Public Opinion Strategies

POS conducted  a national survey of 1,000 likely voters for Crossroads GPS on the tax cut extension being debated in Congress. Please find links to the interview schedule and analysis memo below.
Interview Schedule in PDF format
Analysis Memo in PDF format Read more

Control of the House of Representatives after the 2012 elections will still belong to the Republicans.  IF Barack Obama stages a political comeback (which is certianly within the realm of possibility), Democrats will start the presidential coattails drumbeat.  However, there are two compelling tables in this post underscoring that the House outcome will dance to the [...] Read more

 
This post was written by Glen Bolger and Dave Wilson.
 
Over the past five mid-terms, there have been more wave elections (1994, 2006, 2010) than elections with limited swing (1998, 2002). We thought it would be enlightening to look at the national House exit polls from those three wave elections for similarities and differences.
 
The 2010 national [...] Read more

Glen Bolger conducted a  post-election nationwide survey of 1,000 voters for the Faith and Freedom Coalition.
Presentation in PDF Format Read more

We at Public Opinion Strategies wanted to wrap up the election cycle with some last minute observations about what is happening in the political environment, and how it is affecting campaigns.
It’s been a wild cycle – starting with a Nobel Peace Prize and other unearned accolades for Barack Obama, a failed, jobless, wasteful spending stimulus [...] Read more

Public Opinion Strategies completed a survey in the Fifth Congressional District of Virginia one day after President Barack Obama held a rally for embattled Democratic incumbent Tom Perriello.  As the attached release shows, the President’s political rally failed to boost Perriello’s standing.
Perriello is trailing Robert Hurt by a 45%-42% margin, with 6% for the third [...] Read more

A few weeks ago in a posting, I noted that the enthusiasm gap across 26 districts was worth an average of just over five points for Republicans.  I also predicted that the gap would experience natural tightening, ending up in the two-to-four point range. 
Well, based on an average across 28 Democratic-held districts this week, I [...] Read more

Back in June, the survey that Stan Greenberg and I conducted for NPR was huge news. Conducted in 60 Democrat-held and 10 Republican-held seats, it showed Republicans ahead by a 48%-39% count in the Tier 1 seats (30 most vulnerable) and up 47%-45% in the Tier 2 seats (next 30 seats).  It was the first [...] Read more

At the entrance to the Marine Corps Air Station Beaufort in South Carolina is a sign that reads, “The noise you hear is the sound of freedom.” Well, the noise you hear right now is the sound of Democrats whistling past the graveyard, with various claims that they are surging – by both closing the [...] Read more

Buoyed because they are not losing in all strong Democratic states or districts, there is a whistling past the grave yard argument being made by some Dems and pundits that the enthusiasm gap is closing. And that’s partly true.
The enthusiasm gap has narrowed slightly. But it was bound to narrow. The 2010 enthusiasm gap was [...] Read more