in-2012/) - Public Opinion Strategies in conjunction with Democratic firm Momentum Analysis, conducted a three-day online discussion among Walmart Moms (defined as voters with children age 18 or younger living at home and who shop at Walmart at least once per month) in five key states: FL, NV, OH, PA & VA. Our two firms have been
- [POS IN THE NEWS- MAY 4, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-may-4-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Kansas City Star in an article about closing the gap with women voters. The Capital Journal quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about Gov. Sam Brownback's popularity. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the McClatchy Newspapers in an article about Mitt Romney's path towards the presidency.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- MAY 11,2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-may-112012/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post in an article about the odds of President Obama winning Arizona in the 2012 Presidential Election. USA Today quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about the challenges that lie ahead for both President Obama and the presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney in 2012 Presidential Election.
- [ICYMI: The End of President Obama's Dead Cat Bounce?](https://pos.org/icymi-the-end-of-president-obamas-dead-cat-bounce/) - See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_cat_bounce : an ugly notion that “even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from great height.” It’s also a striking metaphor for America’s stagnant job market. The number of Americans employed in the workforce has dropped by a tenth-of-a-point per month since February. According to the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, in
- [POS IN THE NEWS- May 18, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-may-18-2012/) - Gene Ulm was quoted in the Journal Sentinel in an article about the influence that the Wisconsin recalls will have on the governor race.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-9/) - The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, conducted May 16-20, finds a deepening pessimism on the economy, a competitive Presidential race (43{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Romney – 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Obama), and a dead-even Congressional Preference among voters (43{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} prefer a Congress Controlled by Republicans – 44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} prefer a Congress Controlled by Democrats). Attitudes on the economy overall and President
- [POS IN THE NEWS- June 1, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-1-2012/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in the National Journal in an article about this year's battleground states in the 2012 presidential election. The Los Angeles Times quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the upcoming decision of the healthcare bill.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- JUNE 8, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-8-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in Politico in an article about Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown and their race towards the Senate. The Huffington Post quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about former Governor Mitt Romney winning over the GOP.
- [Walmart Moms: More Research Among This Important Swing Voter Group](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-more-research-among-this-important-swing-voter-group/) - Following our April online discussion groups, Public Opinion Strategies in conjunction with Democratic firm Momentum Analysis, went on the ground into key states to speak to Walmart Moms in Richmond, VA and Latina Walmart Moms in Las Vegas, NV. These swing voters are just starting to tune into the presidential election and it’s clear that
- [Walmart Moms in Swing States: Up For Grabs in the 2012 Election](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-in-swing-states-up-for-grabs-in-the-2012-election/) - The Gender Gap, The War On Women – there’s been a lot of focus on women and moms already in this election; but is the conversation that’s been going on really the right one or the relevant one? Not according to the moms we recently spoke to in an online panel that convened over three
- [Walmart Moms:  The Quintessential Swing Voter Group Is Tuning Into the Election; Time For Candidates To Define Themselves & Their Plans](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-the-quintessential-swing-voter-group-is-tuning-into-the-election-time-for-candidates-to-define-themselves-their-plans/) - Towards the end of April, Public Opinion Strategies and Momentum Analysis conducted online focus groups among Walmart Moms in key swing states: Florida, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. At that time, Mitt Romney was on the brink of becoming the apparent Republican nominee and the primary race was effectively winding down. The moms we spoke
- [POS IN THE NEWS- JUNE 15, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-15-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in Politico in an article about President Obama's likability and whether or not it will help him in the upcoming presidential election. Campaigns and Elections quoted Glen Bolger in an article about how satisfied Americans are with the current direction of the country.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- JUNE 22, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-22-2012/) - Jim Burton was quoted in Campaigns and Elections in an article about the possibility of a comeback of door-to-door polling.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-10/) - The latest NBC-WSJ poll, conducted June 20-24, find a tight Presidential race with Mitt Romney three points behind Barack Obama (44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Romney – 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Obama) which is within the poll’s margin of error. For the first time in 2012 Obama’s job approval has slipped to a net negative (47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve - 48{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove). Compared to
- [POS IN THE NEWS- JUNE 29, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-29-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in USA Today in an article about the concerns of Latino voters. The Wall Street Journal quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the narrow lead President Obama has over former Governor Mitt Romney. Bill McInturff was quoted in an MSNBC article about the challenges President Obama faces in energizing the
- [POS IN THE NEWS- JULY 6, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-july-6-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in The New York Times in an article about the attacks against Mitt Romney by President Obama. The National Journal quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the pressure on Congress and how to prevent an economic downturn. Bill McInturff was quoted in The New York Times in an article about
- [POS IN THE NEWS- JULY 13, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-july-13-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in USA Today in an article about Swing States, Ads, and the 2012 Presidential Election. The Daily Beast quoted Bill McInturff in an article about why President Obama has not publicly taken advantage of the judicial ruling on the health care plan.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-11/) - In the latest NBC-WSJ poll conducted July 18-22 among 1,000 registered voters we find an electorate in July that on the surface is mostly unchanged since June despite a campaign dialogue that has gone negative earlier than in past presidential contests. The internals of the poll suggest undercurrents in favor of Romney and Republicans. Overall,
- [POS IN THE NEWS- AUGUST 3, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-3-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in The Hill in an article about the possibility of President Obama running out of money and unable to close his campaign. The Washington Post quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about the "likability" of Mitt Romney, and how this issue will not help fix the state of the current U.S.
- [The Unemployment Rate and Re-election](https://pos.org/the-unemployment-rate-and-re-election/) - In the last 60 years there have been eight incumbent presidents seeking re-election. The table below shows the unemployment rate in January of the first year of their term, and then in January, July, and October of the last year of their first term. As the White House squabbles over a hundredth of a percent
- [POS IN THE NEWS- AUGUST 10, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-10-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in The New York Times in an article about the tight race in Iowa, and Mitt Romney's ability to excite the GOP base. The New York Times quoted Bill McInturff in an article about Pollsters struggle with cell phone use. Neil Newhouse was quoted in Politico in an article about the
- [POS IN THE NEWS- SEPTEMBER 7, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-7-2012/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in the News Observer in an article about polls showing a close race between President Obama and Mitt Romney in North Carolina. The Journal Sentinel quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about the outcome of Wisconsin in the 2012 Presidential election. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Miami Herald in an
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-12/) - The latest NBC-WSJ poll, conducted September 12-16, finds a competitive Presidential race with Mitt Romney trailing Barack Obama by six points (44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Romney – 50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Obama) among registered voters and by five among likely voters (45{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} - 50{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). Among those “high interest" 2012 voters (i.e. those rating their interest in the election as a 9
- [POS IN THE NEWS- SEPTEMBER 21, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-21-2012/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal in article about the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll that was released late Tuesday evening. NBC quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the comparison of the 2012 presidential election to 2004. Neil Newhouse was quoted in Campaigns and Elections in an article about a new
- [NFIB and NAM Survey of Small Businesses and Manufacturers](https://pos.org/nfib-and-nam-survey-of-small-businesses-and-manufacturers/) - On behalf of the National Federation of Independent Businesses and the National Association of Manufacturers, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a survey of 800 small business owners and manufacturers, owners, or C-level decision makers at companies with between 2 and 499 employees. Of the 800 interviews, 453 were conducted among small business owners and 347 were
- [POS IN THE NEWS- SEPTEMBER 28,2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-282012/) - The Daily Yonder quoted Glen Bolger in an article about a recent poll that shows Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama by a substantial amount among rural voters in swing states. Neil Newhouse was quoted in the Washington Post in an article about despite the setbacks the mood of Romney's campaign is defiantly upbeat. The Hill
- [POS IN THE NEWS- OCTOBER 5,2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-october-52012/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in Voice of America in article about Mitt Romney's strong debate performance on Wednesday night, and how he can build momentum from it. In a blog written by Lori Weigel for The Hill, Weigel explains how in spite of voters' lack of confidence in elected officials, the one thing American's feel
- [Internet is Key Channel to Reach Persuadable Voters Finds New Study from Google, GSG and POS](https://pos.org/internet-is-key-channel-to-reach-persuadable-voters-finds-new-study-from-google-gsg-and-pos/) - As the 2012 campaign enters its final weeks, new research suggests that the Internet offers candidates a real opportunity to reach the most sought-after voters – those who have not yet made up their minds. According to a survey of 500 persuadable voters in Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Virginia and Wisconsin conducted between October 2 and
- [Key Findings From a Recent Survey on Health Care and Obamacare](https://pos.org/key-findings-from-a-recent-survey-on-health-care-and-obamacare/) - Voters do want some reasonable health care reforms, but Obamacare goes too far. For that reason, many Americans - including many Independent and swing voter groups - have moved against the President's reform plan. Specifically, voters worry about costs and government intrusion. Read More.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- OCTOBER 19, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-october-19-2012/) - The New York Daily News quoted Gene Ulm in an article about the profile of the typical undecided voter from Ohio. Neil Newhouse was quoted in USA Today in an article about the power of women in swing states. The Virginian-Pilot quoted Glen Bolger in an article about the methodology of polling.
- [POS IN THE NEWS- OCTOBER 26, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-october-26-2012/) - U.S. News quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the upcoming presidential election resting on the Hispanic turnout. Lori Weigel was quoted in CBS Denver in an article about the importance of the Colorado women vote. The Wall Street Journal quoted Bill McInturff in an article about conservatives making a push for evangelical voters to
- [Key Findings: Public Opinion Strategies Election Night Survey Slide deck](https://pos.org/key-findings-public-opinion-strategies-election-night-survey-slide-deck/) - Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present key findings from two national surveys of 800 actual voters conducted on November 6, 2012. These surveys were merged, for a total of 1,600 actual voters nationally. The margin of error is +2.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}. Please note: additional data sources are referenced throughout this presentation, including national exit polls and
- [2012 Turnout: Identifying the “Missing” Voters of 2012](https://pos.org/2012-turnout-identifying-the-missing-voters-of-2012/) - Here are three things you probably have not heard much about as regards turnout on Tuesday: Forty-two percent (42{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of the drop in turnout is coming from the nine percent (9{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of the vote that comes from the "Hurricane Sandy region" of CT, NJ, and NY. Turnout was UP in the nine swing states. And
- [Walmart Moms’ Final 2012 Vote Decision](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-final-2012-vote-decision/) - Public Opinion Strategies and Momentum Analysis conducted national election night (11/6/12) surveys among N=1,600 voters (margin of error +2.5{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) and N=432 Walmart Mom voters (margin of error +4.7{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). Throughout the 2012 election cycle, our two firms conducted surveys and sixteen in-person and online focus groups to explore what these moms care about and what they
- [Three Keys From the Exit Polls](https://pos.org/three-keys-from-the-exit-polls/) - Given the demographics of the 2008 and 2012 elections, the Republican Party is in danger of becoming the “Win In Off Years Only Party” unless we make a full-throated improvement with Hispanic voters. And, we have to admit it is us, not them. Want proof? That’s easy – as of this writing, Mitt Romney is
- [Polling in 2012](https://pos.org/polling-in-2012/) - MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES RE: POLLING AND THE 2012 ELECTION DATE: NOVEMBER 12, 2012 There are a number of challenges facing the survey research industry, and every election offers the opportunity to continue to learn, change, and adapt. As a leader in the industry, we take every election, whether there are good election outcomes like
- [The New Electoral Math, and What It Means for Polling](https://pos.org/the-new-electoral-math-and-what-it-means-for-polling/) - While the debate rages over whether the GOP should view this as a message problem, a messenger problem, or a math problem, I wanted to take this blog post to underscore the challenge facing us from a math perspective – i.e. why it is important that we work hard to improve with Hispanics. As a
