Best predictor of an incumbent president’s percentage of the vote? Job approval. President Biden can only run a handful of points higher than his job approval. His being at 37% means he is a long way down compared to where he needs to be to win.
Posts by Dawn Legere
Best predictor of an incumbent president’s percentage of the vote? Job approval. President Biden can only run a handful of points higher than his job approval. His being at 37% means he is a long way down compared to where he needs to be to win.

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Job Approval d1a

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New must read from Bill McInturff: 13 slides that define where we are in the presidential race as of today, based on the latest NBC News poll.

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Bill NBC Executive Summary Presentation d1a

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NEW @NBCNews poll shows Biden’s approval at 37%, the lowest approval rating of any President in the NBC poll since Bush 43’s second term. Trump leads Biden by 5 on the ballot (47% Trump/42% Biden).

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240037 NBC January 2024 Poll_2.4.24 RELEASE

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No shortage of bad news for Biden and Democrats in this data. Take a look at many of the challenging numbers here.

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NBC News Poll Headlines Jan 2024

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North Dakotans overwhelmingly support policies that level the playing field for American energy producers.

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230370 North Dakota Statewide – Final 1.29.24 TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE/LUKE JACKSON SUBJECT: NORTH DAKOTA SURVEY RESULTS DATE:  JANUARY 29, 2024  METHODOLOGY Public Opinion Strategies completed a survey of N=500 likely voters in North Dakota on behalf of an energy client from December 8-18, 2023.  The survey was conducted via a mixed-mode online […]

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