We could see very high turnout in key races tonight. 66% of voters in the latest NBC News poll say they are “very interested” in the election NEXT November. That is the highest ever in in the off-year before a midterm election. Stunningly, the 66% number is higher than what we measured just a few weeks before the 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018 midterm elections.
Posts by Dawn Legere
We could see very high turnout in key races tonight. 66% of voters in the latest NBC News poll say they are “very interested” in the election NEXT November. That is the highest ever in in the off-year before a midterm election. Stunningly, the 66% number is higher than what we measured just a few weeks before the 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018 midterm elections.

Interest in Election

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The latest NBC News poll finds that fewer than 30% of voters have a positive view of the Democratic party. The GOP holds strong advantages over Democrats on border security, immigration broadly, and dealing with crime. 42% of voters blame Democrats in Congress for the shutdown, compared to 25% for Republicans, and 24% for President Trump. Additionally, a record high 79% of voters say they use social media daily.

NBC News October 2025 Poll 11-02-2025 Release

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The latest CNBC national survey of adults finds that as the government shutdown stretches on, economic optimism has dropped slightly. However, preference for who controls Congress after the next election has narrowed from +5 Democrat-control to +1 Democrat-control and a majority (51%) of adults continue to approve of President Trump’s handling of the southern border.

250258 CNBC AAES Q3 2025 Topline

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A succinct summation from partner Bill McInturff in Ron Brownstein’s piece on redefining the swing voter. “A swing voter today is one who does or does not show up to vote,” says McInturff. Read more below:

https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/24/politics/swing-voters-2026-election-trump-biden-analysis  

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The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey of 1000 adults that fielded July 29-August 3 shows: Economic tracking data is stable to trending in a positive direction. President Trump’s overall (46%) and economic (45%) approval ratings have held steady since April. The Democratic Party’s image rating (22% Positive-55% Negative) sits at the worst ever recorded of either party in CNBC or NBC News surveys, with less than half (46%) of self-identified Democrats holding a positive view of the Democratic Party.

250178 CNBC AAES Q2 2025 Topline 8-7-2025 Release

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Public Opinion Strategies