- [The Hispanic Vote: Challenging Our Assumptions](https://pos.org/the-hispanic-vote-challenging-our-assumptions/) - Republicans are in general agreement about one central premise as we look ahead to future elections—we must do better with Hispanic voters. That begins with challenging some long held assumptions. Data referenced below is taken from a post-election survey conducted in New Mexico among 500 voters who cast a ballot in 2012. Thirty-seven percent (37%)
- [Voters tuning in earlier, find Internet the most reliable for candidate info](https://pos.org/post-election-research-conducted-by-pos-and-gba-strategies-in-colorado/) - New post-election research conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and GBA Strategies in Colorado -- a critical swing state in 2012 and 2014 -- contains several key lessons for those seeking to understand not just what happened in 2012, but what this election means for 2014 and beyond. First, the traditional campaign timeline for communicating with
- [POS IN THE NEWS- DECEMBER 14, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-14-2012/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in a NBC article about the latest national NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that shows the majority of Americans want Congress and the White House to compromise and come to an agreement in order to avoid a fiscal cliff. A recent poll featured in The Virginian Pilot, conducted by Glen Bolger for
- [The Issue of Medicare in the 2012 Campaign](https://pos.org/the-issue-of-medicare-in-the-2012-campaign/) - Minority Leader Pelosi reflected the Democrats’ view of the Medicare issue when she said after Congressman Ryan was selected as the vice presidential candidate, “There are three important issues in this campaign. And in alphabetical order, they are Medicare, Medicare, Medicare…We have a very excellent chance to take back the House.” Instead, Medicare was not
- [POS IN THE NEWS- DECEMBER 21, 2012](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-21-2012/) - In an article by the New Hampshire Journal, Glen Bolger was quoted in Politico reporter Jonathan Martin's speech at the New England Council's Politics & Eggs breakfasts.
- [PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES NAMES ROBERT BLIZZARD AS A PARTNER](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-names-robert-blizzard-as-a-partner/) - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 6, 2013 PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES NAMES A NEW PARTNER Alexandria, VA – Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to announce the promotion of Vice President Robert Blizzard to join the firm’s partnership. This past election cycle, Blizzard was the pollster for Andy Barr’s upset victory over long-term Democratic incumbent Ben Chandler. Also
- [There’s No Crying in Redistricting](https://pos.org/theres-no-crying-in-redistricting/) - Republicans captured 49.4{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the two-party vote for Congress in 2012, yet won 54{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of the seats in the House. This gap between the Republican vote and the seats they won is on the high side, but certainly not without precedent over the past 40 years. If you began your career as a Republican trying
- [POS IN THE NEWS- January 18, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-january-18-2013/) - Glen Bolger points out in an NBC article that the country's changing demographics played a major role in the 2012 presidential election. In an article by The Washington Examiner Glen Bolger points out that in order for Republicans to have a chance, they must begin to appeal to Hispanic voters. Bill McInturff was quoted in
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-13/) - The latest NBC-WSJ poll covered a wide range of policy issues that confront the country as Barack Obama prepares to be sworn in for his second term as President. Barack Obama The new NBC-WSJ poll finds majorities approve of the job he is doing overall (52{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) and have a positive personal image of him (52{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}).
- [POS IN THE NEWS- FEBRUARY 1, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-1-2013/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in an article written by the National Journal on how the GOP can get back on track and start winning over voters. An NBC article quoted Bill McInturff on the results of a recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows that the majority of Americans believe abortion should be illegal in
- [Jim Hobart and Micah Roberts Promoted at Public Opinion Strategies](https://pos.org/jim-hobart-and-micah-roberts-promoted-at-public-opinion-strategies/) - FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE February 4, 2013 JIM HOBART AND MICAH ROBERTS PROMOTED AT PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Alexandria, VA – Public Opinion Strategies announced the promotions today of Jim Hobart and Micah Roberts to Vice President. Jim Hobart is a research veteran who has overseen nearly seven hundred research projects in forty-one states. Last year,
- [The Washington Economy](https://pos.org/the-washington-economy/) - The debt ceiling negotiations in August 2011 and the fiscal cliff negotiations of this past December both produced the same significant result: an immediate and substantial drop in consumer confidence. It is clear we have entered a new phase where the dysfunction and paralysis in Washington is having a significant and deleterious impact on how
- [Social Media and the Super Bowl](https://pos.org/social-media-and-the-super-bowl/) - The Super Bowl had the highest number of viewers of any TV event in this country's history. What is significant as well is the massive surge in social media use during the game. The growth of social media use during the Super Bowl over the past three years is astounding. Click here to see more
- [POS IN THE NEWS- FEBRUARY 8, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-8-2013/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in a recent article by Politico about President Obama and his recent decision to transform his campaign into "Organizing for Action" a freestanding lobbying group. The 2013 Colorado College Conservation in the West survey a bipartisan poll conducted by Lori Weigel of Public Opinion Strategies and Dave Metz of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz
- [A Review of the State of Survey Research and a Likely Voter Model](https://pos.org/a-review-of-the-state-of-survey-research-and-a-likely-voter-model/) - It is clear a traditional Likely Voter Model based only on self-described interest and self-described likelihood to vote missed the scope of the turnout of 18-29 year olds and Latinos in 2012. With what we know now, it is important to look again at the survey research completed in 2012. We need to understand what
- [The Silver-lining Factbook](https://pos.org/the-silver-lining-factbook/) - Following the 2012 election, Democrats have a lot to say about what the exit poll data portends. Much of the demographic data are important for Republicans to reflect upon at length. We very well may need fundamental changes in how we engage voters in communities and online to turn out voters and we likely need
- [After Obama Victory: Rifts Deepen, Confidence Drops](https://pos.org/5459-2/) - Since the 2012 election, polls have been telling a tale of two cities. In one tale, the Republican brand is destroyed beyond all recognition and destined to spend several long political cycles in some Luddite-inspired state of suspended animation. The other tale is one of sinking confidence in the economy, in the leadership in Washington,
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-14/) - The latest NBC-WSJ Poll conducted February 21-24 finds a souring public mood, frozen approval for the president’s performance, and a drop in approval of his handling for the economy. There is a great deal of interesting data on a range of issues but the broader story of the poll are the across-the-board deficits in confidence
- [A Summary of Findings from the February NBC-WSJ Poll](https://pos.org/a-summary-of-findings-from-the-february-nbc-wsj-poll/) - The latest NBC-WSJ Poll conducted February 21-24 finds a souring public mood, frozen approval for the president’s performance, and a drop in approval of his handling for the economy. There is a great deal of interesting data on a range of issues but the broader story of the poll are the across-the-board deficits in confidence
- [ICYMI: Sequester is no fiscal cliff](https://pos.org/icymi-sequester-is-no-fiscal-cliff/) - For three weeks, the president has been detailing the disaster that would come with sequestration, with an endless parade of photo-ops and cabinet secretaries. If you doubt the White House’s full-fledged doom-and-gloom, shame-and-blame offensive, google “Obama” and “sequester:” more than 627 MILLION hits! The markets didn’t buy it - and that matters. Most surveys show
- [Where have you gone Joe DiMaggio?:  Athletes no longer considered a good role model for children](https://pos.org/where-have-you-gone-joe-dimaggio-athletes-no-longer-considered-a-good-role-model-for-children/) - One terrific part about the NBC/WSJ survey is the opportunity to compare attitudes over a long time horizon. We recently repeated a simple question that was asked roughly thirty years ago: “Do you believe athletes are good role models for children?” In 1982, there was essential public consensus, 75% said "yes" that athletes were a
- [On Iraq, a Generational Divide](https://pos.org/on-iraq-a-generational-divide/) - On the occasion of the ten year anniversary of the United States’ invasion of Iraq, the Washington Post and ABC News asked two interesting questions about the legacy of the war in their most recent national poll. The first question asked: All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to
- [The Incredibly Shrinking President](https://pos.org/the-incredibly-shriking-president/) - Well, that didn’t take long. Just four months after his solid re-election win, and just two months after his very partisan inaugural speech, Barack Obama’s standing with the American people has taken a significant hit. With a few exceptions such as Hollywood, Manhattan, and most of the nation’s media, the man hailed in January as
- [Obamacare at Three: Key Health Care Data](https://pos.org/obamacare-at-three-key-health-care-data/) - As Obamacare turns three years old this week, we thought it would be interesting to go through recent research and look at key data regarding the issue. Click here to read more.
- [ICYMI: How Mick Jagger and Keith Richards saw the writing on the wall of social media](https://pos.org/icymi-how-mick-jagger-and-keith-richards-saw-the-writing-on-the-wall-of-social-media/) - “2000 Man” was penned by Mick Jagger and Keith Richards and covered by the glam-band KISS. The ‘67 album “Their Satanic Majesties Request” was one that even the most die-hard Stones fan can probably live without, being one of their lamer efforts. But, these two guys were way ahead of their time: “Well, my name is
- [Immigration Reform: Americans Saying The Time Is Now](https://pos.org/immigration-reform-americans-saying-the-time-is-now/) - There has been a lot of talk this year about the “gang of eight” and the time finally being ripe for meaningful immigration reform in America. A quick look at some of the polling conducted on this issue so far in 2013 very clearly shows us an American public ready for its leaders to take
- [WALMART MOMS - AN ENDURING SWING CONSTITUENCY](https://pos.org/walmart-moms-an-enduring-swing-constituency/) - If you want to begin to understand the disconnect between Washington DC politicians and Main Street America, look no further than Walmart Moms. (That’s women who have kids at home under the age of 18 and who have shopped at Walmart over the past month.) Walmart Moms are on the front-lines of the economy and
- [OBAMA’S TRIP TO ISRAEL: TEMPORARY PROGRESS BUT ENDURING UNCERTAINTY](https://pos.org/obamas-trip-to-israel-temporary-progress-but-enduring-uncertainty/) - On the occasion of President Obama’s first trip to Israel as president, it seems appropriate to evaluate current perceptions of the increasingly intricate relationship between the U.S. and Israel. By almost any measure, the president landed in Israel with relatively low expectations on a trip that was widely seen as an effort to remediate lingering
- [Hispanic Voters: The Ronald Reagan Legacy and Leadership Opportunity](https://pos.org/hispanic-voters-the-ronald-reagan-legacy-and-leadership-opportunity/) - For many Hispanics born early enough to remember, Ronald Reagan provides some of their earliest – and most positive – memories of “Republican.” Our groups asked participants to search the recesses of their memories and for many, the imprint of Ronald Reagan is one of their earliest and strongest memories. Words or phrases they use to describe Reagan include: “family values,” “real connection to people,” “he had cojones,” “he didn’t mess around” and “was respected by the world.” Even those too young to remember have a similar sense from their conversations with family or study of the Reagan era.
- [Straddling the Political Pipeline](https://pos.org/straddling-the-political-pipeline/) - In the latest installment of the Washington Waiting Game, we have the soon-to-be-released re-decision on the President’s initial refusal to make a decision on the future of the Keystone Pipeline. Enquiring minds want to know: will the President side with the vocal environmentalist faction of his party (block the Pipeline) or will he follow the
- [Hispanic Voters and The Immigration Debate: Right Principles, Wrong Approach](https://pos.org/hispanic-voters-and-the-immigration-debate-right-principles-wrong-approach/) - The very word “immigration” puts Hispanic Americans on edge. They know we’re talking about “them,” and they worry. When someone of Spanish-speaking descent as we had in our focus groups hears the word “immigration,” they brace for the worst. As they say ... “immigration means brown people. ALL brown people.” If they are white it does not matter who is speaking, Republican or Democrat. One participant in our group said, “I feel like they are talking to me even though I was born here... People think that because you are Spanish you are not supposed to be here.”
- [New National Survey on Immigration](https://pos.org/new-national-survey-on-immigration/) - Public Opinion Strategies and Ciruli Associates conducted a national telephone survey on behalf of the Krieble Foundation regarding the issue of immigration among 700 registered voters March 23-27, 2013. The survey has a margin of error of +3.7{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}. Please see our key findings from this survey.
- [NBC NEWS/WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-newswall-street-journal-15/) - The latest NBC-WSJ Poll conducted April 5-8, 2013 measured public attitudes on several social issues the country is currently debating including immigration, same-sex marriage, abortion, perceptions about women in society, and issues affecting families. On behalf of TELEMUNDO, the poll included an oversample to achieve a total sample of 300 Hispanic/Latino adults. The Hispanic/Latino data
- [Hispanic Voters and The Economy: Moving Beyond “Opportunity”](https://pos.org/hispanic-voters-and-the-economy-moving-beyond-opportunity/) - Our focus group respondents generally felt more aligned with Democrats on economic issues. These feelings stem from a sense that Democrats are out for the working class, while Republicans are the party of the rich. We have heard a lot about the class divide leading up to and since this most recent election.
- [As confidence in public schools hits a record low, Americans place renewed focus on education reform](https://pos.org/as-confidence-in-public-schools-hits-a-record-low-americans-place-renewed-focus-on-education-reform/) - Over the last few weeks, leaders from President Obama to Bill Gates have offered proposals and ideas to strengthen public schools, ranging from providing universal access to pre-school to reforming the teacher evaluation system. The renewed focus on education should come as no surprise, as Americans have grown increasingly concerned about the state of our
- [Backwards and in High Heels – Women Report Little Change in Workplace Challenge](https://pos.org/backwards-and-in-high-heels-women-report-little-change-in-workplace-challenge/) - Women are now more likely than men to attend and graduate from college, to perform better academically, and to attain an advanced degree. A majority of those in management and professional careers are now women, according to the Department of Labor (up from one-third in 1985). Yet, the latest NBC Wall Street Journal poll co-conducted
