For quite some time, Republican pollsters have been making the point to their clients: don’t confuse the attitudes of base and swing voters toward the President. Base GOP voters do not like Obama’s policies, and they dislike him personally (some more vehemently than others). However, we had consistently seen in our polls and focus groups that […]
Analysis
The following two tables always stun Republicans when I do a presentation: The point is — John McCain got the same percentage of the white vote while losing in 2008 that George W. Bush got in winning the electoral college in 2000 (note to Dems reading this — what has two thumbs and doesn’t care […]
A lot of pundits have been overreaching on their analysis of the extraordinarily dramatic data that has shown significant voter anger at Washington. There have been predictions that incumbents are “unsafe at any speed” and that voters are going to wipe out both Republicans (who after all control the House, where legislation passes before Harry […]
The Iranian hostage crisis, Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Lehman Brother’s collapse and the recessions that defined the 1980, 1992 and the 2008 presidential campaigns … these are the signal events that changed and then defined the last 30 years of American politics. They are joined now by another signal event: The debt […]
The results of our latest national survey of 800 likely 2012 voters point to eleven percent (11%) of likely voters owning a Twitter account. And only four percent (4%) say they have accessed their Twitter the day before. So, who are these voters with a Twitter account? A younger group: 80% are 18-44 year olds […]
