Analysis

Given the demographics of the 2008 and 2012 elections, the Republican Party is in danger of becoming the “Win In Off Years Only Party” unless we make a full-throated improvement with Hispanic voters.  And, we have to admit it is us, not them. Want proof?  That’s easy – as of this writing, Mitt Romney is […]

In the last 60 years there have been eight incumbent presidents seeking re-election. The table below shows the unemployment rate in January of the first year of their term, and then in January, July, and October of the last year of their first term. As the White House squabbles over a hundredth of a percent […]

See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_cat_bounce : an ugly notion that “even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from great height.” It’s also a striking metaphor for America’s stagnant job market.  The number of Americans employed in the workforce has dropped by a tenth-of-a-point per month since February. According to the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, in […]

Rather than writing multiple short blog posts, here are some quick hits: Delusional Democrats  I have been asking likely voters in general surveys which party controls Washington. The results have been staggeringly consistent no matter where the survey is completed. Approximately one-third say the Democrats control Washington, one-third say the Republicans do(!), ten percent say […]

A new national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for Crossroads GPS finds that President Obama’s Jobs Bill is polarizing.  Voters are evenly split on whether or not they support it, they overwhelmingly tell Congress to look at it more in-depth rather than pass it now, and they are evenly split on whether raising taxes […]

Public Opinion Strategies