- [Hispanic Voters & Education: The Great Equalizer](https://pos.org/hispanic-voters-education-the-great-equalizer/) - One feature of this last election in the minds of the Hispanic voters in our focus groups – Democrats were the party willing to “help” you again and give you loans so that everyone can afford to go to college. Republicans by default were cast in the role of bad guy out to “hurt” average Americans by denying them access to greater opportunity.
- [Hispanic Voters: Rethinking the Faith & Family Paradigm](https://pos.org/hispanic-voters-rethinking-the-faith-family-paradigm/) - Republicans have become fond of saying in various forms: Hispanic voters should be with us because of our shared social values, or, we are the party of faith and family which are important to Hispanic voters. In our Hispanic voter focus groups, the value of family was center stage. It was one of the defining
- [PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES RELEASES DETAILED STUDY OF ALL 50 STATE OF THE STATE SPEECHES](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-releases-detailed-study-of-all-50-state-of-the-state-speeches/) - In six of the last nine years, Public Opinion Strategies has analyzed every State of the State speech for policy proposals. Overall, there were 581 policy proposals this year – 371 from Republican Governors and 196 from Democratic Governors, with the remainder from an Independent. The first document is a summary that breaks down the
- [Federal versus State: Differing views of Republican Leadership](https://pos.org/federal-versus-state-differing-views-of-republican-leadership/) - It’s official: The federal government has never been in worse shape. According to a new Pew poll conducted March 13-17 and released on Monday, the federal government has reached a new low in public perception, even among Democrats. At the same time, the public gives considerably higher marks to the state governments where Republicans have
- [A closer look at Americans’ perceptions about immigrants and immigration reform](https://pos.org/a-closer-look-at-americans-perceptions-about-immigrants-and-immigration-reform/) - With Friday’s roll-out of the Gang of Eight’s immigration bill, it is a good time to take a closer look at Americans’ perceptions about immigrants and immigration reform: Over the past eight years, Americans’ attitudes have shifted to be much more positive when it comes to the perceived impact immigration has on the United States.
- [POS In the News April 22, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-22-2013/) - Politico's Pro Report and Chris Cillizza of The Washington Post linked to the State of the States analysis conducted by POS and discussed the findings of the study, which can be found on our blog here. The Indianapolis Star mentioned a poll conducted by POS for the Indiana chapter of Americans for Prosperity. The article
- [A Look Ahead to the 2014 Elections in the States](https://pos.org/a-look-ahead-to-the-2014-elections-in-the-states/) - The next few months will see the closing of legislative sessions in many states across the country, marking the unofficial beginning of the 2014 elections in those states. During this time, caucus leaders will engage in the critical tasks of candidate recruitment, organization building, and fundraising, all of which are needed for a successful November
- [Health Care Proposals in the 50 State of the State Speeches](https://pos.org/health-care-proposals-in-the-50-state-of-the-state-speeches/) - In six of the last nine years, Public Opinion Strategies has analyzed the policy proposals put forth by every state’s governor in their annual State of the State speeches. Overall, there were 580 policy proposals this year—370 from Republican governors, 196 from Democratic governors, and the remainder from an Independent. Ten percent (10{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of this
- [The two lines the President hopes never meet:](https://pos.org/the-two-lines-the-president-hopes-never-meet/) - With all the bipartisan hooplah over the opening of President George W. Bush’s library, there are two lines President Obama hopes NEVER cross: his and President Bush’s respective images. The latest NBC News/Wall St. Journal polling shows President Bush’s rehabilitation has a ways to go before it renders obsolete the “mess I inherited” language that
- [Bill McInturff on the Daily Rundown with Chuck Todd](https://pos.org/bill-mcinturff-on-the-daily-rundown-with-chuck-todd/) - Bill McInturff was on MSNBC’s Daily Rundown with Chuck Todd today to discuss public policy trends across the states based on an analysis conducted by the firm on all 50 State of the State speeches. Click here for more information on the State of the State speeches.
- [GOP Challenges and Opportunities on the Issues Among Younger Voters](https://pos.org/gop-challenges-and-opportunities-on-the-issues-among-younger-voters/) - In the NBC/Wall Street Journal survey from February (conducted jointly by POS partner Bill McInturff and Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates), respondents were asked an extensive series of questions on what party does a better job of handling certain issues. Republicans came out ahead on issues where they are traditionally strong (national defense, government
- [Medication Non-Adherence is a Major Health Issue](https://pos.org/medication-non-adherence-is-a-major-health-issue/) - Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research conducted a national poll that shows nearly two-thirds of Americans who take prescription medications are non-adherent, meaning they are not taking their medications as prescribed by their doctors. This has real implications on Americans’ health.
- [Energy & Environment:  A Drop in Interest Doesn’t Mean a Change of Heart](https://pos.org/energy-environment-a-drop-in-interest-doesnt-mean-a-change-of-heart/) - In six of the last nine years, Public Opinion Strategies has analyzed the policy proposals put forth by every state’s governor in their annual State of the State speeches.* Overall, there were 580 policy proposals this year—370 from Republican governors, 196 from Democratic governors, and the remainder from an Independent. Over time we have tracked
- [Younger Voters Lukewarm on President Obama](https://pos.org/younger-voters-lukewarm-on-president-obama/) - This is the first in a series of posts on a survey of 3,103 18-29 year-olds conducted by the Harvard Institute of Politics and Knowledge Networks. The survey was conducted March 20, 2013 - April 8, 2013. President Obama’s approval rating with 18-29 year olds is 52{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve/46{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove. This is marginally better than his
- [POS In the News - May 7, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-may-7-2013/) - Dan Balz quoted Bill McInturff in a Washington Post column about what Republicans have been doing since November. BusinessWire discussed the results of a national health care survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research.
- [The Guest Worker Program:  A Crucial Element of Immigration Reform](https://pos.org/the-guest-worker-program-a-crucial-element-of-immigration-reform/) - With the flurry of media attention surrounding the Gang of Eight releasing the details of its bipartisan immigration reform bill a couple weeks ago, immigration reform has once again moved to the front-burner of American political discourse. Catchphrases such as “securing our borders” and “providing a pathway to citizenship” have been used so much in
- [Did Boston Cause Americans to be More Worried About Becoming a Victim of Terrorism?](https://pos.org/did-boston-cause-americans-to-be-more-worried-about-becoming-a-victim-of-terrorism/) - With the recent bombing in Boston, terrorism has returned to the forefront of American minds. But did the horror of last month’s attack have the effect of making Americans more worried about becoming a victim of terrorism themselves? Fortunately, there is historical data available to answer that question. Many thanks to the public opinion archives
- [As Foreign Tensions Escalate, Obama Sees a Drop](https://pos.org/as-foreign-tensions-escalate-obama-sees-a-drop/) - During the 2012 election, one of the perceived advantages President Obama held over Mitt Romney was the president’s seemingly firm grasp of foreign policy issues. During the summer months of the campaign, fully 47{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of voters felt President Obama was better equipped to handle foreign affairs issues compared to 32{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} for Romney according to a
- [School’s (almost) out for summer, but Americans remain focused on education reform](https://pos.org/schools-almost-out-for-summer-but-americans-remain-focused-on-education-reform/) - While the academic year is drawing to a close in schools across the country, Americans are not ready to let Congress and the president take a vacation from the issue of education reform. In a new Gallup study conducted May 4-5, eight-in-ten (81{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) adults say “improving the quality of education received by American school children”
- [POS in the News - May 17, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-may-17-2013/) - The Washington Post quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about the recent scandals plaguing the Obama administration. Glen Bolger was quoted in The Fix about how Republicans should move forward in response to these investigations. USA Today quoted Bill McInturff in an article about where the Affordable Care Act stands three years after it was signed
- [STATEMENT ON THE PASSING OF STEVE KINNEY](https://pos.org/statement-on-the-passing-of-steve-kinney/) - The partners of Public Opinion Strategies are deeply saddened to announce the passing of our friend and partner, Steve Kinney. Steve died May 19, 2013 at the age of 69 from cancer in hospice care at his home in Redondo Beach, California. Steve had long been a leading consultant in California Republican politics. Steve loved
- [Stephen M. Kinney:  My Mentor and Friend](https://pos.org/stephen-m-kinney-my-mentor-and-friend/) - It is with a heavy heart that I write this post today in loving memory of Stephen M. Kinney, my mentor and my friend. As anyone who knew him well could tell you, Steve was fiercely passionate in all that he did. He was passionate in his love for his wife Cindy. He was passionate
- [COMING SOON: THE ROLE OF ’06 PRESIDENT BUSH TO BE PLAYED BY BARACK OBAMA.](https://pos.org/coming-soon-the-role-of-06-president-bush-to-be-played-by-barack-obama/) - The storyline begins with an embattled President narrowly defeating a Massachusetts politico, going on to claim a mandate from the American people for his policies and programs. The first time that happened, then-President Bush spent the initial part of his second term trying to reform Social Security, even though voters’ top priority for the government
- [Younger Adults’ Attitudes About The Health Care Law](https://pos.org/younger-adults-attitudes-about-the-health-care-law/) - Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national poll of adults age 18-40 years old. The poll shows that 45{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of respondents who currently have health insurance report they would no longer purchase health insurance and would instead pay the penalty each year if their premium costs increase 30{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} in 2014. This data is a powerful reminder
- [A Primer of Public Opinion Regarding the Role of Government](https://pos.org/a-primer-of-public-opinion-regarding-the-role-of-government/) - Three scandals are currently plaguing the Obama Administration, The IRS targeting of Tea Party and other conservative groups during the 2012 election, the misrepresentation of facts and editing of talking points regarding a 9/11/2012 terrorist attack on the US consulate in Benghazi that killed four Americans, and the Department of Justice’s subpoena of AP phone
- [RETURN OF THE GOP: IN THEATERS NOVEMBER 2014](https://pos.org/return-of-the-gop-in-theaters-november-2014/) - While my post yesterday (https://pos.org/2013/05/coming-soon-the-role-of-06-president-bush-to-be-played-by-barack-obama/ ) centered on how President Obama’s second term in office is shaping up to be a sequel of his predecessor’s, there’s a ton of evidence suggesting that the coming attractions of the 2014 mid-term election cycle could mirror what happened in 2006. While Democrats may get excited about watching a
- [Obama’s Presidency Is Leaking Support…](https://pos.org/obamas-presidency-is-leaking-support/) - The downward forces of the triple-threat scandals hitting the Obama Administration seem to have finally taken a toll on President Obama’s job approval scores. And, it’s impacting the very voters you’d think it would – Independents. The latest Quinnipiac Poll shows that the cumulative and steady news drip regarding Benghazi, the IRS and the AP
- [What’s Your Problem?](https://pos.org/whats-your-problem/) - On the April NBC/Wall Street Journal survey (conducted jointly by POS partner Bill McInturff and Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates), respondents were read a series of problems facing American families and asked how serious each problem was. After taking a look at this data, two key points jumped out. First, there are stark differences
- [POS In the News - June 3, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-3-2013/) - The California Medical Association mentioned a POS/Benenson Strategy Group poll on their website. The Daily Caller reprinted Neil Newhouse's post on our blog. Real Clear Politics and several other news outlets posted an AP article quoting Bill McInturff on where ObamaCare is headed.
- [POS in the News - June 5, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-5-2013/) - The Wall Street Journal quoted partner Bill McInturff in a front-page article about the new NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll. CNBC also quoted Mr. McInturff in another article about the poll. Vice President Micah Roberts was quoted in a blog post from the Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire as well.
- [Put Simply: Republican Improvement with Young Voters means Improving with Hispanics](https://pos.org/put-simply-republican-improvement-with-young-voters-means-improving-with-hispanics/) - Although Mitt Romney improved upon John McCain’s 2008 performance among 18-29 year olds, Romney still lost younger voters by a significant margin last November. OK, so that’s not new information to anyone in politics. But, digging deeper into the exit polls from the last two presidential elections shows Romney actually won a majority of the
- [POS in the News - June 10, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-2/) - Newsobserver mentioned partner Glen Bolger in an article regarding the upcoming North Carolina Senate race. Partner Robert Blizzard's blog post about the future of the GOP was highlighted in the Huffington Post's Pollster Update. The company also gained recognition for two polls: one, in reference to the immigration issue facing the country, in the Daily
- [Most Americans Favor Allowing Illegal Immigrants to Stay in the United States](https://pos.org/most-americans-favor-allowing-illegal-immigrants-to-stay-in-the-united-states/) - Any discussion of immigration reform invariably brings to mind the question of how to deal with those people already living in America illegally. This question of deportation versus providing a way for those here illegally to remain in the country has become highly charged politically, especially among the traditional partisan bases of the two major
- [NBC NEWS / WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-10/) - Full Release interview schedule from the 2013 May-June NBC News/The Wall Street Journal Poll. NBC News / Wall Street Journal — May 30 - June 2, 2013 (PDF Format)
- [POS in the News - June 13, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-13-2013/) - Vice President Jim Hobart was recognized as one of Campaign and Election Magazine's 2013 Rising Stars. Congratulations, Jim! In regards to the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, Partner Bill McInturff was mentioned in two separate articles. First, in the Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire about immigration. He was also quoted in First Read by NBC News, talking
