| September
10 , 2002

In the aftermath of the terrorist attacks one year ago, Americans
turned to tradition - flags unfurled on front porches, religious
attendance surged, and like in other crises past, they expressed
overwhelming support for their President. One year later, the surge
in support for President Bush has shattered a 60-year historic precedent
and his job approval number did NOT drop down to its previous level
with 51 weeks. As
Public Opinion Strategies predicted in February, Bush has restructured
three generations of previous trend data in American political history.
As the chart outlines, while approval of past Presidents dissipated
within one year of the crisis, Americans' support for President
Bush is ten points higher than where it stood prior to the attacks
on September 11th. In the latest Public Opinion Strategies national
survey conducted immediately after Labor Day, two-thirds (66%) of
American voters say they approve of the job he is doing as President.

"Some people
make headlines
while others make history."
- Phillip Elmer DeWitt
While this is certainly a decline from the
historic high of 90% (the highest job approval EVER recorded by
Gallup) and partisan distinctions have returned (only 42% of Democrats
now approve compared to 92% of Republicans), President
Bush continues to enjoy greater support now than prior to the attack
among most key voter groups.
Moreover,
by nearly a three-to-one margin, American voters are more likely
to say that their image of the President has improved since September
11th rather than gotten worse. Thirty-four percent
(34%) of the electorate say their image of President Bush has improved,
and this improved image of Bush has been most dramatic with women,
including important subgroups of women such as Independent
women (40% improved), women
under 45 years of age (43%) and suburban
women (39%).
Perhaps the most fundamental reason for Bush shattering
historic trends in job approval is that this increase in support
is not based simply on the success of his policies. Just as six
months ago, the voters themselves tell us that they have been most
impressed by Bush's personal strength
and leadership in the wake of the crisis:
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"Integrity,
character, honesty and moral strength. He means what he says.
He has (a) good, strong moral fiber."
-- Moderate 55-64 Year Old Woman
"I
just like the way he stood up for America and put his foot
down. He didn't back down. He just fires you up when you listen
to him... He makes me feel proud to be an American."
-- Liberal 45-54 Year Old Man
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Public Opinion Strategies
will continue to monitor the President's image and other critical
factors affecting the 2002 elections. Look for future e-answers
highlighting other trends in public opinion at www.pos.org. |
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