Public Opinion Strategies released our National Omnibus survey numbers. As several POS blog posts have noted, Neil Gorsuch’s nomination is viewed favorably by voters nationally; a trend that has increased since February. In the March omnibus survey, 39% of respondents supported Gorsuch’s nomination to the Supreme Court, a 5% increase since the February NBC/Wall Street Journal survey. However, those opposing Gorsuch’s nomination has also increased to 28%, a 6% increase since February. As noted in a previous POS blog, SCOTUS nominee’s opposition ticks upward as a result of nomination hearings and additional news coverage.
Looking further into the data, and as Kyle Clark noted in his earlier blog, party is a driving source of polarization. Among Republicans, 75% support the nomination, while 2% oppose it. Among Democrats, 11% support the nomination, while 53% oppose it. This is a trend that continues to play out when looking at the 2016 ballot. Fully 75% of Trump voters support the nomination, while just 1% oppose. Not surprisingly, Clinton voters are nearly the opposite – 10% support/56% oppose the nomination.
When looking at where Gorsuch has gained support since the February NBC/Wall Street Journal survey, his largest group of movers has been with Republicans at +17%, followed by people in rural communities at +15%, and men at +13% . The growth in support comes after his lengthy confirmation hearings that were covered extensively in the national news.