- [Syria: Obama’s “Red Line” vs. American Reluctance](https://pos.org/syria-obamas-red-line-vs-american-reluctance/) - It has been over two years since the bloody fighting in Syria began between President Bashar al-Assad’s government forces and anti-government rebels. Despite the limited attention from the U.S. public where only 15{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Americans admit to following the news about the civil war in Syria “very closely” (Gallup, May, 2013), the civil war has
- [President Obama's Jobless Recovery....or, America's Ever-Shrinking Band of Happier (and a lot Wealthier) People](https://pos.org/president-obamas-jobless-recovery-or-americas-ever-shrinking-band-of-happier-and-a-lot-wealthier-people/) - Last month, 58.6{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of working-age Americans were actually working. It must be good times for working folks, right? Guess again: the percentage of working-age Americans actually working has held stagnant since October of ‘09 when it dropped out of the 60{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} range just a couple of months after President Obama was sworn in the first
- [Democracy Corps Congressional Battleground Poll:  Our View](https://pos.org/democracy-corps-congressional-battleground-poll-our-view/) - As a pollster, I typically find surveys conducted by Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) terribly interesting and thought-provoking, and genuinely admire the transparency these Democratic pollsters show in releasing their full toplines along with their analysis. However, if you read just the analysis memo from Democracy Corps most recent Congressional Battleground Survey (http://www.democracycorps.com/Battleground-Surveys/not-so-fast-2014-congressional-battleground-very-competitive/), you
- [POS in the News - June 24, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-june-24-2013/) - Bloomberg News quoted partner Neil Newhouse in an article on the Republican Party's ongoing attempt at re-branding itself. A blog post by senior project director Paul Donaldson concerning Americans' reluctance to become involved in international conflicts was picked up by Huffington Post's Pollster Update.
- [Note to President: We do have some problems here. Four trends in public opinion regarding the federal government from polling conducted in June 2013.](https://pos.org/note-to-president-we-do-have-some-problems-here-four-trends-in-public-opinion-regarding-the-federal-government-from-polling-conducted-in-june-2013/) - Amid a slew of controversies, scandals, and leaks suggesting everything from severe ineptitude to Orwellian over-reaching by the government, earlier this month in San Jose, CA President Obama had this to say: “If people can’t trust not only the executive branch but also don’t trust Congress, and don’t trust federal judges…then we’re going to have
- [What’s in your freezer?  A guide to Fourth of July entertaining.](https://pos.org/whats-in-your-freezer-a-guide-to-fourth-of-july-entertaining/) - Fourth of July. The best of summer. Friends, family and fireworks. And don’t forget the ice cream. We’re headed to the mountains to beat the heat this week. As we plan the shopping list, ice cream is definitely on top. My 7-year old son is bringing a friend with him, and so as any Alpha
- [Wheels Up, U.S. Approval Rating Down](https://pos.org/wheels-up-u-s-approval-rating-down/) - President Obama ran on a promise to “restore America’s standing in the world,” and after just a few months in office, it sure looked like he was on course to deliver. During Obama’s first year in office, worldwide approval of U.S. leadership rose from 34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} (34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove) to 49{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} (21{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove). Even the President himself
- [Friends Still More Important than Follows](https://pos.org/friends-still-more-important-than-follows/) - Inside the Beltway, Twitter dominates the conversation. Introductions are often followed by “Oh, I follow you on Twitter.” Articles are written about “Twitter wars” between operatives and a column analyzing Hillary Clinton’s first tweet was featured prominently in the Washington Post. Journalists and campaign operatives often say that Twitter is the last thing they check before going
- [Trust No One](https://pos.org/trust-no-one/) - Americans are a wary bunch these days - and not without reason. Recent revelations about domestic spying would seem to vindicate “X-Files-like” paranoia. Recent polls have documented just how shaken our confidence in many major institutions of American society has been. The latest NBC-Wall Street Journal poll co-conducted by POS partner Bill McInturff demonstrates that
- [POS in the News - July 12, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-july-12-2013/) - Last week, the company was mentioned in an EIN Presswire report on a poll conducted in Oregon concerning tax spending. Partner Glen Bolger was mentioned in an article from the National Journal about the upcoming North Carolina Senate race. The National Journal also referenced partners Neil Newhouse and Alex Bratty in a piece regarding racial and gender-related
- [The Health Insurance Marketplace – Consumer price sensitivity will likely be a major factor](https://pos.org/the-health-insurance-marketplace-consumer-price-sensitivity-will-likely-be-a-major-factor/) - With open enrollment in the new health insurance marketplace plans only months away, should consumers be worried they may end up paying more for health coverage rather than less because of Obamacare?
- [American Voters See Improved Border Security as a Key Component of Meaningful Immigration Reform](https://pos.org/american-voters-see-improved-border-security-as-a-key-component-of-meaningful-immigration-reform/) - After months of media speculation, numerous behind the scenes meetings of Washington’s power brokers, and a long drafting process by the “Gang of Eight,” the United States Senate finally voted on June 27th to approve a major immigration reform bill. Speaker of the House John Boehner has already announced that the measure passed by the
- [Limited Public Interest in Egyptian Political Conflict](https://pos.org/limited-public-interest-in-egyptian-political-conflict/) - In January 2011, the enduring effects of the Arab Spring sparked an uprising in Egypt as millions of protesters participated in demonstrations, clashes, and strikes to demand the end of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak’s regime. Though the largely peaceful protests were met with some violence, the ousting of Mubarak ultimately led to a democratic transition
- [POS in the News - July 25, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-july-25-2013/) - Partner Bill McInturff was mentioned or quoted by a variety of news outlets, including First Read on NBC News, Yahoo Finance, Newsmax, and again on First Read on NBC News. All the articles concerned the recent NBC/Wall St. Journal Poll. Also in regards to the NBC/WSJ Poll, Vice President Micah Roberts was a featured guest
- [Finding common ground, but only in dissatisfaction.](https://pos.org/finding-common-ground-but-only-in-dissatisfaction/) - Who says the American electorate can’t find common ground? In the latest NBC/WSJ poll*, we see it across several measures. Indeed, when it comes to the topic of Congress, there is a good deal in common across both the partisan divide and congressional districts. Let’s start with the public’s assessment of Congress overall. This month,
- [Obamacare a heavy burden for Democrats as implementation and 2014 elections loom](https://pos.org/obamacare-a-heavy-burden-for-democrats-as-implementation-and-2014-elections-loom/) - The data I’ve compiled and written about in previous posts (here, here, and here) help set the scene for the challenges this administration faces as it looks forward to the implementation of major provisions of the health care law (in three months) and the 2014 Congressional elections (in about 15 months). The latest NBC-WSJ survey,
- [FORWARD BACKWARD: OBAMA’S NUMBERS LOOKING MORE LIKE BUSH’S EVERYDAY.](https://pos.org/forward-backward-obamas-numbers-looking-more-like-bushs-everyday/) - Recent public polling shows President Obama in nearly an identical place where President Bush was at this point in his second term, and far below where Presidents Reagan and Clinton found themselves at this point: Given the high approval ratings for Presidents Reagan and Clinton in their second terms, it’s not surprising that there were
- [POS in the News - August 29, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-august-29-2013/) - Politico quoted partner Bill McInturff in an article that discussed war weariness in America and a possible future conflict with Syria. Partner Nicole McCleskey was mentioned in a Roll Call article regarding an upcoming House race in North Carolina. The Christian Science Monitor cited a poll conducted by the firm in an article about the
- [Public Opinion Regarding Taking Military Action in Syria – Murky](https://pos.org/public-opinion-regarding-taking-military-action-in-syria-murky/) - The latest NBC News poll (conducted jointly by Public Opinion Strategies and Hart Research on August 28-29) sheds significant light on American attitudes toward potential military action against the government of Syria, but does little to clarify it. First, consider the political environment: President Obama has little political capital. His approval score is 44% approve/48%
- [Voters Across Age Groups are United in their Opposition to Military Action in Syria](https://pos.org/voters-across-age-groups-are-united-in-their-opposition-to-military-action-in-syria/) - In the August 28-29 national survey for NBC/Wall Street Journal (conducted jointly by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies and Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates), the numbers on Syria were clearly challenging for the President. Less than two weeks later, the numbers on the three questions that were tested again were decidedly worse. Especially
- [Back to the Future?  A Look At the 1995-96 Government Shutdowns](https://pos.org/back-to-the-future-a-look-at-the-1995-96-government-shutdowns/) - Well, it seemed like a good idea at the time, but public attitudes toward the 1995 and 1996 government shutdowns went south quickly. And, the standing of Republicans in Congress dropped from a pretty good level to a much weaker point. It was a sobering lesson in the advantage of the bully pulpit of the
- [A Reversal on Chemical Weapons in Syria](https://pos.org/a-reversal-on-chemical-weapons-in-syria/) - The situation in Syria signals an increasingly adverse sentiment among the American public to any government policy which would involve U.S. engagement – through airstrikes or otherwise. According to an August 29th NBC/WSJ poll, 44{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of Americans opposed airstrikes against Syria to disrupt their chemical weapon capabilities. A week later, the percentage of Americans opposing
- [NBC NEWS / WALL STREET JOURNAL](https://pos.org/nbc-news-wall-street-journal-11/) - NBC-WSJ September 5-8, 2013 poll (full release) - PDF Format
- ['14 Election Futures Market](https://pos.org/14-election-futures-market/) - It’s a year out and EVERY Republican has one question on their mind: Will ‘14 be more like ‘10 (yeah!), or will it be more like ‘12 (yuck)? If this were Ireland and you could bet on political elections (it’s not and you can’t), at least this would help you handicap your wagers. All mid-term
- [POS in the News - September 16, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-16-2013/) - A lot has been happening at POS in the past two weeks: Concerning Syria, Bill McInturff was quoted in two articles about the NBC poll conducted on the issue. Once by CNN's iReport and once by The Daily Rundown at msnbc.com. Bill was also quoted in aU.S. News & World Report blog post about President Obama's approval
- [Recent NBC/WSJ Health Care Polling Results](https://pos.org/recent-nbcwsj-health-care-polling-results/) - Our recent work for the NBC/WSJ Poll has yielded some interesting findings on the topic of health care/the Affordable Care Act. Here are some quick thoughts about what struck me about this data: As it has been for years, attitudes about the new health care law are remarkably stable. And, as it has been for
- [Math Scores High On List Of Academic Priorities](https://pos.org/math-scores-high-on-list-of-academic-priorities/) - While arithmetic may come last on the list of the “Three Rs,” recent survey data suggests that Americans think math should be a priority in our country’s classrooms. According to data from an August 2013 Gallup survey of 2,059 adults, one-third (34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) say math was the academic subject that has been the most valuable in
- [Q&A: What’s up with Independents?](https://pos.org/qa-whats-up-with-independents/) - Election Day 2014 is about a year away, so naturally political junkies across the political spectrum want to know…what’s up with Independents? First, a brief recap of the “Independent vote” over the last decade. In the last five Congressional elections, according to national exit polls, majorities of Independents have voted for Congressional candidates from the
- [POS in the News - September 27, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-september-27-2013/) - A poll done in Wisconsin regarding a program to encourage healthy living in schools and neighborhoods was mentioned in a University of Wisconsin-Madison News post. Also in relation to the Wisconsin healthy living poll, an audio clip from partner Patrick Lanne was included in a Wisconsin Radio Network article. Partner Gene Ulm's blog post about the 2014
- [GOP MESSAGING ON THE SHUTDOWN](https://pos.org/gop-messaging-on-the-shutdown/) - And you tell me Over and over and over again, my friend Ah, you don't believe We're on the eve of destruction. "Eve of Destruction" by Barry McGuire A #1 Hit in 1965 Well, it’s shutdown time again, and the caterwauling by the media makes it appear as though there can only be one
- [Mobile Research Series: Introduction](https://pos.org/mobile-research-series-introduction/) - Public Opinion Strategies, in conjunction with Surveys on the Go — designed by MFour Mobile Research, conducted the first ever national political survey hosted entirely on mobile phones and tablets. Over the course of the next five days, Public Opinion Strategies will be releasing key findings and introducing new techniques used in the mobile research
- [Mobile Research Series: Why mobile? Explaining the advantages of research conducted on mobile phones and tablets.](https://pos.org/mobile-research-series-why-mobile-explaining-the-advantages-of-research-conducted-on-mobile-phones-and-tablets/) - The mobile platform offers an interactive respondent experience not possible over the phone or even through online research. Mobile surveys open a wide array of new question types and techniques for survey researchers to utilize. Our national survey utilized the following question types: Two-tap matrix questions that allow easy user navigation within a series of
- [Mobile Research Series: Heat Map](https://pos.org/mobile-research-series-heat-map/) - Heat map displays are a unique feature of the mobile survey application. It allows respondents to view an image on their phone or tablet and select the areas that most catch their attention. Respondents then type in a short verbatim response as to why they selected that area. This feature could be utilized for: Print
- [Mobile Research Series: Immigration Dial Test](https://pos.org/mobile-research-series-immigration-dial-test/) - Dial tests are an integral part of our media testing research at Public Opinion Strategies. The dial testing capabilities allow for the tests to be conducted among hundreds or even thousands of respondents with hard quantitative data as opposed to tens of respondents in a qualitative setting. For our survey we conducted a dial test
- [Mobile Research Series: Bumper Stickers](https://pos.org/mobile-research-series-bumper-stickers/) - One of the key features of the mobile application is multi-media testing not available in traditional telephone surveys. We utilized this feature to test an array of bumper stickers to see which stickers Americans would be most likely to put on their car. Other potential uses for this feature: Head to head comparisons of print
- [Mobile Research Series: Picture Capture](https://pos.org/mobile-research-series-picture-capture/) - Eighty-two percent of cell phone owners now use their phones to take pictures. The mobile survey application harnesses these capabilities to create what is akin to a visual verbatim. Respondents are able to use a picture they take from their phone or tablet to respond to any number of questions, creating a visual response not
- [Face It: What Americans’ Facebook Postings Reveal about Themselves and All of Us.](https://pos.org/face-it-what-americans-facebook-postings-reveal-about-themselves-and-all-of-us/) - They say a picture is worth a thousand words. What about a picture of a thousand words? Researchers at University of Pennsylvania recently studied the Facebook postings of over 75,000 volunteers who agreed to have their postings analyzed in the name of science. The researchers used “word clouds” to demonstrate their results with more dominant
- [A Pivot Point in American Opinion: The Debt Ceiling Negotiation and its Consequences](https://pos.org/a-pivot-point-in-american-opinion-the-debt-ceiling-negotiation-and-its-consequences/) - In 2011, we took a close look at the consequences of the contentious debt ceiling negotiations. As we approach the debt ceiling again, we thought it would be worth re-examining what we said two years ago on the topic. Please see this PDF document for more information.
- [Yes, he is a Republican](https://pos.org/yes-he-is-a-republican/) - “And yes, he is a Republican.” This is how Governor Susana Martinez introduced newly re-elected Albuquerque Mayor Richard Berry on Tuesday night. Not only did Mayor Berry win re-election, he won in astounding fashion, crushing his Democrat opponent by 39 points. Berry earned 68% of the vote in a city Barack Obama carried by 17
- [What daily activity do Americans look forward to most in their day?](https://pos.org/what-daily-activity-do-americans-look-forward-to-most-in-their-day/) - Even after 30 years, watching TV remains the top daily activity Americans look forward to most in their day. But our recent data also shows how access to the internet and mobile technology is changing our daily lives and in turn impacting the activities we look forward to most in our day. Today, one of
- [Parks Closures Symbol of Shutdown](https://pos.org/parks-closures-symbol-of-shutdown/) - Recent POS surveys of business owners and voters demonstrate why the closing of public lands was the most visible and emotional public impact of the federal government shutdown. Read the article here.
- [The Government Shutdown: An After Action Report](https://pos.org/the-government-shutdown-an-after-action-report/) - This slide deck tries to put the government shutdown in perspective, starting with the lack of support for totally eliminating federal funding for the new health care law if it meant shutting down the federal government, and including our thoughts about why the shutdown happened, the initial consequences, and the road ahead. The report ends
- [ObamaCare Implementation: Not What The Doctor Ordered](https://pos.org/obamacare-implementation-not-what-the-doctor-ordered/) - As the government shutdown moves into the rearview mirror (at least for now), the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (aka ObamaCare) now takes front stage. To date, the rollout has been a rough ride, and new data from a national survey of N=1,020 voters conducted Oct 20-22* paints a vivid picture of public opinion. Six-in-ten
- [Not Dead Yet](https://pos.org/not-dead-yet/) - Two polls we conducted this weekend already shows some signs of life for the Republican party. This is not to minimize the challenges facing the GOP. Those challenges are significant. But perhaps those who wish to bury Republicans now in anticipation of a poor performance in the November 2014 elections are suffering from premature miscalculation.
- [The October Shockwave—New Insights from the Latest NBC/WSJ Survey](https://pos.org/the-october-shockwave-new-insights-from-the-latest-nbcwsj-survey/) - Well, I used the wrong word. In writing about this month’s earlier NBC/WSJ survey, I said “this type of data creates ripples that will take a long time to resolve …” Ripples? Wow, was that too careful! The correct word is “shockwave.” October has witnessed a substantial rewriting of a generation of NBC/WSJ data. Here
- [The GOP and Obamacare: when the best way to do something is doing NOTHING](https://pos.org/the-gop-and-obamacare-when-the-best-way-to-do-something-is-doing-nothing/) - Americans DON’T like Obamacare. The most recent NBC News/Wall St. Journal survey shows that only 37% think it is a good idea while 47% think it’s a bad idea (or -10%).* While Americans don’t like Obamacare, their dislike for the GOP is even stronger. The same NBC News/Wall St. Journal survey showed the Republican Party
- [After 34 Years, Little Change](https://pos.org/after-34-years-little-change/) - This week marks 34 years since the beginning of the Iranian hostage crisis, and over that time period the relationship between Iran and the United States could be considered cold at best. After decades of animosity, economic sanctions, and depleted diplomatic relations, the election of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani provides an opportunity to review how
- [GAME ON](https://pos.org/game-on/) - Fall in the United States means children are back in school, leaves are dropping and temperatures across the country are getting colder. But, fall also means sports fans across the country are in pure bliss as nearly every major American sport is also “in season.” In the past few weeks, pro football has geared up
- [Immigration Reform and the California Testing Ground](https://pos.org/immigration-reform-and-the-california-testing-ground/) - With the debt ceiling debate and the government shutdown that went with it, and now with the furor created by the health insurance marketplace and the number of Americans losing their existing health coverage as Obamacare ramps up, there has been very little national discourse about immigration reform in recent months. However, all has not
- [POS IN THE NEWS - NOVEMBER 15, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-november-15-2013/) - Partner, Neil Newhouse was quoted in an article by USA Today about the possibility of a "second act" in politics for Sarah Palin. A poll done in Wisconsin found that a majority of likely voters hold pro-life views. "The POS poll, with its accurate and precise questions, is consistent with results from scientific polling..." as mentioned
- [The Affordable Care Act: Businesses Report Negative Impact Now and Anticipate More to Come](https://pos.org/the-affordable-care-act-businesses-report-negative-impact-now-and-anticipate-more-to-come/) - We just completed a survey which extensively examined the Affordable Care Act (ACA) from the perspective of the owners and C-level executives of franchise and non-franchise businesses which employ between 40 and 500 people. Dun and Bradstreet tells us that of the more than 19 million businesses in America, only about 600,000 franchise and non-franchised
- [President Obama and the Dreaded "K-Word:" Katrina](https://pos.org/president-obama-and-the-dreaded-k-word-katrina/) - These have been difficult weeks for the president, but it needs to be understood how potentially consequential these weeks could be on the arc of his presidency. Our latest slide deck looks at key data for President Bush before and after Hurricane Katrina and comparable data for President Obama before and after the roll-out of
- [Q&A: Does an increase in support for a third party candidate signal electoral trouble for Congressional Republicans?](https://pos.org/qa-does-an-increase-in-support-for-a-third-party-candidate-signal-electoral-trouble-for-congressional-republicans/) - In the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted October 25-28, 2013, registered voters were asked who they would vote for if the choice in their Congressional District were between a Republican candidate, a Democratic candidate and an Independent or third party candidate. The topline data showed 35% choosing the Democratic candidate, 30% choosing an
- [POS IN THE NEWS - NOVEMBER 22, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-november-22-2013/) - The Washington Times noted in an article that "Democrats could be looking at a disastrous 2014." This comment in response to Partner Bill McInturff's blog post that suggests a similarity between former President George W. Bush's support in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and President Obama's job approval numbers today. Partner Neil Newhouse was quoted
- [POS IN THE NEWS - NOVEMBER 27, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-november-27-2013/) - The Washington Post quoted Partner Glen Bolger in an article about disunity among Democrats caused by the glitches in the Obamacare website.
- [OBAMA AND HIS HEALTH CARE PLAN AIN’T SO HIP ANYMORE](https://pos.org/obama-and-his-health-care-plan-aint-so-hip-anymore/) - With the success of President Obama’s signature health care law hinging on the hope that young people will enroll through the federal exchange website, it should come as a dire warning to the President and Democrats running in 2014 that young Americans stand in firm opposition to the President and his health care plan. In
- [POS IN THE NEWS - December 6, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-6-2013/) - An internal poll conducted in Illinois' 13th District, and picked up by Roll Call, shows Rep. Rodney Davis holds a large lead over former Miss America Erika Harold in the upcoming GOP primary race. EQ International reported on a poll conducted in Colorado that shows nearly four in five Colorado voters support solar net metering.
- [The Cutting is the Hardest Part](https://pos.org/the-cutting-is-the-hardest-part/) - In survey after survey and focus group after focus group voters tell us that the federal government spends too much money. On that, the vast majority of voters agree. The hard part comes when we ask voters what programs should be cut. Typically, they focus on items that represent very small portions of the federal
- [POS IN THE NEWS - DECEMBER 13, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-13-2013/) - Glen Bolger was quoted in The Washington Post in an article about the reelection of Senate Republicans and their fight to take back the upper chamber. The Wall Street Journal quoted Bill McInturff in article about the findings from the latest WSJ/NBC poll and how the federal healthcare law politically hurts President Barack Obama. The
- [ARE AMERICANS “OVER” PRESIDENT OBAMA?](https://pos.org/are-americans-over-president-obama/) - The results of the most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll point to the often-noted inverted Obama approval scores and softened attributes. That’s nothing new. But, what about this? In terms of job approval, President Obama bests “Republicans in Congress” by a 43{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}-34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} margin, yet Republicans in Congress are tied with the President on doing a
- [Repeated, protracted, bitter fights with Congressional Republicans are Obama’s only hope.](https://pos.org/repeated-protracted-bitter-fights-with-congressional-republicans-are-obamas-only-hope/) - Recent survey results have shown that President Obama’s bungling (the economy, Obamacare, it doesn't matter) has started to change the partisan architecture. A couple of quick points from the most recent NBC News/Wall St. Journal* data: ✓ President Obama’s job approval has settled in the low-to-mid 40s; the latest NBC News/WSJ survey pegs it at
- [POS IN THE NEWS - DECEMBER 20, 2013](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-december-20-2013/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal in an article about gender separation and the difference in what men and women prefer in next year's congressional elections as reflected in the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. Vet Voice Foundation quoted Lori Weigel in a press release about a poll in California's 8th Congressional District that found
- [Our Happy Holidays Slide Deck](https://pos.org/our-happy-holidays-slide-deck/) - We think you would enjoy what passes for a holiday card, pollster style--our holiday slide deck of good cheer! The deck serves as a vibrant reminder of the crazy quilt of American public opinion and answers the great questions of our time such as: I know being president is hard, but I wonder what God’s
- [POS IN THE NEWS - January 3, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-january-3-2014/) - Politico quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the Affordable Care Act and the major pieces that went into effect this week. Gene Ulm was quoted in the Wisconsin State Journal in an article about the 2014 Wisconsin governor's race.
- [Five Observations from four years of polling data on Obamacare](https://pos.org/five-observations-from-four-years-of-polling-data-on-obamacare/) - As we start 2014, it seems clear Obamacare will once again be a central focus of congressional and senatorial campaigns. For some, there seem to be questions about how the law is being perceived and whether it will be a political advantage or albatross for Democrats. On a national level the data has told a
- [Under a Cloud No More](https://pos.org/under-a-cloud-no-more/) - So you rang in the New Year with a bottle of bubbly? How old school! My fellow Coloradans were lining up for “freedom day” sales of the first legal marijuana in the nation. While it certainly was unprecedented, the normalcy seemed to be what struck the international news media as well as casual observers. The
- [New Survey for AAF Finds Americans Prefer Shorter Unemployment Insurance Window, and Significant Support for Offsets](https://pos.org/new-survey-for-aaf-finds-americans-prefer-shorter-unemployment-insurance-window-and-significant-support-for-offsets/) - Offered the choice of unemployment benefits lasting six months or a little over five years, American voters opt overwhelmingly for the pre-2008 recession standard of six months. In a second question, which is the first we’ve seen to test the choice of extending benefits as is, or offsetting them, a strong majority support offsets. Click
- [Most Agree the National Football League Has Taken Meaningful Action on Concussions](https://pos.org/most-agree-the-national-football-league-has-taken-meaningful-action-on-concussions/) - This Sunday the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks meet in Super Bowl XLVIII in MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. This will be the first Super Bowl played outside in a cold weather environment, and the second time in twenty seasons that the number one seed from each conference, AFC and NFC, will meet to decide
- [Economic divide—more than just a partisan battle](https://pos.org/economic-divide-more-than-just-a-partisan-battle/) - As President Obama delivered his State of the Union speech last week, virtually all Americans (91{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) surveyed in the latest NBC/WSJ poll* said that creating jobs should be an absolute priority for the President and Congress to address. Indeed, just 28{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} said they are satisfied with the state of the U.S. economy today, versus 71{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}
- [With Exit in Sight, Americans Ready to End War in Afghanistan](https://pos.org/with-exit-in-sight-americans-ready-to-end-war-in-afghanistan/) - During President Obama’s State of the Union Address last week, he reasserted that nearly all troops will be removed from Afghanistan by year’s end and, with the exception of a small force that could remain to train Afghan forces and carry out counterterrorism operations pending signage of a security agreement, “America's longest war will finally
- [POS IN THE NEWS - FEBRUARY 7, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-7-2014/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal in an article about President Obama facing an unsettled nation in the State of the Union Address according to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. CNN and the National Journal quoted Bill McInturff in articles about the 2014 State of the Union Address. Neil Newhouse is quoted in a story
- [IT’S ALWAYS TOUGH TO WIN ON THE ROAD](https://pos.org/its-always-tough-to-win-on-the-road/) - As you may have seen, Gallup recently released their 2013 State of the States Report, allowing us to examine voters’ attitudes toward the President at the statewide level and thus allowing for greater insight into the political environment in key 2014 Senate states. By merging data from their daily tracking surveys throughout 2013, Gallup provides
- [Off the Grid National Survey](https://pos.org/off-the-grid-national-survey/) - Below is a slide deck for our latest “Off The Grid” survey, conducted for Google, the GOP digital outfit Targeted Victory and the Democratic digital group Well & Lighthouse by the Republican firm Public Opinion Strategies and the Democratic consultancy Global Strategy Group. The poll surveyed 800 likely voters January 25-28, 2014 and has a
- [POS IN THE NEWS - FEBRUARY 25, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-25-2014/) - Neil Newhouse was quoted in USA Today in article about the 2016 presidential landscape. The Salt Lake Tribune quoted Lori Weigel on the Conservation in the West poll that found growing support for public lands among Westerners.
- [The Other Shoe Continues to Drop on Obamacare](https://pos.org/the-other-shoe-continues-to-drop-on-obamacare/) - The most stunning aspect of the disastrous rollout and implementation of Obamacare is the sheer number of problems the law presents for Democrats. From “if you like your plan, you can keep it,” which Politifact deemed the Lie of the Year, to patients being dropped by doctors they know and trust, a new politically damaging
- [POS IN THE NEWS - FEBRUARY 28, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-february-28-2014/) - The Columbus Dispatch quoted Neil Newhouse in an article about the timing of a campaign to overturn the ban on same-sex marriage in Ohio. Gene Ulm was quoted in The Journal Times in an article about Governor Scott Walker and his political future. A new poll picked up by Politico found that more voters are
- [POS IN THE NEWS - MARCH 6, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-6-2014/) - Gene Ulm was mentioned in the New Zealand Herald in an article about ACT and the progress of the party.
- [Five Key Data Points: Health Care & the 2014 Mid-Term Elections](https://pos.org/five-key-data-points-health-care-the-2014-mid-term-elections/) - Health care is second only to the economy and jobs as a vote issue for 2014 (Economy and Jobs – 55{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}, Health Care – 31{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}). This survey tells us 2014 could be shaping up to be a Republican year. When voters were asked which party they want to control Congress after this year’s elections, a
- [Looking Beyond Voter Support or Opposition of the ACA](https://pos.org/looking-beyond-voter-support-or-opposition-of-the-aca/) - As noted earlier this week, voters have an initial negative reaction to the health care law with stronger opposition to the health care law than support (34{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} support/45{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} oppose/20{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} no opinion). This support/oppose question, though, does not tell the whole story about how voters are feeling about the ACA. We asked a very interesting question
- [Ten Key Data Points from the March 2014 NBC-WSJ Survey](https://pos.org/ten-key-data-points-from-the-march-2014-nbc-wsj-survey/) - The NBC-WSJ March 2014 survey is out and can be found here. Below are ten key findings from the data. The public mood remains negative. Public pessimism about the direction of the country is frozen in place in the Mid 60’s (26{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Right Direction - 65{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} Wrong Track) and just 26{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} say the economy will
- [1Q 2014 Evaluation of the ACA = Higher Health Care Costs](https://pos.org/1q-2014-evaluation-of-the-aca-higher-health-care-costs/) - As the final post in our three-part health care blog series, we examine how the ACA is impacting people’s lives in the 1st quarter of 2014. Although voters believe the health care law is benefitting people with pre-existing conditions and the uninsured, they do not see the law as having much positive impact on them
- [POS IN THE NEWS - MARCH 14, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-14-2014/) - The National Journal quoted Bill McInturff in an article about American's negative view of Obamacare and how it can help Republicans this year. Bill McInturff was quoted in The Wall Street Journal in an article about the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll that found President Obama has the lowest job-approval ratings of his presidency.
- [The grim NBC News/WSJ survey: the ‘14 reality is likely worse for Democrats](https://pos.org/the-grim-nbc-newswsj-survey-the-14-reality-is-likely-worse-for-democrats/) - Democratic after-action reports on their Florida-13 special election loss are clear: they lost because they didn’t turn out the vote. While there is much parsing on the who, what, when and where of Obamacare, the facts are that Republicans showed up while Democrats didn’t. Take a look at what Alex Sink’s pollster Geoff Garin
- [POS IN THE NEWS - MARCH 21, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-21-2014/) - Glen Bolger is quoted in The Washington Post in an article about Republican's rise in confidence in regaining the Senate majority in 2014. Roll Call mentions Glen Bolger's memo on poll results that show the benefits from an advertising blitz for Republican state Speaker T.W. Shannon in the upcoming special-election primary to replace resigning Oklahoma
- [For GOP, long-term challenges remain](https://pos.org/for-gop-long-term-challenges-remain/) - On the heels of a significant victory in Florida last week, Republicans gleefully look forward to November. A Democrat party reeling from Obamacare failures and unable to turn out its base leaves Republicans a fantastic opportunity to expand its majority in the House, recapture the Senate, and make bold advances in the states. But, the
- [Three-Part Health Care Blog Series Revisited](https://pos.org/three-part-health-care-blog-series-revisited/) - With today being the final day of open enrollment in Obamacare, we thought it was important to take another look at our three-part health care blog series posted earlier this month. The topics covered include: Looking at how health care will impact the 2014 mid-term elections; Understanding voter attitudes about the ACA beyond just overall
- [POS IN THE NEWS - MARCH 31, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-march-31-2014/) - Bill McInturff was quoted in the National Journal in an article about groups that are working to enroll the uninsured in health care coverage. The Financial Times quoted Bill McInturff in an article about U.S. involvement in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and further involvement in global politics. In an article by The Washington
- [Restraint Amid Russian Aggression](https://pos.org/restraint-amid-russian-aggression/) - Following the global unity accompanying the Winter Olympics in Sochi, the world was witness to what Secretary of State John Kerry referred to as “an act of aggression” by Russia. The ongoing international crisis between Russia and the Ukraine over Crimea has heightened diplomatic tensions between the U.S. and Russia, while simultaneously grabbing the public’s
- [The Independent vote in 2014: What’s up now?](https://pos.org/7012-2/) - According to the last five national exit polls, when a majority of Independents vote for Congressional candidates from one party, that party controls Congress. Independents helped to flip the House of Representatives to Democrats in 2006 and they helped flip the House back to Republicans in 2010. My September 2013 post titled “What’s up with
- [Independents on the Issues in 2014: What’s up now?](https://pos.org/independents-on-the-issues-in-2014-whats-up-now/) - A post earlier this week showed Independents are very supportive of Congressional Republican candidates and have made major gains since the government shutdown in October 2013. A review of the key issues facing voters in 2014 suggests Republicans can maintain that momentum through the November mid-term elections. While Independents do favor increasing the minimum wage,
- [Smartphones: A Key to Expanding Contact with Younger Voters and Hispanics?](https://pos.org/smartphones-a-key-to-expanding-contact-with-younger-voters-and-hispanics/) - As mobile phones become more prevalent and technologically advanced, the interaction adults and voters have with their phones is becoming more important for campaigns to tap into. Recent studies have found that among adults with smartphones... Users keep their phone within about ten feet of them 84% of the day On average, users look at
- [International Assessment Shows American Students Lagging Behind On Math Skills](https://pos.org/international-assessment-shows-american-students-lagging-behind-on-math-skills/) - American 15-year olds performed below average in mathematics on the recently-released Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA)[i], which measures the extent to which students have acquired key knowledge and skills. Compared to students in 34 counties, the United States ranks between 23rd-29th overall (variation due to sampling and measurement error) and has a mean score
- [POS IN THE NEWS - APRIL 16, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-16-2014/) - Despite reaching the enrollment mark for the Affordable Care Act, Bill McInturff says Obama is still a "major drag on the party" in a article posted by the National Journal, and, also states in The Financial Times, "...when you have numbers like his, no one wants you to come into their states." Bill McInturff is mentioned in
- [POS IN THE NEWS - APRIL 21, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-21-2014/) - In an article by The Washington Post, Bill McInturff expects the departure of Kathleen Sebelius from President Barack Obama's cabinet will have "zero impact" on the political climate going into the November congressional elections. The Washington Post quotes Glen Bolger in an article about the strategy the Democratic party is taking to motivate their voter
- [Mike Rounds has significant lead in South Dakota Senate primary](https://pos.org/mike-rounds-has-significant-lead-in-south-dakota-senate-primary/) - With six weeks left until primary day, Mike Rounds has a significant lead in the Republican primary for the key open seat Senate race in South Dakota. Please see the memo in PDF format
- [Congratulations to Curt Clawson](https://pos.org/congratulations-to-curt-clawson/) - Public Opinion Strategies would like to congratulate POS-client Curt Clawson and those involved in his GOP primary campaign for Congress on their double-digit victory in last night’s primary election. From the beginning, the Clawson campaign used our survey research to guide its messaging in what was a hard-fought primary election. Curt Clawson’s business experience and
- [POS IN THE NEWS - APRIL 25, 2014](https://pos.org/pos-in-the-news-april-25-2014/) - National Public Radio mentions a quote from Bill McInturff in an article about legislative issues that could help boost voter turnout in the 2014 midterm elections. Glen Bolger is quoted in The Washington Post in an article about the Affordable Care Act and whether or not Democrats will run from it or defend it this
- [Battling for hearts, minds…and attention.](https://pos.org/battling-for-hearts-mindsand-attention/) - Much has been written about the changing demographics of our nation and what that means for the political parties as they try to build and expand their voter constituencies in coming years. But, the battle is not just about winning hearts and minds…it’s also about winning the attention of Americans. With the explosion of technology,
- [Tattoo Nation](https://pos.org/tattoo-nation-3/) - Ah spring. When a young man’s fancy lightly turns to… tattoos? With apologies to Lord Tennyson, spring does seem to reveal more ink than even public displays of affection these days. At the beach, the ball park, or the bars, we had been noticing a lot more tats as winter sweaters give way to summery
- [Reaching Younger Voters (or, Why President Obama Went In Between Two Ferns)](https://pos.org/reaching-younger-voters-or-why-president-obama-went-in-between-two-ferns/) - Last week, my colleague Alex Bratty described the challenges of reaching younger voters. Alex wrote: “With the explosion of technology, more and more Americans – particularly in the younger (age) cohorts – are multitasking with devices and no longer devoting their attention to a single activity.” This is especially for important for Republicans to keep
- [Public Opinion Strategies Congratulates  Panama’s President-Elect Juan Carlos Varela](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-congratulates-panamas-president-elect-juan-carlos-varela-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies congratulates our client President-elect Juan Carlos Varela on his historic victory in Panama's Presidential election on Sunday. Pollsters Rob Autry and Jim Burton were proud to provide the Varela Campaign with the research used to formulate strategy, messaging, and targeting efforts since 2012. At a time when the major media pundits and
- [Growing Confidence](https://pos.org/growing-confidence/) - Eighty-four percent of Minnesota’s manufacturing executives are confident about their company’s future, but they’re always keeping an eye on outside inhibitors to growth. With a wary eye still watching the horizon for economic and regulatory turbulence, Minnesota’s manufacturers appear to be cautiously poised to grow in 2014, according to the results of the sixth annual
- [OBAMA’S APPROVAL RATING SUGGESTS REPUBLICANS CAN HIT 52 IN SENATE](https://pos.org/obamas-approval-rating-suggests-republicans-can-hit-52-in-senate/) - With control of the US Senate up-for-grabs this November, Republicans find themselves five seats away from 50 Senators and six seats shy of gaining a majority. There’s clearly been a lot of press inside the beltway about this topic recently, including a very cool look at different maps being used to explain the upcoming election
- [Special Mother’s Day Survey of Walmart Moms](https://pos.org/special-mothers-day-survey-of-walmart-moms/) - On this 100th anniversary of Mother’s Day, Public Opinion Strategies is proud to present the findings from the latest chapter of our Walmart Moms Research series. Together with Margie Omero from Purple Strategies, we teamed up with Parade Magazine to conduct a special Mother’s Day survey of Walmart Moms – a unique and critical group
- [Numbers For Democrats From April’s NBC-WSJ:  Better Than A Month Ago, But Still Cruisin’ For A Bruisin’](https://pos.org/numbers-for-democrats-from-aprils-nbc-wsj-better-than-a-month-ago-but-still-cruisin-for-a-bruisin/) - According to the latest NBC-WSJ poll conducted April 23-27, 2014, overall results are worse for the president and Democrats than the comparable findings on the last weekend heading into the 2010 election on five of six key national measures including: Direction of the country; Presidential job approval overall; Presidential job approval among whites; Congressional Preference;
- [It’s A Hard-Knock Life. . .for Harry Reid](https://pos.org/its-a-hard-knock-life-for-harry-reid/) - All of the punditry that says that the 2014 map is an issue for Democrats are right. The main reason they are right? Well, there are twelve states listed as 2014 lean or toss-up Senate races by Charlie Cook and his crack team at the Cook Political Report. In 2012, Mitt Romney averaged 53.3{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} of
- [European Union and U.S. Views on Ukraine Crisis](https://pos.org/european-union-and-u-s-views-on-ukraine-crisis/) - With ongoing turmoil in Ukraine, Americans express concern over the situation but continue to favor a more restrained foreign policy approach to the conflict with Russia. Over three-quarters (78{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222}) of Americans are very or somewhat concerned about the current situation in Ukraine. Yet, there is a strong preference to pursue economic and diplomatic measures (65{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222})
- [OBAMA JOB RATING REMAINS UNDER WATER](https://pos.org/obama-job-rating-remains-under-water/) - In a super sample national survey of 1,600 registered voters conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, President Obama’s job approval rating is just 43{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve/52{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove. Key findings on subgroups include: Among white voters, President Obama has a 35{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve/61{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove rating. Among African Americans, he is at 89{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} approve/7{09f965da52dc6ab4c1643a77bd40d1f729d807040cd8db540234bb981a782222} disapprove. Portending turnout problems, among Hispanics
- [Republicans can close gap with Democrats on digital contact](https://pos.org/republicans-can-close-gap-with-democrats-on-digital-contact/) - A recent Gallup poll of adults in the United States focused on the ways Americans connect digitally with political campaigns (http://tinyurl.com/kxl6nry). Gallup found that while Democrats are more likely to receive communication from a campaign digitally, Republicans are more politically active on social media sites. Republican campaigns should not discount reaching their voters digitally –

## Pages

- [Home](https://pos.org/) - LATEST NEWS AND INSIGHTS It is with deep sadness that Public Opinion Strategies announces the passing of our partner and friend, Glen Bolger. Jun 25, 2026 Glen was one of the three founding partners of the firm, a leader, a creative visionary, a husband, father, brother, mentor, a cornerstone of our organization, and
- [Staff](https://pos.org/about-us/staff/) - Troy Ayado Torie Bolger Britney Cheung Tommy Dow Luke Jackson Becky Kramer Jeff Lance Dawn Legere Summer Lundberg Colin McInroe Kellen Narke Misha Pereda Lisa Portier Gordon Pryre Jack Putrino David Vander Pluym Megan Wackerman John White
- [Leadership](https://pos.org/about-us/leadership/) - Glen Bolger Elizabeth Harrington Jim Hobart Patrick Lanne Jarrett Lewis Nicole McCleskey Bill McInturff George Nassar Neil Newhouse Caitlin Reed Micah Roberts Gene Ulm
- [Political Clients](https://pos.org/work/campaigns/) - The firm has been uniquely successful in political campaigns. Since our founding we have helped elect: 25 new U.S. Senators and worked with 13 other senators on their winning re-election campaign(s), and, including SuperPACs, have polled for a total of 49 different U.S. Senators. 27 new governors and, overall, we have worked with 37 different
- [Why We Are Different](https://pos.org/about-us/why-we-are-different/) - Why Public Opinion Strategies? At Public Opinion Strategies we have developed a culture and approach to winning. For over three decades, Public Opinion Strategies has been helping political candidates win tough campaigns, scoring hard-fought success in the public affairs arena for some of America’s leading corporations and associations, and giving our clients an advantage in
- [Corporate/Public Affairs Clients](https://pos.org/work/corporatepublic-affairs/)
- [Campaigns](https://pos.org/expertise/campaigns/) - Public Opinion Strategies provides the strategic information that gives our clients a WINNING edge. In the last eight election cycles, Public Opinion Strategies (POS) has helped elect over 90 new members of the U.S. House, more than any other polling firm, Democrat or Republican. We are the largest Republican polling firm in the country. Our
- [About Us](https://pos.org/about-us/) - Public Opinion Strategies is a national political and public affairs research firm. Founded in 1991, we have conducted 11 million interviews with voters and consumers in all fifty states and over two dozen foreign countries. Headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia, our nationwide presence is achieved through a strategically sited office, with twelve partners leading research efforts.
- [About Us](https://pos.org/about-us/about-us/) - Since the founding of Public Opinion Strategies in 1991, the firm has conducted 11,740,000 interviews, completed over 27,600 projects, and currently represents four governors, nine Senators, and 34 Members of Congress. Since 2004, along with its Democratic partner, the firm conducts The NBC News Poll and, since 2007, the CNBC All-America Economic Survey. The firm
- [Opportunities](https://pos.org/about-us/opportunities/) - Public Opinion Strategies offers a challenging and exciting work environment that provides employees and interns with the opportunity to learn about polling and public policy. What we offer full-time staff: Competitive salary Excellent opportunities for growth Medical, dental, life insurance, vision, and long-term disability Client acquisition bonuses Performance bonuses Paid vacation Training and tuition assistance
- [Public Opinion Strategies Privacy Notice](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-privacy-notice/) - INTRODUCTION Who We Are Public Opinion Strategies is a market research company specializing in corporate and public policy research, headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia. How This Privacy Notice Applies Public Opinion Strategies (the “Company”, “we”, “our”, or “us”) is committed to maintaining your privacy. Our Privacy Notice (“Notice”) is designed to help you understand how we
- [Quantitative Research](https://pos.org/services/quantitative-research/) - Public Opinion Strategies has completed over 11 million interviews in all fifty states and a variety of foreign countries since our beginnings in 1991. POS has established long-lasting relationships with some of the best phone centers located in the United States. We have immediate access to hundreds of CATI-enabled data collection stations for use in our
- [Video Testimonials](https://pos.org/about-us/video-testimonials/)
- [Videos](https://pos.org/insights/videos/)
- [The NBC News Poll](https://pos.org/insights/nbc-newswall-street-journal-poll/)
- [Leadership](https://pos.org/team/) - Twelve partners conduct research throughout the country on a wide array of campaigns and issues. Select names of some our esteemed associates to learn more about our team.
- [Ballot Initiative Wins](https://pos.org/work/ballot-initiatives/) - PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES INITIATIVE WINS NAME DESCRIPTION STATE YEAR RESULT Yes on Proposition 22 A yes vote will exempt app-based transportation and delivery companies from providing employee benefits to certain drivers CA 2020 Win No on Proposition 23 A no vote would not permit the establishment of state requirements for kidney dialysis clinics or require
- [Timeline of Key Events](https://pos.org/timeline-of-key-events/)
- [Case Studies](https://pos.org/case-studies-main/)
- [Corporations](https://pos.org/expertise/corporations/) - Public Opinion Strategies has a long history of conducting research for some of America’s leading corporations and associations—often in sensitive situations under the glare of the media spotlight. Central to our corporate work is an evaluation of a company’s overall image and brand. We probe consumer attitudes about brands, products, and entire industries and assess
- [Associations and Issue Groups](https://pos.org/expertise/associations-and-issue-groups/) - Public Opinion Strategies has established itself as a specialist in “combat message development” — the science of creating effective messages in which the opposing side is aggressively engaged. We do more than simply monitor public opinion; we develop messages that defend our client’s interests while impacting complex public policy issues. Our political background enables us
- [Public Opinion Strategies CCPA Rights Request Form](https://pos.org/public-opinion-strategies-ccpa-rights-request-form/) - [ninja_form id='3']
- [Work](https://pos.org/work/) - Our political client base includes eleven U.S. Senators, six Governors, 44 Members of Congress, and numerous state legislative caucuses. The latest client list for these offices is on the campaigns page. The other half of our work is involved in complex public policy battles, working with industry coalitions, government entities and private companies. This work includes
- [Expertise](https://pos.org/expertise/) - Our expertise is understanding how to interpret data and make strategic recommendations to help our clients succeed in a rapid pace environment. We work on the most challenging of political campaigns and some of the highest profile public policy battles. Through it all we maintain a steady hand to provide strategic research analysis and advice
- [Latest News](https://pos.org/insights/)
- [Our Work Nationwide](https://pos.org/us-states/) - Learn About Our Work Nationwide Public Opinion Strategies is a national political and public affairs research firm. Founded in 1991, we have conducted more than nine and a half million interviews with voters and consumers in all fifty states and over two dozen foreign countries.
- [Authors](https://pos.org/authors/)
- [Associations and Issue Groups](https://pos.org/associations-and-issue-groups/) - [ezcol_1half] Achieve Advanced Energy Economy (AEE) Airports Council International – North America (ACI-NA) Alliance for Potato Research and Education Alliance for Quality Nursing Home Care Alliance of Specialty Medicine Alzheimer’s Association American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) American Bankers Association American Beverage Association American Cancer Society American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) American Council of
- [Corporations](https://pos.org/corporations/) - [ezcol_1half] 3M AES Corporation Allstate American Water Art Institutes, The athenahealth Bank of America Boeing Capella University Chesapeake Energy CNBC CNN CNN.com Cobb EMC Colorado College Community Health Systems Denver Water Duke University General Motors Green Mountain Power [/ezcol_1half] [ezcol_1half_end] HLN, formerly Headline News Hospital Corporation of America IMS Health International Speedway Corporation Macquarrie Capital
- [Contact](https://pos.org/contact/) - E-mail us at info@pos.org Virginia Office Public Opinion Strategies 214 North Fayette Street Alexandria, VA 22314 (703) 836-7655 (703) 836-8117 (fax)
- [Qualitative Research](https://pos.org/services/qualitative-research/) - Public Opinion Strategies has completed more than 6,000 focus groups and hundreds of one-on-one in-depth interviews across the country, as well as internationally. All of our partners, vice presidents, and senior project directors are RIVA trained moderators. And unlike most other research firms, Public Opinion Strategies’ partners, vice presidents, and senior project directors conduct the
- [Latest Presentations](https://pos.org/insights/latest-presentations/)
- [E-Answers](https://pos.org/insights/e-answers/)
- [Mobile Research Series](https://pos.org/insights/mobile-research-series/)
- [Hispanic Voter Series](https://pos.org/insights/hispanic-voter-series/)
- [TQIA Blog](https://pos.org/insights/tqia-blog/)
- [Services](https://pos.org/services/) - Public Opinion Strategies uses various research methods and techniques to help our clients obtain answers to their questions. Obviously we write questionnaires but some of our projects are conducted over the phone or online, depending on the client and the audience. We also conduct a great deal of qualitative research to understand how people talk

## Posts

- [seedprod](https://pos.org/seedprod/sp-cs/)

## Testimonials

- [Young Kim](https://pos.org/testimonial/young-kim/) - The Beltway media said we had no chance, but George Nassar believed in me and our campaign, and gave me a clear path to victory. George was more than just a pollster who got the numbers right; he was a critical part of the team and involved in every aspect of the campaign from messaging
- [ACLI](https://pos.org/testimonial/acli-2/) - ACLI has worked with Public Opinion Strategies for decades, through several tough industry battles—often ones in which public opinion does not naturally fall on the side of insurers. Yet, Bill and his team consistently provide invaluable strategic advice by refining our messages and helping us frame our issues in a way that makes them understandable
- [Rob Wittman](https://pos.org/testimonial/rob-wittman/) - The POS Team is a shining light during a time when candidates and the American public are losing trust in polls. Because of their accurate polling, we were able to build a sound campaign strategy to win over undecided voters -- and it worked! Our campaign prevailed by numbers larger than we imagined. We cannot
- [Robin Vos](https://pos.org/testimonial/robin-vos/) - Public Opinion Strategies polling in Wisconsin was well within the margin of error and on the mark. And we have the majority to prove it.
- [Brian Fitzpatrick](https://pos.org/testimonial/brian-fitzpatrick/) - Neil Newhouse has been a part of Team Fitzpatrick since day one. His ability to analyze the data and offer a clear path forward is an invaluable asset to this team. We know we can always trust the conclusions drawn from the data he provides.
- [NRCC](https://pos.org/testimonial/nrcc/) - The pollsters at Public Opinion Strategies hit the nail on the head in several battleground races for us this cycle, providing important advice on messaging, and helping many of our candidates find the path to victory.
- [Auto Alliance](https://pos.org/testimonial/auto-alliance/) - In my tenure at two leading business associations, facing huge and complex consumer issues, I have benefitted enormously from the objective advisory skills of Bill and his team. They do their homework and they are rigorous, dispassionate and thoughtful. Turning questions into answers is a clever tag, but it’s also an apt description of the
- [PhRMA](https://pos.org/testimonial/phrma/) - Public Opinion Strategies’ track record of success and wealth of experience in political campaigns and issue advocacy are why they are one of the most trusted and well respected public opinion firms in Washington, D.C. Their insights and perspectives have helped to inform a wide array of public affairs activities across multiple industries.
- [CILR](https://pos.org/testimonial/cilr/) - Accuracy, speed, and deep knowledge of key issues and public sentiment are the hallmarks of quality opinion research, and on these measures Public Opinion Strategies consistently delivers. I have had the pleasure of working with Public Opinion Strategies for more than 15 years on dozens of issues, and they are undoubtedly the gold standard.
- [IFA](https://pos.org/testimonial/ifa-2/) - I consider Public Opinion Strategies to be a part of our team. That is the way we have always worked. They have helped us to understand our needs and fashioned research solutions to meet those needs. They have helped us to meet killer deadlines by being flexible, executing rapidly, and insuring quality. Teamwork is the
- [HRCC](https://pos.org/testimonial/hrcc-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies has been a part of our team in Missouri for more than a decade. With their data and guidance, Republicans here were able to attain a majority in the House in 2002 for the first time in fifty years, and we have been able to grow that majority to the point that
- [Susana Martinez](https://pos.org/testimonial/susana-martinez/) - Nicole McCleskey and the team at Public Opinion Strategies have been invaluable to me, both during my campaigns and as Governor of the State of New Mexico. It’s not just the accuracy of their numbers, but guiding the overall strategy that makes them so valuable.
- [George K. Baum](https://pos.org/testimonial/george-k-baum/) - Public Opinion Strategies is one of our go-to pollsters when it comes to testing public support for bond ballot measures and other initiative proposals. They are available to provide ongoing consultation with regard to crafting of ballot questions, public outreach messaging, and related efforts.
- [Princeton](https://pos.org/testimonial/princeton-2/) - Public Opinion Strategies helped us to clarify what we wanted to learn and then conducted research and analysis that shed light even beyond the questions we set out to ask. They were very receptive to our suggestions, responsive to our queries, and flexible when we needed them to be.

## Case Studies

- [CNBC](https://pos.org/case-studies/cnbc/) - Our Work: On a quarterly basis, the CNBC survey tracks a wide range of economic indicators, including Americans’ perception of inflation; among homeowners, whether they perceive the value of their home to be increasing, decreasing or staying the same; among those employed, whether they expect to receive a raise (and if yes, by what percentage);
- [Politics](https://pos.org/case-studies/politics-2-2/) - Our Work: Public Opinion Strategies offers a range of solutions tailored to the needs of the client and the unique characteristics of the jurisdiction in which they are running. We poll in urban, suburban and rural locations, each with their own distinct demographics and hot button issues. In each case, our stratified sampling method closely
- [American Beverage Association](https://pos.org/case-studies/aba/) - Our Work: Public Opinion Strategies partnered with advertising and public relations agency GMMB and YPulse, a research firm focused on Millennials, to develop an extensive public opinion research strategy. We organized and moderated a series of focus groups with “Community Moms,” those moms who are especially active in their communities. We performed extensive qualitative research
- [Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers](https://pos.org/case-studies/auto-alliance/) - Our Work: We began a national quantitative research effort to explore baseline awareness, attitudes and behavior surrounding heatstroke and leaving children unattended in vehicles. This initial baseline study involved two online surveys. The first targeted parents and caregivers and the second targeted adults nationally, measuring their awareness of actions bystanders can take when they see
- [The NBC News Poll](https://pos.org/case-studies/nbc-news-the-wall-street-journal-poll/) - Our Work: We poll on an almost monthly basis, monitoring attitudes about the direction of the country, presidential approval, voter attitudes toward the two political parties, and perception of the economy. While the survey provides a timely look each month at breaking news stories, its design acts as a broad monitor of American attitudes over
- [Coalition to Protect America’s Health Care](https://pos.org/case-studies/coalition-to-protect-americas-health-care-cpah/) - Our Work: Beginning in 2000, Public Opinion Strategies has conducted extensive research to inform CPAH's public affairs campaigns. Our research has primarily focused on the audiences the client most wants to persuade: seniors and caregivers. We have tested public perceptions of hospitals, names for the coalition, spokespeople for advertising, and actual advertising to identify messaging most
- [Walmart](https://pos.org/case-studies/walmart/) - Our Work: We have tracked Walmart Moms' sentiment on a wide range of political, social and economic issues. During the 2012 election cycle, our work included national surveys, online surveys and focus groups to gauge their opinions on the state of the economy, the candidates and the top issues of the election. We also used

## Opportunities

- [Research Analyst](https://pos.org/opportunities/research-analyst/) - The ideal candidate will be a motivated self-starter with a strong commitment to detail. We pride ourselves on knowing that our work is accurate; therefore, we place a premium on paying attention to every detail and showing concern for all aspects of the job, no matter how small. We are committed to going the extra
- [Project Director](https://pos.org/opportunities/project-director/) - Public Opinion Strategies is seeking to fill a Project Director position in our Old Town Alexandria location. To be considered you must have previous survey or market research experience, and candidates with previous campaign or public policy experience will be given first consideration. The ideal candidate will be a motivated self-starter, well organized, detail-oriented, able

## Partners

- [Glen Bolger](https://pos.org/partners/glen-bolger/) - Glen Bolger PARTNER EMAIL IN MEMORIAM Glen Bolger was one of the Republican Party’s leading political strategists and pollsters and co‑founder of Public Opinion Strategies. Glen leaves behind a tremendous legacy in domestic and international polling research, public policy, and public affairs. He was one of only two people to be a three‑time winner of
- [Bill McInturff](https://pos.org/partners/bill-mcinturff/) - Bill McInturff PARTNER EMAIL Bill McInturff is a partner of Public Opinion Strategies, one of the nation’s largest political and public affairs survey research firms. The firm has been described as a “GOP powerhouse” and currently represents 4 governors, nine U.S. Senators and over 30 Members of Congress. One nationally recognized political reporter described Bill
- [George Nassar](https://pos.org/partners/george-nassar/) - George Nassar PARTNER EMAIL George Nassar is a Partner at Public Opinion Strategies, one of the nation’s leading political and public affairs research firms. Over the course of his career, he has helped guide winning campaigns for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, gubernatorial, and state legislative candidates across the country. George has been a pollster on
- [Nicole McCleskey](https://pos.org/partners/nicole-mccleskey/) - Nicole McCleskey PARTNER EMAIL Nicole McCleskey is a Partner with Public Opinion Strategies. Nicole has been with POS since 1998, starting as a project director and working her way up to partner. Nicole has built a successful practice in polling and advising gubernatorial races around the country. In the 2024 election, Nicole helped the RGA’s
- [Jim Hobart](https://pos.org/partners/jim-hobart/) - Jim Hobart PARTNER EMAIL Jim Hobart is a Partner at Public Opinion Strategies. Jim has been a part of the polling team in some of the most competitive and important elections in the country and has received the prestigious Rising Star Award from Campaign and Elections Magazine. During the most recent election cycle, Jim polled
- [Elizabeth Harrington](https://pos.org/partners/elizabeth-harrington/) - Elizabeth Harrington PARTNER EMAIL Elizabeth Harrington is a partner at Public Opinion Strategies (POS), one of the nation’s largest political and public affairs research firms. She has been conducting market research for over 25 years with the major focus of her work being public affairs and public policy research. Elizabeth has managed over 30 million
- [Gene Ulm](https://pos.org/partners/gene-ulm/) - Gene Ulm PARTNER EMAIL Gene Ulm is a partner at Public Opinion Strategies, one of America’s largest and most respected public opinion research firms. He has been with the firm since its founding in 1991. Gene is one of the Republican Party’s leading political strategists and pollsters. Active in Republican campaigns for almost 40 years,
- [Micah Roberts](https://pos.org/partners/micah-roberts/) - Micah Roberts PARTNER EMAIL Micah Roberts joined Public Opinion Strategies as a Project Director in 2007, was promoted to Vice President in 2013 and then to Partner in 2016. The major focus of Micah’s work at Public Opinion Strategies has been in message development and advertisement testing for national, state and local public affairs and
- [Patrick Lanne](https://pos.org/partners/patrick-lanne/) - Patrick Lanne PARTNER EMAIL Patrick serves as the pollster for Republican officials at every level of government. He has polled for fifteen members of Congress, three Governors, a US Senator, five winning statewide initiative campaigns and state legislative candidates in a dozen states. During the 2022 cycle, Patrick served as one of five pollsters who
- [Neil Newhouse](https://pos.org/partners/neil-newhouse/) - Neil Newhouse PARTNER EMAIL Neil Newhouse is a partner and co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, a national political and public affairs research firm which has been described by the New York Times as “the leading Republican polling company” in the country. Neil has been named “Pollster of the Year” by the American Association of Political
- [Caitlin Reed](https://pos.org/partners/caitlin-reed/) - Caitlin Reed PARTNER EMAIL Prior to returning to POS in 2023, Caitlin worked at the NRCC where she served as the Polling Director in the 2020 and 2022 cycles, helping Republicans pick up a net-24 House seats across the two cycles. In 2024, Caitlin successfully polled for House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (LA-01), Congressman Gabe
- [Jarrett Lewis](https://pos.org/partners/jarrett-lewis/) - Jarrett Lewis PARTNER EMAIL Jarrett Lewis is a Partner at Public Opinion Strategies, a national political and public affairs research firm, whose clients include leading political figures, Fortune 500 companies, and major associations. Jarrett has extensive experience conducting public policy and corporate survey research in the areas of economic development, education, energy, financial services, health

## Members

- [Aminah Al-Jaber](https://pos.org/members/aminah-al-jaber/)
- [Linda G. Montfort](https://pos.org/members/linda-montfort/)
- [Julia Hostutler](https://pos.org/members/julia-hostutler/)
- [John Harashinski](https://pos.org/members/john-harashinski/)
- [Russ Brunner](https://pos.org/members/russ-brunner/)
- [Christopher Andrews](https://pos.org/members/christopher-andrews/)
- [Torie Bolger](https://pos.org/members/torie-bolger/)
- [Luke Jackson](https://pos.org/members/luke-jackson/)
- [Daniel Luongo](https://pos.org/members/daniel-luongo/)
- [Gordon Price](https://pos.org/members/gordon-price/)
- [Dave Wilson](https://pos.org/members/dave-wilson/)
- [Becky Kramer](https://pos.org/members/becky-kramer/)

## Qualitative Research

- [Triads](https://pos.org/qualitative/triads/) - Description: A triad focus group is smaller in size (generally three participants) and shorter in length (usually one to one and a half hours) than a traditional focus group. We suggest triads for more targeted and/or harder-to-reach audiences, as they tend to work better in smaller groups. Like traditional focus groups, triad focus groups
- [Bulletin Board Discussion Groups](https://pos.org/qualitative/bulletin-board/) - Sometimes in-person focus groups are not possible if a project involves a highly targeted audience or if respondents are geographically scattered. In these cases, we often conduct focus groups on the Internet via a bulletin board online discussion. Description: This methodology allows respondents from around the country to log into a bulletin board
- [Perception Analyzer Dial Groups](https://pos.org/qualitative/perception-analyzer-dials/) - Description: Perception Analyzer™ dial groups share both qualitative and quantitative aspects: they are qualitative like traditional in-person focus groups in that a small number of people are interviewed in a group setting and quantitative in that real-time data is collected through a wireless hand-held device and PC set-up. Perception Analyzer™ groups utilize a real-time
- [Real-Time Online Focus Groups](https://pos.org/qualitative/real-time/) - Description: Real-time focus groups allow us to interact with a small or large group of participants online. These groups are a free-form discussion similar to an instant message discussion with multiple people. Like a traditional in-person focus group, we can ask closed- or open-ended questions, and test virtually any kind of message media.
- [Traditional Focus Groups](https://pos.org/qualitative/traditional/) - Description: Focus groups are a gathering of roughly eight to ten respondents for discussion on a particular topic. The purpose of focus groups is to explore in-depth different messaging and language and to test respondents' detailed reactions to certain stimuli or informational materials. By their very nature focus groups add a depth of understanding
- [Mobile Qualitative](https://pos.org/qualitative/mobile-qualitative/) - Description: Mobile qualitative research allows respondents to engage in a discussion session from their mobile phones through text (SMS) responses. Participants are able to send both text responses and images to respond to questions posed by a moderator. We are able to target both by constituency through the use of preset “panels” and by
- [One-on-One In-Depth Interviews](https://pos.org/qualitative/one-on-one-in-depth-interviews/) - Description: This research methodology allows us to speak with very targeted or hard-to-reach audiences. IDIs allow for a more in-depth, candid discussion and probing on specific issues than a traditional focus group. We explore in-depth what is most important to an individual respondent and how an issue personally affects them. These interviews give a
- [Webcam Focus Groups](https://pos.org/qualitative/webcam/) - Description: Webcam focus groups can be used as a substitute for in-person focus groups. Using a streaming video platform, the moderator is able to interact in real-time with up to eight participants. This methodology allows us to conduct “face-to-face” research among geographically dispersed or hard-to-reach audiences that would not be possible to reach through

## Quantitative Research

- [Jury Analysis/Selection](https://pos.org/quantitative/jury-analysis-selection/) - At Public Opinion Strategies, we bring a depth of expertise in public opinion research to support legal teams in the crucial process of jury selection. Our specialized pre-jury selection surveys provide data-driven insights into the attitudes, biases, and predispositions of potential jurors. By tailoring survey questions to identify key demographic, attitudinal, and case-relevant factors, we
- [IVR+](https://pos.org/quantitative/ivr/) - Description: In addition to traditional live interview polling, POS conducts IVR+ polling, which is traditional interactive voice response (IVR) research, with added quota and sample management. Like a traditional IVR survey, IVR+ uses pre-recorded questions that respondents answer using their telephone keypad. With the quota and sample management, our IVR+ survey option allows for
- [Mobile Surveys](https://pos.org/quantitative/mobile-surveys/) - Description: Completing research through respondents’ smartphones is an emerging methodology. Researchers are able to target by both constituency using preset “panels” and by geography using GPS locators. Mobile survey research does not yet comprise an entirely representative sample of the U.S. population (significantly younger); however, researchers can “blend” this methodology with other research techniques.
- [Internet Surveys](https://pos.org/quantitative/internet-surveys/) - Description: Internet surveys allow for both close-ended and open-ended questions just as on a telephone survey, but in addition respondents can be presented with and evaluate advertising concepts or messaging components. We recommend using internet surveys when trying to complete: Surveys among a very specialized audience, such as physicians or business leaders; Surveys among
- [National Omnibus Telephone Surveys](https://pos.org/quantitative/national-omnibus-telephone-surveys/) - Description: Roughly once a month, Public Opinion Strategies conducts a national survey of 800 registered voters called a national omnibus. These surveys have multiple clients and cover many different topic areas. Our omnibus product allows a client to obtain national data on key questions for less money than conducting their own individual national standalone
- [Telephone Surveys](https://pos.org/quantitative/telephone-surveys/) - Description: Our use of telephone polling runs the gamut of research: nightly tracking surveys, monthly national omnibus surveys, single issue surveys, benchmarks, brushfire surveys, and business-to-business interviewing. We have the capabilities to conduct telephone surveys among respondents via their landline telephone or their cell phone. Our national surveys generally include at least 65% or more
- [Mail Surveys](https://pos.org/quantitative/mail-surveys/) - Description: Some target audiences can be difficult to survey by telephone or internet, so we recommend using a mail survey to reach them. Logistics: An initial mailing is sent out that usually includes a cover letter from the client inviting the member/respondent to take the survey and explaining the purpose of the
- [Panel/Census Surveys](https://pos.org/quantitative/panel-census-surveys/) - Description: Panel research involves recruiting a group of respondents who have agreed to take part in surveys over a set period of time. These respondents usually share an extensive amount of information about themselves and their households, which can be used for appropriate sample selection. Census research involves attempting to survey an entire

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